istecall rights reserved, 2000.1 snbu-2000 april 26, 2000 i2k

ISTEC All Rights Reserved, 2000. 1

SNBU-2000April 26, 2000

I2K


Agenda

Trends and Needs What is ISTEC? Initiatives Report I2K Plan Discussion Topics Conclusions


Trends and Needs


Trends and Needs Information doubles every 5 years; by 2010 every

72 days Moore’s Law: CPU performance doubles every 18-

24 months Bandwidth doubles every 9 months

• 1 Tbps data network being deployed 9 months to launch an IPO: business model change

• Brick and mortar to ideas (partnerships, solutions partners)

Digital divide gap: info-rich vs info-poor Middle Ages to Renaissance

• Central to Distributed Systems• Closed vs Open Systems


Trends and Needs

50% of technology changes every decade 1984-1994: 26% of Fortune 100 companies

remain Over 50%of information carried is data

rather than voice Over 80% of revenues come from voice 80% of revenue in Silicon Valley come

from products developed and marketed in 18 months


Trends and Needs 35% of families in the USA have PCs 50% of teenagers have PCs 140+ million people on the Internet

• 10% growth per month 65% of computers sold are for the home 90% of PCs sold have modems and CD-ROM

drives Average individual has contact with 70

microprocessors or microcontrollers on an average day


Trends and Needs 2% of Latin America is connected to the

Internet • currently 9 million, next 3 years grow to 35 million

• %15 population, info-rich, upper-class

35% of population in USA is connected to Internet

Telephone Internet access• Wash DC $45/month

• Argentina $171/month

• Bolivia $302/month

• Honduras $344/month


USA35%

EUROPE29%

JAPAN15%

REST OF WORLD

21%

IT Reality

Teledensity (telephone lines per 100 inhabitants)• Industrialized nations is over 48• Middle-income nations around 10• Least advanced countries is about 1.5• World average is 11.5

Informatics gap (PC ratio per 100 inhabitants)• Industrialized nations is over 18• Middle-income nations around 2.3• Least advanced countries is about 0.01

ITMARKET SHARE


Latin America Y2K

There are hidden resources in Latin America.

Population Growth By Y2K

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

NorthAmerica

Russia Europe Latin America

Mill

ions


Trends and Needs

Education: Static vs Dynamic• Teamwork

• Multidisciplinary

• Teach entrepreneurship

• Generate ideas

• Create opportunities

• Knowledge creation, administration, management

• Universalization vs Privatization

Transparency, Efficiency, Effectiveness• Internet is the new equalizer, democratizer, and brings

accountability


Trends and Needs

Does not depend on a specific region Demand for IT personnel far outstrips

supply • stretch out development schedules

• go over budget

• crimp expansion plans

• vacancies affect more than 10% of IT jobs in an organization

• turnover represents 10%; average is 20% in Silicon Valley

• shortage will last 10 or 15 years


Trends and Needs Shortage is dead weight for the economy Potential job openings for IT workers are

450,000 • shortest supply are business-savvy professionals

• followed by network administrators

• then database administrators • lastly, system administrators

CE graduates: • US industry needs 198k per year • US universities produce only 35k (1/6th)


Trends and Needs

BS degrees awarded in IT declined from a high of 42k in 1986 to 24.2k in 1997

In 1994 managers complain that degrees awarded do not reflect the needs of employers

Many university programs have been slow to react to changes in the marketplace

Degrees focus on outmoded technologies


Trends and Needs

Some companies have taken active role in changing university curricula

Other companies invest in internal training which is No. 1 priority for retaining labor

Companies deal with shortage by using contract labor, "outsourcing" ; problems with company loyalty, less dedication


Trends and Needs

By year 2010 wireless communications will need ten times the number of engineers working today

