jeff fleming, aicp assistant city manager for development jefffleming@kingsporttn

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Jeff Fleming, AICP Jeff Fleming, AICP Assistant City Manager for Development Assistant City Manager for Development [email protected] Kingsport, Kingsport, Tennessee Tennessee

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Kingsport, Tennessee. Jeff Fleming, AICP Assistant City Manager for Development [email protected]. 281 miles. 350 miles. 399 miles. 396 miles. 489 miles. 417 miles. 392 miles. Logistically Correct. Kingsport, Tennessee. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

              

                        Jeff Fleming, AICP Jeff Fleming, AICP Assistant City Manager for DevelopmentAssistant City Manager for Development

[email protected]

Kingsport, Kingsport, TennesseeTennessee

Page 2: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 3: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

489 miles417 miles

392 mile

s399 m

iles

281 m

iles

396 miles

350 m

iles

Kingsport, Kingsport, TennesseeTennessee

Logistically Correct

Page 4: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Kingsport is…Kingsport is…the largest city in the largest city in Tennessee’s Tennessee’s 55thth Largest Metro Largest Metro

Nashville-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TNNashville-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN 1,550,7331,550,733

Memphis, TN-MS-ARMemphis, TN-MS-AR 1,285,7321,285,732

Knoxville, TNKnoxville, TN 691,152 691,152

Chattanooga, TN-GAChattanooga, TN-GA 518,441 518,441

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VAKingsport-Bristol, TN-VA 304,689 304,689

Clarksville, TN-KYClarksville, TN-KY 261,220 261,220

Johnson City, TNJohnson City, TN 195,849 195,849

Morristown, TN Morristown, TN 135,914 135,914

Jackson, TNJackson, TN 112,685 112,685

Cleveland, TNCleveland, TN 112,143 112,143

Cookeville, TNCookeville, TN 102,982 102,982

Sevierville-Pigeon Forge-Gatlinburg, TNSevierville-Pigeon Forge-Gatlinburg, TN 84,835 84,835

Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area: July 1, 2008Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area: July 1, 2008

Page 5: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Kingsport is…Kingsport is…the largest city in the the largest city in the

55thth Largest Metro in Largest Metro inAmerica’sAmerica’s

Mountain SouthMountain South

Knoxville, TNKnoxville, TN 691,152691,152

Greenville, SC Greenville, SC 624,715624,715

Chattanooga, TN-GAChattanooga, TN-GA 518,441518,441

Asheville, NCAsheville, NC 408,436408,436

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VAKingsport-Bristol, TN-VA304,689304,689

Charleston, WVCharleston, WV 303,944303,944

Roanoke, VARoanoke, VA 298,108298,108

Huntington, WVHuntington, WV 284,234284,234

Spartanburg, SCSpartanburg, SC 280,738280,738

Johnson City, TNJohnson City, TN 195,849195,849

Charlottesville, VACharlottesville, VA 194,391194,391

Anderson (Clemson) , SCAnderson (Clemson) , SC 182,285182,285

Blacksburg (Virginia Tech)Blacksburg (Virginia Tech) 158,328158,328

Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area: July 1, 2008Census Bureau, Metropolitan Statistical Area: July 1, 2008

Page 6: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

1761 - British Fort Robinson (later taken by U.S. and renamed Fort Patrick

Henry)

1779 - Sullivan County, NC (later TN) formally established

1784-1789 The Lost State of Franklin

1796 - Tennessee statehood from North Carolina

1822 - "Old" Kingsport incorporated

1861-1865 - American Civil War

1865-1877 Reconstruction

1914-1918 World War I

1917 - "New" Kingsport incorporated (nearly 100 years after “Old”

Kingsport)

2010 = 249 years after original settlement

Kingsport’s settlement pre-dates the Kingsport’s settlement pre-dates the State of Tennessee by 35 yearsState of Tennessee by 35 years

