keith de lacy - australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on...

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If you do what you always did, you will get what you always got! Hon Keith DeLacy AM Chairman Integrated Food and Energy developments Pty Ltd (IFED) AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014 Page 1

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Australia’s boards need to identify opportunities and strategies for long term growth. There are a number of potential growth sectors for Australian business which include agribusiness, education, tourism, services and resources. What are the greatest growth opportunities for Australian business that will strengthen our economy? It is now more important than ever to establish competitive advantages in both the domestic and international arena.

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Page 1: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

If you do what you always did, you will get what you always got!

Hon Keith DeLacy AMChairman

Integrated Food and Energy developments Pty Ltd (IFED)

AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014Page 1

Page 2: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

THE FOODBOWL OF ASIAEVERY GALAH IN THE PETSHOP IS SPROUTING THE VIRTUES OF NORTHERN AGRICULTURE

• 2020 Summit – Northern Australian Development 2008• National Food Plan Green Paper 2012• Australia in the Asian Century White Paper 2012• Qld Government 4 pillars policy 2011• Qld Government doubling agriculture by 2040• Coalition’s 2030 vision for Developing Northern Australia• CSIRO Flinders Gilbert Agriculture & Resource Assessment (FGARA) 2014• Northern Australia White Paper (being developed 2014)• More than 100 other specific or general papers going back last century

HIGH QUALITY COMPOST!

21 MAY 2014 Page 2AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 3: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

BUT SURELY THEY ARE ON THE RIGHT TRACK?THE STUFF OF AGRICULTURE – WATER, SOIL, SUNSHINE, MARKETS

WATER: Gulf rivers total average run-off is 90 million megalitres (ML) per annum – cf Murray Darling 32 million ML.The Gilbert River system 5.5 million ML - cf the Ord 3.8 million ML.

SOIL: “The results of this analysis indicate that very large areas of the Gilbert River catchment (1 to 2 million ha) are moderately suitable (class 3) for a wide range of crops and irrigation methods.” (CSIRO assessment study FGARA 2014)

SUNSHINE: Few agricultural regions in the world have greater solar exposure (sunshine, the essence of plant life) than EIAP. EIAP (Kutchera Station) average daily solar exposure (MJ/m2) = 22.4; Tully = 18.8; Mackay = 19.9; Ayr = 21.4; Stawell Vic = 17; Bangkok Thailand = 16.9; Chaing Mai Thailand = 17.5

21 MAY 2014 Page 3AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 4: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

21 MAY 2014 Page 4AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

AND FINALLY MARKETS: More than half the world’s population live in the circle, and71% of projected growth in global food demand in next 40 years will occur inside circle

Page 5: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

• Lakeland Downs (Cooktown)• Territory Rice Ltd (Darwin)• Tipperary Land Corporation (Darwin)• Northern Agricultural Development Corporation (Katherine)• Ord River Project (Kununurra)

Page 5AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Nevertheless NORTHERN DEVELOPMENT - a Litany of Failures!

Page 6: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

Page 6AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

A NEW MODEL

A greenfield development of a privately funded, large-scale, world-class, vertically integrated and sustainable agribusiness.

THE IFED PROPOSAL

Etheridge Integrated Agriculture Project

(EIAP)

Page 7: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

IFED has secured long-term options over the key properties required for water diversion, water storage, cropping and infrastructure.

AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Project area comprises:5 properties – 326,000 haCropping land – 65,000 haWater storage – 18,000 haInfrastructure – 2,000 haGrazing – 241,000 ha

5,400,000 (Ord River =3,870,000)

PROJECT LOCATION AND SIZE

Einasleigh R

Gilbert R

Page 7

Flow rate in megalitres /year

Page 8: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

Page 8

Water is flood harvested into lakes and gravity fed to the co-located farming and processing facilities.

AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

PROJECT DESIGN

Page 9: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

Existingcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

Off-riverWater Storage

Cogen – 90MWBagasse/biogas

Gum Plant

Sugar Mill

662kt/y of sugarFarm

Sugar - 40,000 haGuar – 25,000 ha

Hull and germ 65 kt/y

Sugar cane

4.8 Mt/y

Guarbean

Raw sugar – 535 kt/y

Ethanol – 100 ML/y

Steam and

Electricity - 43MW

Guar gum - 32 kt/y

Meat Processing Plant

ngcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

200,000 / yearCattle Purchased from

local graziers Meat products 53 kt/y

Hides and offal

Pellet Mill Biomass Pellets - 400 kt/yCane Trashat 8% moisture

Cane Tops 120kt/y dry Bagasse

164kt/y dry

AquacultureRedclaw ponds

Redclaw 7.5 kt/y

OVERVIEW: Integration of Water, Farm and Processing Activities.

AICD Conference 2014 page 9

Feed Mill400 kt/y

+ purchased molasses

Page 10: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

PROJECT COST ESTIMATE:

Page 10

Item Cost Estimate - $MLand acquisition plus costs 67 Water Infrastructure & Allocation 497 Farm - Land Preparation 123 Farm - Irrigation Development 367 Sugar mill 371 Ethanol refinery 126 Guar mill 52 Stock feed plant 36 Power station 159 Meat processing 63 Infrastructure & Accommodation 62 Plant & Equipment 54

Capital expenditure $1,977

Page 11: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

The vertically integrated farming and processing model delivers revenue diversity and high EBITDA. Typical year from 2020:

Products Units Quantity Sell price

$/unitRevenue

$MCost$M

EBITDA Margin

$MFarming

sugar cane Tonnes 4,800,000 109 -109guar bean Tonnes 98,000 25 -25

Raw sugar Tonnes 535,000 487 261 66 195Ethanol Litres 100,000,000 1.15 115 25 90Guar gum Tonnes 32,000 4,871 156 33 123Stock feed Tonnes 404,000 173 70 17 53Electricity MWH 358,000 106 38 15 23

Meat & co-products Head 200,000 1,140 228 208 20

Indirect Overheads 22 -22

Total 868 520 348

Page 11AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

PROJECT FORECAST FINANCIALS

Page 12: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

Unlike extractive industries which are finite, EIAP will deliver truly sustainable environmental, social and economic outcomes.

• Carbon sustainability– Operates completely on renewable electricity (Cogen); – Exports renewable electricity into the grid; and– Ethanol produced equals 9 times volume of liquid fuel consumed in the business.

• Ecological sustainability– Propose to harvest just 10% of Gilbert River system average annual discharge (0.55%

of Gulf Rivers discharge)– Off-river water storage – much more ecologically sustainable than on-river dams;– Reduced sediment loss due to better farm design and management;– Negligible nutrient run-off due to state-of-the-art trickle tape irrigation; and– Improved pest management (weeds and destructive feral animals).

Page 12AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

SUSTAINABILITY

Page 13: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

• The Etheridge shire is classified as ‘very remote and disadvantaged’ – unemployment rate 16.2% (March 2012);

• EIAP will create 1,200 direct jobs;• EIAP will underwrite local business and create new business opportunities;• Investment in housing and services will multiply benefits; and• An indigenous employment program will provide a pathway to economic

independence for the local indigenous population.

• Positive animal welfare outcomes• Reduction of stock losses in dry season (water and feed availability); and• Local processing eliminates long distance transport of cattle.

Page 13AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Social Sustainability

Page 14: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

• Bringing Government policy to life (State and Federal);• Federal Government revenue – company and income taxes;• State Government revenues – payroll tax, port usage fees, vehicle

registrations, fees and charges;• Reduces social outlays – unemployment benefits, subsidies, disaster

relief, etc;• Electricity grid enhancement with renewable electricity, RET

contribution;• Larger rate base for local council;• Improved community facilities; and• Jobs, jobs, jobs…

Page 14AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Government & Community Benefits

Page 15: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

• Reaching negotiated agreements with five land owners that secures 326,000 hectares under long term options;

• Completion of detailed technical and commercial feasibility analysis;

• “Development Protocol” for a water allocation agreed with the Queensland Government;

• Declaration of a “Co-ordinated Project” by the Queensland government; and

• Well progressed with Pre-Construction Phase capital raising.