Few courses of study in the G-7 nations to train students to tackle the emerging issues• establish a global institute to foster the requisite

expertise and reduce the gap


World Telecomm. Market

Year 1997 - 150 billion dollars Year 2000 - 374 billion dollars Latin America represents 10 to 14% of

world market Trends

• 1994 - switches, transmission

• 1996 - wireless, data communication, Internet

• 1997 - PCS/FWA, multimedia, Internet/Intranet


World Telecomm. Market

Growth until year 2000 • wireless 33%

• broadband 25%

• enterprise 24%

• PCN 18 %

• + average growth is 28%

Cellular phone usage • 4 million in 1988

• 123 million in 1995

• 400 million by 2001


World Semiconductor Market

Year 2000 - 300 billion market 17.6% compound annual growth

(1996-2001) Areas of mayor growth

• telecommunications

• entertainment

• consumer electronics


E-commerce

More than 8% (11 million) of US population made an on-line purchase in 1997

In 1998 was over 15 million Average bill is $511 Low-end guess by Y2K is 7 billion High-end guess in next 5 years is 115 billion Latin America E-commerce currently $300

million, grow to $1.5 billion in 3 years• %80 is collected outside (USA, EU)


Education

Web based training• 1997: $197 million

• 2002: $6 billion


Who does S&T?

G-7 nations:• industry does 50-70% of S&T• resources for S&T come from government and industry• majority of resources are spent in industry

USA: • basic R&D sponsored primarily by the government• applied R&D sponsored primarily by industry and

government• universities perform basic R&D

Latin America:• R&D primarily sponsored by the government


Who does S&T? Brazil, Costa Rica, Chile, and Cuba are the

only countries in Latin America with greater than 1% investment of GDP in R&D.• Japan 2.7%

• Germany 2.4%

• United States 2.4%

• Brazil 1.3 %

• Canada 1.6%

• Spain 0.9%

• Russia Less than 0.5%

• Latin American average is 0.5%


Who does S&T? Expenditure in S&T

• USA $190 billion

• Canada $11 billion

• Brazil $9 billion

• Spain $5.4 billion

• Mexico $1.7 billion

• Argentina $1.5 billion

Human Resources in S&T• USA researchers 1 million

• Latin American researchers 126 k (Brazil 50k, Arg 29k, Mex 15k)

• Spain and Portugal 63k

• Canada 100k

• Rest under 10k


What is ISTEC?


ISTEC Process (1990)

EXPLORED OPPORTUNITIES

IDENTIFIED OBSTACLES

DEVELOPED RECOMMENDATIONS

CREATED ISTEC MISSION


Why do it? (obstacles)

Lack of current information for planning and developing technology

Lack of expertise in the use of information Lack of international cooperation in

developing the critical mass needed for projects and joint efforts

Lack of interaction (lack of confidence, lack of information) among academia,

productive sector, governments and international agencies

Lack of availability of technology


Why do it? (benefits) Integrate Ibero-America with science and

technology: promote and support the new multilateralism

Place Ibero-America in a leading role: a response to challenges from other regions

Make S&T an integral part and top priority for the economic development and sustainable growth of Ibero-America

Create new opportunities: business, academia, government

Reduce inequalities: invest in education and S&T Competitiveness: create/enhance HR


Mission Statement 12/4/90

Foster scientific, engineering, and technology education; joint international research and development efforts among its members, and to provide a cost-effective vehicle for technology transfer


ISTEC Organization

General Assembly

Executive Committee Exec. Office

UNM, UNICAMP, UVI


Initiatives


Why do it? (obstacles)

Lack of current information for planning and developing technology

Lack of expertise in the use of information Lack of international cooperation in

developing the critical mass needed for projects and joint efforts

Lack of interaction (lack of confidence, lack of information) among academia,

productive sector, governments and international agencies

Lack of availability of technology

32All Rights Reserved, 2000.ISTEC

Library Linkages (LibLink)

Information TechnologyAdvanced Continuing

Education (ACE)Los Libertadores

R&D Laboratories (R&D)

ISTEC - Contributions

Initiatives


Los Libertadores InitiativeGOAL: network of Centers of Excellence equipped with the latest telecommunications and computer technology to provide real-time access to a world-wide system of expertise and knowledge.