Page 7: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Kingsport (1917)Kingsport (1917)A John Nolen planned city

Page 8: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

•Higher Education (Educate & Grow)

•Recruit people Recruit people (educated with income)•Retail amenities•Accessibility (airport)•Quality of life amenities•Commitment to education

•Small business & entrepreneurs

•Public arts, sculpture, music, cultural amenities

•Leisure/hospitality/sports tourism

•Redevelopment (inc. downtown)

Where We WereWhere We WereThe 1999 Economic SummitThe 1999 Economic Summit

Six Major Non-Traditional Economic Development Six Major Non-Traditional Economic Development InitiativesInitiatives

Broad Street Redevelopment Concept Plan 2001

Page 9: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Where We Are NowWhere We Are Now

DIVERSIFICATION9,000 Net New Jobs

Employment in Kingsport MSA

1990 2010

Page 10: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

NORTHEAST TENNESSEENORTHEAST TENNESSEEChange in Unemployment Rate During the “Great Change in Unemployment Rate During the “Great

Recession”Recession”Source: Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development (updated July 2005 compared to July Source: Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development (updated July 2005 compared to July

2010)2010)

Page 11: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 12: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Read more at: http://www.newsweek.com/id/39380/?s=kingsport

Only 8 Tennessee Schools made the list:Dobyns-Bennett (Kingsport)Farragut (Knoxville area)Collierville (Memphis area)Ravenwood (Nashville area)Hillsboro (Nashville)Brentwood (Nashville area)Hume-Fogg Academic (Nashville)Martin Luther King Academic Magnet (Nashville)

82 Virginia schools made the list – Patrick Henry (Roanoke) being closest52 NC schools made the list – Roberson (Asheville) being closest19 SC schools made the list – with 12 being in the Upstate11 KY schools made the list – with none in Southeast Kentucky3 WV schools made the list – all in the Charleston metro area

Page 13: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Higher Education InitiativeHigher Education InitiativeNortheast State, University of Tennessee, King, LMU, Carson-NewmanNortheast State, University of Tennessee, King, LMU, Carson-Newman

2 years free tuition to H.S. graduates

Childcare

Public Transit

$17 million local capital funding

2,100 students

2002 – Applied Technology

2008 – Health Professions

2009 – Higher Education

2009 – Advanced Manufacturing

Future – Automotive Tech

First LEED certified, publicly funded green higher education building in Tennessee

Page 14: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Direct Flights to 8 Cities

Direct flights toDirect flights to 6 Cities:6 Cities:

AtlantaAtlantaCharlotteCharlotteChicagoChicagoDetroitDetroitOrlandoOrlando

St. Pete/ClearwaterSt. Pete/Clearwater

Closest Neighboring Closest Neighboring Airports:Airports:

TRI-Asheville (90 miles)TRI-Asheville (90 miles)TRI-Knoxville (112 miles)TRI-Knoxville (112 miles)

Page 15: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Variety of Housing ChoicesVariety of Housing Choices

Built: 1928, 5 BR, 2570 sf$309,900 ($3,154 taxes)

Built: 2006, 4 BR, 2768 sf$294,500 ($2,997 taxes)

Built: 1996, 5 BR, 6674 sf$699,900 ($7,123 taxes)

Built: 2009, 3 BR, 1963 sf$199,900 ($2,034 taxes)

Built: 2008, 3 BR Attached Home 2174 sf $239,900 ($2,441 taxes)

Built: 2008, 2BR Patio Home 1744 sf $199,900 ($2,034 taxes)

Page 16: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

These stores have joined These stores have joined the Kingsport market the Kingsport market

since 2005since 2005

Page 17: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

……and unique, local shopsand unique, local shops

Page 18: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Kingsport is… Kingsport is… Marriott’s award-winning mountain Marriott’s award-winning mountain

resortresort

$30 million expansion completed Nov., 2010

6 minutes from Downtown

Cattails Golf

$88,321,240 in spin-off private taxable investments

(1998-2009 Sullivan Co Public Tax Records)

The 1 year increase from 2008-2009 ($22,576,400) was greater than the total property value in 1998 ($22,496,860)

Page 19: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Downtown Downtown Kingsport Kingsport RenaissanceRenaissance$37,666,900 in private taxable investment (1998-2009), a 70% increase in 11 years

Excluding churches, hospital, higher education (an additional $129,000,000)

Page 20: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Measuring the ResultsMeasuring the Results

Why do we measure?Why do we measure?

