international community and state-building after the ... · independence in europe and in the...
TRANSCRIPT
1
International community and state-building after the collapse of the former Yugoslavia:
between Dr Frankenstein and good governance
Boško Picula1
Nowhere in a smaller geographic area than the former Yugoslavia
after the end of the Cold War have emerged more new states. From
1991 up to 2008 no less than seven states became independent. Also,
their processes of becoming independent and state-building proceeded
in different circumstances, but with a key influence of a range of the
actors of international relations, from certain organisations and
integrations (UN, EU, OSCE) to particular states (USA). This
influence does not relate only to the resolution of the multi-stage
armed conflict which accompanied the collapse of the former
Yugoslavia, but also to the dynamics of the process in which
particular countries became independent and to the building of
particular institutions in them, even their whole political systems.
Twenty-five years after the beginning of this process, the crucial
question is whether the international community has succeeded in this
or failed. What were once parts of the same federation with a
recognizable foreign-policy profile, today the countries which
emerged after the collapse of the former Yugoslavia have very
different statuses in the international community.
Keywords: former Yugoslavia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia,
Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Slovenia, political system,
conflicts, conflict resolution, international community
Introduction: A state determined by wars
If we compare the political map of the European continent after the end of World War II with
the present one, we can notice fewer changes than it could be expected after almost a hundred
years of dramatic events. From 1918 to today, Europe and the world have gone through a
series of fundamental changes in terms of political circumstances within individual states and
in terms of their mutual relations. After the first global war, the world went through an even
harder conflict which affected almost the whole of humanity, while in the aftermath of World
War II it found itself in a new configuration of international relations, marked by bipolarity.
All these events primarily referred to the situation in Europe, which from the end of the First
1 PhD, Senior lecturer at the University College of International Relations and Diplomacy Dag Hammarskjöld in
Zagreb, Croatia; as a consultant, he collaborates with Croatian non-governmental organizations and international
organizations in Croatia and Europe.
2
World War to the present day has gone through a number of stages with regard to relations
among its states and with regard to circumstances within individual states.
Nevertheless, the abovementioned comparison of political maps of Europe of ninety-seven
years ago and the present one reveals that, in the course of the last century, the continent
stabilized in terms of the number of states. The disintegration of the Austro-Hungarian
Empire, the Russian Empire and the German Empire as well as the changes within the British
Empire after the First World War determined the number of states in Europe over the long
term so that the subsequent changes occurred only after the end of the Cold War. In point of
fact, over the past one hundred years these were the only, although significant, changes
regarding the number of European states. Namely, between 1991 and 1993 more states gained
independence in Europe and in the Eurasian region after the three socialist federations had
fallen apart. As a consequence of the disintegration of the former Union of the Soviet
Socialist Republics fifteen new states were created, out of which ten in Europe: Russia,
Ukraine, Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan.
The former Czechoslovakia was succeeded by the Czech Republic and Slovakia, while the
former Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia broke up into five new states: Slovenia,
Croatia, Macedonia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia which was
jointly established by the two remaining Yugoslav republics, Serbia and Montenegro. The
process of creating new states in Europe did not stop at this point as the Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia, which in the meantime had changed its name into Serbia and Montenegro,
dissolved exactly into Serbia and Montenegro. Two years later Kosovo, which used to be an
autonomous province within Serbia, became independent too.
While in the first years after the Cold War the dissolutions of Czechoslovakia and of the
Soviet Union passed off peacefully and with political agreements between the newly
established states, the former Yugoslavia fell apart in stages through a series of armed
conflicts that lasted for a whole decade: since the summer of 1991, when a brief war in
Slovenia and a years-long one in Croatia broke out, until the spring of 2001, when war
engulfed also Macedonia, which had not been affected by major conflicts at the very
beginning of the wars in former Yugoslavia. Meanwhile, in 1991 war had spread in a most
severe form to Bosnia and Herzegovina, whereas the United States of America and its NATO
allies intervened militarily against Serbia only in the spring of 1999 when Kosovo was at war.
Therefore, it was the territory of the former Yugoslavia, where there are seven independent
states today, to become the first part of the European continent after World War II affected by
3
armed conflicts. According to estimates, in the abovementioned ten-year period (1991-2001)
more than 140 thousand people were killed in the wars in the former Yugoslavia, out of which
the majority, about one hundred thousand, in Bosnia and Herzegovina. For the sake of
comparison, in the 1975-1990 Lebanese civil war, according to various estimates, between
120 and 150 thousand people were killed.
Being the most severe series of armed conflicts in Europe after the Second World War to date,
the wars in the former Yugoslavia can be viewed from multiple angles. One of them relates
surely to the analysis of conflicts themselves, of their causes and their development, of the
attempts to solve them and of their consequences. The second analysis refers to the
circumstances under which the former Yugoslavia fell apart amid armed conflicts, in which
process the prediction that the Yugoslav case would be a trigger for a similar turn of events in
the territory of the former Soviet Union, did not come true. At least not during the 1990s. The
third viewing angle refers to the role of the international community, which, by means of
different actors, mechanisms and outcomes influenced the resolution of conflicts in the former
Yugoslavia. In this process the concept of the international community was, as always,
heterogeneous due to the fact that different countries, organizations and associations
attempted to influence the termination of these hostilities, of course, with varying degrees of
success. Finally, it is possible to analyze what the outcome of the war brought to each new
state politically, both in terms of their individual domestic politics and institutionalized
political systems and in terms of their individual positions in international relations. In this
respect, the states that succeeded the former Yugoslavia represent “a continent within a
continent” as nowhere in Europe or even in the world, in such a short period of time so many
different states have ever been created, the states which, on the other hand, have got a lot in
common.