TECHNOLOGY: creation of the Ibero-American academic and R&D Internet backbone. A partnership among industry, academia, governments, and international agencies.

EFFORTS: technical assistance in telecommunications and S&T legislation in Ecuador, and Bolivia. Awareness campaigns in IT throughout the region. Agreements with IADB, OAS, WB, UNDP.


Library Linkage Initiative

GOAL: design and implementation of innovative, international Science and Technology information-sharing services.

TECHNOLOGY: Internet services and connectivity. Search and Push engines. Ariel and Randex software. Seed funding from Nortel Networks.

STATISTICS: annual compound growth rate of >200% since 1995. Over 45 libraries in 24 countries connected in real-time. Development of on-line scientific journal, and database on S&T in the region.


ACE InitiativeGOAL: upgrade of human resources and curriculum development through on-site training, distance learning, and non-traditional exchange programs.

TECHNOLOGY: on-site training, web-based education, video courses, satellite delivery, and “sandwich” graduate programs. Infocast.

STATISTICS: 6 satellite courses to 250 institutions with ATEI. Short courses for Motorola. 196 scientists trained in DIP with OAS support. Over 30,000 ftp grabs of web DIP course. “Sandwich” programs.


R&D Laboratories Initiative

GOAL: design and installation of modular, flexible, and expandable laboratory facilities for education, training, and R&D (link with productive sector).

TECHNOLOGY: Motorola microprocessors (680XX), microcontrollers (68HC11) and DSPs (56XXX, 96000). Nortel Networks, Fluke, VeriBest, Infocast.

STATISTICS: to date 106 Motorola facilities in 67 sites. Approximately 30,000 users trained since 1991. 9 facilities with Nortel Networks, 2 with Fluke and 14 with VeriBest. Efforts: Multicom-21, LatinChip, C&S.


I2K Plan


I2K Plan Goals

Increase ISTEC’s capacity to promote science and technology in Ibero-America through:

Promote project identification, partnering, and funding to diversify and expand the capabilities of its initiatives.

Promote and raise awareness on the need to create/enhance science and technology sustainable policies and infrastructure.


I2K Plan Goals

Improve the Ibero-American international profile in science and technology by increasing the quantity and quality of publications, production of science, and participation and organization of international forums.

Become the Leading Educational and S&T Portal in Ibero-America.


I2K Plan LibLink

• On-line journal(s) – V. Tech• ETDs• Push and Search Engines• Alliance Membership, others• Randex-2K (Ariel alternative)• Improve Services and Fund Raising• Links: BDDIS, SFX, NDLTD, NUDL• Increase Digital Collections• Training: workshops, conferences, materials• Phronesis dissemination


LIBRARY SERVICES ALLIANCE OF NEW MEXICO

* New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology Library * New Mexico State University Library * Santa Fe Institute* Air Force Research Laboratories: Phillips* Sandia National Laboratories Technical Library * Los Alamos National Laboratory Research Library * University of New Mexico Libraries

- Centennial Science & Engineering Library1999= 218 million

Four

billion

in scitech

funding p.y.


From - Library Services Alliance of New Mexico toAlliance for Innovation in Science & Technology Information

* Library Linkages Project of the Ibero-American Science & Technology Education Consortium (ISTEC)* Lovelace Respiratory Research Institute* NASA's National Scientific and Technical Information Program* Naval Research Laboratory* University of Nevada: Las Vegas & Reno campuses* New Mexico Highlands University, Las Vegas* UNM Health Sciences Library


Changing Visions

Buyers club

1998

To be a world-class information provider to our primary communities, while enhancing the scientific and technical research competitiveness of New Mexico.

Innovation club

1999

To be an innovative leader in cyber sci/tech information, producing new models of scholarly communication.


