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INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY IN THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES 17.11.2011 Mathematical Challenges within the Automotive Industry

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  • INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY IN THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES

    17.11.2011

    Mathematical Challenges within the Automotive Industry

  • INDEX

    21/11/11 2

    • OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

    • MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR

    • CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

  • INDEX

    21/11/11 3

    • OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

    • MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR

    • CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

  • The automotive industry at a

    glance…

  • It is a sector in crisis…

    And will hit the 100 million mark in 2020

    Global production established a

    new record in 2010 with a 67

    million vehicle output

  • Low impact on today’s

    economic scene…

    3% Europe’s GDP

    6 million direct jobs y

    12 million indirect jobs

  • Scarce research efforts…

    Leading industry, just

    ahead of

    pharmaceutics

    20 billion annually in

    Europe

  • Will dissapear as we know

    it with the electric vehicle…

    In 2020 only 1,2 % of the

    vehicles will be fully electric

  • But it faces new

    challenges…

    …which need to be understood

    and tackled

  • Como la globalización…

    Nuestro mercado ya es el

    mundo, con todo lo que conlleva

    Such as globalization…

    Our market is the world, with

    all the associated implications

  • The entrance of new

    competitors in our clients…

    Most of whom are unknown to

    us

  • Growth in emerging

    markets…

    Such as China, India, Brazil

    o Russia

  • Alejamiento mercados

    emergentes…

    A China, India, Brasil o Rusia

    Technological changes in

    the vehicles…

    New materials, integration of

    electronics…

  • Alejamiento mercados

    emergentes…

    A China, India, Brasil o Rusia

    Aumento del papel de los

    proveedores…

    En diseñar, en desarrollar, en

    producir,…

    Resposibility transfer down

    from the OEMs…

    In design, development and

    production stages…

  • Alejamiento mercados

    emergentes…

    A China, India, Brasil o Rusia

    Con reducción continua de

    costes…

    Una de las industrias más

    exigentes y eficientes

    Continuous cost reduction

    Among the most demanding and

    efficient industries

  • Alejamiento mercados

    emergentes…

    A China, India, Brasil o Rusia

    Con incremento de

    materias primas…

    No pudiendo siempre

    repercutirlo a los clientes

    Increase in raw

    materiales…

    May not always be passed on

    to customers

  • Alejamiento mercados

    emergentes…

    A China, India, Brasil o Rusia

    Higher safety and

    environmental standards…

    Lead to new mobility solutions

    and new business models

  • INDEX

    21/11/11 18

    • OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

    • MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR

    • CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

  • Energy & Environment

    21/11/11

    • Efficiency increase in gasoline engines • Efficiency increase in diesel engines • Specific engines for hybrid applications • Improvement in the engine’s tribological systems.

    Efficiency increase in internal combustion engines

    • Second generation of biofuels • Specification set up for alternative fuels

    Development of alternative fuels

    • Fuel cell technology development • Hydrogen production from renewable sources • Hydrogen storage and distribution systems

    New propulsion strategies

    • Designed for life cycle • Noise and emission reduction

    Environmental efficiency increase of other products and processes

    19

    Electric vehicle

  • ImprovedVehicle Fuel Economy &Emissions

    DisplacePetroleum

    EnergyDiversity

    Hybrid ElectricVehicles (including

    Plug-In HEV)IC Engine andTransmissionImprovements

    Hydrogen Fuel Cell

    Petroleum (Conventional & Alternative Sources)

    Bio Fuels (Ethanol E85, Bio-diesel)

    Hydrogen

    Electricity (Conventional & Alternative Sources)

    Battery ElectricVehicles (E-Flex)

    Time

    Full and plug-in hybrids incl. range extender concepts

    High reliability, best availability

    Powertrains suitable for bio-mass based fuels

    Fuel efficiency and low cost powertrains

    Efficient powertrain systems – downsizing and mild hybridization (incl. Diesel)

    Powertrains based on alternative fuels (incl. E-drive)

    Full hybrids based on efficient SI engines (niche fleets with FC)

    Regional diversification of requirements leads to diversification of powertrain technologies

    21/11/11 20

    Customer requirements and trends Prospects of new technologies

  • Transport & Mobility

    21/11/11

    • Driver information assistance systems about road conditions • Urban traffic management efficient systems • Efficient use of differente transport systems by means of improved multimodal interfaces • Development of an open source Intelligent Transport Systems for the improvement of multimodal logistic transport

