jordan nuclear debate
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Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate
Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate
Saed Dababneh
Saed Dababneh
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Worldwide public perception of nuclear energy hashistoricall been and continues to be a ke issue
particularly in light of the Fukushima nuclear incident.
ta e o ers u c.
Trust; INFORMATION; Transparency and Credibility.
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Global vs. Local.
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Local Needs: Security, Development Both are interlinked.
. Energy Security: Diversity (mix), competition and efficiencyof ener resources. Energy security has strategic, economic and environmental
dimensions If mishandled negative implications.
Identify and justify a site.
Emergency preparedness.
Safety and security measures and environmental protection. conom c eas y an accep ance o cos . Water resources. .
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Good vs. Bad
In principle vs. Readiness to seriously consider details. Com rehensive neutral vs. Selective ar uments. Tools available for stakeholders. Ideology, attitude, discourse and context.
o we nee t yes, are we rea y or t Locally, is nuclear supported by strong pillars? (now? Future?)
. .
Identif elements, resources and illars Conduct enuine
assessment transparently Inform the public.
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Good Good
Semi-Neutral Semi-Neutral
Bad Bad
Extremes: Ideolo , knowled e, benefit, ersonal histor etc
Causes of shift (if any?!). Site, Economics, Credibility, Mechanisms to cause shift (or counter shift). o a vs. oca , me epen en or n epen en parameters. Transparency and Credibility - Controlled flow of information.
.Acceptance Durability
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Mechanisms to measure public opinion Authenticity.Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012
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GLOBALY: Justifications and discursive strategies employed by nuclear
advocates and critics. Concerns about climate change and energy security haveeen ma or argumen s use o us y nuc ear power as a
serious electricity generation option. , , , .
Key discursive strategies and their use in the context of the
respective state orientations: Technology and industry know best. . Markets know best.
in these orientations. The ways in which the relations between markets, the state,
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and civil society are portrayed in the nuclear debates.Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012
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LOCALLY: Similarities and differences in debates between countries.
Interaction between the country-specific state orientations andthe argumentation concerning nuclear power. o nows es Mutual trust and respect. . Germany for example: What example? Egyptian Gas for example: What example?
Selective arguments. Endless debate?!
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General and Simple Terms
Three phases to start a nuclear energy program:1. Considerations before the policy decision.2. Preparatory work.
3. Activities to implement a first NPP.,next phase.
We examine hase 1 and hase 2 before oin to hase 3.
Phases 1 & 2 Comprehensive strategy to assess energy needs. Understand appropriateness, viability and commitments. Intermittency: No single unit should account for more
Feasibility???
General le al framework.
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Program and Financial Resources for:
. Sustained safe and secure operation.
Back End: S ent fuel & waste mana ement.
DecommissioningDecommissioning ??????????????
uman esources eve o tec n ca an nst tut onacompetence. OpportunitiesOpportunities abused!!!abused!!!
.
Identif , characterize and ustif a site. DetailsDetails.
Emergency preparedness, safety and security measuresan env ronmen a pro ec on.
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Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012
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Fuel supply Local uranium resources and enrichment. 20,000 t @ Cut-off 250 ppm (The mining agreement).
> 20 000 t.
> 10,000 t but < 20,000 t.
,
U vs. U O ? Why mention 65,000 or 108,000 or 140,000 t? Zero cut-off!
If true, why not go to scenario A?
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15,000 t (south) 160 ppm? Rio-Tinto:
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20 000 t Cut-off 250 m?
Let us accept 45 ppm!!!
2000 t per year?How many years?
Capital cost?
Lower U price after Fukushima.
Parliament.
Feasible, but feasibility study did not start yet!
Africa.
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a er.
Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012
,
If we do have this wealth, we should use it.
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Phase 3: Ready to implement a first NPP?????? This is the phase where the required commitment of financialan uman resources s grea es , an w ere e owner opera or
needs to demonstrate the acceptance of the responsibility for
the NPP.Gain confidence locally, regionally and internationally.
For a country with little developed technical base, and if thep an was mp emen e r gorous y , e mp emen a on o e rsNPP would at least take about 15 years.
take about 10 years to approve and construct a new NPP. Are we REALLY ready for it?
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Can we REALISTICALLY build on the existing pillars?
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ConclusionProvide genuine information.
e rea y o accep e o er .
First, put the train back on track, then park it at the next
Rebuild and re-evaluate your pillars.
Rigorously and unbiasedly re-assess the appropriate
energy mix.Then decide.
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Good
Good
Bad
www.dababneh.com
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