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    The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants

    and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer

    by Robert Rector and Jason Richwine, PhD

    SPECIAL REPORT No. 133 | MAY 6, 2013from THE DOMESTIC POLICY STUDIES DEPARTMENT

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    SR-133

    The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants

    and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer

    Robert Rector and Jason Richwine, PhD

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    Thispaperinitsentiretycanbeoundat

    http//reportheritageorg/sr

    ProducedbytheDomesticPolicyStudiesDepartment

    TheHeritageFoundation

    MassachusettsAvenueNEWashingtonDC()-|heritageorg

    NothingwrittenhereistobeconstruedasnecessarilyreectingtheviewsoTheHeritageFoundationorasanattempttoaidorhinderthepassageoanybillbeoreCongress

    About the Authors

    Robert Rectoris Senior Research Fellow in the Domestic Policy StudiesDepartment at The Heritage

    Foundation.

    Jason Richwine, PhD is Senior Policy Analyst or Empirical Studies in the Domestic Policy StudiesDepartment at The Heritage Foundation.

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    iii

    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    Table o Contents

    Executive Summr . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .v

    The Fiscl Cost o Unlwul Immigrnts nd amnest to the U.S. Txper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1

    appendix a . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39

    appendix B . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .43

    appendix C. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45

    appendix D . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47

    appendix E. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53

    appendix F . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59

    appendix G . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .61

    appendix Tbles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .63

    Endnotes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87

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    v

    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants

    and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer

    Robert Rector and Jason Richwine, PhD

    Executive Summary

    Unlwul immigrtion nd mnest or cur-rent unlwul immigrnts cn pose lrge sclcosts or U.S. tx pers. Government provides our

    tpes o benets nd services tht re relevnt to

    this issue:

    Direct benets. These include Socil Securit,Medicre, unemploment insur nce, nd workers

    compenstion.

    Means-tested welare benets. There re over80 o these progrms which, t cost o nerl

    $900 billion per er, provide csh, ood, housing,

    medicl, nd other services to roughl 100 million

    low-income americns. Mjor progrms include

    Medicid, ood stmps, the reundble Erned

    Income Tx Credit, public housing, Supplementl

    Securit Income, nd Temporr assistnce or

    Need Fmilies.

    Public education. at cost o $12,300 per pupilper er, these services re lrgel ree or hevil

    subsidized or low-income prents.

    Population-based services. Police, re, high-ws, prks, nd similr services, s the Ntionl

    acdem o Sciences determined in its stud o

    the scl costs o immigrtion, generll hve to

    expnd s new immigrnts enter communit;

    someone hs to ber the cost o tht expnsion.

    The cost o these governmentl services is r lrg-

    er thn mn people imgine. For exmple, in 2010,

    the verge U.S. household received $31,584 in gov-

    ernment benets nd services in these our ctegories.

    The governmentl sstem is highl redistributive.

    Well-educted households tend to be net tax contribu-

    tors: The txes the p exceed the direct nd mens-

    tested benets, eduction, nd popultion-bsed ser-

    vices the receive. For exmple, in 2010, in the whole

    U.S. popultion, households with college-eductedheds, on verge, received $24,839 in government

    benets while ping $54,089 in txes. The verge

    college-educted household thus generted scl

    surplus o $29,250 tht government used to nnce

    benets or other households.

    Other households re net tax consumers: The ben-

    ets the receive exceed the txes the p. These

    households generte scl decit tht must be

    nnced b txes rom other households or b gov-

    ernment borrowing. For exmple, in 2010, in the U.S.

    popultion s whole, households heded b persons

    without high school degree, on verge, received$46,582 in government benets while ping onl

    $11,469 in txes. This generted n verge scl de-

    icit (benets received minus txes pid) o $35,113.

    The high decits o poorl educted households

    re importnt in the mnest debte becuse the

    tpicl unlwul immigrnt hs onl 10th-grde

    eduction. Hl o unlwul immigrnt households

    re heded b n individul with less thn high

    school degree, nd nother 25 percent o household

    heds hve onl high school degree.

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    vi

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    Some rgue tht the decit gures or poorl

    educted households in the generl popultion

    re not relevnt or immigrnts. Mn believe, or

    exmple, tht lwul immigrnts use little welre.