Malcolm Baldridge Quality AwardMalcolm Baldridge Quality Award

Everything you measure doesn’t count. Everything you measure doesn’t count.

Everything that counts, can’t be measured.Everything that counts, can’t be measured.

Page 21: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Sources of MeasurementSources of MeasurementPros and ConsPros and Cons

► SourcesSources Local dataLocal data

State dataState data

Federal, Federal, CensusCensus

UniversitiesUniversities

► ConsCons May not have accessMay not have access Assumes metersAssumes meters No external No external

comparablescomparables

Usually only Usually only counties or larger counties or larger citiescities

Border countiesBorder counties

Inconsistent Inconsistent geographiesgeographies

Varying time frames Varying time frames (quarterly, annual)(quarterly, annual)

Lag timeLag time

► ProsPros Local controlLocal control Utility recordsUtility records Retail salesRetail sales Building permitsBuilding permits

Credible, trustedCredible, trusted

• Credible, trustedCredible, trusted• Regional, national Regional, national

trendstrends

• Scholarly analysisScholarly analysis

Page 22: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

ResultsResultsJuly 2006-October 2010July 2006-October 2010

2,025 families from 1,574 different 2,025 families from 1,574 different communities in 49 states moved communities in 49 states moved to Kingsportto Kingsport

Top Donor StatesTop Donor States1.1. VirginiaVirginia

2.2. FloridaFlorida

3.3. North CarolinaNorth Carolina

4.4. KentuckyKentucky

5.5. GeorgiaGeorgia

6.6. South CarolinaSouth Carolina

7.7. TexasTexas

8.8. CaliforniaCalifornia

9.9. OhioOhio

10.10. MichiganMichigan

11.11. New YorkNew York

12.12. MarylandMaryland

13.13. PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

Page 23: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

City of Kingsport Population

Page 24: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Annual retail sales resulting from newcomersAnnual retail sales resulting from newcomers

An example of Kingsport, TennesseeAn example of Kingsport, Tennessee

► 787 787 netnet new residential water connections new residential water connections (July 1, 2006 – June (July 1, 2006 – June 30, 2009)30, 2009)

► Census average = 2.3 persons per householdCensus average = 2.3 persons per household► 787 x 2.3 = 1,810 new residents 787 x 2.3 = 1,810 new residents (with City water/Sullivan (with City water/Sullivan

County/Kingsport zip code)County/Kingsport zip code)

69.75% located inside City limits69.75% located inside City limits 69.75% x 1,810 = 1,262 estimated new city residents69.75% x 1,810 = 1,262 estimated new city residents

► $10,382 retail sales per capita (TN, U.S. Census 2002)$10,382 retail sales per capita (TN, U.S. Census 2002)► $10,382 x 1,810 = $10,382 x 1,810 = $13,107,015 in new retail $13,107,015 in new retail

salessales

Page 25: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Utility RecordsUtility Records

Page 26: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

“New zip”“New city”

“Old zip”“Old city”

Page 27: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Net difference by zip/city

Net difference = “Install” minus “Cutout”

Page 28: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 29: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

TN Counties by Natural Increase (Deaths vs Births)

Sullivan County is Ranks 95th of 95 Counties

Page 30: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Retire Tennessee CommunitiesRetire Tennessee CommunitiesSorted by % Residing in Different State in 1995

