investor presentation 2015q4 - anadolu sigorta...non life 26 life 18 reinsurance - total 44 number...
TRANSCRIPT
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2015Q4
Contents
Non-life Sector Profile 3
Outline of the Company 11
Financial Highlights 23
Appendix 33
2
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
3
4
Non Life 38
Life 24
Reinsurance 1
Total 63
Number of Companies (12.15)
Premium Production of the Sector (mn TRY) (12.15)
Premium Share
Non Life 27.264 87,9%
Life 3.761 12,1%
Total 31.026 100%
Non Life 26
Life 18
Reinsurance -
Total 44
Number of Foreign Shared Companies
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, Undersecretariat of treasury annual report
* 39 of 44 company has more than50% foreign shares.
7,3%
19,4%
9,0% 20,1%
20.834
22.710
27.264
3.395 3.280 3.761
24.230
25.990
31.026
12.13 12.14 12.15
Premium Production (mn TL)
Non Life
Life
Total
5 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies, turkstat
2012 2013 2014
Inflation Rates (%) 6,2 7,4 8,2
GDP Change (%) 2,1 4,0 2,6
GDP (Per Person) ($) 10.459 10.782 10.404
GDP (Per Person) (TRY) 18.927 23.012 22.753
Premium Increase (%)non-life
18,1 21,7 9,0
Premium Increase (%)(Anadolu)
16 23 9,3
Remarks About the Sector
2,1
4,0
2,6
18,1
21,7
9,0
2012 2013 2014
CHANGE İN GDP AND GWP
GDP Change (%) Premium Increase (%)non-life
Mandatory Policies in Turkey
6 SOURCE: turkstat, State Planning Organization, Association of Insurance Companies, bkm, tramer, TCIP
20 million of vehicles and 10,6million automobiles in Turkey.
41,1% of houses had a mandatory earthquake policy in 2015
20,5% of all vehicles do not have mandatory MTPL policy
10,64
0,45 0,22
3,26
0,801,70
2,94
8,5%
18,4%23,4%
12,5%
20,0%
39,6%
62,0%
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
70,0%
0,00
2,00
4,00
6,00
8,00
10,00
12,00
automobile mini-bus bus pick-up van truck tractor motorbike
Non-insured ratio
3,73
4,79
6,03
6,817,23
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Number of Mandatory Earthquake Policies (million)
36,842,5
52,6
64,3
81
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Total Assets of Insurance Sector (bn TRY)
Foreign Capital with M&A’s
7
Company Market Share Foreign Capital Stake Transaction Price YearBaşak Sigorta 5,10%
Groupama56,70%
268 Million USD 2006Başak Emeklilik 13,30% 41,00%Emek Hayat - Global Equities Management 100,00% 2 Million TRY 2006İhlas Sigorta 1,40% HDI International 100,00% 17 Million Euro 2006Şeker Sigorta 1,60% Liberty Mutual Group 63,90% - 2006İsviçre Sigorta 6,90% Ergo Group 75,00% - 2006İsviçre Hayat 1,80% Ergo Group 67,50% - 2006Global Hayat 0,20% Denizbank-Dexia 99,60% 2,7 Million Euro 2007Ray Sigorta 3,20% TBIH 58,20% 81 Million USD 2007Garanti Sigorta 4,50% Eureko 80,00% 365 Million Euro 2007Garanti Emeklilik 7,10% Eureko 15,00% 100 Million Euro 2007Genel Sigorta 3,50% Mapfre
80,00% 285 Million Euro 2007Genel Yaşam 1,70% MapfreAxa Oyak Sigorta 12,20%
Axa 35,50%
