industry trends q2 fy 2019-20 trends q2 fy 2019-2… · industry trends q2 fy 2019-20 ... industry...

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Industry Trends Q2 FY 2019-20


Subscriber Base

Industry Subs base The total Subscriber figures has shown an little up-wordtrend in Q2FY20. total Industry subscriber base reached 119.5Crores.

Source: TRAI PMR

Industry Subs base

(in crores) Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY20 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Total Subscriber base

120.7 119.1 120.6 116.8 119.14 119.8 118.4 118.7 119.5

% change -0.33% 1.26% -3.15% 2.00% 0.54% -1.20% 0.26% 0.72%

120.7

119.1

120.6

116.8

119.1

119.8

118.4118.7

119.5

-0.33%

1.26%

-3.15%

2.00%0.54%

-1.20%

0.26%

0.72%

-4.00%

-3.00%

-2.00%

-1.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

114.0

115.0

116.0

117.0

118.0

119.0

120.0

121.0

Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Industry Total Subscriber base

Total Subscriber base % change

In C

rore

s

Gro

wth

Rat

e

TSP wise Subscriber base

Source: TRAI PMR

RJio & Airtel saw growth in their Subscriberfigures. While VIL has shown a negative growthrate of 2.87%.

TSP wise Subs base

(in crores) Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Airtel 34.75 34.43 32.94 32.46 33.00

JIO 25.20 28.01 30.67 33.13 35.60

Vodaidea 43.52 41.90 39.52 38.38 37.28

% change of Airtel -0.43% -0.92% -4.33% -1.46% 1.66%

% change of JIO 17.21% 11.15% 9.50% 8.02% 7.46%

% change of Vodaidea 0.05% -3.72% -5.68% -2.88% -2.87%

34.75 34.43 32.94

32.46 33.00

25.20 28.01

30.67

33.13 35.60

43.52 41.90 39.52 38.38

37.28

-

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

50.00

Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Subscriber base

Airtel JIO Vodaidea

In C

rore

s

-0.43%

-0.92%

-4.33%

-1.46%

1.66%

17.21%

11.15%9.50%

8.02% 7.46%

0.05%

-3.72%-5.68% -2.88%

-2.87%

-10.00%

-5.00%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%


Subscriber Growth

% change of Airtel % change of JIO % change of Vodaidea

Gro

wth

Rat

e

Industry Data Subscribers as % of Total Subs

Source: Operators Quarterly results, TRAI

Data Subscribers as a % of total subscriber is increasing consistently and has reached to 52% at the end of the Q2FY20.

(In Crores) Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Data Subs 20.4 23.1 27.3 31.0 48.8 52.8 56.1 59.4 62.0

Total Subs 121 119 121 117 119 120 118 118 120

Data Subs as a % of Total Subs 17% 19% 23% 27% 41% 44% 47% 50% 52%

20.4 23.1 27.3 31.0

48.8 52.8 56.1 59.4 62.0

121 119 121 117 119 120 118 118 120

17%19%

23% 27%41%

44%

47%50% 52%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Data Subs as % of Total Subs

Data Subs Total Subs Data Subs as a % of Total Subs


Voice and Data Usage

Wireless Industry data usage

(in GB)Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Data usage per subs per month 8.52 8.74 9.06 9.77 10.37

% change 0% 3% 4% 8% 6%

Source: TRAI PIR

The Total Industry data usage has increased by 6% in the Sept quarter.

8.52 8.74 9.06

9.77 10.37

3%

4%

8%6%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00


Wireless data usage per subs per month (GB)

Data usage per subs per month % change

Industry voice usage per subs per month

(in minutes)Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

MOU usage per subs per month 608 627 667 692 701 691

% change 4% 3% 6% 4% 1% -1%

Source: TRAI PIR

The Industry Voice usage per subscriber per month hasdecreased 1% in Sept 2019 quarter compared to the lastquarter.

608

627

667

692701

691

4%

3%

6%

4%

1%

-1%-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

560

580

600

620

640

660

680

700

720

Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

Industry voice usage per subs per month

MOU usage per subs per month % change


ARPU

Wireless ARPU

Source: TRAI

Monthly Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for Wireless Services was at Rs.71 at end of the Qtr March 2019.

105

113

121125

83

7671

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

Monthly Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) for Wireless Services (INR)

ARPU Trends (Avg) In Sept Quarter, the ARPU of the wireless services was Rs.74.38, while the data ARPU remained at Rs. 40.48.