    In relit, lwul immigrnt households receive

    signicntl more welre, on verge, thn U.S.-

    born households. Overll, the scl decits or sur-

    pluses or lwul immigrnt households re the

    sme s or higher thn those or U.S.-born house-

    holds with the sme eduction level. Poorl edu-

    cted households, whether immigrnt or U.S.-born,

    receive r more in government benets thn the

    p in txes.

    In contrst to lwul immigrnts, unlwul immi-

    grnts t present do not hve ccess to mens-tested

    welre, Socil Securit, or Medicre. This does notmen, however, tht the do not receive government

    benets nd services. Children in unlwul immi-

    grnt households receive hevil subsidized public

    eduction. Mn unlwul immigrnts hve U.S.-

    born children; these children re currentl eligible

    or the ull rnge o government welre nd medicl

    benets. and, o course, when unlwul immigrnts

    live in communit, the use rods, prks, sew-

    ers, police, nd re protection; these services must

    expnd to cover the dded popultion or there will

    be congestion eects tht led to decline in ser-

    vice qulit.In 2010, the verge unlwul immigrnt house-

    hold received round $24,721 in government ben-

    ets nd services while ping some $10,334 in

    txes. This generted n verge nnul scl de-

    cit (benets received minus txes pid) o round

    $14,387 per household. This cost hd to be borne

    b U.S. txpers. amnest would provide unlw-

    ul households with ccess to over 80 mens-test-

    ed welre progrms, Obmcre, Socil Securit,

    nd Medicre. The scl decit or ech household

    would sor.

    I encted, mnest would be implemented inphses. During the rst or interim phse (which is

    likel to lst 13 ers), unlwul immigrnts would

    be given lwul sttus but would be denied ccess to

    mens-tested welre nd Obmcre. Most n-

    lsts ssume tht roughl hl o unlwul immi-

    grnts work o the books nd thereore do not p

    income or FICa txes. During the interim phse,

    these o the books workers would hve strong

    incentive to move to on the books emploment.

    In ddition, their wges would likel go up s the

    sought jobs in more open environment. as result,

    during the interim period, tx pments would rise

    nd the verge scl decit mong ormer unlwul

    immigrnt households would ll.

    ater 13 ers, unlwul immigrnts would

    become eligible or mens-tested welre nd

    Obmcre. at tht point or shortl thereter, or-

    mer unlwul immigrnt households would likel

    begin to receive government benets t the sme

    rte s lwul immigrnt households o the sme

    eduction level. as result, government spending

    nd scl decits would increse drmticll.

    The nl phse o mnest is retirement.

    Unlwul immigrnts re not currentl eligible or

    Socil Securit nd Medicre, but under mnest

    the would become so. The cost o this chnge wouldbe ver lrge indeed.

    as noted, t the current time (beore mnest),the verge unlwul immigrnt household hs

    net decit (benets received minus txes pid) o

    $14,387 per household.

    During the interim phse immeditel termnest, tx pments would increse more thn

    government benets, nd the verge scl de-

    cit or ormer unlwul immigrnt households

    would ll to $11,455.

    at the end o the interim period, unlwul immi-grnts would become eligible or mens-tested

    welre nd medicl subsidies under Obmcre.

    averge benets would rise to $43,900 per

    household; tx pments would remin round

    $16,000; the verge scl decit (benets minus

    txes) would be bout $28,000 per household.

    amnest would lso rise retirement costs bmking unlwul immigrnts eligible or Socil

    Securit nd Medicre, resulting in net scldecit o round $22,700 per retired mnest

    recipient per er.

    In terms o public polic nd government decits,

    n importnt gure is the ggregte nnul decit

    or ll unlwul immigrnt households. This equls

    the totl benets nd services received b ll unlw-

    ul immigrnt households minus the totl txes pid

    b those households.

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    vii

    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    Under current lw, ll unlwul immigrnt house-holds together hve n ggregte nnul decit o

    round $54.5 billion.

    In the interim phse (roughl the rst 13 erster mnest), the ggregte nnul decit

    would ll to $43.4 billion.

    at the end o the interim phse, ormer unlw ulimmigrnt households would become ull eligi-

    ble or mens-tested welre nd helth cre ben-

    ets under the aordble Cre act. The ggregte

    nnul decit would sor to round $106 billion.

    In the retirement phse, the nnul ggregte

    decit would be round $160 billion. It wouldslowl decline s ormer unlwul immigrnts

    grdull expire.

    These costs would hve to be borne b lred

    overburdened U.S. txpers. (all gures re in 2010

    dollrs.)