This can be best seen exactly this year which marks a quarter-century since the beginning of
democratization of the former Yugoslavia, viewed as a prelude to its disintegration and
twenty years since the end of the worst war stages in the former Yugoslavia, i.e. the war in
Bosnia and Herzegovina and the war in Croatia. Due to different and even conflicting
interpretations of the wars in question throughout individual successor states of the former
Yugoslavia, it is difficult to talk about a positive or even just peace which was brought about
at the end of these wars. As for reaching a just peace, there is a lack of political efforts by all
representatives of the former belligerents to bring initial contradictory objectives within the
scope for compromise. A full establishment of all social relations (political, economic,
4
cultural) in the war-affected environments as a stage of reconciliation with the rule of law and
condemnations of crime is missing too. Positive peace remains only an objective as, in spite
of many advances made in the last twenty years, a long-term reconciliation has not come to
existence yet, nor the state of peace has irreversibly taken hold as part of collective
consciousness. If democratic transition is a process that can last six months in the institutional
sense (constitutional reforms), six years in the political sense, and six decades in the social
sense (development of civil society), as the German political scientist and theoretician of
transition Ralph Dahrendorf put it, then a similar time span can be set for the process of
establishing peace and its preservation. It takes several months to stop an armed conflict if the
actors capable of changing the asymmetry of the conflict get involved, as it happened in
Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and in Kosovo; whereas it can take several years for maintaining
peace on the basis of political legitimacy of new or old actors in elections within the new
political system, while for the process of a just, and especially positive, peace, more decades
and generations are required to pass for sure.
Today the territory of the former Yugoslavia is an area with seven new states which have
been determined by the outcomes of conflicts ever since the end of the First World War.
Similar conflict and post-conflict circumstances determined the reconstruction of Yugoslavia
in the aftermath World War II and ultimately Yugoslavia collapsed at war, simply confirming
that the coordinates of its creation, reconstruction and demise had been determined
systematically by wars and their consequences. In the political and social sense, are the new
states that emerged on the ruins of the former Yugoslavia nowadays stable political
communities whose stability is based exactly on overcoming the contradictions which used to
be Yugoslavia’s “inherent faults”? There is neither one single nor an unambiguous answer to
this question. There are as many answers as there are states generated after the disintegration
of the former Yugoslavia. Some of them became members of the European Union and NATO,
which speaks volumes about comprehensive political, legal and security stabilization
(Slovenia, Croatia); some of them are yet to become part of these integrations, whereby
internal contradictions, even tensions, as well as the issues of relations with neighbouring
countries represent aggravating circumstances (Montenegro, Macedonia); for some of the
states internal consensus on statehood and territorial integrity remains questionable (Bosnia-
Herzegovina, Kosovo), while Serbia is an example of maintaining both internal and external
political balance between reluctance to accepting the loss of territory on the one hand and
5
various international alliances and completing priorities on the other (European Union,
Russia).
Today all these states are parliamentary democracies which have been holding multiparty
elections for well twenty five years now, even under armed conflict circumstances (Croatia)
or under immediate post-conflict circumstances (Bosnia-Herzegovina), having thus fully
legitimate power which all successive authorities in Yugoslavia lacked, since the state’s
creation in 1918 to its demise in 1991. The international community, particularly the UN, the
OESS and the European Union participated in the creation of certain political institutions and
mechanisms for making collective decisions, particularly in Bosnia-Herzegovina and in
Kosovo, and to a lesser extent in Montenegro and in Macedonia, especially within the process
of finding a political solution to the war conflict and in terms of the peacekeeping activities
after the war. While some of these interventions were successful, such as the construction of
the constitutional framework of Bosnia-Herzegovina and of Kosovo immediately after the end
of military operations or preparation and holding the Montenegrin referendum on
independence in 2006, in most cases it was about the absence of long-term solutions for
ending conflicts. These conflicts today, however, are neither armed nor manifest. Yet, being
latent and “frozen”, they are still dangerous.
Yugoslav politics and the political system prior to the disintegration of the state in 1991
While the choice of political system and exercising power by the authorities in the successor
states of the former Yugoslav socialist federation were greatly influenced by internal and
external political circumstances and partly by certain international community actors, on the
eve of its disintegration in 1991, Yugoslavia was in many respects a political system sui
generis. In addition, it was a state which in its second period of existence, since the end of the
Second World War in 1945 to its collapse, tried to promote both a specific domestic political
system and a specific foreign policy. Ultimately, the last Constitution of the Socialist Federal
Republic of Yugoslavia, as the state was officially called, was internationally confirmed as the
legal basis for national independence of the Yugoslav republics that had jointly constituted the
federation. As a state, Yugoslavia was created on 1 December 1918, three weeks after the
official end of the First World War. In its first period of existence it was a monarchy, a highly
centralized state in terms of national/subnational governance. It was created by the unification
of the State of Slovenes, Croats and Serbs, as a transitory state founded by the South Slavs
6
who lived in Austria-Hungary (similar by its form to Czechoslovakia which was created at the
same time), the Kingdom of Serbia and the Kingdom of Montenegro.
