insurance companies chapter 3 © 2006 the mcgraw-hill companies, inc., all rights reserved. k. r....
TRANSCRIPT
Insurance Insurance CompaniesCompanies
Chapter 3
© 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
K. R. Stanton
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Overview
In this segment ... Insurance Companies: Two major groups:
Life, Property & Casualty Size, structure and composition Balance sheets and recent trends Regulation of insurance companies Global competition and trends
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Insurance Companies
Differences in services provided by: Life Insurance Companies Property and Casualty Insurance
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Life Insurance Companies
Size, Structure and Composition of the Industry: In 1988: 2,300 life insurance companies with
aggregate assets of $1.12 trillion In early 2000s: 1,500 companies / $3.4 trillion
4 largest wrote 19% of new premium business Increasing involvement of commercial banks in
insurance policy sales Large scale mergers
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Biggest Life Insurers
Insurance Company Ownership Form
Assets (billions)
1. Metropolitan Life Stock $245.0 2. American International Group Stock 233.7 3. Prudential of America Stock 205.7 4. Aegon USA Inc. Mutual 144.5 5. Teachers Insurance & Annuity Stock 144.5 6. Hartford Life Stock 136.8 7. ING Group Stock 125.8 8. New York Life Mutual 121.9 9. Northwestern Mutual Mutual 102.9 10. Nationwide Stock 87.4
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Life Insurance: Issues
Demutualization Adverse selection
Insured have higher risk than general population
Alleviated by grouping of policyholders into risk pools
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Life Insurance Companies
Life Insurance Products: Ordinary life
Term life, Whole life, Endowment life. Variable life, Universal life, Variable universal
life. Group life Industrial life Credit life
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Distribution of Premiums
Accident & health33%
Other3%
Group life22%
Ordinary life37%
Fixed annuities
2%
Variable annuities
3%
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Other Life Insurer Activities
Annuities Reverse of life insurance activities.
Private pension funds Compete with other financial service companies.
Accident and health insurance Morbidity insurance Effects of growth in HMO enrollment
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Balance Sheet
Long-term liabilities Net policy reserves to meet policyholders’ claims
Long-term assets Need to generate competitive returns on savings
components of life insurance policies Bonds, equities, government securities Policy loans
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Regulation of Life Insurance Companies
McCarran-Ferguson Act of 1945 Confirms primacy of state over federal regulation.
State insurance commissions Coordinated examination system developed by the National
Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).
States promote life insurance guaranty funds Not permanent funds (like FDIC) Required contributions from surviving within-state firms.
Financial Services Modernization Act, 1999
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Current Regulatory Proposals
Proposals to create council of federal and state officials to oversee insurance
Complaints of costly and cumbersome state regulation
Possibility of a dual (State and Federal) system similar to bank regulatory system.
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Blending of Insurance and Banking
Major insurers applying for savings bank charters
Examples: State Farm Mutual Auto Insurance / State
Farm Bank FSB TIAA / TIAA-CREF Trust Co. Allstate Insurance Co. / Allstate FSB Metropolitan Life Insurance Co. / Metlife Bank
& Trust Co. FSB
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Web Resources
For more detailed information on insurance regulation, visit:
www.naic.org
www.ins.state.ny.us
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Property and Casualty Insurance
Size and Structure Currently about 3,200 companies. Highly concentrated. Top 10 firms have 45% of market in
terms of premiums written. Top 200: over 95%
Balance sheet Similar to life insurance cos. (Smaller asset base) Major liabilities: loss reserves, loss adjustment expense
and unearned premiums.
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Property-Casualty
Changing composition of net premiums written (2002 versus 1960): decline in fire insurance and allied lines since
1960: 3.5% in 2002 vs. 16.6% in 1960 Homeowners MP: 10.5% vs. 5.2% in 1960 Commercial MP: 7.2% vs. 0.4% in 1960 Auto L&PD: 42.0% vs. 43% in 1960 Other liability: 22.7% in 2002 vs. 6.6% in 1960
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Loss Risk
Underwriting risk may result from Unexpected increases in loss rates Unexpected increases in expenses Unexpected decreases in investment yields or
returns. Property versus liability:
Losses from liability insurance less predictable. Example: claims due to asbestos damage to workers’ health.
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Loss Rates
Severity versus frequency: Loss rates more predictable on low-severity,
high-frequency lines (such as fire, auto, homeowners peril) than on high-severity, low-frequency lines (such as earthquake, hurricane, financial guaranty).
Claims in high-severity, low-frequency lines may not be independent.
Higher uncertainty forces PC firms to invest in more short-term assets and hold larger capital and reserves than life insurance firms.
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Insurance Risks Post 9/11
Crisis generated by terrorist attacks forced creation of federal terrorism insurance program in 2002
Federal government provides backstop coverage under Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (TRIA) Caps losses for insurance companies Key provisions extended in 2004
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Long Tail Versus Short Tail
Long-tail risk exposure: Arises where peril occurs during coverage
period but claim is made many years later. Examples: Asbestos cases and Dalkon shield
case.
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Insurance Costs: Social Inflation
Product inflation versus social inflation Unexpected inflation may be systematic or line-
specific. Social inflation: unexpected changes in awards
by juries.
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Trends
Loss ratios have generally increased. Expense ratios have generally decreased. Trend toward selling directly through their own
brokers rather than independent brokers. Combined ratio:
Includes both loss and expense experience. If greater than 100 then premiums are
insufficient to cover losses and expenses.
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Investment Yield / Return Risk
Operating ratio = Combined ratio after dividends minus investment yield.
Importance of investment income: Causes PC managers to place importance on
measuring and managing credit risk and interest rate risk.
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Recent Trends
PC industry was not very profitable during 1987 - 2003.
Succession of catastrophes Hurricane Hugo 1989, San Francisco Earthquake
1991, Oakland fires 1991, Hurricane Andrew 1991 Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne in rapid
succession generated claims comparable to Andrew. Effect on Florida PC companies yet to be discerned
Trough of underwriting cycle. More recently, September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks
created an insurance crisis (and heightened demand).
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Regulation
PC insurers chartered and regulated by state commissions.
State guaranty funds National Association of Insurance
Commissioners (NAIC) provides various services to state regulatory commissions. Includes Insurance Regulatory Information
System (IRIS). Some lines face rate regulation.
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Global Issues
Insurance industry becoming more global Regulatory and tax effects in Cayman
Islands and Bahamas Introduction and acceleration of insurance
market reforms cross-country mergers (insurance companies as
well as universal banks)
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World’s Largest Life Insurers
Revenues
($millions) Country
ING Group 88,102Netherlands
AXA Group 62,051 France
Nippon Life Insurance 61,175 Japan
Assicurazioni Generali 55,105 Italy
Aviva 53,723 UK
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World’s Largest P & C Insurers
Revenues
($millions) Country
Allianz 74,178 Germany
American Int’l Group 44,637 US
Munich Re Group 41,974Germany
State Farm Insurance 40,656 US
Berkshire Hathaway 39,962 US
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Pertinent Websites
A.M. Best: www.ambest.comFederal Reserve: www.federalreserve.govInsurance Information Institute: www.iii.orgInsurance Services Offices: www.iso.comNational Association of Insurance
Commissioners: www.naic.orgState of NY Insurance Guarantee Fund:
www.ins.state.ny.us