interim report january-june 2016 - fortum · q2/2016: operationally a good quarter, but weak power...
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Interim Report January-June 2016Fortum Corporation
20 July 2016
2
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an invitation to underwrite, subscribe for,
or otherwise acquire or dispose of any Fortum shares.
Past performance is no guide to future performance, and persons needing
advice should consult an independent financial adviser.
Any references to the future represent the management’s current best
understanding. However the final outcome may differ from them.
Summary of the second quarter of 2016
– Operationally, the quarter met our expectations, as the availability in our plants was good
and ongoing projects progressed as planned• Lower volumes, rouble and lower achieved power price continue to burden profits
– Some positive signs were seen during the second quarter, although the overall business
environment continues to be demanding. The end of the quarter was also characterized
by increased commodity market volatility, partly explained by the British EU exit vote
– We have now taken several important steps in the implementation of our new strategy• The highlight of the quarter was the announcement to buy Ekokem – diversifies our revenue
streams while maintaining a strong link to our traditional core
– In Sweden, key political parties came to an agreement on energy policy – The decisions
are positive and a step in the right direction, as all production forms are more evenly
taxed
– In Russia, the CSA (new capacity) time frame was decided to be 10 years
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Q2/2016: Operationally a good quarter, but weak power prices continue to burden profits
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Key figures (MEUR), continuing operations II/2016 II/2015 I-II/2016 I-II/2015 2015 LTM
Sales 768 794 1,757 1,834 3,459 3,382
Comparable EBITDA 209 228 566 624 1,102 1,044
Operating profit 67 144 437 494 -150 -207
Comparable operating profit 122 143 397 486 808 719Share of profits of associates and joint ventures 38 22 105 80 20 45
Profit before taxes 61 143 451 493 -305 -347
Earnings per share, EUR 0.06 0.13 0.43 0.46 -0.26 -0.29
Net cash from operating activities -5 229 370 745 1,228 853
Fortum’s solutions for sustainable cities – urban environment with empowered citizens
A forerunner in sustainable city solutions in a circular economy
Local fuels:
Bio, waste
Excess heat
from industry
and data centers
Recycling and optimal
use of waste as energy Systems for balancing
demand and supply
Intelligent systems
for electric traffic
New consumer solutions
for optimizing energy usage
Retail electricity
and services
Renewable consumer
offerings
Storages for
energy
Ekokem
Ekokem
• Households and consumers
• Industrials, companies
• City administrations
City as a customer…
High quality of life
• Climate friendly
• Resource efficient
• Security of supply
• Empowered consumers
• Advanced heating, cooling and electricity solutions
• Waste and recycling solutions
• Sustainable consumer solutions
• Participation in flexible energy markets
DUON
Info24
Ekokem – a Nordic market leader
Wide service offering
• Handling and recycling of materials and waste
• Recovery and final disposal solutions, including waste
to energy and high thermal treatment of hazardous
waste
• Soil remediation and environmental construction
Good customer
relations
• Industrial and municipal operators
• Approximately 10,000 active customers
Main revenue
sources
• Environmental and waste treatment services
• District heat sales
• Recycled materials
Key figures in 2015
• Sales EUR 258 million
• Reported EBITDA EUR 55 million
• Comparable EBITDA EUR 57 million
• Waste incineration 0.4 mton
• Hazardous waste incineration 0.3 mton
• District heat sales 0.9 TWh/a
• Electricity generation 0.1 TWh/a
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Riihimäki
Kumla
Nyborg
Klaipeda
Kaunas
ready 2019
Zabrze
ready 2018
Brista and
Högdalen
Ekokem’s Circular Economy Village – Globalizing Finnish clean tech competence
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• Together Fortum and Ekokem
form a circular economy
champion
- Accelerated growth
- Complementing expertise
and service and solutions
offering
• Excellent fit to Fortum’s strategic
focus on sustainable city
solutions
• Both companies provide
solutions in energy and waste
treatment applying world leading
technologies and competences© Ekokem
Market conditions in the second quarter of 2016
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Nordic countries
• The electricity consumption in the Nordic countries was equal to Q2/2015 and
totalled 86 (87) TWh
• Market prices have recovered somewhat but are still low – impacted by
tightening of the hydrological situation as well as increased coal prices
– The average system spot price was EUR 23.9 (20.7) per MWh
– The average area price in Finland was EUR 30.2 (25.8) per MWh and in Sweden SE3
(Stockholm) EUR 26.5 (21.1) per MWh
• The market price of CO2 emission allowances (EUA) was volatile during the
quarter and dropped to EUR 4.5 per tonne at the end of June 2016
Russia
• Russian electricity consumption was 230 (230) TWh. The corresponding figure
in Fortum’s operating area in the First price zone (European and Urals part of
Russia) was 176 (178) TWh
• The average electricity spot price, excluding capacity price, increased by 3% to
RUB (Russian rouble) 1,166 (1,132) per MWh in the First price zone
Nordic water reservoirs
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Source: Nord Pool
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
20
40
60
80
100
120
rese
rvo
ir c
on
ten
t (T
Wh
)
0
2000 2003 20152014 reference level2016
Wholesale price for electricity
10
Source: Nord Pool, Nasdaq Commodities
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
