innovation and technology in the automotive · 2011. 11. 21. · innovation and technology in the...
TRANSCRIPT
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INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY IN THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
17.11.2011
Mathematical Challenges within the Automotive Industry
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INDEX
21/11/11 2
• OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
• MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR
• CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS
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INDEX
21/11/11 3
• OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
• MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR
• CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS
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The automotive industry at a
glance…
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It is a sector in crisis…
And will hit the 100 million mark in 2020
Global production established a
new record in 2010 with a 67
million vehicle output
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Low impact on today’s
economic scene…
3% Europe’s GDP
6 million direct jobs y
12 million indirect jobs
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Scarce research efforts…
Leading industry, just
ahead of
pharmaceutics
20 billion annually in
Europe
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Will dissapear as we know
it with the electric vehicle…
In 2020 only 1,2 % of the
vehicles will be fully electric
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But it faces new
challenges…
…which need to be understood
and tackled
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Como la globalización…
Nuestro mercado ya es el
mundo, con todo lo que conlleva
Such as globalization…
Our market is the world, with
all the associated implications
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The entrance of new
competitors in our clients…
Most of whom are unknown to
us
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Growth in emerging
markets…
Such as China, India, Brazil
o Russia
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Alejamiento mercados
emergentes…
A China, India, Brasil o Rusia
Technological changes in
the vehicles…
New materials, integration of
electronics…
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Alejamiento mercados
emergentes…
A China, India, Brasil o Rusia
Aumento del papel de los
proveedores…
En diseñar, en desarrollar, en
producir,…
Resposibility transfer down
from the OEMs…
In design, development and
production stages…
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Alejamiento mercados
emergentes…
A China, India, Brasil o Rusia
Con reducción continua de
costes…
Una de las industrias más
exigentes y eficientes
Continuous cost reduction
Among the most demanding and
efficient industries
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Alejamiento mercados
emergentes…
A China, India, Brasil o Rusia
Con incremento de
materias primas…
No pudiendo siempre
repercutirlo a los clientes
Increase in raw
materiales…
May not always be passed on
to customers
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Alejamiento mercados
emergentes…
A China, India, Brasil o Rusia
Higher safety and
environmental standards…
Lead to new mobility solutions
and new business models
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INDEX
21/11/11 18
• OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
• MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR
• CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS
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Energy & Environment
21/11/11
• Efficiency increase in gasoline engines • Efficiency increase in diesel engines • Specific engines for hybrid applications • Improvement in the engine’s tribological systems.
Efficiency increase in internal combustion engines
• Second generation of biofuels • Specification set up for alternative fuels
Development of alternative fuels
• Fuel cell technology development • Hydrogen production from renewable sources • Hydrogen storage and distribution systems
New propulsion strategies
• Designed for life cycle • Noise and emission reduction
Environmental efficiency increase of other products and processes
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Electric vehicle
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ImprovedVehicle Fuel Economy &Emissions
DisplacePetroleum
EnergyDiversity
Hybrid ElectricVehicles (including
Plug-In HEV)IC Engine andTransmissionImprovements
Hydrogen Fuel Cell
Petroleum (Conventional & Alternative Sources)
Bio Fuels (Ethanol E85, Bio-diesel)
Hydrogen
Electricity (Conventional & Alternative Sources)
Battery ElectricVehicles (E-Flex)
Time
Full and plug-in hybrids incl. range extender concepts
High reliability, best availability
Powertrains suitable for bio-mass based fuels
Fuel efficiency and low cost powertrains
Efficient powertrain systems – downsizing and mild hybridization (incl. Diesel)
Powertrains based on alternative fuels (incl. E-drive)
Full hybrids based on efficient SI engines (niche fleets with FC)
Regional diversification of requirements leads to diversification of powertrain technologies
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Customer requirements and trends Prospects of new technologies