Source: TRAI PIR


ARPU (In Rs.) 67 70.13 71.39 74.3 74.38

DATA ARPU (In Rs.) 40 44.97 36.38 40.44 40.48

ARPU growth -2.9% 4.7% 1.8% 4.1% 0.1%

DATA ARPU change 3.1% 12.4% -19.1% 11.2% 0.1%

67 70.13 71.3974.3

74.38

4044.97

36.38 40.4440.48

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80


in IN

R

ARPU trends

ARPU DATA ARPU

-2.9%

4.7%1.8%

4.1%

0.1%

3.1%

12.4%

-19.1%

11.2%

0.1%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%


% c

han

ge

ARPU trends growth

ARPU growth DATA ARPU change

Composition of ARPU

Source: TRAI PIR

Rental Revenue 35.24 40.30%

4.72 5.40%

Revenue from calls 0.85 1.00%

Revenue from SMS 40.48 46.30%

Revenue from data Usage 3.11 3.60%

Revenue from VAS 1.5 1.70%

Other Revenue

Revenue from outroamers 1.45 1.70%

Total revenue from subscribers (1) 87.35 100%

Net inter-operator settlement charges receivable (2) -12.97

Net Revenue (ARPU) per month(1+2) 74.38

Share of Revenue from data usage is around 46.30% of the total Revenue per Subs

Revenue per subs per monthShare of Total Revenue

35.24

4.720.85

40.48

3.11 1.5 1.45

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

RentalRevenue

Revenuefrom calls

Revenuefrom SMS

Revenuefrom data

Usage

Revenuefrom VAS

OtherRevenue

Revenuefrom

outroamers

40.30%

5.40%

1.00%

46.30%

3.60%1.70% 1.70%

Rental Revenue Revenue fromcalls

Revenue fromSMS

Revenue fromdata Usage

Revenue fromVAS

Other Revenue Revenue fromoutroamers

Voice and Data Realisation

Source: TRAI

Voice and Data Realisation has fallen significantly since September 2016.

Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19

Voice realisation 48 44 31 27 24 19 16 14 12 11 13 13 13

growth rate (%) -8% -30% -13% -11% -21% -16% -13% -14% -8% 18% 0% 0%

4844

3127

24

1916

1412 11

13 13 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Se

p-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ma

r-17

Ju

n-1

7

Se

p-1

7

De

c-1

7

Ma

r-18

Ju

n-1

8

Se

p-1

8

De

c-1

8

Ma

r-19

Ju

n-1

9

Se

p-1

9

in p

ais

e/m

in

Voice realisation

18

16

1.9 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.17 1.07 1.02 0.78 0.75 0.68

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Se

p-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ma

r-17

Ju

n-1

7

Se

p-1

7

De

c-1

7

Ma

r-18

Ju

n-1

8

Se

p-1

8

De

c-1

8

Ma

r-19

Ju

n-1

9

Se

p-1

9

in p

ais

e/M

B

Data realisation

Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19

Data realisation 18 16 1.9 1.7 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.17 1.07 1.02 0.78 0.75 0.68

growth rate (%) -11% -88% -11% 24% -14% -22% -16% -9% -5% -24% -4% -9%


Financial Trends

Revenue of Telecom Sector remains under pressureGross Revenue

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Industry GR Lakh Crore 2.13 2.34 2.55 2.64 2.75 2.55

growth rate (%) 10.0% 8.9% 3.6% 4.1% -7.3%

2.13

2.34

2.552.64

2.75

2.55

2.34

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00


GR

(in

Rs

lakh

cro

res)

Industry GR (in Lakh Crores) (FY)

0.62

0.58

0.58

0.59

0.58

0.62

0.60

-6.1%-1.0%

2.0%

-1.0%

5.3%

-2.5%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

0.55

0.56

0.57

0.58

0.59

0.60

0.61

0.62

0.63

Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

GR

(in

Rs

lakh

cro

res)

Industry GR (in Lakh Crores)

Source: TRAI Reports, GR Figures includes revenue from Access ,NLD & ILD


Industry GR Lakh Crore 0.62 0.58 0.58 0.59 0.58 0.62 0.60

growth rate (%) 1.8% -6.1% -1.0% 2.0% -1.0% 5.3% -2.5%

Source: TRAI

Industries AGR for the September Quarter decreased by 4.56%, and remained at Rs.1.45 Lakh Crores

Adjusted Gross Revenue (AGR)

1.41

1.58

1.761.88 1.91

1.561.45

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50


AG

R (

in R

s la

kh c

rore

s)

Industry AGR (in Lakh Crores) (FY)

0.36

0.370.36 0.36 0.36

0.39

0.37

2.39%-1.12%

-0.24% -0.34%

8.88%

-4.56%

-9.00%

-6.00%

-3.00%

0.00%

3.00%

6.00%

9.00%

12.00%

15.00%

0.33

0.34

0.35

0.36

0.37

0.38

0.39

0.40


AG

R (

in R

s la

kh c

rore

s)

Industry AGR (in Lakh Crores)

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Industry AGR Lakh Crore 1.41 1.58 1.76 1.88 1.91 1.56

growth rate (%) 12% 11% -207% 1% -18%


Industry AGR Lakh Crore 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.39 0.37

growth rate (%) -7.37% 2.39% -1.12% -0.24% -0.34% 8.88% -4.56%

Source: Operators Quarterly Results

Industry EBITDA

Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

EBITDA 14.62 13.13 11.38 10.31 9.12 9.96 10.21 9.65 9.09 7.09 8.01 10.04 12.79 13.53

Growth Rate (%) -10.1% -13.3% -9.4% -11.6% 9.2% 2.4% -5.4% -5.8% -22.0% 12.9% 25.4% 27.4% 5.7%