Page 15AICD CONFEENCE MAY 2014

PROJECT MILESTONES

Page 16: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

A LITANY OF FAILURES? What’s changed this time?A NEW MODEL - WHERE EIAP IS DIFFERENT

• SCALE• BIO-MASS = ENERGY• INTEGRATION• DE-RISKED CLIMATE• INNOVATIVE WATER STORAGE• OFF-THE SHELF AGRICULTURE AND PROCESSING

21 MAY 2014 Page 16AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 17: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

WHAT’S CHANGED THIS TIME?SCALE• Scale delivers local processing infrastructure – vital in isolated regions• Economies of scale in production• Market power – both selling and purchasing• In-house research and development• Strong capital base

In isolated areas small or fragmented water allocations do not bring about real economic development.Water must be allocated on the basis of jobs/economic benefit per megalitre – not on the basis of political expediency.

21 MAY 2014 Page 17AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 18: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

WHAT’S CHANGED THIS TIME?ENERGYThe tropics have an extraordinary capacity to produce bio-mass – and hence electricity and steam via co-generation.

EIAP will produce 90 mw of electricity – 43 mw will be exported into the grid for net $23 million, the rest powering the project - free renewable energy, underwriting the economics of all processes.

INTEGRATION (i)• EIAP is a single entity, privately funded, • Water storage, farming and processing are fully integrated and aligned

21 May 2014 Page 18AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 19: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

Existingcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

Off-riverWater Storage

Cogen – 90MWBagasse/biogas

Gum Plant

Sugar Mill

662kt/y of sugarFarm

Sugar - 40,000 haGuar – 25,000 ha

Hull and germ 65 kt/y

Sugar cane

4.8 Mt/y

Guarbean

Raw sugar – 535 kt/y

Ethanol – 100 ML/y

Steam and

Electricity - 43MW

Guar gum - 32 kt/y

Meat Processing Plant

ngcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

Existingcattle operations

200,000 / yearCattle Purchased from

local graziers Meat products 53 kt/y

Hides and offal

Pellet Mill Biomass Pellets - 400 kt/yCane Trashat 8% moisture

Cane Tops 120kt/y dry Bagasse

164kt/y dry

AquacultureRedclaw ponds

Redclaw 7.5 kt/y

INTEGRATION (ii) The waste from one process becomes the feedstock for the next process.

AICD Conference 2014 page 19

Feed Mill400 kt/y

+ purchased molasses

Page 20: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

WHAT’S CHANGED THIS TIME?DE-RISKED CLIMATE • DROUGHT PROOF – based on the project’s water storage and consumption metrics,

100 years of river flow data demonstrates that EIAP would have harvested a full crop each year.

• CYCLONE PROOF – THE PROJECT IS 330 KM INLAND FROM THE TROPICAL COAST

INNOVATIVE WATER STORAGEOff-river water storage is more efficient and more sustainable than in-river dams.• Compared to the CSIRO FGARA proposal EIAP can store three times the volume of

water at half the cost – utilising the special local terrain• In-river dams harvest all the small flows, off-river storage tends to harvest the big

flows, greatly enhancing ecological sustainability.• Average depth much greater minimising evaporation.

21 May 2014 Page 20AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 21: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

WHAT’S CHANGED THIS TIME?OFF-THE-SHELF FARMING AND PROCESSING, AND TROPICAL CROPS IN A TROPICAL ENVIRONMENT

• All of the processing technology is off-the-shelf – sugar mill, co-gen, ethanol, meat processing etc

• Queensland can grow sugar cane (the Mareeba district has a similar climate, is 150 km away on a similar latitude and grows quality sugar)

• But the opportunity is there to deploy all of the accumulated wisdom of the last century

21 May 2014 Page 21AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014

Page 22: Keith De Lacy - Australian growth opportunities, where are they and who is likely to capitalise on them?

THE WAY FORWARDAUSTRALIA NEEDS A CHANGE IN:

• Mind set – particularly in relation to scale and water allocation• Policy – water, tenure, land clearing…• Regulations – still a nightmare out there!• Incentives – particularly tax incentives, for patient, start-up, venture capital

in the agri sector.

IF WE DO WHAT WE ALWAYS DIDWE WILL GET WHAT WE ALWAYS GOT!

21ST MAY 2014 Page 22AICD CONFERENCE MAY 2014