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Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate

Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate

Saed Dababneh

Saed Dababneh

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Worldwide public perception of nuclear energy hashistoricall been and continues to be a ke issue

particularly in light of the Fukushima nuclear incident.

ta e o ers u c.

Trust; INFORMATION; Transparency and Credibility.

1Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012

Global vs. Local.


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Local Needs: Security, Development Both are interlinked.

. Energy Security: Diversity (mix), competition and efficiencyof ener resources. Energy security has strategic, economic and environmental

dimensions If mishandled negative implications.

Identify and justify a site.

Emergency preparedness.

Safety and security measures and environmental protection. conom c eas y an accep ance o cos . Water resources. .



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Good vs. Bad

In principle vs. Readiness to seriously consider details. Com rehensive neutral vs. Selective ar uments. Tools available for stakeholders. Ideology, attitude, discourse and context.

o we nee t yes, are we rea y or t Locally, is nuclear supported by strong pillars? (now? Future?)

. .

Identif elements, resources and illars Conduct enuine

assessment transparently Inform the public.



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Good Good

Semi-Neutral Semi-Neutral

Bad Bad

Extremes: Ideolo , knowled e, benefit, ersonal histor etc

Causes of shift (if any?!). Site, Economics, Credibility, Mechanisms to cause shift (or counter shift). o a vs. oca , me epen en or n epen en parameters. Transparency and Credibility - Controlled flow of information.

.Acceptance Durability

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Mechanisms to measure public opinion Authenticity.Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012


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GLOBALY: Justifications and discursive strategies employed by nuclear

advocates and critics. Concerns about climate change and energy security haveeen ma or argumen s use o us y nuc ear power as a

serious electricity generation option. , , , .

Key discursive strategies and their use in the context of the

respective state orientations: Technology and industry know best. . Markets know best.

in these orientations. The ways in which the relations between markets, the state,

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and civil society are portrayed in the nuclear debates.Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012


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LOCALLY: Similarities and differences in debates between countries.

Interaction between the country-specific state orientations andthe argumentation concerning nuclear power. o nows es Mutual trust and respect. . Germany for example: What example? Egyptian Gas for example: What example?

Selective arguments. Endless debate?!



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General and Simple Terms

Three phases to start a nuclear energy program:1. Considerations before the policy decision.2. Preparatory work.

3. Activities to implement a first NPP.,next phase.

We examine hase 1 and hase 2 before oin to hase 3.

Phases 1 & 2 Comprehensive strategy to assess energy needs. Understand appropriateness, viability and commitments. Intermittency: No single unit should account for more

Feasibility???

General le al framework.



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Program and Financial Resources for:

. Sustained safe and secure operation.

Back End: S ent fuel & waste mana ement.

DecommissioningDecommissioning ??????????????

uman esources eve o tec n ca an nst tut onacompetence. OpportunitiesOpportunities abused!!!abused!!!

.

Identif , characterize and ustif a site. DetailsDetails.

Emergency preparedness, safety and security measuresan env ronmen a pro ec on.

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Perspective on the National Nuclear Debate Saed Dababneh JAS 22/03/2012


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Fuel supply Local uranium resources and enrichment. 20,000 t @ Cut-off 250 ppm (The mining agreement).

> 20 000 t.

> 10,000 t but < 20,000 t.

,

U vs. U O ? Why mention 65,000 or 108,000 or 140,000 t? Zero cut-off!

If true, why not go to scenario A?

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15,000 t (south) 160 ppm? Rio-Tinto:


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20 000 t Cut-off 250 m?

Let us accept 45 ppm!!!

2000 t per year?How many years?

Capital cost?

Lower U price after Fukushima.

Parliament.

Feasible, but feasibility study did not start yet!

Africa.

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a er.


,

If we do have this wealth, we should use it.


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Phase 3: Ready to implement a first NPP?????? This is the phase where the required commitment of financialan uman resources s grea es , an w ere e owner opera or

needs to demonstrate the acceptance of the responsibility for

the NPP.Gain confidence locally, regionally and internationally.

For a country with little developed technical base, and if thep an was mp emen e r gorous y , e mp emen a on o e rsNPP would at least take about 15 years.

take about 10 years to approve and construct a new NPP. Are we REALLY ready for it?

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Can we REALISTICALLY build on the existing pillars?



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ConclusionProvide genuine information.

e rea y o accep e o er .

First, put the train back on track, then park it at the next

Rebuild and re-evaluate your pillars.

Rigorously and unbiasedly re-assess the appropriate

energy mix.Then decide.



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Good

Good

Bad

www.dababneh.com

[email protected]



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