The foundation of the state was determined by the political and military circumstances in the
wake of the First World War, in which the political élite of the State of Slovenes, Croats and
Serbs sought to preserve the territorial integrity (Italy started conquering parts of the new state
on the basis of the Treaty of London under the terms of which it had joined the Triple Entente
in the First World War) by means of the unification with Serbia and Montenegro and, in doing
so, put into effect the decades-old idea of uniting all the South Slavs (except Bulgarians).
From another standpoint, in the unification with the western part of the South Slavic area
where a significant part of Serbs lived, Serbia saw the expansion of its political influence and
power, as well as the outcome that would confirm its participation and ultimately the victory
at the and of World War I on the side of the Entente. Therefore, the first, royal Yugoslavia
was created as a combination of necessity, compromise and concealment of actual political
goals. Instead of a federal state which was advocated mostly by the politicians in Slovenia and
in Croatia, the first Yugoslavia, which was officially called the Kingdom of Serbs, Croats and
Slovenes from 1918 to 1929, was founded as a unitary state headed by the Serbian
Karađorđević dynasty. In this connection, only Serbs, Croats and Slovenes had the status of
state-building nations. The Serbian political élite considered the Montenegrins and the
Macedonians to be part of the Serbian ethnic corpus, while the Muslim Slavic population in
Bosnia and Herzegovina and in other parts of the country was not awarded the status of a
separate nation, but only of a specific confession, ethnically either of Serbian or of Croatian
descent. Albanians in Kosovo did not have any minority rights, and out of a great number of
other minorities we should note the Hungarians and the Germans who lived in Vojvodina, in
the north of Serbia.
A fragile and defective democracy held together over the 1920s within an ethnically,
politically and economically extremely heterogeneous state, whereas after the political
violence in 1928 when the representatives of the most important opposition in the country, i.e.
the representatives of the Croatian Peasant Party were killed in the Yugoslav Parliament in
Belgrade, King Alexander introduced a dictatorship, renamed the state into the Kingdom of
Yugoslavia and carried out further centralization. After his assassination in France in 1934,
the repressive regime started weakening gradually, the elections were held and in 1939 the
federalization of the state was initiated by establishing a special Croatian unit within it.
However, the Second World War led to the disintegration of the state and some of its parts
7
were occupied by Germany, Italy and other members of the Tripartite Pact, while in the
territory of Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina a puppet state as an ally of Berlin and Rome was
established. The combat against the fascist occupiers was conducted by the Yugoslav
communists spearheaded by a Croatian, Josip Broz Tito. Upon winning the war they restored
the state, expanded its territory to the west and on the Adriatic coast and abolished the
monarchy.
By virtue of the 1946 Constitution, Yugoslavia became a federation consisting of six equal
republics, which was also guaranteed by the constitutional amendments (1953, 1963, 1974)
which equalized the rights of the country’s six nations: Serbs, Croats, Slovenes, Macedonians,
Montenegrins and Muslims. The latter were also awarded the status of separate South Slavs.
Moreover, the rights were guaranteed to a great number of national minorities, the most
numerous of whom were the Albanians in Kosovo which became an autonomous province
within Serbia, along with Vojvodina. However, from the very beginning, the second
Yugoslavia was a communist dictatorship where multi-party elections were never held, not
even after the end of the Cold War, as the democratic elections were conducted only at the
level of individual republics, not at the federal level. Having usurped power immediately after
the end of the Second World War, the communists carried out a comprehensive ideologization
of society, retribution of their political opponents and they established a repressive regime
which controlled all segments of the state and of society. Josip Broz Tito became president for
life both of the state and of the Communist party, which was the only party in the country, so
the Yugoslav form of autocracy at that time can be regarded as a blend of ideological and
personal dictatorship. In spite of being the Soviet Union’s most loyal ally over the first several
years, Tito’s Yugoslavia came into conflict with Stalin as early as in 1948 and from that time
on it started building its own version of socialist society and state as well as of foreign policy
orientation.
As for the model of political and economic system, Yugoslavia started promoting the
principles of self-management socialism as opposed to the Soviet-type state socialism. Its
fundamental feature was workers’ management of factories and institutions, but still under
full control of the ruling political party, namely the League of Communists. As far as foreign
policy is concerned, Yugoslavia, along with India and Egypt, spearheaded the Non-Aligned
Movement as a bloc of states that did not belong to either one of the two military-political
blocs led by the USA and the USSR. This special position of Yugoslavia during the Cold
War made it possible for Tito’s regime to enjoy a certain privileged status in international
8
relations, while the original political differences between some parts of Yugoslavia, especially
between Slovenia and Croatia on one side, and Serbia on the other, were quashed by the
dominance of the ruling communists and by the power of the repressive apparatus. In doing
so, it used to be emphasized that Yugoslavia had resolved the turbulent national issue which
had troubled the first, monarchist Yugoslavia by establishing a federation with increasingly
greater power of the individual republics and autonomous provinces. Nevertheless, it was
only an illusion whose real situation and unresolved problems would erupt amid the country’s
political crisis at the end of the 1980s, the subsequent disintegration of the state and the
beginning of the war.