    The tpicl unlwul immigrnt is 34 ers old.

    ater mnest, this individul will receive govern-

    ment benets, on verge, or 50 ers. Restricting

    ccess to benets or the rst 13 ers ter mnest

    thereore hs onl mrginl impct on long-term

    costs.I mnest is encted, the verge dult unlwul

    immigrnt would receive $592,000 more in govern-

    ment benets over the course o his remining lie-

    time thn he would p in txes.

    Over lietime, the ormer unlwul immigrnts

    together would receive $9.4 trillion in government

    benets nd services nd p $3.1 trillion in txes.

    The would generte lietime scl decit (totl

    benets minus totl txes) o $6.3 trillion. (all g-

    ures re in constnt 2010 dollrs.) This should be

    considered minimum estimte. It probbl under-

    sttes rel uture costs becuse it undercounts thenumber o unlwul immigrnts nd dependents

    who will ctull receive mnest nd underesti-

    mtes signicntl the uture growth in welre nd

    medicl benets.

    The debte bout the scl consequences o

    unlwul nd low-skill immigrtion is hmpered b

    number o misconceptions. Few lwmkers rell

    understnd the current size o government nd the

    scope o redistribution. The ct tht the verge

    household gets $31,600 in government benets ech

    er is shock. The ct tht household heded b

    n individul with less thn high school degree

    gets $46,600 is bigger one.

    Mn conservtives believe tht i n individul

    hs job nd works hrd, he will inevitbl be net

    tx contributor (ping more in txes thn he tkes

    in benets). In our societ, this hs not been true or

    ver long time. Similrl, mn believe tht unlw-

    ul immigrnts work more thn other groups. This is

    lso not true. The emploment rte or non-elderl

    dult unlwul immigrnts is bout the sme s it is

    or the generl popultion.

    Mn policmkers lso believe tht becuse

    unlwul immigrnts re comprtivel oung, the

    will help relieve the scl strins o n ging soci-

    et. Regrettbl, this is not true. at ever stge o thelie ccle, unlwul immigrnts, on verge, gener-

    te scl decits (benets exceed txes). Unlwul

    immigrnts, on verge, re lws tx consumers;

    the never once generte scl surplus tht cn

    be used to p or government benets elsewhere in

    societ. This sitution obviousl will get much worse

    ter mnest.

    Mn policmkers believe tht ter mnes-

    t, unlwul immigrnts will help mke Socil

    Securit solvent. It is true tht unlwul immi-

    grnts currentl p FICa txes nd would p

    more ter mnest, but with verge ernings o$24,800 per er, the tpicl unlwul immigrnt

    will p onl bout $3,700 per er in FICa txes.

    ater retirement, tht individul is likel to drw

    more thn $3.00 in Socil Securit nd Medicre

    (djusted or intion) or ever dollr in FICa

    txes he hs pid.

    Moreover, txes nd benets must be viewed

    holisticll. It is mistke to look t the Socil

    Securit trust und in isoltion. I n individul

    ps $3,700 per er into the Socil Securit trust

    und but simultneousl drws net $25,000 per

    er (benets minus txes) out o generl govern-ment revenue, the solvenc o government hs not

    improved.

    Following mnest, the scl costs o ormer

    unlwul immigrnt households will be roughl the

    sme s those o lwul immigrnt nd non-immi-

    grnt households with the sme level o eduction.

    Becuse U.S. government polic is highl redistrib-

    utive, those costs re ver lrge. Those who clim

    tht mnest will not crete lrge scl burden re

    simpl in stte o denil concerning the underling

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    viii

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    redistributionl nture o government polic in the

    21st centur.

    Finll, some rgue tht it does not mtter wheth-

    er unlwul immigrnts crete scl decit o $6.3

    trillion becuse their children will m ke up or these

    costs. This is not true. Even i ll the children o

    unlwul immigrnts grduted rom college, the

    would be hrd-pressed to p bck $6.3 trillion in

    costs over their lietimes.