    Advanced, efficient, cooperative traffic management systems

    • Complementary modularization principles and architechture development for vehicles and transport of goods • New design and concepts of commercial vehicles

    New vehicle concepts

    21

  • Safety and Security

    21/11/11 22

    • Advaced driver assistance systems • Driver monitoring systems • Driver-vehicle interface

    On-boardriver assistance systems for accident avoidance or impact minimization

    • Low cost pre-crahs system • Low cost and high reliability sensor and actuator network development • Reliability of software systems • Integrated vehicle safety • Driver autonomous assistance on specific situations • Vehicle stability systems (Anti-lock Braking System, Electronic Stability Control, Electronic Brake Assist System)

    Increase in passive and active safety

    • Accident prevention or consequence minimization in cooperative safety systems • Data merging and processing gathered from a network of sensors in a cooperative environment • Post-accident communications

    Vehicle-infrastructure data exchange cooperative systems

    • Security increase in road freight transport • Monitorization and tracking of special or dangerous goods’ transport

    Freight transport security

    • Human body modelization for virtual simulation of advanced protection systems • Driver behaviour analysis

    Virtual systems and studies for the development of new safety systems

  • Efficiency & Competitiveness

    21/11/11

    • Efficient use of raw materials and end of life reuse • Research and use of sustainable alternative materials • Development and integration of adaptative material systems in vehicle structures • Component and system performance improvement from intelligent materials focusing on the integration of nanostructures and nanotechnologies in macrosystems (reduced weight and energy consumption. Higher

    efficiency)

    Technological development of advanced and sustainable materials

    • Vehicle and subsystem sustainable manufacturing • Manufacturing flexible processes • Advanced and adaptative manufacturing strategies and processes

    Flexible, efficient and sustainable manufacturing

    • Virtual tools for energy consumption optimization • Digital manufacturing • Virtual engineering for product and process performance management along the entire life cycle.

    Virtual tools for design, development and manufacturing

    23

  • Comfort & Customization

    21/11/11

    • Variety of options • Reconfiguration • Innovation in interior parts’ functional integration • Lighter and more compact seat systems • Desiging towards elderly people needs

    Customization and perceived quality development

    24

  • INDEX

    21/11/11 25

    • OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

    • MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR

    • CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS

  • 21/11/11 26

    New materials and

    advanced

    components

    Embedded systems

    Power electronics Vehicle

    electrification

    Advanced automation and control

    Integrated

    communication systems

    Modeling, simulation, forecasting

    and optimization

    Sensing and measurement

  • 21/11/11 27

    New materials

    and advanced

    components

    Embedded systems

    Power electronics Vehicle

    electrification

    Advanced automation and control

    Integrated

    communication systems

    Modeling, simulation,

    forecasting and optimization

    Sensing and measurement

  • 21/11/11

    Comfort Handling

    Reliability

    Energy Efficiency

    28 Safety

  • 21/11/11 29

    Assymetric

    collision test

    analysis

    through finite

    element

    analysis

    method

    Energy Efficiency / Performance

    Real-time engine optimization

    Efficient in-vehicle energy management

    Lightweight technologies implementation

    Powertrain electrification

    Battery management optimization

    Comfort

    Continuous road surface monitoring

    Cockpit ergonomics optimization

    Cabin temperature and humidity control

    Driver recognition based configuration

    Handling

    Real-time vehicle dynamics control

    Reliability

    Component and subass evaluation

    New material introduction evaluation

    Virtual prototyping

    Safety

    Advanced driver assistance systems

    Comprehensive passive safety systems

    Ultra high strength steel and composite usage

    Hybrid Propulsion System Modeling Levels and Simulation Framework

  • 21/11/11 30

    • Challenges: interdisciplinarity of software, electrical and mechanical engineering • Electronics: sensors/actuators, ECUs and power electronics • ECU proliferation: mechanical parts + information/entertainment • Vehicle electrification • Advanced materials • New joining technologies • …

    • “do things as early as possible”

    • Model-based Testing of Automotive Systems • Consistency of tools and model throughout the environments:

    MiL

    SiL

    HiL

    Test Bed

    Road

    • Plant model: ENGINE+DRIVETRAIN+TIRE+SUSPENSION+BRAKE+ROAD TRAFFIX+DRIVER • Real time behavior, robustness to signals, etc. • Novel methods and tools for system-level analysis and modeling are for predictability,

    composability and providing guidance and support to the designer

  • 21/11/11 31

    Sustainability High-productivity

    ICT-enabled intelligence Materials efficiency and processing

  • 21/11/11 32

    Sustainable manufacturing

    Human-robot collaboration (voice recognition, natural

    language and gesture comprehension)

    Machinery customisation

    Optimisation of working architectures, methods

    Virtual ergonomics

    Environmental impact assesment

    High productivity manufacturing

    Adaptive production equipment

    Rapid micro-manufacturing

    Integrated compact system design

    Proactive control

    Advanced decision-making tools

    Defect-tolerant configurations

    ICT-enabled intelligent manufacturing

    Life-cycle management

    Multivariable control

    Digital manufacturing

    Supply chain real-time monitoring

    Advanced maintenance

    Materials in manufacturing

    Additive production or “net-shape” methods

    Material consumption parameters integration

    High-performance material manufacturing

    Advanced

    human motion

    capture

    technology in

    combination

    with human

    modeling

    software to

    improve

    workstation

    ergonomics

    Digital manufacturing allows for a flexible

    and more responsive process

  • 21/11/11 33

    • Multivariable, multiprocess and multilocation manufacturing • Flexible manufacturing and agile manufacturing techniques to address a multiple

    location supplier strategy.

    • Digital modeling of factories to reduce the need for physical prototyping and construction of pilot plants.

    • Virtual factories to support the management of ever more complex supply chains between manufacturing plants around the world.

    • New monitoring and control techniques of multiple variable processes to manufacture more sophisticated products in shorter cycle times (stochastic control).

    • Increased interaction between machines and people, enhancement of human-robot collaboration (human centered production environments).

    • Manufacturing processes for new high-performing materials • Effective systems to implement addition of new features to materials during the

    manufacturing processes so as to increase the value of the final product.

    • Integration of material consumption parameters in modelling algorithms to analyze and optimize manufacturing chain in terms of resource efficiency.

  • 21/11/11 34

    Integration of

    vehicle in

    transport

    infrastructure

    Optimal use of road, traffic and travel data

    Road safety and security

  • 21/11/11 35

    Optimal use of road, traffic and travel data

    Real time traffic and travel information

    Optimized collection and provision of road,

    traffic and travel data

    Availability of accurate public data for digital maps

    Traffic safety information services

    Promotion of multimodal journey planners

    Road safety and security

    Promotion of advanced driver assistance

    systems and safety-related ITS

    eCall

    Safe onboard human-machine interfaces

    Vulnerable road users

    Integration of the vehicle into the transport

    infrastructure

    Cooperative systems

    I2I, V2I, V2V communication

    Standardisation Development

    of a common

    ITS

    framework

    architecture

    Macroscopic, microscopic and mesoscopic model networks

    serve as a basis for a travel demand forecasting model

  • 21/11/11 36

    • Consistency and robustness of integrated communication systems. • Advanced in-vehicle monitoring techniques to gather reliable traffic information. • Flexible communication arquitectures to incorporate ever more complex data

    systems.

    • Development of simpler, more intuitive human interfaces that gather a wider array of data and deliver it in the appropiate timing and fashion.

    • Modeling and simulation of future driving scenarios • Mathematical generation of random velocity profiles representative of diverse

    scenarios (e.g. Markov chain models).

    • Montecarlo studies of PHEV, BEV energy analysis • Need of risk analysis, likehood than an event will occur • New agents participating in the supply chai

  • 21/11/11 37

    Main areas of innovation focused on energy & environment, transport & mobility, safety & security,

    efficiency & competitiveness, confort and customization

    Mathematicals models involve development in three main areas: vehicles systems, manufacturing and ITS

    Technological changes and new business models require efficient tools for decisions makers (strategic and

    technical)

    MBT: Consistency of tools and model throughout the environments: MiL/SiL, HiL, Test Bed, Chassis Dyno,

    Road

    Embedded Systems: Novel methods and tools for system-level analysis and modeling are for predictability,

    composability and providing guidance

    Consistent models to respond to multivariable, multiprocess and multilocation manufacturing

    ITS: Consistency and robustness of integrated communication systems; modeling and simulation of future

    driving scenarios

  • Thank you Gracias Eskerrik asko Parque Empresarial Boroa, P2A-4 || 48340 Amorebieta-Etxano || tel.: +34 94 656 9400 || [email protected]