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Transport & Mobility
21/11/11
• Driver information assistance systems about road conditions • Urban traffic management efficient systems • Efficient use of differente transport systems by means of improved multimodal interfaces • Development of an open source Intelligent Transport Systems for the improvement of multimodal logistic transport
Advanced, efficient, cooperative traffic management systems
• Complementary modularization principles and architechture development for vehicles and transport of goods • New design and concepts of commercial vehicles
New vehicle concepts
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Safety and Security
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• Advaced driver assistance systems • Driver monitoring systems • Driver-vehicle interface
On-boardriver assistance systems for accident avoidance or impact minimization
• Low cost pre-crahs system • Low cost and high reliability sensor and actuator network development • Reliability of software systems • Integrated vehicle safety • Driver autonomous assistance on specific situations • Vehicle stability systems (Anti-lock Braking System, Electronic Stability Control, Electronic Brake Assist System)
Increase in passive and active safety
• Accident prevention or consequence minimization in cooperative safety systems • Data merging and processing gathered from a network of sensors in a cooperative environment • Post-accident communications
Vehicle-infrastructure data exchange cooperative systems
• Security increase in road freight transport • Monitorization and tracking of special or dangerous goods’ transport
Freight transport security
• Human body modelization for virtual simulation of advanced protection systems • Driver behaviour analysis
Virtual systems and studies for the development of new safety systems
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Efficiency & Competitiveness
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• Efficient use of raw materials and end of life reuse • Research and use of sustainable alternative materials • Development and integration of adaptative material systems in vehicle structures • Component and system performance improvement from intelligent materials focusing on the integration of nanostructures and nanotechnologies in macrosystems (reduced weight and energy consumption. Higher
efficiency)
Technological development of advanced and sustainable materials
• Vehicle and subsystem sustainable manufacturing • Manufacturing flexible processes • Advanced and adaptative manufacturing strategies and processes
Flexible, efficient and sustainable manufacturing
• Virtual tools for energy consumption optimization • Digital manufacturing • Virtual engineering for product and process performance management along the entire life cycle.
Virtual tools for design, development and manufacturing
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Comfort & Customization
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• Variety of options • Reconfiguration • Innovation in interior parts’ functional integration • Lighter and more compact seat systems • Desiging towards elderly people needs
Customization and perceived quality development
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INDEX
21/11/11 25
• OVERVIEW OF THE AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY
• MAIN AREAS OF INNOVATION WITHIN THE SECTOR
• CONTRIBUTION OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS
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21/11/11 26
New materials and
advanced
components
Embedded systems
Power electronics Vehicle
electrification
Advanced automation and control
Integrated
communication systems
Modeling, simulation, forecasting
and optimization
Sensing and measurement
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New materials
and advanced
components
Embedded systems
Power electronics Vehicle
electrification
Advanced automation and control
Integrated
communication systems
Modeling, simulation,
forecasting and optimization
Sensing and measurement
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21/11/11
Comfort Handling
Reliability
Energy Efficiency
28 Safety
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21/11/11 29
Assymetric
collision test
analysis
through finite
element
analysis
method
Energy Efficiency / Performance
Real-time engine optimization
Efficient in-vehicle energy management
Lightweight technologies implementation
Powertrain electrification
Battery management optimization
Comfort
Continuous road surface monitoring
Cockpit ergonomics optimization
Cabin temperature and humidity control
Driver recognition based configuration
Handling
Real-time vehicle dynamics control
Reliability
Component and subass evaluation
New material introduction evaluation
Virtual prototyping
Safety
Advanced driver assistance systems
Comprehensive passive safety systems
Ultra high strength steel and composite usage
Hybrid Propulsion System Modeling Levels and Simulation Framework
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• Challenges: interdisciplinarity of software, electrical and mechanical engineering • Electronics: sensors/actuators, ECUs and power electronics • ECU proliferation: mechanical parts + information/entertainment • Vehicle electrification • Advanced materials • New joining technologies • …