525 Million USD 2008Axa Oyak Hayat 4,70% 50,00%Koç Allianz 9,10% Allianz SE 43,40% 248 Million Euro 2008Koç Allianz Hayat 5,20% Allianz SE 49,00% 125 Million Euro 2008Güven Sigota 2,40%
Groupama99,00%
180 Million Euro 2008Güven Hayat 1,20% 99,00%Fiba Sigorta 2,60% NKSJ 93,40% 307 Million USD 2010Ak Sigorta 7,40% Ageas 31,00% 220 Million USD 2011Deniz Emeklilik 4,50% MetLife 99,90% 162 Million Euro 2011Finans Emeklilik 5,20% Cigna Nederland 51,00% 85 Million Euro 2012Yapı Kredi 7,20%
Allianz93,90%
603,5 Million Euro2014
Yapı Kredi Emeklilik - 80,00% 2014
Non Life Premium Figures (2014)
Premium / GDP (%) Premium Per Person ($)
World 2,7 294
USA 4,3 2.360
UK 2,6 1.185
Switzerland 4,1 3.542
Poland 1,8 254
Central and Eastern Europe 1,4 156,5
Turkey 1,3 133
8 SOURCE: Treasury, Association of Insurance Companies, Swiss Re Sigma 3,2014
10893
106 114 123143 133
165
138163
215 219
305 308
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Top Ten Companies in the Sector (2015)
9
Non - Life Companies GWP (mn TRY) Market Share
Allianz 4.050,9 14,9%
Anadolu 3.610,7 13,2%
Axa 3.065,7 11,2%
Mapfre 2.110,6 7,7%
Aksigorta 1.622,2 5,9%
Groupama 1.288,4 4,7%
Güneş 1.114,6 4,1%
Ziraat 1.063,5 3,9%
Eureko 1.002,6 3,7%
Sompo 932,4 3,4%
Top 10 Companies 19.861,3 72,8%
Other 7.403,2 27,2%
TOTAL 27.264,5 100,0%
SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Allianz; 14,9%
Anadolu; 13,2%
Axa; 11,2%
Mapfre; 7,7%
Aksigorta; 5,9%Güneş; 4,7%
Groupama; 4,1%
Sompo; 3,9%
Eureko; 3,7%
Ziraat; 3,4%
Other; 27,2%
Non Life Companies Premium Production (mn TRY)
10 SOURCE: Association of Insurance Companies,
Type of Coverage 2015 2014 YoY (%) Share (2015) (%)
MTPL 7.486,4 5.528,3 35,4 27,5
MOD 5.551,4 5.085,1 9,2 20,4
Fire and natural disaster 4.391,2 3.844,6 14,2 16,1
Health 3.436,5 2.930,3 17,3 12,6
General losses 2.978,1 2.429,3 22,6 10,9
Accident 1.196,6 1.035,7 15,5 4,4
General liability 758,0 634,4 19,5 2,8
Other 1.466,2 1.221,9 20,0 5,4
Total 27.264,5 22.709,5 20,1 100,0
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
11
Few Remarks About the Company
12
VISION
To make Anadolu Sigorta the insurance brand preferred by everyone who needs insurance.
To achieve a strength that makes it a reference point in the worldwide insurance industry as well.
MISSION
To be a pioneer, to create a broad public awareness of insurance
To implement a customer-focused approach, to increase the financial strength
To enhance the value of the Company
FACTS
Founded by Türkiye İşbankası A.Ş. in 1925 (90’th anniversary)
First National Insurance Company
Main activity: Non-life insurance (until 1991, both life and non-life)
13
Accident General losses
Sickness\Health Land vehicles liability (MTPL)
Land vehicles (MOD) Air vehicles liability
Industrial vehicles Water vehicles liability
Air vehicles General liability
Water vehicles Credit
Marine Financial loss
Fire and natural disaster Legal protection
Area of activity Shareholder Structure
Milli Reasürans
57%
Other43%
%77 of Milli Reasürans is owned by T. İş Bankası A.Ş.