In the last two decades of existence in its original form, Yugoslavia functioned de facto as a
federation with elements of confederation due to the fact that the last 1974 Yugoslav
Constitution provided all the republics with entitlements of real states which had freely united
in a federation. The Constitution equalized the rights of all nations and national minorities and
entitled all the nations who had achieved their statehood through individual republics to self-
determination up to secession. This constitutional guarantee would become the basis of all the
referendums in the 1990s in which the individual former Yugoslav republics declared
themselves on their own state independence. The 1974 Constitution is, politically speaking, a
consequence of solving the crisis Yugoslavia had gone through in the late 1960s and in the
early 1970s. The culmination of the crisis was reached by the demands by the leadership of
the Socialist Republic of Croatia for further decentralization of the state. Although Tito
quashed the Croatian movement for greater autonomy in 1971, he actually accepted its
essential requirements by means of the 1974 Constitution, believing that his leader’s authority
as well as the key levers of the regime – the League of Communists and the Yugoslav
People’s Army – would be sufficient guarantees for preventing the disintegration of the
country.
The new constitutional arrangements confirmed the parliamentary political system of
Yugoslavia in which the parliament as a legislative body was not only the most important
institution as in a parliamentary system, but its central point in terms of political power and
authority. In this way Yugoslavia became a socialist version of the Swiss political system,
with the key differences being the one-party system and socialist economy. The Assembly of
the SFRY consisted of the Federal Chamber as the lower house of the parliament (the
republics were represented by thirty delegates each, while each autonomous province by
eight) and of the Chamber of Republics and Provinces as the upper house (the republics had
9
twelve delegates each, while each province eight). Josip Broz Tito’s position of President of
the Republic for life was confirmed, but there existed also the institution of Presidency of the
SFRY as a collective head of state which started functioning after Tito’s death in 1980. Nine-
member Presidency was made of the representatives of all the republics and provinces and of
the president of the League of Communists by virtue of official position. A parliamentary
nature of the political system of Yugoslavia was confirmed by the relationship between the
parliament and the government, as the government was constitutionally named Federal
Executive Council and was merely the executive body of the parliament, fully accountable for
its work to the Assembly. The Constitution stipulated that the Federal Executive Council was
made of the president and the members (actually ministers) who were appointed in
accordance with the principle of equal representation of the republics and appropriate
representation of the autonomous provinces. Insofar as after Tito’s death representatives of
individual republics and provinces rotated in the office of President of the Presidency, the
President of the Federal Executive Council (actually the Prime Minister) was not appointed
according to a ‘national key’ and therefore the Yugoslav government from 1982 to 1991 was
headed by two representatives of Croatia and one of Bosnia-Herzegovina.
The same assembly model was applied to the level of Republics and Provinces, the only
difference being the fact that each republic and province assembly had three chambers instead
of two: the Social and Political Council, the Council of Municipalities and the Council of
Associated Labour as a special chamber in which workers were represented. In the same
manner as the federation, the republics and the provinces had their presidencies as collective
heads of executive power and most of other powers of sovereign states including foreign
affairs and defence. However, according to the Constitution, the key authority of the
federation was ensuring independence and territorial integrity of the country and protecting its
sovereignty in international relations, i.e. deciding on war and peace. Nevertheless, as soon as
democratization started, legalization of the multi-party system was carried out and free
elections were conducted in all republics, the connective tissue of the federation started falling
apart. The irreconcilable goals of Serbia, which advocated stronger federation and a change of
the 1974 Constitution, and of Croatia and Slovenia, which were in favour of confederation,
led to the peak of the crisis and to the armed conflicts. Essentially, in the wars that followed,
on one side there were members of the Serbian communities in Croatia and in Bosnia-
Herzegovina endorsed by Serbia, and on the other the republics that had declared
independence.
10
The new states after the disintegration of Yugoslavia and the international community
Two days after Slovenia and Croatia adopted the declarations of national independence in
their parliaments on 25 June 1991, the intra-Yugoslav conflict grew from the stage of political
crisis and latent conflict into the stage of overt armed conflict. On 23 December 1990
Slovenia, as the first of the six Yugoslav republics, held a referendum in which the Slovene
voters declared themselves about the possibility that Slovenia would become a sovereign and
independent state. 94.8% of Slovene citizens voted in favour of this option in the event that
the negotiations on the future of Yugoslavia would not result in a solution acceptable to
everybody. The next one to hold a state independence referendum was Croatia. In the
Croatian referendum held on 19 May 1991, 93.2% of voters opted for sovereignty. As in the
meantime the months-long negotiations on the future of the Yugoslav state conducted by the
leaderships of all six Yugoslav republics had broken down, Slovenia and Croatia declared
independence in accordance with the referendum results. However, the Yugoslav People’s
Army (org. JNA) intervened, first by trying to prevent Slovenia from accomplishing its
independence, and then by occupying the areas inhabited by the Serbian national minority in
Croatia. While the war in Slovenia lasted about ten days (27 June – 7 July 1995), the war in
Croatia continued until August 1995 when the Croatian Army liberated the areas which had
hitherto been under military and political control of local Serbs. This kind of beginning of a
series of wars in the former Yugoslavia could have been expected as, from the very start,
Slovenia had been out of the plans of Serbia’s government led by President Slobodan
Milošević.