Resided in Different State in 1995 (Total

Population)

Resided in Different State 1 Year Ago* (Total Population)

Median Household Income

County 2000 % of Population 2008 % of

Population 2000 2008 Change

Cumberland County, TN 6,571 14.04% 1,933 3.66% $ 30,901 $ 37,706 22.0%

Henry County, TN 3,610 11.60% 1,167 3.69% $ 30,169 $ 36,758 21.8%

Hamilton County, TN 32,938 10.70% 11,710 3.55% $ 38,930 $ 46,505 19.5%

Putnam County, TN 6,270 10.06% 2,375 3.40% $ 30,914 $ 36,115 16.8%

TENNESSEE 567,966 10.0% 185,827 3.02% $ 36,360 $ 43,662 20.1%

Jefferson County, TN 4,337 9.8% 2,146 4.28% $ 32,824 $ 39,341 19.9%

Lincoln County, TN 3,051 9.74% 750 2.29% $ 33,434 $ 42,699 27.7%

Sullivan County, TN 13,363 8.73% 4,738 3.09% $ 33,529 $ 40,377 20.4%

Greene County, TN 5,061 8.0% 1,626 2.47% $ 30,382 $ 36,192 19.1%

Hardin County, TN 1,868 7.30% 586 2.25% $ 27,819 $ 31,231 12.3%

Robertson County, TN 3,437 6.31% 1,279 2.02% $ 43,174 $ 48,375 12.0%

Page 31: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

TN Counties by Net Migration (International and Domestic)

Sullivan County is Ranks 29th of 95 Counties

Page 32: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

EXAMPLE OF 35 MI

SAMPLE MONTHLY REPORT

Page 33: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Selected Metros Moving to Kingsport Charlotte 30 Orlando 27

Washington DC 24 Tampa 24 Asheville 21

Greensboro 18 Jacksonville 17 Daytona 16

Boone, NC 16 Fort Myers 13

West Palm Beach 12 Venice, FL 11

Raleigh 8Melbourne, FL 7

Miami 7 Naples 7

Pensacola 4 Fort Pierce, FL 3 Panama City 1

266

Another example using zip-

codes.com to identify zip codes within a radius of a city. Zip codes are more specific than counties.

Metros may span parts of several

counties or states.

Page 34: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 35: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Free data (in this case, interactive!):Free data (in this case, interactive!):Fortune Magazine (2008) Where Americans Are MovingFortune Magazine (2008) Where Americans Are Movinghttp://www.forbes.com/2010/06/04/migration-moving-wealthy-interactive-counties-map.htmlhttp://www.forbes.com/2010/06/04/migration-moving-wealthy-interactive-counties-map.html

KingsportSullivan Co,Tennessee

VicksburgWarren Co,Mississippi

WilmingtonMetroBrunswick Co,North Carolina

BristolWashington Co,Virginia

Page 36: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Example: University ResearchExample: University ResearchInmigrant Retiree Relocation Inmigrant Retiree Relocation

StudyStudyEast Tennessee State UniversityEast Tennessee State University

Christian McMullin, Planning InternChristian McMullin, Planning Intern

► To identify any impacts resulting from IMRs over To identify any impacts resulting from IMRs over the last ten to fifteen years. the last ten to fifteen years.

► To assess implications of an aging baby boomer To assess implications of an aging baby boomer population and the potential economic gains population and the potential economic gains through marketing toward and attracting IMRs. through marketing toward and attracting IMRs.

► To determine what attracted new residents to To determine what attracted new residents to Sullivan County with a specific focus on the level of Sullivan County with a specific focus on the level of satisfaction among IMRs.satisfaction among IMRs.