As of 12.15;
• Paid-in capital 500 million TRY
• MCap 795 million TRY
• Free Float Ratio ~48%
Distribution Channels (2015)
14
• İstanbulHeadquarter
• İstanbul (2), Ankara, Antalya, İzmir, Adana, Bursa, Samsun, Trabzon9 regional branches around
Turkey
• North CyprusOverseas
• ~25% working exclusively with Anadolu2468 Professional Agencies
• Working exclusively with Anadolu
• 278 MSU (direct sales staff) working1373 Işbank Branches
Bancassurance (2015)
15
Agencies; 71,3%
Broker; 10,1%
İşbank; 11,7%Indirect; 4,9%
Direct; 1,9%
FY14 FY15
Bancassurance GPW 22 39
Total GPW (mnTRY) 80 110
Premium per policy(TRY) 60 105
Bancassur.GPW / Total GPW 27,90% 35,70%
Share in bancassurance prod. 6,90% 9,50%
74%
Personal Accident
Company FY14 FY15 Growth
Ziraat 651 860 32,1%
Eureko 421 498 18,3%
Anadolu 325 423 30,2%
Allianz 301 352 16,9%
Aksigorta 269 280 4,1%
Sector Bancassurance Premiums
while total productionincreased 20% YoY
Premium Distribution By Regions (2015)
16
Aegean; 8,8%
Middle Anatolia;14,3%
Mediterranean; 7,5%
South East Anatolia; 2,6%
East Anatolia; 2,3%
Black Sea; 5,9%
Marmara; 58,2%
Premium Production (2015) (mn TRY)
17
Mtpl29%
Mod23%
Fire and natural disaster
18%
Sickness \Health
9%
Other21%
2015 2014 YoY%
Mtpl 1.042.780 780.421 33,6
Mod 845.727 824.143 2,6
Fire and natural disaster 637.516 503.259 26,7
Sickness \ Health 328.097 279.983 17,2
Other 756.308 617.024 22,6
Total 3.610.430 3.004.830 20,2
18
50,61%56,08% 54,88% 55,10% 53,40% 52,30%
47,39% 46,70% 49,49% 49,86% 46,74% 47,82%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ANSGR (MOD+MTPL)/(GPW)
NON LIFE (MOD+MTPL)/(GPW)
YEARMOD+MTPL
ANSGR (mn TRY)MOD+MTPL
SECTOR (mn TRY) 2010 719 5.662
2011 1.080 6.7622012 1.226 8.471
2013 1.515 10.4092014 1.604 10.6132015 1.889 13.038
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Market Rank (1st)
• Accident(9,2%)
• Water vehicles (48,0%)
• General liability (16,2%)
• Fire and natural disaster(14,5%)
• MOD (15,2%)
• Marine (13,3%)
Market Rank (Other)
• Health (9,6%)
• General losses (10,0%)
• Credit (0,7%)
• Financial loss (6,0%)
• Legal protection (9,0%)
• MTPL (13,9%)
Market Rank (2nd)
• Air vehicles (24,6%)
• Air vehicles liabillity(21,2%)
Total Market Share for Anadolu in 2015Q1 is; 13,2% in 2nd rank
20
IBNR Reserve Development
658,7 m
127,1 m123,5 m
186,1
436,7
309,6
2013 2014 2015
*Min. 222 mn TRY of IBNR will be added on to reserves gradually until the end of 2019
222*
Combined Ratio
21
~ 105%
12.15Claims Ratio 82,9%
Net Commission Ratio 15,1%
Expense Ratio 8,9%
Combined Ratio 106,9%
107%103%
101%
111%
85%
76%80%
83%
17%
15%14%
15%
9%
10% 9%9%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Expense Ratio
Net Comm. Ratio
Claims Ratio
Q115 Q215 Q315 Q415 FY15
106,2% 109,7% 108,1% 103,7% 106,9%
Profitability (ROE – ROA)
22
19,35
5,974,42
0,58
-8,46
7,39 6,825,31
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROE
7,67
2,761,92
0,18
-2,56
2,07 1,901,31
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROA
Non-life Sector Profile
Outline of the company
Financial highlights
23
24
Growth Performance
139%
33%
70%
87%
20%
30%
121%
29%
18%
1.248 1.324
1.785
2.250
2.986
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cash and Marketable Sec. (mn TRY)
1.2151.398
1.851
2.282
2.934
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Tech. Reserves (mn TRY)