Milošević’s regime was counting on a new state that would be made of Serbia and
Montenegro together with large parts of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Croatia where the majority
of population was Serbian. At the very beginning of the war in Yugoslavia, which by its
intensity and escalation mostly stunned European politicians, it was perfectly clear that the
international community would be of key importance for bringing it to a halt or at least under
control. It started occurring only ten days after the beginning of the war in Slovenia, when the
Brioni agreement was signed on 7 July 1991, on the Brioni Islands in Croatia. This is the first
in a series of compromise-seeking and, essentially, ineffective solutions sponsored by the
international community with the purpose of trying to bring under control the situation in the
former Yugoslavia. The agreement was signed by the representatives of Slovenia, Croatia and
the remnants of the central Yugoslav authorities under the political sponsorship of the
European Community and it was supposed to provide for the complete withdrawal of the
11
Yugoslav People’s Army from Slovenia, which actually happened, for the arrival of European
observers in the crisis areas and for a three-month moratorium on the Slovenian and Croatian
declarations of independence in order to achieve a joint solution. However, the war flared up
exactly in the areas from which the Yugoslav National Army had withdrawn and by the
beginning of October 1991 the conflict between rebel Serbs and Croatia came to a climax.
Without having achieved any kind of political solution and with thousands of deaths, the
three-month moratorium expired and Croatia and Slovenia embarked upon achieving an
international confirmation of their state independence. Meanwhile, on 8 September 1991,
Macedonia held a referendum in which voters voted for independence, as it would do Bosnia-
Herzegovina too on 29 February and 1 March 1992, thereby becoming the fourth Yugoslav
republic to declare independence in spite of the boycott by the majority of Serbs who lived
there. The escalation of war in Croatia and an attempt to avert a similar turn of events in
Bosnia-Herzegovina led to the establishment of the Arbitration Commission of the Peace
Conference on Yugoslavia in the summer of 1991. On 27 August 1991, the Commission
established the Council of Ministers of the European Community, colloquially called Badinter
Commission after its president Robert Badinter, President of the Constitutional Council of
France.
On the basis of international law, the five-member Commission was supposed to propose a
resolution of all contentious legal issues that arose as a consequence of the disintegration of
Yugoslavia and thereby make it easier for a peaceful solution to the conflict to be found. From
November 1991 to January 1991 the Commission passed fifteen legal opinions, out of which
the most important ones are the following: the issue of State succession should be resolved
according to the principles of international law and justice in compliance with the
fundamental human rights and the fundamental rights concerning nations and national
minorities; the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia had disintegrated and did not exist as
a state anymore; none of the successor states of the former Yugoslavia could inherit
Yugoslavia’s status in international organizations; the borders between the former Yugoslav
republics became the borders of the new states and could not be changed by force, but only by
agreement; the day of succession for Slovenia and Croatia was 8 October 1991, for
Macedonia 17 November 1991, for Bosnia-Herzegovina 6 March 1992 and for the Federal
Republic of Yugoslavia, in which Serbia and Montenegro had joined, 27 April 1992. Badinter
Commission’s activities and opinions became the legal basis for international recognition of
independence of individual states which inherited the former SFRY, but also legal principles
12
that would be incorporated in certain institutional arrangements of the new states. It was
exactly through this Commission’s activities that the international community gave the most
important contribution to resolving the legal issues regarding the circumstances of the
disintegration of the former Yugoslavia, while the political proposals, by means of which
different international actors tried to stop the conflict, first in Croatia, subsequently in Bosnia-
Herzegovina, turned out to be much less successful. Therefore, the first effective ceasefire in
the case of the war in Croatia was achieved through the implementation of the Sarajevo
agreement, signed in January 1992 under the auspices of the United Nations.
Nevertheless, on the basis of this agreement the UN troops arrived on the dividing line
between Croatia and the rebel Serbs, which led to freezing the conflict and to a de facto
division of Croatia, analogous to the case of Cyprus. The war in Bosnia-Herzegovina, which
lasted from April 1992 to December 1995, i.e. until the signing of the Dayton-Paris
Agreement, also proceeded with a series of unsuccessful attempts by the international
community, including the United Nations and the European Union, to solve it. The war that
began as a conflict between the Muslim and Croatian side who were for independence of
Bosnia-Herzegovina and the Serbian side, which with the help of Serbia opposed the
independence, soon turned into a war of “all against all” like the Lebanese Civil War. First,
the Croatian-Muslim conflict was stopped through the Washington Agreement in 1994 and
with the USA’s support, and then the war itself too, through a political and military
intervention by the USA and NATO forces which attacked the military targets of Bosnian-
Herzegovinian Serbs. NATO’s forces also intervened against Serbia during the war in Kosovo
in 1999, thus enabling the independence of Kosovo in 2008, and the USA and NATO played
a major role in ending a months-long armed conflict between the Macedonian authorities and
ethnic Albanian rebels in Macedonia in 2001.
Simultaneously with the armed conflicts or immediately after them, in most states that
succeeded Yugoslavia, sweeping reforms of political systems were undertaken. The
international community played an important role in them too, but with partial effectiveness
again. On the one hand, this engagement brought about the legal framework for respecting
broad human rights and the rights of minorities, e.g. in Croatia, Macedonia and Kosovo, but
on the other, paradoxically, to their neglect and almost Frankestein’s system of government,
as in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Furthermore, only one part of the states that emerged as a
consequence of the disintegration of the former Yugoslavia became entirely sovereign
(Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro), one part is still under the supervision of the international
13
community (Bosnia-Herzegovina, Kosovo), one part does not control one part of its earlier
territory (Serbia), and another one is not even able to confirm its constitutional and legal
framework through its own state’s official name (Macedonia).