14.62

13.13

11.38

10.31

9.12

9.9610.21

9.659.09

7.09

8.01

10.04

12.7913.53

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

Q1

FY17

Q2

FY17

Q3

FY17

Q4

FY17

Q1

FY18

Q2

FY18

Q3

FY18

Q4

FY18

Q1

FY19

Q2

FY19

Q3

FY19

Q4

FY19

Q1

FY20

Q2

FY20

Industry EBITDA (in '000 Crores)

-10.1%-13.3%

-9.4%

-11.6%

9.2%

2.4%

-5.4% -5.8%

-22.0%

12.9%

25.4%27.4%

5.7%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

Q1

FY17

Q2

FY17

Q3

FY17

Q4

FY17

Q1

FY18

Q2

FY18

Q3

FY18

Q4

FY18

Q1

FY19

Q2

FY19

Q3

FY19

Q4

FY19

Q1

FY20

Q2

FY20

Growth in EBITDA (in %)

Industry EBITDA reached Rs. 13.53 K Crores in September Quarter.

Source: Opeartors Qtr Results, * PBT : Includes 7 Operators Figures i.e. Airtel, RCom, Rjio, Idea , Vodafone, TTML, MTNL. Vodafoneidea (VIL) included from Q2FY19 Onwards, PAT iIncludes 6 Operators Figures i.e.

Airtel, RCom, Rjio, Idea , TTML, MTNL. Vodafoneidea (VIL) included from Q2FY19 Onwards

PBT and PAT of the Industry

Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

PBT 2.22 2.72 -1.26 -18.41 -2.70 -8.54 -0.78 -2.37 -0.23 1.59 -7.42 -6.32 -9.42 -71.20

PAT 0.20 1.16 -1.58 -17.66 -2.70 -9.77 -1.93 -3.08 -1.71 0.67 -5.29 -4.41 -6.84 -78.32

PBT of the Industry reached Rs. -71.20 K Crores , while PAT remained at Rs. - 78.32 K Crores. This is due to the Supreme Court Judgement on the AGR.

2.22 2.72

-1.26

-18.41

-2.70

-8.54

-0.78

-2.37

-0.231.59

-7.42

-6.32

-9.42

-71.20

Q1

FY

17

Q2

FY

17

Q3

FY

17

Q4

FY

17

Q1

FY

18

Q2

FY

18

Q3

FY

18

Q4

FY

18

Q1

FY

19

Q2

FY

19

Q3

FY

19

Q4

FY

19

Q1

FY

20

Q2

FY

20

Industry PBT (in '000 Crores)

0.20

1.16-1.58

-17.66

-2.70

-9.77

-1.93

-3.08

-1.71 0.67

-5.29

-4.41

-6.84

-78.32

Q1

FY

17

Q2

FY

17

Q3

FY

17

Q4

FY

17

Q1

FY

18

Q2

FY

18

Q3

FY

18

Q4

FY

18

Q1

FY

19

Q2

FY

19

Q3

FY

19

Q4

FY

19

Q1

FY

20

Q2

FY

20

Industry PAT (in '000 Crores)

Source: TRAI

Q2FY16 Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q1FY20 Q2FY20

L.F + SUC 48.0 48.0 50.0 51.0 49.0 44.0 40.0 38.0 37.0 36.0 31.6 30.8 30.1 31.5 31.3 34.1 33.0

The Industry Contribution to the Government Exchequer was Rs. 3300 Crores in September Quarter.

48.0 48.050.0 51.0

49.0

44.0

40.038.0 37.0 36.0

31.6 30.8 30.131.5 31.3

34.1 33.0

Q2

FY

16

Q3

FY

16

Q4

FY

16

Q1

FY

17

Q2

FY

17

Q3

FY

17

Q4

FY

17

Q1

FY

18

Q2

FY

18

Q3

FY

18

Q4

FY

18

Q1

FY

19

Q2

FY

19

Q3

FY

19

Q4

FY

19

Q1

FY

20

Q2

FY

20

in b

nLF & SUC

Contribution to Government Exchequer in (Rs. ’00 Crores)


Telecom Infrastructure

Source: TARANG Sanchaar Portal

Total Number of BTS reached 22,33,063 on November 01, 2019.Pan India 2G/3G/4G Coverage

Number of BTS (Technology Wise) (as on November 01, 2019)

BTS Type Count

GSM 5,13,873

CDMA 886

3G 3,49,937

4G 13,66,212

WiMAX 2,155

Total 22,33,063

Thank You

industry trends q2 fy 2019-20 trends q2 fy 2019-2… · industry trends q2 fy 2019-20 ... industry...

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