141%
2.2092.498
3.2533.773
4.888
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Total Assets (mn TRY)
1.9262.235
2.7503.005
3.610
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross Premium Written (mn TRY)
705 756913
1.020
1.202
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Shareholders' Equity (mn TRY)
Balance Sheet (Assets)
25
Assets (mn TRY) 2015 2014 YoY%
Cash + Marketable Sec. 2.985,7 2.250,1 32,7
Receivables 928,3 797,5 16,4
Equity Participations 495,3 391,4 26,5
Fixed Assets 142,9 94,6 51,1
Other Assets 335,4 239,9 39,8
TOTAL 4.887,5 3.773,4 29,5
Liabilities (mn TRY) 2015 2014 YoY%
Payables 610,4 349,6 74,6
Technical Provisions 2.933,6 2.282,5 28,5
Shareholders' Equity 1.201,9 1.019,8 17,9
Other Liabilities 141,6 121,5 16,6
TOTAL 4.887,5 3.773,4 29,5
26
Balance Sheet (Liabilities)
Income Statement (mn TRY)
27
2015 2014 YoY(%)
Total Technical Income 2.860,3 2.441,2 17,2
Total Technical Expenses -2.756,6 -2.320,0 18,8
Technical Profit / Loss 103,6 121,3 -14,5
Financial Income 368,0 258,9 42,1
Financial Expenses -382,4 -275,7 38,7
Other Income / Expenses -23,7 -11,7 101,6
Financial Profit / Loss -38,1 -28,5 33,6
Gross Profit / Loss 65,6 92,8 -29,3
Tax Provisions -1,8 -21,1 -91,6
Net Profit / Loss 63,8 71,7 -11,0
Major Affiliates (2015)
28
410
778
19,5%
2.476
20%
495
746
2.791
4,4%
1.313
4,8%
63
Equity (mn TRY)
Shareholders’ Equity (mn TRY)
Market Share
Market Cap (mn TRY)
Share Owned
Share Value (mn TRY)
Is ReitAnadolu Life
2015
MCap 795 million
P / BV 0,66
2015
MCap 237 million
P / BV 0,31
After deductingaffiliates
29
Stock Performance
Change
01.2014 12.2014 12.201501.15-12.15
ANSGR 1,33 1,38 1,59 15,51%
IMKB-100 67.802 85.721 71.727 -16,07%
12.2014 12.2015
ANSGR 1,42 1,59
EPS (net profit / capital) 0,14 0,13
P / E (Mcap / net profit) 12,46 12,46
P / BV (Mcap / Book value) 0,70 0,66
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
1,80
0,00
10.000,00
20.000,00
30.000,00
40.000,00
50.000,00
60.000,00
70.000,00
80.000,00
90.000,00
100.000,00
.XU100 ANSGR
30
Bank deposit’s average maturity date is 60 days while bonds’ are 874 days.
20% of funds are related to stocks.
Investment Portfolio (2015)
DEPOSITS71,3%
FUNDS5,7%
STOCKS4,9%
BONDS17,1%
OTHER0,9%
TOTAL: TRY 2,41 Billion*
(*) 210 m financial loans netted-off
This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information on the businessdevelopment of Anadolu Sigorta. These statements may be spoken or written and can berecognized by terms such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “seeks” or words withsimilar meaning. These statements are based on assumptions relating to the development ofthe economies of individual countries, and in particular of the insurance industry, which wehave made on the basis of the information available to us and which we consider to be realisticat the time of going to press. The estimates given involve a degree of risk, and the actualdevelopments may differ from those forecasts.
Anadolu Sigorta does not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential lossarising from any use of this document or its content due to misleading information in thisdocument.
31
Disclaimer
Thank you…
For further information please
e-mail to: [email protected]
or call Anadolu Sigorta Investor Relations on
(+9 0850 744 02 54),
(+9 0850 744 01 64)
32