information diffusion: model, data, and...
TRANSCRIPT
Information Diffusion: Model, Data, and Prediction
Alibaba Research Center for Complexity SciencesHangzhou Normal University
Zi-Ke Zhang [email protected]
Collaborators: Chuang Liu, Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Gui-Quan Sun, Zhen Jin, Jonathan Jianhua Zhu
Related References• PRL 86 (2001) 3200;
• Nature 457 (2009) 1012;
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……
Data of two dynamics
Both dynamics show high correlations.
Disease: the first outbreak is lower than the second one;
Information: the first outbreak is higher than the second one!
Zhan et al. Applied Mathematics and
Computation 332 (2018) 437–448
Model• Disease states: S,I
• Information states: aware(+), unaware(-)
• Set of individuals’ states:
• Other parameters:
FIG. 2: Flow diagram of SIS model.
IISS ,,,
0 , 1S I
1
Model analysis
• Information diffusion inhibits the spread of epidemic:
• (a) Slow down the speed.
• (b) Reduce the final infected size.
Model analysis
• Pairwise model is more accurate.
FIG. 4: The analysis of the spreading process of the SIS model:
SIS simulation (pink circle), SIS pairwise model (green solid line)
and Classical SIS model (blue dashed line).
Model analysis
• The infection density has a power-law against time evolution at the critical point:
Figure 6: (Color online) Infection density as a function of β with the
pairwise analysis. The inset is the infection density as a function of time
with the pairwise analysis around the threshold.
DATA
•Microblogging systems: (i)China Sina Weibo; (ii)Twitter
• Sina Weibo: over 1,400,000 stories; 10,000,000 retweets;
2,400,000 users; and social network (followship) of 8,000,000
directed links.
•Twitter: over 2,000,000 stories; 150,000,000 retweets; 8,000,000
users; and social network (followship) of 100,000,000 directed
links.
In preparation
Predictability of the cascade
DATA :
• Motif Type (Entroy
• Timespan to form the
corresponding motif• Time retweeted by HubR
• Number of nodes
evolved within initial time
In preparation
Related publications
• Zi-Ke Zhang*, Chuang Liu, Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Xin Lu, Chu-Xu Zhang, Yi-Cheng Zhang*. Dynamics of information diffusion and its applications on complex networks. Physics Reports. 651 (2016) 1-34.
• Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Chuang Liu, Ge Zhou, Zi-Ke Zhang*, Gui-Quan Sun, Jonathan J. H. Zhu. Zhen Jin. Coupling dynamics of epidemic spreading and information diffusion on complex networks. Applied Mathematics and Computation 332 (2018) 437–448
• Jiao Wu, Muhua Zheng*, Zi-Ke Zhang, Wei Wang, Changgui Gu*, and Zonghua Liu. A model of spreading of sudden events on social networks. Chaos 28 (2018) 033113
• Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Chuang Liu*, Gui-Quan Sun, Zi-Ke Zhang*. Epidemic Dynamics On Information-Driven Adaptive Networks. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 108 (2018) 196–204
• Chuang Liu, Zi-Ke Zhang*. Information spreading on dynamic social networks. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation. 19(4)(2014)896–904.
• Chuang Liu, Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Zi-Ke Zhang*, Gui-Quan Sun, Pak Ming Hui. How Events Determine Spreading Patterns: Information Transmission via Internal and External Influences on Social Networks. New Journal of Physics. 17 (2015) 113045.
• Gui-Quan Sun, Zi-Ke Zhang,Global stability for a sheep brucellosis model with immigration. Applied Mathematics and Computation. 246 (2014) 336-345
• Xiu-Xiu Zhan, Chuang Liu*, Zi-Ke Zhang and Gui.-Quan Sun. Roles of edge weights on epidemic spreading dynamics. Physica A 456, 228-234, 2016.
• Ye Sun, Chuang Liu*, Chu-Xu Zhang and Zi-Ke Zhang*. Epidemic Spreading on Weighted Complex Networks. Physics Letters A 378 (2014) 635–640.