Page 37: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

MethodologyMethodology

► A telephone survey was devised for the most recent new residents A telephone survey was devised for the most recent new residents of Sullivan County. The study was intended to focus on the analysis of Sullivan County. The study was intended to focus on the analysis of in-migrant retirees responses, but it was not possible to of in-migrant retirees responses, but it was not possible to accurately determine the age and job status of new residents prior accurately determine the age and job status of new residents prior to contacting them. Thus, it was determined that responses from to contacting them. Thus, it was determined that responses from all new residents would be of value. This would enable a all new residents would be of value. This would enable a comparison of retiree responses to that of all new resident comparison of retiree responses to that of all new resident responses and create a quality of life/livability scoring based on responses and create a quality of life/livability scoring based on initial perceptions of new residents. The survey was created to:initial perceptions of new residents. The survey was created to: Determine the percentage of retirees or near retirees among the pool of most Determine the percentage of retirees or near retirees among the pool of most

recent new residents recent new residents Determine the average age of new residents Determine the average age of new residents Determine the top reasons/motivations to move to Sullivan County, in hopes of Determine the top reasons/motivations to move to Sullivan County, in hopes of

supporting future marketing efforts supporting future marketing efforts Assess the level of satisfaction among new residents in Sullivan County and Assess the level of satisfaction among new residents in Sullivan County and

identify strengths and weaknesses of the community to support IMR attraction identify strengths and weaknesses of the community to support IMR attraction and tourismand tourism

Page 38: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Telephone SurveyTelephone Survey

► 17.3% response rate (of 1,280 calls)17.3% response rate (of 1,280 calls)► 220 households who responded to the telephone survey220 households who responded to the telephone survey► 25% of households consisted of at least one recent 25% of households consisted of at least one recent

retireeretiree► 64% of all respondents reported had no previous ties to 64% of all respondents reported had no previous ties to

the areathe area► Of the 55 retired households, 64% had previously lived in Of the 55 retired households, 64% had previously lived in

the Kingsport area and moved backthe Kingsport area and moved back So there was in fact more of a tendency among retirees to “return to roots” than So there was in fact more of a tendency among retirees to “return to roots” than

the rest of the newcomers.the rest of the newcomers.

► 44% of all respondents said low cost of living was a 44% of all respondents said low cost of living was a major factor in their decision to relocate to the area. major factor in their decision to relocate to the area. Among retirees, it was 55%Among retirees, it was 55%

Page 39: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Telephone SurveyTelephone Survey

► Median age of adult newcomers was 43.4Median age of adult newcomers was 43.4► Median age of retirees was 59 (Baby Boomers!)Median age of retirees was 59 (Baby Boomers!)

► Newcomers rated Sullivan County 7.9 in quality of Newcomers rated Sullivan County 7.9 in quality of life.life.

► Retirees rated it 8.1Retirees rated it 8.1

► A great majority of the respondents felt they did A great majority of the respondents felt they did not want to give a 9 or 10 in responding to a local not want to give a 9 or 10 in responding to a local government for fear of government complacency government for fear of government complacency and leaving room for growth.and leaving room for growth.

Page 40: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 41: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 42: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Top Relocation FactorsTop Relocation Factors

► A minimum of 23% responses were related to A minimum of 23% responses were related to amenitiesamenities provided in Sullivan County provided in Sullivan County 29% of retiree responses29% of retiree responses

► Among IMRs, 47% cited family as the biggest factor Among IMRs, 47% cited family as the biggest factor in their movein their move 30% for all newcomers30% for all newcomers ““Return to Roots” (Southwest Virginia) Return to Roots” (Southwest Virginia)

► 8% of new residents stated past visits (including 8% of new residents stated past visits (including tourism-related excursions) supported their tourism-related excursions) supported their knowledge of Sullivan Countyknowledge of Sullivan County

Page 43: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 44: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN
Page 45: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Top Concern: JobsTop Concern: Jobs

Sullivan County has outperformed peer counties in private jobs created per

population gain

Page 46: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Positive Impact of In-Migrant Positive Impact of In-Migrant RetireesRetirees

► Any IMRs who have the means and wherewithal to make a Any IMRs who have the means and wherewithal to make a significant move from another state or region to Sullivan significant move from another state or region to Sullivan County are likely to be more affluent than the average County are likely to be more affluent than the average resident in Sullivan County. resident in Sullivan County.