• “do things as early as possible”
• Model-based Testing of Automotive Systems • Consistency of tools and model throughout the environments:
MiL
SiL
HiL
Test Bed
Road
• Plant model: ENGINE+DRIVETRAIN+TIRE+SUSPENSION+BRAKE+ROAD TRAFFIX+DRIVER • Real time behavior, robustness to signals, etc. • Novel methods and tools for system-level analysis and modeling are for predictability,
composability and providing guidance and support to the designer
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Sustainability High-productivity
ICT-enabled intelligence Materials efficiency and processing
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21/11/11 32
Sustainable manufacturing
Human-robot collaboration (voice recognition, natural
language and gesture comprehension)
Machinery customisation
Optimisation of working architectures, methods
Virtual ergonomics
Environmental impact assesment
High productivity manufacturing
Adaptive production equipment
Rapid micro-manufacturing
Integrated compact system design
Proactive control
Advanced decision-making tools
Defect-tolerant configurations
ICT-enabled intelligent manufacturing
Life-cycle management
Multivariable control
Digital manufacturing
Supply chain real-time monitoring
Advanced maintenance
Materials in manufacturing
Additive production or “net-shape” methods
Material consumption parameters integration
High-performance material manufacturing
Advanced
human motion
capture
technology in
combination
with human
modeling
software to
improve
workstation
ergonomics
Digital manufacturing allows for a flexible
and more responsive process
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• Multivariable, multiprocess and multilocation manufacturing • Flexible manufacturing and agile manufacturing techniques to address a multiple
location supplier strategy.
• Digital modeling of factories to reduce the need for physical prototyping and construction of pilot plants.
• Virtual factories to support the management of ever more complex supply chains between manufacturing plants around the world.
• New monitoring and control techniques of multiple variable processes to manufacture more sophisticated products in shorter cycle times (stochastic control).
• Increased interaction between machines and people, enhancement of human-robot collaboration (human centered production environments).
• Manufacturing processes for new high-performing materials • Effective systems to implement addition of new features to materials during the
manufacturing processes so as to increase the value of the final product.
• Integration of material consumption parameters in modelling algorithms to analyze and optimize manufacturing chain in terms of resource efficiency.
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Integration of
vehicle in
transport
infrastructure
Optimal use of road, traffic and travel data
Road safety and security
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Optimal use of road, traffic and travel data
Real time traffic and travel information
Optimized collection and provision of road,
traffic and travel data
Availability of accurate public data for digital maps
Traffic safety information services
Promotion of multimodal journey planners
Road safety and security
Promotion of advanced driver assistance
systems and safety-related ITS
eCall
Safe onboard human-machine interfaces
Vulnerable road users
Integration of the vehicle into the transport
infrastructure
Cooperative systems
I2I, V2I, V2V communication
Standardisation Development
of a common
ITS
framework
architecture
Macroscopic, microscopic and mesoscopic model networks
serve as a basis for a travel demand forecasting model
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• Consistency and robustness of integrated communication systems. • Advanced in-vehicle monitoring techniques to gather reliable traffic information. • Flexible communication arquitectures to incorporate ever more complex data
systems.
• Development of simpler, more intuitive human interfaces that gather a wider array of data and deliver it in the appropiate timing and fashion.
• Modeling and simulation of future driving scenarios • Mathematical generation of random velocity profiles representative of diverse
scenarios (e.g. Markov chain models).
• Montecarlo studies of PHEV, BEV energy analysis • Need of risk analysis, likehood than an event will occur • New agents participating in the supply chai
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Main areas of innovation focused on energy & environment, transport & mobility, safety & security,
efficiency & competitiveness, confort and customization
Mathematicals models involve development in three main areas: vehicles systems, manufacturing and ITS
Technological changes and new business models require efficient tools for decisions makers (strategic and
technical)
MBT: Consistency of tools and model throughout the environments: MiL/SiL, HiL, Test Bed, Chassis Dyno,
Road
Embedded Systems: Novel methods and tools for system-level analysis and modeling are for predictability,
composability and providing guidance
Consistent models to respond to multivariable, multiprocess and multilocation manufacturing
ITS: Consistency and robustness of integrated communication systems; modeling and simulation of future
driving scenarios
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