Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

October 3-4, Bangkok

Lifestyle section, October 2, 2012

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Have you read the book?

From Poverty with/via Power

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Electricity use and GDP (PPP)

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 140000

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

Gross Domestic Product (PPP) per capita per year in 2009 (year 2000 US$)

Electricity use per capita per year (kWh)

Trend line R2 = 0.95 North America

Europe

Middle East

Asia (ex China)Africa

China

Latin Am. World average

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

About The Future

June 12-14, 2012, Köln

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

A challenge: everybody wants electricity and even more electricity

50 watt 2000 watt

In 20 years time: world electricity use will double from 20 PWh to 40 PWh

Developing world, electric transport, gadgets, heat pumps

‘What a great future for the Power Sector‘

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Wind power in Europe …. (Germany)

Statistical distribution wind power N-E Germany

Capacity factor = 17.4%, peak factor 5.1

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Wind output Denmark if 50% electricity from wind

0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.000

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Pow

er (M

W)

First 1000 hours of the year 2012

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Danish conventional power generation if 50% of electricity from wind

0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.00

-4000.00

-2000.00

0.00

2000.00

4000.00

6000.00

8000.00

First 1000 hours of the year 2012

Pow

er (M

W)

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

New dynamics due to solar PV

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 220

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

SOLARDEMANDGENERATORS

TIME of the day (h)

POW

ER ('

MW

')

Steep peaks of short duration: gas engines

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Fast response needed

0 60 120 180 240 300 360 4200

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

gas engine

GTCC

steam plant

time (minute)

Pow

er o

utpu

t (%

)

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra Consultancy 11

Effect of utilisation factor on capital costs

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1000

5

10

15

20

25

30

Utilisation factor (%)

Rela

tive

capi

tal c

osts

per

kW

h ---------- gas engine power plant---------- coal-fired power plant---------- nuclear power plant

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Smart power generation: efficient, flexible, fast, low costs

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

ultra-reliable fuel supply

ultra-reliable electricity grid connection

Multiple units in parallel run only when needed

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

CASCADING: Only run when it is really needed

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1800

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

cascading power plant

single generating unit

Power output (MW)

fuel

effi

cien

cy (%

)

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Minimum maintenance costs

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1800

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

single generating unit

cascading power plant

Power output (MW)

spec

ific

mai

nten

ance

cos

ts (€

cts/

kWh)

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Energy is the Engine of the Economy

‘…………And Quality Engines are required for Quality Energy ……………’ ®©

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

San Antonio, Texas 4 x 6 x 9 MW = 216 MWFlexible (fuel, power capacity)Fast responseEnergy efficientCleanReliableAvailableEconomicQuick to buildAesthetic

EXISTS ALREADY NOW !!!

Hot and Dry ambient conditions

October 3-4, Bangkok

Delimara Power Plant, MALTA, 140 MW

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

When are you a smart generation ????

Feelings Tools Facts Memory Shift Vision

Development towards being smart

October 3-4, Bangkok

Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila

Vision – Smart Power Generation

October 3-4, Bangkok