► Nationally, 25% of all IMRs have incomes in excess of Nationally, 25% of all IMRs have incomes in excess of $100,000. According to a 2005 Merrill Lynch Study, baby $100,000. According to a 2005 Merrill Lynch Study, baby boomer household average income is $53k, well above the boomer household average income is $53k, well above the national average (Harris Interactive, 2005). national average (Harris Interactive, 2005).

► Over 30% of migrants to Tennessee between the years 1995 Over 30% of migrants to Tennessee between the years 1995 to 2000 had a least a bachelors degree. Only 19% of the to 2000 had a least a bachelors degree. Only 19% of the Sullivan County population had a bachelors degree as of 2008, Sullivan County population had a bachelors degree as of 2008, while 24% of Kingsport had at least a bachelors degree. while 24% of Kingsport had at least a bachelors degree.

Page 47: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Positive Impacts of IMR’sPositive Impacts of IMR’s

► Increased average income levels for local economy Increased average income levels for local economy ► Increased # of positive tax payers Increased # of positive tax payers ► Increases in property tax base, bank deposit baseIncreases in property tax base, bank deposit base► Property tax revenues rise Property tax revenues rise ► IMR professional expertise and financial resources IMR professional expertise and financial resources ► Less strain on environment and criminal justice Less strain on environment and criminal justice

systemsystem► Development of medical hubDevelopment of medical hub

Page 48: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Medical Jobs in Sullivan Medical Jobs in Sullivan CountyCounty

► 2005-2009 Sullivan Co healthcare jobs increased by 1,880 jobs 2005-2009 Sullivan Co healthcare jobs increased by 1,880 jobs with the largest increase taking place between 2008 and 2009 with the largest increase taking place between 2008 and 2009 (with 660 in 2009 alone). (with 660 in 2009 alone).

► 2005-2009, healthcare support occupations grew by an 2005-2009, healthcare support occupations grew by an estimated 580 jobs (with 240 support jobs created during 2009) estimated 580 jobs (with 240 support jobs created during 2009)

► Between May 2004 and May 2008, Sullivan County healthcare Between May 2004 and May 2008, Sullivan County healthcare practitioner income rose by an average of $6,552 in actual practitioner income rose by an average of $6,552 in actual spending power when accounting for inflation. spending power when accounting for inflation.

► No other retirement related occupation experienced a rise in No other retirement related occupation experienced a rise in spending power that matched these gains in the healthcare spending power that matched these gains in the healthcare sectorsector

Page 49: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

► The influx of IMRs helped drive up the demand for medical The influx of IMRs helped drive up the demand for medical practitioners in the area and further raise the status of the local practitioners in the area and further raise the status of the local area’s health care. area’s health care.

► Although there were few IMRs in the telephone survey who Although there were few IMRs in the telephone survey who directly cited the local healthcare options as the top reason for directly cited the local healthcare options as the top reason for their move to the area, many cited access to services such as their move to the area, many cited access to services such as healthcare as a secondary reason. healthcare as a secondary reason.

► Correlated to influx of IMR’s Correlated to influx of IMR’s During 2003 alone, healthcare related employees in Sullivan County During 2003 alone, healthcare related employees in Sullivan County

increased by 1,093 jobs. increased by 1,093 jobs. Most of this increase appears to have occurred after the largest increase Most of this increase appears to have occurred after the largest increase

in retiree population. There was a net population increase of 2,729 with a in retiree population. There was a net population increase of 2,729 with a majority ages 60-64 (2,115 people)majority ages 60-64 (2,115 people)

Medical Jobs and RetireesMedical Jobs and Retirees

Page 50: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Cost of Living – A growing Cost of Living – A growing concern with ‘Great Recession’ concern with ‘Great Recession’

of 2009of 2009► Within the current economy, baby boomers have lost an Within the current economy, baby boomers have lost an

estimated 20% of their savings, an equivalent of around estimated 20% of their savings, an equivalent of around 2 trillion dollars. 2 trillion dollars.