    O course, not ll the children o unlwul immi-

    grnts will grdute rom college. Dt on inter-

    genertionl socil mobilit show tht, lthough

    the children o unlwul immigrnts will hve sub-

    stntill better eductionl outcomes thn their

    prents, these chievements will hve limits. Onl

    13 percent re likel to grdute rom college, or

    exmple. Becuse o this, the children, on verge,

    re not likel to become net tx contributors. The

    children o unlwul immigrnts re likel to remin

    net scl burden on U.S. txpers, lthough r

    smller burden thn their prents.

    a nl problem is tht unlw ul immigrtion

    ppers to depress the wges o low-skill U.S.-born

    nd lwul immigrnt workers b 10 percent, or

    $2,300, per er. Unlwul immigrtion lso prob-

    bl drives mn o our most vulnerble U.S.-born

    workers out o the lbor orce entirel. Unlwul

    immigrtion thus mkes it hrder or the lest

    dvntged U.S. citizens to shre in the americn

    drem. This is wrong; public polic should support

    the interests o those who hve right to be here, not

    those who hve broken our lws.

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    1

    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    Introduction

    Ech er, milies nd individuls p txes tothe government nd receive bck wide vri-et o services nd benets. a scl decit occurs

    when the benets nd services received b one group

    exceed the txes pid. When such decit occurs,

    other groups must p or the services nd benets

    o the group in decit. Ech er, thereore, govern-

    ment is involved in lrge-scle economic trnsero resources between dierent socil groups.

    Fiscl distribution nlsis mesures the dis-

    tribution o totl government benets nd txes in

    societ. It provides n ssessment o the mgnitude

    o government trnsers between groups.

    This pper provides scl distribution nlsis

    o households heded b unlwul immigrnts: indi-

    viduls who reside in the U.S. in v ioltion o ederl

    lw. The pper mesures the totl government ben-

    ets nd services received b unlwul immigrnt

    households nd the totl txes pid. The dierence

    between benets received nd txes pid repre-sents the totl resources trnserred b government

    on behl o unlwul immigrnts rom the rest o

    societ.

    Identiying the UnlawulImmigrant Population

    The U.S. Deprtment o Homelnd Securit

    (DHS) estimtes tht there were 11.5 million undoc-

    umented, or unlwul, oreign-born persons in the

    U.S. in Jnur 2011.1 These estimtes re bsed on

    the ct tht the number o oreign-born persons

    ppering in U.S. Census surves is considerbl

    greter thn the ctul number o oreign-born per-

    sons who re permitted to reside lwull in the U.S.

    ccording to immigrtion records.

    For exmple, in Jnur 2011, some 31.95 million

    oreign-born persons (who rrived in the countr

    ter 1980) ppered in the nnul Census surve,

    but the corresponding number o lwul oreign-born residents in tht er (ccording to govern-

    ment dministrtive records) ws onl 21.6 million.2

    DHS estimtes tht the dierencesome 10.35 mil-

    lion oreign-born persons ppering in the Census

    americn Communit Surve (aCS)ws com-

    prised o unuthorized or unlwul residents. DHS

    urther estimtes tht n dditionl 1.15 million

    unlwul immigrnts resided in the U.S. but did not

    pper in the Census surve, or totl o 11.5 mil-

    lion unlwul residents.3

    DHS emplos residul method to determine the

    chrcteristics o the unlwul immigrnt popultion.First, immigrtion records re used to determine the

    gender, ge, countr o origin, nd time o entr o

    ll oreign-born lwul residents. Foreign-born per-

    sons with these chrcteristics re subtrcted rom

    the totl oreign-born popultion in Census records;

    the letover, or residul, oreign-born popultion is

    ssumed to be unlwul. This procedure enbles DHS

    to estimte the ge, gender, countr o origin, dte o

    entr, nd current U.S. stte o residence o the unlw-

    ul immigrnt popultion in the U.S.

    The Fiscal Cost of Unlawful Immigrants

    and Amnesty to the U.S. Taxpayer

    Robert Rector and Jason Richwine, PhD

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    2

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    The current Heritge Foundtion stud usesthe DHS reports on the chrcteristics o unlwul

    immigrnts to identi in the Current Popultion

    Surve (CPS) o the U.S. Census popultion o

    oreign-born persons who hve ver high prob-

    bilit o being unlwul immigrnts.4 (The Current

    Popultion Surve is used in plce o the similr

    americn Communit Surve becuse it hs more

    detiled income nd benet inormtion.)

    The procedures used to identi unlwul immi-

    grnts in the CPS re similr to those used in studies

    o the unlwul immigrnt popultion produced b

    the Pew Hispnic Center, the Center or Immigrtion

    Studies, nd the Migrtion Polic Institute. Selection

    procedures included the ollowing:

    1. The unlwul immigrnt popultion identied

    in the CPS mtched s closel s possible the ge,

    gender, countr o origin, er o rrivl, nd

    stte o residence o the unlwul immigrnt pop-

    ultion identied b DHS.

