16thInternationalConference of

MEEA

MAY18-20

TED UniversityAnkara, Turkey

Accommodation Grant for PhD Students

Papers and presentations will be exclusively in English.

Abstract-paper submission due: December 19, 2016Conditional Acceptance due: January 16, 2017Full-paper submission due: February 20, 2017

Reply to authors on full acceptance: March 20, 2017Announcement of the program by: April 24, 2017

Important Dates

Hassan Aly, Ohio State UniversityMine Çınar, Loyola UniversityN. Nergiz Dinçer, TEDUTRCMahdi Majbouri, Babson CollegeRahel Schomaker, Cologne Business SchoolAyça Tekin-Koru, TEDUTRCBurze Yaşar, TEDUTRC

Program Committee

“Trade and Inclusive Growthin the Middle East”

www.tedu.edu.tr/events/meea2017

Parallel Session 2- Macroeconomics/Exchange Rate Policies in MENA @ DB16Chair: Benhabib AbderrazakMajid Sameti & Shekoofeh Farahmand & Mehrnoosh Kalani & Forough ShahabiDetermining Optimal Economic Conditions Proportionate to Fixed Exchange Rate (The Approach of NATREX and Genetic Algorithm)Bouteldja Abdelnacer & Ahmed Belbachir Mohamed & Benhabib AbderrazakOn the Reliability of Black Market Exchange Rate: Another Evidence from AlgeriaAbdelhak Benameur & Mohamed BenbouzianeA Revisit of the Purchasing Power Parity in the Maghreb Countries: A Nonlinear Perspective

Parallel Session 4- Labor/Inequality and Labor @ G112Chair: Aysıt TanselCem BaşleventEstimation of Wealth Inequality in Turkey Using the Capitalization MethodRaziye Selim & Suat KüçükçifçiRegional Decomposition of Inequality and Convergence in TurkeySinem Sefil Tansever & Oya KentEarnings Inequality in Turkey: A Regional Perspective

Parallel Session 2-Finance/International Finance @ DB16Chair: Mine ÇınarBurze Yaşar & Işıl Sevilay YılmazAn Analysis of Financial Risk PreferencesTanseli Savaşer & Başak Tanyeri & Naime UsulStock Market Return Reaction to the Arab Spring Events: Was It Really a Spring or a FallIşıl Sevilay Yılmaz & Başak TanyeriMergers and Acquisitions During Financial Crises

Parallel Session 4-Labor/Social Policy @ G112Chair: Seyit Mümin CilasunBinnur Balkan & Seyit Mümin CilasunDoes Subsidizing a Private Pension System Work? Evidence from 25 Percent Government Contribution Policy in TurkeyMoundir LassassiDeterminants of Job Search Intensity in AlgeriaAyşegül KayaoğluRural-to-urban Migration and Rural Development in Turkey

Registration and Coffee

Opening CeremonyMurat Tarımcılar, TEDU RectorMine Çınar, On Behalf of MEEA

Opening PanelChair: Aylin Özman, TED UniversityFuat Keyman, Sabancı UniversityXimena Del Carpio, The World BankMurat Erdoğan, Hacettepe University

Lunch

Parallel Session 1 - Trade/Trade and Growth @ DB14Chair: Ayça Tekin-Koru Sanlı Ateş & Kenan Lopcu & Mehmet Fatih TraşA Demand Oriented Approach to Economic Growth: Test of Thirlwall Hypothesis for Turkey Using Sectoral DataÖner Günçavdı & Saime Suna KayamDemand Pressure and Export Performance in TurkeyMustafa Kemal Değer & Muharrem Akın DoğanayThe Relationship between Turkey's Regional Exports and Economic Growth: The Case of Middle East Countries (1998Q1 – 2016Q2)