► This bodes well for less expensive alternative retirement This bodes well for less expensive alternative retirement destinations like Sullivan County and Kingsport. destinations like Sullivan County and Kingsport.

► Boomers are less likely to retire in an organized, gated Boomers are less likely to retire in an organized, gated community. They want multi-generational community. They want multi-generational amenities/facilities and do NOT want to be viewed as amenities/facilities and do NOT want to be viewed as their parents were viewed in retirementtheir parents were viewed in retirement

Page 51: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Cost of Living – A growing Cost of Living – A growing concern with ‘Great Recession’ concern with ‘Great Recession’

of 2009of 2009► Compared to ten of the top retirement destinations throughout the U.S., Kingsport stacks up very favorably in terms of Compared to ten of the top retirement destinations throughout the U.S., Kingsport stacks up very favorably in terms of

cost of living. $100,000 in real spending power in the Kingsport is the equivalent to the following amounts in ten of the cost of living. $100,000 in real spending power in the Kingsport is the equivalent to the following amounts in ten of the top retirement cities.top retirement cities.

Asheville, NC – $135,410Asheville, NC – $135,410 Sarasota, FL – $149,792Sarasota, FL – $149,792 Prescott, AZ - $163,961 Prescott, AZ - $163,961 Paris, TN - $98,042Paris, TN - $98,042 Winston-Salem, NC - $110,693Winston-Salem, NC - $110,693 Athens, GA - $119,408Athens, GA - $119,408 Green Valley, AZ - $135,040Green Valley, AZ - $135,040 San Diego, CA - $202,177San Diego, CA - $202,177 Austin, TX - $132,429Austin, TX - $132,429 Phoenix, AZ - $143,576Phoenix, AZ - $143,576

  ► Within the current recession of 2009 and 2010, baby boomers have lost an estimated 20% of their savings, an equivalent Within the current recession of 2009 and 2010, baby boomers have lost an estimated 20% of their savings, an equivalent

of around 2 trillion dollars. This bodes well for less expensive alternative retirement destinations like Sullivan County and of around 2 trillion dollars. This bodes well for less expensive alternative retirement destinations like Sullivan County and Kingsport. Many young boomers even do not think that they will ever be able to retire, creating increased incentive in Kingsport. Many young boomers even do not think that they will ever be able to retire, creating increased incentive in trying to attract these people to Sullivan County for their third stage of life. When the baby boomers who are currently trying to attract these people to Sullivan County for their third stage of life. When the baby boomers who are currently forgoing retirement decide to retire, the pool of retirees will be even greater than estimates have anticipated. forgoing retirement decide to retire, the pool of retirees will be even greater than estimates have anticipated.

► On a state level, the foreign born population of Tennessee has experienced a significant increase in relation to the rest of On a state level, the foreign born population of Tennessee has experienced a significant increase in relation to the rest of the United States. Between 2000 and 2007, Tennessee’s foreign born population rose from 159,004 to 249,552, a 57% the United States. Between 2000 and 2007, Tennessee’s foreign born population rose from 159,004 to 249,552, a 57% increase. Nationally, the increase in foreign born population for the same period was 22%. According to US Census increase. Nationally, the increase in foreign born population for the same period was 22%. According to US Census statistics, Tennessee ranked 4statistics, Tennessee ranked 4thth out of all US states for percentage change in foreign born population between 2000 and out of all US states for percentage change in foreign born population between 2000 and 2007 and 172007 and 17thth for total numeric change. According to the Migration Institute, 4.1% of Tennessee’s population was foreign for total numeric change. According to the Migration Institute, 4.1% of Tennessee’s population was foreign born at the start of 2008. The total foreign population breakdown is as follows: 48%-Latin America, 26.4%-Asian, 15%-born at the start of 2008. The total foreign population breakdown is as follows: 48%-Latin America, 26.4%-Asian, 15%-European, 11%-Other. Sullivan County’s foreign born population grew by only 179 people from 2000 to 2008, but it European, 11%-Other. Sullivan County’s foreign born population grew by only 179 people from 2000 to 2008, but it should continue to rise over the next decade alongside the influx of boomers. should continue to rise over the next decade alongside the influx of boomers.

