jostein mælan, sales and marketing director · 2014. 11. 17. · a snapshot history &...

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Storm Weather Center AS Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director Bergen | Oslo | Stavanger | Stockholm | Copenhagen | Aberdeen

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Page 1: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Storm Weather Center AS

Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director

Bergen | Oslo | Stavanger | Stockholm | Copenhagen | Aberdeen

Page 2: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges

Page 3: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

A SNAPSHOT

History & facts

-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2- Worldwide operations in the Renewables, Offshore and Media industries

H d t i B N- Headquarters in Bergen, Norway

- Owned by:- IDEKAPITAL AS: 38,6 %- TV 2 Invest AS: 38 6 %TV 2 Invest AS: 38.6 %- Orkan Invest AS 8.1 %-Management/Employees: 14.7 %

- Board and CEO- Erik Langaker, Axel Dahl, Siri M Kalvig, Endre Solem- CEO Kent Zehetner

- 82 employees 8 officesTh i l d S G AS S G L d S G I- The group includes StormGeo AS, StormGeo Ltd, StormGeo Inc ,

- Seaware AB- Offices in Norway, UK, Sweden, Denmark, USA, Azerbaijan

- Invested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inceptionInvested MNOK 100 in R&D over P&L since inception- A leading weather services provider in Europe

Page 4: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Selected customersrie

sIn

dust

r

Renewables Offshore MediaShipping

usto

mer

sSe

lect

ed c

uen

ts First customer 1998First trading service 1999Fi t H d i 2000

First customer 1998BP 2000 E M bil N 2005

First Customer 2001 Seaware Routing 2003 S E R t 2006

First customer 1998WOD 2000W th Ch l 2004

Key

Eve First Hydro service 2000

90 % wind market 2008First offshore turbine 2008Dogger Bank 2009Bankable 2010Inst Cap 1,5 GW 2010

ExxonMobil Norway 2005 Statoil ASA 2005Hydro AS 2006Shell Europe 2009Brazil & Oilspill 2010

Seaware EnRoute 2006 Seaware EnRoute Live 2008BG 2010

Weather Channel 2004 Sky Italy 24/7 2005NTV MSNBC 2006Aftonbladet & SVT 2008Storm.no 2009

p

Page 5: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Competence, Innovation, Inspiration

OsloAberdeen Bergen

DublinBaku

København H tKøbenhavn Houston

Stockholm Stavanger

Page 6: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges

Page 7: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

From theory to weather foreasting

1946 Electronic Numerical Integrator And Computer: 40 FLOPS

20092009

Fi t i l th f t 1950First numerical weather forecast 1950

Page 8: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

ECMWF products – global 0.125 deg resolution

GFS model – global 0.5 deg resolution

Global Models16-100 km

European Centre for Medium Weather Forecasting

Coupled Model System Air/Sea.

Proven to have very high quality!

Used as boundary conditions for regional and local scaleStormGeo models.

Local scale numerical modelling is strongly dependent on Initial Values!

Page 9: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

The fundamental working tool:Numerical atmosph/wave prediction modelsp p

External Data

L lARPS

StormGeo State of the art inhouse modelling

Global Models16-100 km

Regional Models1-9 km

Local Models10m -1 km –100 m SAM

Observations

WRF 9 km WRF 3 km WRF 1 km HIGH RES

SWAN 9 km SWAN 3 km SWAN 1 km

Page 10: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

• Wind Energy O&M, installation and Operational Forecasting

• Wind Energy Projecting an Planning

P99 P90 P75 P50233 265 279 298

Net Production

233 265 279 298

Page 11: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

StormGeo wind farm planning tool /screeningData extractor, Virtual Wind Measurements

1991 1992 19931989 1990

Long term climate

,

WRF HindcastsNet production

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

P99 P90 P75 P50240 265 279 298

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Annual Energy Production

Park layoutPark layout

gy

ERA Interim

Wake Loss

Page 12: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Wind Power Production forecasting

Statistical layersWRF model 1-9km Uncertainty

’Perfect’ hourly power forecasts

Page 13: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Weather Window, Criteria forecastingFor Offshore Wind Installations/Operationsp

Page 14: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Thanet Wind Farm ProjectLondon Array Wind Farm ProjectDoggerbank Havsul HywindDoggerbank, Havsul, Hywind, Sheringham Shoal etcP i i f M t O F ti S iProvision of Met-Ocean Forecasting Services:

Winds (extreme wind warnings)

Weather

Lightning (probability forecasts and high risk warnings)

Wave (high wave warnings)- Additional wave forecasts from

Route forecasting (fixed routes for habour to site transportation)

Probability forecasting (1-15 days ahead)

Weather sensitive tasks during construction:On and off loading Barge and vessel transportation of

Long-term forecasting (30 days ahead)

On and off-loading, Barge and vessel transportation of foundations and turbines, Foundation InstallationTurbine Installation, Cable laying, Diving operationsFinal installation, construction and commissioning

Page 15: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Company PresentationExisting products/servicesExisting products/servicesMain Challenges

WakesWakesWinds in the MBLWeather Windows for installation/construction

Page 16: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Wake Loss/Calculations

Page 17: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

CFD - the effect of wakes OpenFoamWinds/waves modellingg

Key factors:

Open source sharing•Open source – sharing competence – efficient solvers - OpenFoam

•’Changing’ weather in micro scale CFD approach – profile information

Ex: The wake loss is calculated for every time step of the whole

information

for every time step of the whole hindcast period

Page 18: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea couplingp p g

Global models 0.125

Initial and boundary conditions from EC

ECMWF

WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km

U10, V10 airzi/LU10, V10

Roughness z0

airzi/L

Roughness, z0

Page 19: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

RFF - Improved design criterias WRF - SWAN Atmosphere / Wave Couplingp p g

Global models 0.125All aspects of offshore wind turbines (design, placement,

Initial and boundary conditions from EC

( g , p ,production) require accurate knowledge of how the waves and wind will affect the installations.

ECMWF

A coupled atmosphere-ocean at fine scale is needed.

WRF 1 km SWAN 1 km

U10, V10 airzi/LU10, V10

Roughness z0

airzi/L

Roughness, z0

Page 20: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Understanding the winds important to wind power production offshore - Air/Sea coupling

How does a ”non-flat” sea affect the wind fields, power production?

p p g

, p p

…and installation/construction?…and support/maintenance work?

A typical offshore wind picture….

No waves - no wind!

Page 21: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Weather window for installation/construction

Page 22: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Aquired Seaware, ship engineers

Page 23: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

R&DR&D

Page 24: Jostein Mælan, Sales and marketing Director · 2014. 11. 17. · A SNAPSHOT History & facts-Founded in 1997, official start in 1998- Founded by meteorologist Siri Kalvig and TV 2

Storm Weather Center ASThank you for listening.

Jostein Mælan, +47 97591144

[email protected]

Bergen | Oslo | Stavanger | Stockholm | Copenhagen | Aberdeen