influence of windblown dust on snowmelt timing in the rocky mountains, usa [david clow]
DESCRIPTION
Influence of windblown dust on snowmelt timing in the Rocky Mountains, USA. Presented by David Clow at the "Perth II: Global Change and the World's Mountains" conference in Perth, Scotland in September 2010.TRANSCRIPT
Influence of Windblown Dust on
Snowmelt Timing in the Rocky
Mountains, USA
David W. Clow1
Mark Williams2
George Ingersoll1
1. U.S. Geological Survey
2. University of Colorado, Boulder
Using Calcium as an indicator of dust
Snowmelt is Occurring Earlier
In Colorado, Snowmelt
and Streamflow are
Ocurring 2 Weeks Earlier
than in the Late 1970s
What are the Drivers?
Clow (2010), J. Climate
Trend in Snowmelt Onset
Dust is One Driver of Early Melt
Dust changes snowpack albedo
Other Drivers Include:
Increasing Air Temperature
Decreasing Snowfall
Photo from Niwot Ridge, spring 2006
Key questions:
What is the Spatial Pattern
of Dust Deposition in the
Rocky Mountains?
Are there trends in Dust
Deposition?
What is the Relative
Importance of Dust in
Controlling Snowmelt
Timing?
Problem: Data are Sparse
Little dust data for Rocky
Mountains
Makes analysis of the
influence of dust on
snowmelt timing
problematic
Can We Take Advantage of Existing Snow
Chemistry Data?
Dust contains Calcite
Calcite dissolves readily,
releasing Ca and HCO3
(alkalinity)
Reflected in precipitation
Chemistry
Hypothesis: Calcium can be Used as Indicator of Dust Deposition
Rocky Mountain Snowpack has Chemical
Signature of Calcite
57 Sites Sampled Annually
in Rockies during 1992-
2009
PCA identified the
following components:
Alk, Ca, Mg (dust)
NH4, NO3, SO4 (acids)
Na, Cl (salt)
Explained 75% of
Variance in Chemistry
1 2 3
Alk 0.77 0.16 0.33
Ca 0.82 -0.27 0.27
Mg 0.79 -0.35 0.23
Na 0.17 -0.15 0.92
K 0.69 -0.02 -0.04
NH4 -0.13 -0.69 0.13
Cl
0.21 -0.05 0.90
NO3 0.24 -0.85 0.08
SO4 0.22 -0.88 -0.01
Principal
Components
Dusty Snow Layers Contain Calcite
Major dust event in February 2006
Dust Layer was Sampled at 14 Sites in Colorado
Samples Analyzed for Ca, Alkalinity, Dust
Concentrations
Dust Layers had a Strong Calcite Signature
Feb 2006 dust layer, Niwot Ridge
Dust often Originates in Desert Southwest
Typical Transport Trajectory
Feb 14 - 15, 2006
Spatial Patterns: Wet Deposition of Calcium
2007
Spatial Patterns: Snowpack Ca Increases
from North to South
1992-2009
averages
Alk and Mg
show same
pattern
Ca can be
used as
surrogate for
dust
Winter
Trends in Winter Ca during 1992 - 2009
Trends were
Analyzed using
the Regional
Kendall Test
(RKT)
60% of groups
had significant
trends (all up)
Trends were
Strongest in
South-Central
Rockies
Winter
Trends in Springtime Ca in Wet Deposition
Relatively few
Significant trends
A few Upward
Trends in Northern
Colorado
Climate and Dust Affect
Snowmelt Timing
Snowmelt Onset Snowmelt Center of Mass
Conclusions Dust deposition increases from north to
south in the Rockies
Trends in Dust Deposition were variable
Increasing trends in northern
Colorado, but magnitude uncertain
Major Drivers of Snowmelt Timing in the
Rockies include:
Increasing Springtime Air
Temperatures
Decreasing Snowfall
Increasing Dust Concentrations
Acknowledgements
Funding Provided by
USGS Office of Global Change
Water, Energy, and
Biogeochemical Budgets
program
National Science Foundation
Long-Term Ecological Research
program
Future Directions
Prepare Manuscript
Incorporate Dust Effect in
Hydrological Models
(PRMS)