Viable or nonviable states?
Apart from having participated in conflict resolution in all the wars in the former Yugoslavia
from 1991 to 2001 both in a diplomatic and military way, through various organizations and
through individual states, the international community was an active actor in deciding on
political system in one part of these states after the end of the conflict. This primarily
concerns Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo and to some extent Macedonia, although all
successor states of the former Yugoslavia varyingly integrated the recommendations produced
by the international community into their own political decisions. The state that suffered most
casualties of war and took the greatest death toll was Bosnia-Herzegovina. It is also the state
in which the international community intervened most in the matters of post-conflict state
organization and political system. After three and a half years of serious armed conflicts, the
war in Bosnia-Herzegovina ended by the Dayton Peace Agreement (official name: General
Framework Agreement for Peace in Bosnia and Herzegovina) initialled on 21 November 1995
at the US Air Force Base Wright Patterson, and officially signed in Paris on 14 December
1995. The Agreement was signed by the representatives of Bosnia-Herzegovina, the Federal
Republic of Yugoslavia and Croatia with international support of the USA, France, the United
Kingdom, Germany, Russia and the European Union. The most important elements of the
Agreement were the termination of the armed conflict in Bosnia-Herzegovina and
preservation of Bosnia-Herzegovina as a unitary state. In order to implement what was agreed
upon, the Peace Implementation Council was established. It was composed of representatives
of 55 states and international organizations and it de facto assumed sovereignty over the state
and over the work of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, as a sort of
international administrator with the task of overseeing the process of establishing civil peace
in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
At the same time as the Peace Agreement started being implemented, Bosnia-Herzegovina
underwent a complete transformation of its political system. The text of the Constitution of
Bosnia-Herzegovina is actually Annex 4 of the adopted peace agreement, and thereby Bosnia-
14
Herzegovina was transformed into a complex and decentralized state consisting of the
following two entities: the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Serb Republic
(Republika Srpska). While before the war as a Yugoslav republic, Bosnia-Herzegovina had a
unitary arrangement with municipalities as units of local government, after the war it became
a federation encompassing yet another federation and a republic within. Such a solution upon
which the representatives of the international community agreed with the Bosnian-
Herzegovinian sides (although they actually imposed it) was a necessary compromise that
would allow all the conflicting parties to stay in the same state. In this matter, the Federation
of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as a somewhat bigger entity within the common state, got control
of 51% of the territory and today it consists of ten cantons in which the majority are Bosniaks
(formerly Muslims) and Croats. Another entity, called Serb Republic (Republika Srpska) was
assigned 49% of the territory and therefore the Serbian part of the new state today has control
of a higher percentage of the territory when compared to the territory inhabited by the Serb
majority before the war. Consequently, the latter fact has been evaluated as recognition of war
conquests in a number of analyses. On the other hand, almost two thirds of a whole of
population of Bosnia-Herzegovina live in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina.
The Agreement also specifies the creation of a special part of Bosnia-Herzegovina, called
Brčko District which did not belong to either of the two entities and is situated in a key
position in the north of the country, thus connecting certain parts of both entities. As for
legislature, Bosnia-Herzegovina has got a bicameral system. Its Parliamentary Assembly
consists of two chambers: the House of Peoples, that has 15 members out of which two thirds
are made of representatives from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and one third
from the Serb Republic and the House of Representatives, that has 42 members from the
Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and one third from the Serb Republic. The executive
branch of government is headed by the three-member Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina
and by the Council of Ministers, i.e. the Cabinet. The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina
is composed of three members: one representative per each of the three constituent peoples,
i.e. Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats. In the meantime, this solution has been challenged by the
European Court of Human Rights as a violation of the European Convention on Human
Rights (along with the composition of the House of Peoples where only Bosniaks, Croats and
Serbs can be elected) on the grounds that any citizen of Bosnia-Herzegovina cannot be elected
to that political office unless he or she is a member of one of the three constituent peoples. If
Bosnia-Herzegovina wants to become a member of the European Union, among other things,
15
it will have to change this very constitutional provision. Basically, this kind of national parity
and the parity between the two entities determine to a large degree the composition and work
of a number of Bosnian-Herzegovinian institutions which are stuck in a situation of blocking
one another and in a position of internationally supervised sovereignty twenty years after the
war.
Specifically, the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina is still the most powerful
political office in the state, with broad executive and legislative powers including the power to
dismiss individual elected officials. On the other hand, the High Representative is the most
important barrier against a potential new disintegration of the country, since Bosnia-
Herzegovina is actually a state without internal consensus, likely to move towards new
conflicts unless internationally supervised. In such a situation, only apparently do the three
constituent peoples (according to estimates, 48% of Bosniaks, 34% of Serbs and 14% of
Croats) have the same positions within the state, whereas in reality, these positions differ.
While the Serbs have got their own entity, the Bosniaks and the Croats share a single one.
Furthermore, no decision at the federal level can be made without the consent of the
representatives of all three peoples, which has so far led to a number of deadlocks, the biggest
one being the 2006 failure to reach an agreement about new and more effective constitutional
arrangements. For that matter, the multi-party democratic elections do not solve anything as
they often assume the character of censuses, thus merely extending the unwillingness to make
a move towards unblocking.