New Vision: Sample strategic actions

Community of scientists

Active recommendation systems

Cross database searching

SFX aware databases

Open Archives Initiative

VxInsight / SciSearch application

Phronesis


Projects within LibLink

Connect libraries for Information Transfer Train librarians & researchers in search and

retrieval of information Expand services to more countries Open other collections - especially Latin American

collections - for scholars (e.g. LigDoc, PrEBi, REBIDIMEX)

Develop software for information sharing


Projects within LibLink

Push & search engines Plan and carry out workshops Expand to other library types and services NDTL in Ibero-America (Networked

Dissertation/Thesis Library Grant w. IDB, UNESCO, World Bank for pilot with VTU and U.Rio)

Provide mechanism for data baseexchange of information

Provide interaction method for ACE, R&D Electronic journal (MOU with Virginia tech)


I2K Plan ACE - DEPI

• M-CORE Textbook• Develop and Adopt Standards for Content

Development• Develop Criteria for Assignment of Resources

(Quality, Real-time)• Assignment of Tasks and Resources: courses,

teams of universities• IP Protection• Promote exchange programs• Encourage “sandwich efforts”• Use of e-team• ARIADNE alliance


I2K Plan

R&D Chips & Salsa

• Create/enhance laboratories• Training/certification• Software Engineering

LatinChip – Microelectronics• S-o-C: M-CORE, DSP• CYTED, EUROPARTNER Alliances

Multicom-21 – Telecommunications


I2K Plan BDDIS

• Who’s who• Surveys, Indicators

Los Libertadores• Deployment of Servers• Expand Intranet• E-services• Workshops, Conferences, Seminars• Create/Expand Strategic Alliances with OAS, IADB,

UNESCO, WB, UNDP, CAF and others• Work with Government Agencies• Launch the Motorola IT Design Challenge

I2K PORTAL


Why is this different?

Project Identification, Partnering, and Fund Raising

• Industry (local, international)

• Universities (public, private)

• Government (State and Federal)

• International Agencies and Organizations On-going infrastructure and projects:

• Digital Libraries• Distance Education• Research and Development Laboratories


USA35%

EUROPE29%

JAPAN15%

REST OF WORLD

21%

IT Reality

Teledensity (telephone lines per 100 inhabitants)• Industrialized nations is over 48• Middle-income nations around 10• Least advanced countries is about 1.5• World average is 11.5

Informatics gap (PC ratio per 100 inhabitants)• Industrialized nations is over 18• Middle-income nations around 2.3• Least advanced countries is about 0.01

ITMARKET SHARE


Latin America Y2K

There are hidden resources in Latin America.

Population Growth By Y2K

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

NorthAmerica

Russia Europe Latin America

Mill

ions


ISTEC

NIH


ISTEC

Collaboration T 1

dn


Conclusions


Conclusions Need a sound, aggressive, long-term, and

flexible national policy in Science and Technology (S&T)

Degree of success is directly proportional to strategic investments in science, technology, and information systems

Countries that do not adapt to the technological explosion will not be able to compete

Need Center(s) of Excellence for S&T to enhance the capabilities of industry, government, health and educational institutions


Conclusions

University-Industry Relations. Why? access to pre-competitive research early warning of potential technology

breakthroughs pursue industry-relevant research access to high-skill resources conduit for intellectual creativity branding and market development


Conclusions

Project Identification, Partnering, and Fund Raising

• Industry (local, international)

• Universities (public, private)

• Government (State and Federal)

• International Agencies and Organizations On-going infrastructure and projects:

• Digital Libraries• Distance Education• Research and Development Laboratories


ISTEC and YOU

ISTEC is looking for partners to share the

risks and rewards in Ibero-America.

ISTEC is seeking to align people, needs,

and technology to foster IT in Ibero-

America.


ISTEC

What can we .edu 4 u?


ISTEC Contact Information

www.istec.org

obrigadogracias

thank youmerci


Discussion Topics


What is next?

istecall rights reserved, 2000.1 snbu-2000 april 26, 2000 i2k

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