Parallel Session 3-Political Economy and Trust @ DB20Chair: Yeşim Üçdoğruk GürelFatih Yılmaz & Jean-François WenPolicy Instability and Irreversible InvestmentsKürşat Çınar & Tekin KösePublic Trust in Non-Consolidated Democracies: A Multi-Level AnalysisYeşim Üçdoğruk GürelSocial Capital, Democracy and Entrepreneurial Activity

Parallel Session 5-Finance/Financial Risk @ G113Chair: Aslıhan SalihAlper Bakdur & Aslıhan SalihSovereign Credit Risk, Stock Market Volatility and ReturnMehmet Umutlu & Pelin BengitozThe Cross-section of Expected Index Returns in International Stock MarketsMeltem Gülenay Chadwick & Hüseyin ÖztürkMeasuring financial systemic stress for Turkey: A search for the best composite indicator

Coffee Break

Parallel Session 1-Growth/Monetary Policy, Investment and Growth @ DB14Chair: İsmail GençDuygu Yolcu Karadam & Erdal ÖzmenReal Exchange Rates and GrowthK. Kıvanç Karaman & Seçil Yıldırım-KaramanThe Monetary Policy Change in Turkey in 2009 and Its Implications on Inflation and GrowthSelçuk Akçay & Alper KarasoyDemocracy and Private Investments Nexus: Time Series Evidence from Turkey

Parallel Session 3-Macroeconomics/Money, Credit and Inflation @ DB20Chair: N. Nergiz DinçerÖner Günçavdı & Burç ÜlenginCredit Boom and an Investment Puzzle:Unravelling the Role of Tradable and Non-Tradable Consumer and Capital Good Prices in Turkeyİshak DemirInternational Spillovers of U.S. Monetary PolicyHenry Chappell & Emin Gahramanov & İsmail Genç & George NaufalNon-monotonic Money Demand with Financial InnovationsZeyyad MandalinciForecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models

Parallel Session 5-Microeconomics/Innovation, Efficiency and Productivity @ G113Chair: Alpay FiliztekinBurcu Fazlıoğlu & Başak Dalgıç & Ahmet Burçin YereliThe Effect of Innovation on Productivity:Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing FirmsHalil İbrahim KeskinCost Efficiency of Turkish Hospitals, Under Health Transformation ProgramBeyza Polat & Faik Yücel GünaydınRegional and Sectoral Productivity Development Map of Turkey: Summary of Findings

Gala Dinner

8:30-9:30

9:30-10:00

10:00-12:30

12:30-14:00

14:00-15:30

15:30-16:00

16:00-18:00

19:30-21:30

MAY18-20

TED UniversityAnkara, Turkey

Thursday, May 18

9:30-11:00

11:00-11:3011:30-12:30

12:30-14:00

14:00-15:30

15:30-16:0016:00-17:30

Parallel Session 1-Institutions and Growth @ DB14Chair: N. Nergiz DinçerIslam Abdelbary & James BenhinWhat makes Arab economies fail? An assessment of the complementary relationship between socioeconomic reforms and InstitutionsKateryna KhorkhordinaMENA’s Growth Performance: The Role of Structural ChangeKazi SohagDoes Institutional Quality Matter for Financial Development and Growth?: Further Evidence from MENA Countries

Parallel Session 1- Technology, Policy and Growth @ DB18Chair: Fatma DoğruelM. Aykut AttarInnovation, Imitation, and the Nature of Economic GrowthFatma Doğruel & A. Suut DoğruelChinese Economic Expansion and the Manufacturing Sector in the MENA RegionMeltem Keskin KöylüContributions of Using Information Technologies to the Productivity of Financial Institutions and Economic Development

Parallel Session 5 - Energy/Energy Efficiency and Policy @ D026Chair: Mine ÇınarAmine Hocine & Samir Bettahar & Abdelbasset BenmaamarA Fuzzy Multi Criteria Decision Making Approach for Selecting Renewable Energy Sources in AlgeriaKıvılcım Metin-Özcan & Ayşegül UçkunThe relationship between Energy Efficiency and Economic Performance in G20 CountriesŞafak Kaypak & Soner AkınDepletive Energy Policıes and Final Relevant

Coffee Break

Keynote Speaker @ DB14Alpay Filiztekin, Özyeğin University

Lunch

Parallel Session 1-Oil Prices and Growth @ DB14Chair: Suut DoğruelEugenio DacremaSavings, Debts, and Consumption: Social Discontent in the MENA countries through the lens of Relative-Income TheoryLina Haddad & Mawa MohamedThe Effect of Oil Prices Fall on the Economic Growth in Lebanon; Through RemittancesNabil Alimi & Hassan Kasady Al MahdiOn the Asymmetric Effect of Oil-Price Shocks on Economic Growth in GCC States: Panel Transition Regression Model

Parallel Session 3- Political Economy/ Topics in Political Economy @ DB18Chair: Mohamed Ismail SabryNabil Alimi & Omar Al AboudFrom which Threshold, Governance Influences Economic Growth in the Developing CountriesHany Abdel-Latif & Bazoumana OuattaraFDI response to political shocks: What can the Arab Spring tell us?Mohamed Ismail SabryInstitutional factors, State Business Relations and Cronyism: The case of pre-2011 Revolution Egypt

Parallel Session 5 -Labor/Education and Immigration @ D026Chair: Seyit Mümin CilasunAysıt TanselReturns to Education in Turkey: IV Estimates from a Developing CountryEslam El-Bahlawan & Abdulla Al-MaadeedThe Economic impact of immigration on the host countries:The case of Saudi ArabiaRana Hendy & Mawa Mohamed & Eslam ElbahlawanAssessing the Effect of Corruption in Education Sector on Earnings Evidence from The MENA Region

Coffee Break

Parallel Session 1-Growth in MENA @ DB14Chair: Ferda HalıcıoğluFerda Halıcıoğlu & Natalya KetenciTesting the Productivity Bias Hypothesis in Middle East CountriesOmran Abdelrahim Harun MusaThe relationship between GDP growth rate and unemployment rate (An Empirical Evidence from Sudan)Barış AlpaslanThe Missing Link: Are Individuals with More Social Capital in Better Health? Evidence from Low Income Countries

Parallel Session 3- Macroeconomics/Fiscal Policy and Public Debt @ DB18Chair: Burçhan SakaryaSalem KanounFiscal adjustment and national competitiveness: What have we learned from Tunisian political transition? Mehmet Şentürk & Özcan Özkan & Zeynep KöseIs the Debt Crisis at the Door?Yosra BaazizMENA Public Debt: Reaching Tipping Point''

Parallel Session 2 - Trade/Economic Integration @ DB16Chair: Ayça Tekin-KoruVolkan SezginAn Overview of the Use of the Trade Remedies in the Middle East in the Last DecadeAshfaque AliA CGE Analysis of Pakistan-Turkey Free Trade AgreementZemouri Messaoud & Haroun Tahar & Merazga AïssaSino-algerian partnership and its impact on the emergence of Algerian economy

Parallel Session 4- Labor/Labor Market and Demography @ DB20Chair: Meltem DayıoğluAtaman İçerThe Child Quality-Quantity Tradeoff in Sub-Saharan AfricaDoruk Cengiz & Hasan TekgüçImpacts of Syrian Migrants on Local EconomiesMeltem Dayıoğlu & Murat G. Kırdar & İnsan TunalıFemale Labor Force Participation in Turkey: A Synthetic Cohort Analysis, 1988-2013

Parallel Session 2 -Finance/Islamic Banking @ DB16Chair: Burze YaşarAhmet F. Aysan & Hüseyin ÖztürkDoes Islamic Banking Offer a Natural Hedge for Business Cycles? Evidence from a Dual Banking SystemHajime Kamiyama & Haruka UsukiCustomers Criteria for Using Financial Products and Determinants of Customer Retention in Jordanian Islamic BanksNaima Guesmi & Wissal AmaraLiquidity Risk Management: A Comparative Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in GCC