EUR/MWh Nord Pool System Price Forwards
15 July 2016
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Price development in the Nordic region and Russia
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Includes capacity income
+15%
-2%-11%
-1%
NOTE: Achieved power price in roubles increased 9%
Q2: Lower volumes and achieved price in Generation and City Solutions burdened results
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Comparable operating profit, EUR million
• 0.7 TWh lower hydro volumes
• 0.6 EUR/MWh lower achieved price
• Russian rouble EUR -9 million
• Lower heat sales volumes due
to warm weather
• Lower achieved electricity price
H1: Lower Nordic power prices and weaker Russian rouble
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Comparable operating profit, EUR million
• 3.9 EUR/MWh lower achieved price
• EUR 30 million higher CSA provision release in
2015
• Russian rouble EUR -20 million
• Unfavourable fuel mix
• Lower achieved electricity price
Comparable and reported operating profit
II/2016 II/2015 II/2016 II/2015 I-II/2016 I-II/2015 I-II/2016 I-II/2015
Generation 98 114 32 117 253 317 243 320
City Solutions 7 11 18 9 65 68 81 73
Russia 34 35 36 36 113 132 147 133
Other -18 -17 -18 -17 -34 -32 -34 -32
Total, continuing
operations122 143 67 144 397 486 437 494
Discontinued operations - 32 - 4,314 - 114 - 4,395
Total, Fortum 122 175 67 4,458 397 600 437 4,889
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Comparable
operating profitReported
operating profitMEUR
Fortum's operating profit for the second quarter was impacted by items affecting comparability, including sales
gains and fair value change of derivatives and nuclear fund adjustments for continuing operations, amounting to
EUR -54 (1) million. The corresponding figures for January-June were EUR 40 (8) million
Comparable
operating profit
Reported
operating profit
Income statement
MEUR II/2016 II/2015 I-II/2016 I-II/2015 2015 LTM
Sales 768 794 1,757 1,834 3,459 3,382
Other income and expenses -646 -651 -1,360 -1,348 -2,651 -2,663
Comparable operating profit 122 143 397 486 808 719
Items affecting comparability -54 1 40 8 -958 -926
Operating profit 67 144 437 494 -150 -207
Share of profit of associates and jv’s 38 22 105 80 20 45
Financial expenses, net -44 -24 -91 -81 -175 -185
Profit before taxes 61 143 451 493 -305 -347
Income tax expense -4 -25 -62 -80 78 96
Net profit, continuing operations 57 118 389 413 -228 -252
Net profit, discontinued operations - 4,306 - 4,369 4,369 -
Net profit, Fortum total 57 4,424 389 4,782 4,142 -251
EPS, basic (EUR), continuing operations 0.06 0.13 0.43 0.46 -0.26 -0.29
EPS, basic (EUR), discontinued operations - 4.85 - 4.92 4.92 -
EPS, basic (EUR), Fortum Total 0.06 4.98 0.43 5.38 4.66 -0.29
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Cash flow statement
MEUR II/2016 II/2015 I-II/2016 I-II/2015 2015 LTM
Cash from operating activities:
Realised FX gains/losses -1 35 128 203 292 217
Other funds from operations 18 158 235 472 907 670
Change in working capital -22 36 7 70 29 -34
Cash from operating activities, cont. operations -5 229 370 745 1,228 853
Cash from operating activities, discontinued
operations- 66 - 154 154 -
Cash from operating activities, total Fortum -5 296 370 899 1,381 852
Cash used in investing activities:
Paid capital expenditures -130 -107 -244 -209 -527 -562
Proceeds from divestments 2 1 45 37 55 63
Other investment activities -134 222 -442 241 437 -246
Total investing activities, continuing operations -262 116 -641 69 -35 -745
Total investing activities, discontinued operations - 6,345 - 6,303 6,303 -
Cash used in investing activities, total Fortum -262 6,461 -641 6,372 6,268 -745
Cash flow before financing activities, total Fortum -266 6,757 -271 7,272 7,650 107
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Debt portfolio and average interest rate at the balance sheet dateJune 30, 2016
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1) In addition Fortum has received EUR 178 million based on Credit Support Annex agreements with several counterparties. This amount has been booked as a short term liability
• Total interest-bearing debt EUR
5,216 million
– Average interest 3.5%
(2015: 3.7%)
– Portfolio mainly in EUR and
SEK with average interest
cost 2.1% (2015: 2.6%)
– EUR 722 million (2015: 641)
swapped to RUB, average
interest cost including cost
for hedging 12.2% (2015:
12.8%)
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026+
Bonds Financial institutions Other long-term debt Other short-term debt
Maturity profile
1)
Fortum has a strong financial position
MEUR LTM 2015
Comparable EBITDA, continuing operations 1,044 1,102
Comparable EBITDA, total Fortum 1,044 1,265
Interest-bearing net debt, total Fortum -934 -2,195
Comparable net debt/EBITDA, total Fortum -0.9 -1.7
ROCE % Return on capital employed, total Fortum -0.7 22.7
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Liquid funds totalled EUR 6.2 billion
Committed credit lines total EUR 2.0 billion
Outlook
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Nordic markets
• Fortum continues to expect that the annual electricity demand growth will be approximately 0.5% on average
• Electricity is expected to continue to gain share of total energy consumption
Russia
• The targeted operating profit level (EBIT) for the Russia segment, RUB 18.2
billion, is expected to be reached during 2017-2018
Annual capex estimate, excluding potential acquisitions
• 2016 approximately EUR 650 million (maintenance capex approximately EUR 300-350 million)
Hedging
• Rest of 2016 approx. 75% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 29/MWh• 2017 approx. 45% hedge ratio at approx. EUR 27/MWh
Taxation
• Effective tax rate for 2016 for the Group 19-21%• Swedish political agreement on reduction of installed nuclear tax as well as
real estate tax rate on hydro assets
For further information:www.fortum.com/investors