A similar situation prevails in Kosovo too, with the difference that the international
community began to act there through the UN after the end of NATO’s military intervention.
The intervention in question took place in June 1999 and it allowed this former autonomous
province within Serbia first to become a UN protectorate and, after years of negotiations, an
independent state called Republic of Kosovo as declared by the Parliament on 17 February
2008. Serbia never acknowledged this decision, which resulted in the present situation where
Kosovo is not recognized by a large number of states in the world (out of 193 UN members,
108 have recognized Kosovo’s sovereignty, while 85 have not, including China and Russia as
permanent members of the UN Security Council; 28 EU members have recognized Kosovo,
while five of them have not). The international community fully participated in the creation of
Kosovo’s political system. Nevertheless, Kosovo’s system of decentralized parliamentary
16
republic with multi-party democratic elections does not represent a problem, unlike the
situation of the country’s division.
Something like Cyprus, Kosovo is nowadays divided into the Serbian north-west and the rest
of the country predominantly populated by Albanians (in the whole of Kosovo’s territory
there are 92% of Albanians, 4% of Serbs, while the rest of the population is made of
Bosniaks, Gorani, Turks and Roma). In point of fact, the central government communicates
only partially with the rogue north-west, specifically, through the international community, in
the same manner it conducts negotiations with official Serbia on normalization of relations,
which is one of the preconditions in the process of Serbia’s joining the European Union.
Thus, while the UN activities in Kosovo, especially in terms of the work of the UN Special
Envoy Martti Ahtissari who proposed the internationally supervised sovereignty of Kosovo as
a solution, can be assessed as successful at averting a new armed conflict, the real question is
how the relations between Kosovo and Serbia will be resolved. With the current view of the
situation that prevails in the country, it is not possible for Serbia to recognize Kosovo as an
independent state as it considers it still to be part of its territory in spite of the fact that the
majority of Kosovo’s population voted for independence and that Serbia lost the war for
control over Kosovo. It is possible that an appropriate diplomatic solution capable of
acknowledging the real situation, including both Kosovo’s independence and a special status
of the Serbian ethnic community, will be achieved through the negotiations on Serbia’s
membership of the European Union.
Moreover, the war in Kosovo influenced significantly the growth of political tension in
neighbouring Macedonia as during the war a great number of Albanian refugees had arrived
in Macedonia, specifically to the territory of west Macedonia majorly populated by the
country’s Albanian minority (according to various estimates, between one fifth and one third
of Macedonia’s total population is ethnically Albanian). Although it seemed that Macedonia
would eventually be the only former Yugoslav state to have been spared of war, the armed
conflict between representatives of the Albanian minority and the central government broke
out in January 2001 and ended in August 2001 by the Ohrid Agreement. The reason for the
conflict was a discontent of the Albanians in Macedonia with their position within the state
and with the constitutional arrangements regulating it, but it was actually about redistribution
of political power in the country situated in a particularly sensitive position in the centre of
the Balkans, surrounded by Albania, Serbia, Bulgaria and Greece, the latter not even
17
recognizing the state by the name of Macedonia and arguing that this is exclusively a Greek
historical and geographical denomination (Macedonia was therefore admitted to a number of
international organizations with a truly Frankenstein-style name: Former Yugoslav Republic
of Macedonia). The war in Macedonia was stopped by NATO’s political and military
intervention and the result was the expansion of the rights of the Albanian minority in
Macedonia and actually the prevention of the country’s disintegration into the Albanian north-
western part and the rest of the country. The case of Macedonia as well as the cases of
Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo is the most vivid examples of the international community’s
direct involvement in the process of institutional arrangement in the states that have been
affected by war. Besides, we are talking about a continuum of compromise solutions of
questionable durability and viability where a point between the poles – the one of “good
governance” and of Frankenstein solutions - is to be accounted for both by the international
community and by domestic actors in the states under discussion.