Parallel Session 4- Environment/Ecology, Technology and Politics @ DB20Chair: Kıvılcım Metin-ÖzcanNathalie Hilmi & A. Benhabib & B. Senouci & Alain Safa Technology as the main determinant of the quadriptyque 'Energy, Environment, Economy and Technology' Nathalie Hilmi & Alain Safa & Victor Planas-Bielsa & Mine ÇınarRuin Probability Models and the Environment of the MENA and MED RegionŞafak Kaypak & Soner AkınEcological Politics From Nature Sources

Parallel Session 2 - Trade/Trade in MENA @ DB16Chair: Saime KayamFarah Elias Elhannani & Abou Bakr Boussalem & Mohamed BenbouzianeEconomic diversification and trade openness in Algeria Empirical investigationZeynep Kaplan & Feride Doğaner GönelNon-Oil Trade Pattern of Turkey And Russia In The Middle East: Trends And Potential

Parallel Session 4 -Topics in Development @ DB20Chair: Aykut AttarBergougui Brahim & Sami LyliaThe Impact of Institutional Quality on economic development in Oil-Rich Countries: The case of Arab Countries"Rima Souidi & Djamila Kasmi Belkacem & Lylia SamiImpact of the endowment in natural resources and quality of institutions on the public spending: case of Algeria

MAY18-20

TED UniversityAnkara, Turkey

Friday, May 19

Parallel Session 2 -Finance/Topics in Finance @ D226Chair: Işıl Sevilay YılmazBurçhan Sakarya & Münür YaylaBanking Regulation and Supervision Agency An Estimation of Financial Cycle to Determine Counter Cyclical Capital BufferWissal Amara & Naima Guesmi & Lamia MazighFrom Sovereign Risk to CountryRisk : New Evidence from TurkeyElmas Yaldız Hanedar & Avni Önder Hanedar & Ferdi ÇelikayReforms and supervisory organizations: Lessons from history of the İstanbul bourse, 1873–1883

Parallel Session 4- Microecoomics/Topics in Microeconomics @ D030Chair: Işıl ErolKenichi KashiwagiEffect of Introduction of Irrigation on Productivity and Efficiency of Olive-growing Farms in the West BankAli Mirzaei & Tomoe MooreDo regulations of entry and credit access affect industry competition? International evidenceIşıl Erol & H. Ekrem CünedioğluDeclining Homeownership Rate and the Rise of Latent Renters in Turkey

Parallel Session 1 - Trade/Topics in Trade @ D028Chair: Burcu FazlıoğluNuran Coşkun & Kenan Lopcu & İsmail Tuncer The Economic complexity approach to development policy: Where Turkey stands in comparison to OECD plus China?''Erhan Aslanoğlu & Arda BalakanAnalysis of the Freight Rates with its Nexus to the Commodity Prices ''Tuğrul Çınar & M. Yunus ŞişmanVolatility and Foreign Direct Investment in MENA Region: A Spatial Panel Approach

Parallel Session 3-MENA Studies @ D032Chair: Samir MalikiAmirah El-Haddad Making Different Things for a Different Future: Using Models to Predict Future Success for Egypt and TunisiaMerazga Aissa & Haroun Tahar & Adouane RachidDemocratic People 's Republic of AlgeriaBourouaha Abdelhammid & Samir B. Maliki & Bouredja SaraHuman capital for the tourism industry: evidence from Algeria

Coffee Break

9:30-11:00

11:00-11:30

MAY18-20

TED UniversityAnkara, Turkey

Saturday, May 20

TED ÜniversitesiFatma-Semih Akbil Kültür Merkezi Konferans Salonu

Ziya Gökalp Cad., No:48, Kolej, Çankaya, 06420, Ankara

www.tedu.edu.tr/events/meea2017