Page 52: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

Financial Impact of IMR’sFinancial Impact of IMR’s

► IRS filings for Sullivan County (earnings or taxable assets): IRS filings for Sullivan County (earnings or taxable assets): 2005-06: net increase in 151 households, average income = 2005-06: net increase in 151 households, average income = $54,331$54,331 2006-07: net increase of 414 households, average income = 2006-07: net increase of 414 households, average income = $63,743$63,743 2007-08: net increase of 332 households, average income = 2007-08: net increase of 332 households, average income = $62,984$62,984

► Compared to the median income of Compared to the median income of $33,529 $33,529 of Sullivan of Sullivan County in 2008, the average income of new filings for 2008 County in 2008, the average income of new filings for 2008 were 88% greater than that of the median income.were 88% greater than that of the median income.

► This supports the idea that the majority of IMR households This supports the idea that the majority of IMR households will increase county fixed income streams of taxable assets will increase county fixed income streams of taxable assets and work as a stabilizing force on the economy.and work as a stabilizing force on the economy.

Page 53: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

AARP SurveyAARP Survey

*Most respondents were “Greatest Generation” and *Most respondents were “Greatest Generation” and “Silent Generation” – very few Baby Boomers – which “Silent Generation” – very few Baby Boomers – which is a major gap because boomers will be the greatest is a major gap because boomers will be the greatest retirement influencer for the next 30 yearsretirement influencer for the next 30 years

Page 54: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

AARP Livability SurveyAARP Livability SurveyKingsport, TennesseeKingsport, Tennessee

Page 55: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

AARP Livability SurveyAARP Livability SurveyKingsport, TennesseeKingsport, Tennessee

Page 56: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

AARP Livability SurveyAARP Livability SurveyKingsport, TennesseeKingsport, Tennessee

Page 57: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

YMCA and YMCA and Aquatic Aquatic CenterCenter

► $15 million$15 million► Fitness, Competition, Wellness, Fitness, Competition, Wellness,

LeisureLeisure► Zero depth entries, ADA accessibleZero depth entries, ADA accessible► Family/assisted changing roomsFamily/assisted changing rooms► Indoor-OutdoorIndoor-Outdoor► All ages and abilitiesAll ages and abilities► Collocated with new YMCACollocated with new YMCA► Construction 2011, Completion 2012Construction 2011, Completion 2012

Page 58: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

V.O. Dobbins, Sr.V.O. Dobbins, Sr.Community Community

CenterCenter► $8.2 million / 46,000 sf$8.2 million / 46,000 sf► Gym Space / BallfieldsGym Space / Ballfields► Community RoomsCommunity Rooms► Non-Profit CenterNon-Profit Center

Page 59: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

The Future: Kingsport Public Library The Future: Kingsport Public Library ExpansionExpansion

Page 60: Jeff Fleming, AICP  Assistant City Manager for Development JeffFleming@KingsportTN

              

                        

Jeff Fleming, AICP Jeff Fleming, AICP Assistant City Manager for DevelopmentAssistant City Manager for Development

[email protected]@KingsportTN.gov

Download this presentation at Download this presentation at www.development.KingsportTN.gov/presentationswww.development.KingsportTN.gov/presentations