indc costa rica a summary of the process · indc process costa rica •the process started in...
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DCC 2011
INDC Costa RicaA summary of the process
Partnership Assembly Meeting (PA 12)Barcelona, Spain
May 29 to 30, 2015
INDC Process Costa Rica
• The process started in January 2015 with a workshopwith:– Sector technical counterparts, – INDC national team (DCC-consultants) and – Work Bank technical team.
• In each sector, the technical team has been working inthe identification of mitigation-sequestration options.
• Currently, sector workshops are feeding back themodeling process and the definition of mitigationoptions.
• Technical analysis of main drivers of emissions in everysector.
Drivers analysis: Energy Sector
Electricity demand
Vehicle fleet
Energy sector highlycorrelated with GDP.
Drivers analysis: Industry Sector
Cement production
Drivers analysis: Livestock sector
Beef production
Milk
Drivers analysis: Agriculture sector
Drivers analysis: Forest sector
Distribution of forest cover
Main drivers projection
Population
Gross Domestic Product
1 US$ = ȼ535
INDC Conceptual Framework• Contributions to be defined respect emissions of a reference year.• Feasibility of mitigation options (short and long term) to determine the
targets and year to set the contributions.
Main challenges:• Must C-neutrality be
target of the country contributions?
• Other emission levels (e.g. inventory 2010) can be the target as path to C-neutrality level?
• Which is the target year (2020, 2025, 2030, other?
Mitigation options in transport
Transport moderate scenario
Transport “ambitious” scenario
First set of mitigation options have been identified by sector.
Mitigation options in Solid Waste Management
Marginal Cost Waste Management Sector
Escenario medio
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Escenario medio
Some preliminary results are the marginal cost in some sectors.
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O2e
Cumulative abatement (Million t CO₂e)
Forestry (Alternative Options)
• In forest sector the preliminary analysis focused in strengthen of environmental services payment system (private land).
• The cost are associated to payment and the type of transition (to secondary forest, medium growth forest or old groth forest)
INDC Process: Next phase
• The process is defining options in five sectors:– Electricity,
– Transport,
– Agriculture and livestock
– Industry, and
– Forest
• In July finishes the technical phase with inputs to begin a political validation phase.
• This INDC process has to be complemented with further studies in next stages to evaluate deeply other more ambitious mitigation options.
