itd nares on megatrands
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“The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.”
—William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003
“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market”
Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific
Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight
7 new
Cities, and not Countries, will drive wealth creation in the future.
• Cities as island of excellence and competitiveness.– Attracts young and vibrant talent– Compactness energy efficiency
• Emerging countries survive only when they can manage how to merge these “island of competitiveness” into the rest of the country.– China vs. Mexico in early 2000s
Source: NASA image of Canary Islands
Mega Cities
• Bangkok accounts for 25% of Thailand’s GDP
• Seoul accounts for 50% of Korea’s GDP
Since 2008 more than ½ of the world population live in cities.
IMPLICATIONS• High economic power• Hub and spoke business
model• Transit-oriented
development• New mobility solutions
Source: Andy Council MegaCity Fauna
Green Growth is Smart Growth
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
Source: www.apple.com
Geo Socialisation
Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012
Complete recyclability from households
Zero defects
Zero breaches of security
Zero accidents
Zero emissions from cars
Carbon neutral cities
Zero crime rates
Zero waste emissions
Source: CISASIA
ZERO achievement from innovation
Talentism
Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. - Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF
and particularly the potential of
social network in enhancing
partnerships among themselves,
among the people who share their
ideologies,
between their companies and their customer-base, and between the cities – cross national boundaries.
• Young people, the digital generation, are equipped with the capability to create their own jobs.– People with new ideas will
explore the new wave of ICT
ASEAN Integration
ASEAN Community
Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)
ASEAN Political-Security
Community(APSC)
ASEAN Economic
Community(AEC)
ASEAN Socio-Cultural
Community(ASCC)
AEC by 2015
Photo from Flickr.comAll rights reserved by Fadzly
ASEAN Connectivity
There’s plenty of room at the bottom.
Source: An Industrial Workers of the World poster (1911).
Mega Trend
Sub Trend
Impact to
Industry
Impact on product/
technology
Analysis of opportunity and unmet
needs
Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology for the Next 5-10 Years
• Electrical storage for electrified transportation and grid-connected renewables
• Nanostructured material for improved lighting efficiency
• Terawatt-scale solar energy at fossil energy costs
• Nanostructured thermoelectric materials for economical energy conversionSource: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston