jostein mælan, sales and marketing director · 2014. 11. 17. · a snapshot history &...
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Storm Weather Center AS
Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director
Bergen | Oslo | Stavanger | Stockholm | Copenhagen | Aberdeen
Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges
A SNAPSHOT
History & facts
-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2- Worldwide operations in the Renewables, Offshore and Media industries
H d t i B N- Headquarters in Bergen, Norway
- Owned by:- IDEKAPITAL AS: 38,6 %- TV 2 Invest AS: 38 6 %TV 2 Invest AS: 38.6 %- Orkan Invest AS 8.1 %-Management/Employees: 14.7 %
- Board and CEO- Erik Langaker, Axel Dahl, Siri M Kalvig, Endre Solem- CEO Kent Zehetner
- 82 employees 8 officesTh i l d S G AS S G L d S G I- The group includes StormGeo AS, StormGeo Ltd, StormGeo Inc ,
- Seaware AB- Offices in Norway, UK, Sweden, Denmark, USA, Azerbaijan
- Invested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inceptionInvested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inception- A leading weather services provider in Europe
Selected customersrie
sIn
dust
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Renewables Offshore MediaShipping
usto
mer
sSe
lect
ed c
uen
ts First customer 1998First trading service 1999Fi t H d i 2000
First customer 1998BP 2000 E M bil N 2005
First Customer 2001 Seaware Routing 2003 S E R t 2006
First customer 1998WOD 2000W th Ch l 2004
Key
Eve First Hydro service 2000
90 % wind market 2008First offshore turbine 2008Dogger Bank 2009Bankable 2010Inst Cap 1,5 GW 2010
ExxonMobil Norway 2005 Statoil ASA 2005Hydro AS 2006Shell Europe 2009Brazil & Oilspill 2010
Seaware EnRoute 2006 Seaware EnRoute Live 2008BG 2010
Weather Channel 2004 Sky Italy 24/7 2005NTV MSNBC 2006Aftonbladet & SVT 2008Storm.no 2009
p
Competence, Innovation, Inspiration
OsloAberdeen Bergen
DublinBaku
København H tKøbenhavn Houston
Stockholm Stavanger
Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges
From theory to weather foreasting
1946 Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS
20092009
Fi t i l th f t 1950First numerical weather forecast 1950
ECMWF products – global 0.125 deg resolution
GFS model – global 0.5 deg resolution
Global Models16-100 km
European Centre for Medium Weather Forecasting
Coupled Model System Air/Sea.
Proven to have very high quality!
Used as boundary conditions for regional and local scaleStormGeo models.
Local scale numerical modelling is strongly dependent on Initial Values!
The fundamental working tool:Numerical atmosph/wave prediction modelsp p
External Data
L lARPS
StormGeo State of the art inhouse modelling
Global Models16-100 km
Regional Models1-9 km
Local Models10m -1 km –100 m SAM
Observations
WRF 9 km WRF 3 km WRF 1 km HIGH RES
SWAN 9 km SWAN 3 km SWAN 1 km
• Wind Energy O&M, installation and Operational Forecasting
• Wind Energy Projecting an Planning
P99 P90 P75 P50233 265 279 298
Net Production
233 265 279 298
StormGeo wind farm planning tool /screeningData extractor, Virtual Wind Measurements
1991 1992 19931989 1990
Long term climate
,
WRF HindcastsNet production
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
P99 P90 P75 P50240 265 279 298
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Annual Energy Production
Park layoutPark layout
gy
ERA Interim
Wake Loss
Wind Power Production forecasting
Statistical layersWRF model 1-9km Uncertainty
’Perfect’ hourly power forecasts
Weather Window, Criteria forecastingFor Offshore Wind Installations/Operationsp
Thanet Wind Farm ProjectLondon Array Wind Farm ProjectDoggerbank Havsul HywindDoggerbank, Havsul, Hywind, Sheringham Shoal etcP i i f M t O F ti S iProvision of Met-Ocean Forecasting Services:
Winds (extreme wind warnings)
Weather
Lightning (probability forecasts and high risk warnings)
Wave (high wave warnings)- Additional wave forecasts from
Route forecasting (fixed routes for habour to site transportation)
Probability forecasting (1-15 days ahead)
Weather sensitive tasks during construction:On and off loading Barge and vessel transportation of
Long-term forecasting (30 days ahead)
On and off-loading, Barge and vessel transportation of foundations and turbines, Foundation InstallationTurbine Installation, Cable laying, Diving operationsFinal installation, construction and commissioning
Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges
WakesWakesWinds in the MBLWeather Windows for installation/construction
Wake Loss/Calculations
CFD - the effect of wakes OpenFoamWinds/waves modellingg
Key factors:
Open source sharing•Open source – sharing competence – efficient solvers - OpenFoam
•’Changing’ weather in micro scale CFD approach – profile information
Ex: The wake loss is calculated for every time step of the whole
information
for every time step of the whole hindcast period
Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea couplingp p g
Global models 0.125
Initial and boundary conditions from EC
ECMWF
WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km
U10, V10 airzi/LU10, V10
Roughness z0
airzi/L
Roughness, z0
RFF - Improved design criterias WRF - SWAN Atmosphere / Wave Couplingp p g
Global models 0.125All aspects of offshore wind turbines (design, placement,
Initial and boundary conditions from EC
( g , p ,production) require accurate knowledge of how the waves and wind will affect the installations.
ECMWF
A coupled atmosphere-ocean at fine scale is needed.
WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km
U10, V10 airzi/LU10, V10
Roughness z0
airzi/L
Roughness, z0
Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea coupling
How does a ”non-flat” sea affect the wind fields, power production?
p p g
, p p
…and installation/construction?…and support/maintenance work?
A typical offshore wind picture….
No waves - no wind!
Weather window for installation/construction
Aquired Seaware, ship engineers
R&DR&D
Storm Weather Center ASThank you for listening.
Jostein Mælan, +47 97591144
Bergen | Oslo | Stavanger | Stockholm | Copenhagen | Aberdeen