Table 1. Conflicts, political systems and politics of the successor states of the former
Yugoslavia (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia and Slovenia)
Bosnia and
Herzegovina
Croatia Slovenia
Status within the
former Yugoslavia
Republic Republic Republic
Referendum on
independence
Yes, 1992
(boycotted by Serbs)
Yes, 1991 Yes, 1990
Year of independence
1992 1991 1991
Being affected by war
after the disintegration
of Yugoslavia
Yes, after the
declaration of
independence
Yes, after the
declaration of
independence
Yes, after the
declaration of
independence
Type of conflict Armed resistance of a
minority against
proclamation of
independence of the
state with a subsequent
foreign military
intervention
Armed resistance of a
minority against
proclamation of
independence of the
state with military
counter-measures taken
by the central
authorities
Military intervention
by Yugoslavia’s central
authorities against
proclamation of
independence
18
Duration and intensity
of conflicts
1992-1995,
high intensity
1991-1995,
medium to high
intensity
1991,
low intensity
Political and military
intervention by the
international
community
Both political and
military
Both political and
military
Political
Year of adoption of the
new constitution
1995 1990 1991
Engagement of the
international
community in shaping
the new political
system
Yes Only partially
(minority rights)
No
Political system and
system of government
Parliamentary republic;
Compound state /
federation consisting of
two entities one of
which is also a
federation of cantons
Parliamentary unitary
republic
Parliamentary unitary
republic
Legislative power Bicameral parliament
Unicameral parliament Bicameral parliament
Executive power Three member
presidency and
Government
President of the
Republic and
Government
President of the
Republic and
Government
Sovereignty two years
after the end of
conflicts
Partial Full Full
UN, EU and NATO
membership
UN UN, EU, NATO UN, EU, NATO
Table 2. Conflicts, political systems and politics of the successor states of the former
Yugoslavia (Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia)
Kosovo
Macedonia Montenegro Serbia
Status within the
former
Yugoslavia
Autonomous
province within
Serbia
Republic Republic Republic
Referendum on
independence
Only unofficial,
boycotted by
Serbs, 1991
Yes, 1991 Yes, 2006 No
19
Year of
independence
2008 1991 2006
(1992-2006
republic within
the Federal
Republic of
Yugoslavia; and
of Serbia and
Montenegro)
2006
(1992-2006
republic within
the Federal
Republic of
Yugoslavia; and
of Serbia and
Montenegro)
Being affected by
war after the
disintegration of
Yugoslavia
Yes,
subsequently, in a
conflict with
Serbia over the
state status
Yes,
subsequently,
with the status of
independent state
Yes, indirectly,
via military and
political support
to the actors of the
conflicts in
Croatia and
Bosnia-
Herzegovina
Yes, indirectly,
via military and
political support
to the actors of the
conflicts in
Croatia and
Bosnia-
Herzegovina;
Through NATO’s
intervention in the
Kosovo War
Type of conflict Foreign military
intervention
following a
violent attempt by
the central
authorities to
break the
minority’s
resistance
Armed resistance
of the minority
against the central
authorities about
the issues of the
status within the
state
Military
participation out
of its borders as
part of the
Yugoslav army
until 1992
Military
participation out
of its borders as
part of the
Yugoslav army
until 1992;
NATO’s
intervention
because of the
Kosovo War
Duration and
intensity of
conflicts
1998-1999,
medium intensity
2001,
medium intensity
1991,
low intensity
1991,
low to medium
intensity;
1998-1999,
medium intensity
Political and
military
intervention by
the international
community
Both political and
military
Both political and
military
Political Both political and
military
Year of adoption
of the new
constitution
2008 1991 2007 2006
Engagement of
the international
community in
shaping the new
political system
Yes Yes, after the
conflict in 2001
(minority rights)
Only partially
(referendum on
independence)
No
20
Political system
and system of
government
Parliamentary
unitary republic
Parliamentary
unitary republic
with a wide
cultural autonomy
of the Albanian
minority
Parliamentary
unitary republic
Parliamentary
unitary republic
with provincial
autonomy
Legislative power Unicameral
parliament
Unicameral
parliament
Unicameral
parliament
Unicameral
parliament
Executive power President of the
Republic and
Government
President of the
Republic and
Government
President of the
Republic and
Government
President of the
Republic and
Government
Sovereignty two
years after the
end of conflicts
Supervised Conditional (the
state’s
internationally
recognized name)
Full Full, but does not
recognize the loss
of territory /
sovereignty
UN, EU and
NATO
membership
/ UN,
Candidate for EU
membership
UN,
Candidate for EU
membership
UN,
Candidate for EU
membership
SELECT BIBLIOGRAPHY
Cortright, D. (2008). Peace: A History of Movements and Ideas. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press
Darby, J., MacGinty, R. (ed) (2003.) Contemporary Peacemaking: Conflict, Violenve and
Peace Processes, Houndmills / New York: Palgrave Macmillan
Dayton, W. B. (ed.), Kriesburg, L. (ur.). (2009). Conflict Transformation and Peacebuilding.
London i New York: Routledge
Dogan, M., Pelassy, D. (1990). How to Compare Nations. Chatham: Chatham House
Publishers
Duraković, N. (1998). Prokletstvo Muslimana, Tuzla: Harfo-Graf
Galtung, J. (1996). Peace by Peaceful Means: Peace and Conflict, Development and
Civilization, London / New Delhi: SAGE Publications, London, Thousand Oaks,
Gaubatz, K. T. (1999). Elections and War. Stanford: Stanford University Press
Judah, T. (2002). Kosovo: War and Revenge. New Haven: Yale University Press
Kasapović, M. (ed.) (2001). Hrvatska politika 1990.-2000.: Izbori, stranke i parlament u
Hrvatskoj. Zagreb: Fakultet političkih znanosti Sveučilišta u Zagrebu
Kasapović, M. (1996). Demokratska tranzicija i političke stranke. Zagreb: Fakultet političkih
znanosti Sveučilišta u Zagrebu
21
Lederach, J. P. (2006). Building Peace. Washington, D.C.: United States Institute of Peace
Press
Malcolm, N. (1995). Povijest Bosne, Zagreb: Erazmus
Mayall, J. (ed), (1996). The New Interventionism, 1991-1994: United Nations Experience in
Cambodia, Former Yugoslavia and Somalia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Peters, G. B. (1998). Comparative Politics – Theory and Methods. Houndmills / New York:
Palgrave
Ramsbotham, O., Woodhouse, T., Miall, H. (2005). Contemporary Conflict Resolution.
Cambridge i Malden: Polity Press
Tanner, M. (2010.). Croatia: A Nation Forged in War. New Haven: Yale University Press
Tomić, Z., Herceg, N. (1999). Izbori u Bosni i Hercegovini, Mostar: Sveučilište u Mostaru
Vukadinović, R. (2005). Teorije vanjske politike. Zagreb: Politička kultura