    2. Foreign-born persons who were current or or-

    mer members o the rmed orces o the U.S.

    or current emploees o ederl, stte, nd

    locl governments were ssumed to be lwul

    residents.

    3. Since it is unlwul or unlwul immigrnts

    to receive government benets such s Socil

    Securit, Medicre, Medicid, nd public housing,

    individuls reporting personl receipt o such

    benets were ssumed to be lwull resident.

    4. Principles o consistenc were pplied within

    milies; or exmple, children o lw ul residents

    were ssumed to be lwul.

    additionl inormtion on the procedures usedto identi unlwul immigrnts in the CPS is pro-

    vided in appendix B. It should lso be noted tht the

    Heritge Foundtion nlsis mtched the DHS g-

    ures s closel s possible.5

    The chrcteristics o the unlwul immigrnt

    popultion estimted or the present nlsis re

    shown in text Tble 1. In 2010, there were 11.5 mil-

    lion unlwul immigrnts in the U.S. Some 10.34

    million o these ppered in the nnul Current

    Popultion Surve nd were identied b the resid-

    ul method described bove. Following the DHS

    estimte, n dditionl 1.15 million unlwul immi-grnts were ssumed to reside in the U.S. but not to

    pper in Census surves.

    as Tble 1 shows, 84 percent o unlw ul immi-

    grnts cme rom Mexico, the Cribben, nd

    Centrl or South americ; 11 percent cme rom

    asi; nd 5 percent cme rom the rest o the world.

    Unlwul immigrnts were lmost equll split b

    gender: 54 percent were mles, nd 46 percent were

    emles.

    TaBLE 1

    CharacteristicsoftheUnlawful

    ImmigrantPopulation

    SourcesHeritageFoundationcalculationsusingdataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurveyCalculationsweredesignedtomatchguresromtheUSDepartmentoHomelandSecuritySeeAppendixTableormoreinormation

    SR heritageorg

    NumberofPersons

    Total 11.5 million

    AppearinginCensusRecords 10.34 million

    NotinCensus 1.15 million

    YearofArrival

    45%

    38%

    Pre 18%

    Age

    Under 11%

    to 13%

    to 35%

    to 29%

    andolder 12%

    Sex

    Male 54%

    Female 46%

    RegionofOrigin

    NorthandCentralAmerica 77%

    Mexico 60%

    Asia 11%

    SouthAmerica 7%

    Europe 2%

    Other 3%

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    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    Characteristics o Unlawul Immigrantsand Unlawul Immigrant Households

    an nlsis o the scl costs o unlwul immi-

    grtion must del with the ct tht gret mn

    unlwul immigrnts re prents o U.S.-born chil-

    dren. For exmple, the Pew Hispnic Center esti-

    mtes tht in 2010, there were 5.5 million children

    residing in the U.S. who hve unlwul immigrnt

    prents. among these children, some 1 million were

    born brod nd were brought into the U.S. unlw-

    ull; the remining 4.5 million were born in the U.S.

    nd re treted under lw s U.S. citizens. Overll,some 8 percent o the children born in the U.S. ech

    er hve unlwul immigrnt prents.6

    The presence o these 4 million ntive-born chil-

    dren with unlwul immigrnt prents is direct

    result o unlwul immigrtion. These children

    would not reside in the U.S. i their prents hd not

    chosen to enter nd remin in the ntion unlwull.

    Obviousl, n nlsis o the scl cost o unlwul

    immigrtion must thereore include the costs sso-

    cited with these children, becuse those costs re

    direct nd inevitble result o the unlwul immi-

    grtion o the prents. The costs would not exist in

    the bsence o unlwul immigrtion.

    To ddress tht issue, the present stud nlzes

    the scl costs o ll households heded b unlw-

    ul immigrnts. (Throughout this stud, the terms

    households heded b n unlwul immigrnt

    nd unlwul immigrnt households re used

    snonmousl.)

    In 2010, 3.44 million such households ppered

    in the CPS. These households contined 12.7 million

    persons including 7.4 million dults nd 5.3 millionchildren. among the children, some 930,000 were

    unlwul immigrnts, nd 4.4 million were ntive-

    born or lwul immigrnts.7

    Tble 2 shows the chrcteristics o unlwul

    immigrnt households in comprison to non-immi-

    grnt nd lwul immigrnt households. Unlwul

    immigrnt households re lrger thn other house-

    holds, with n verge o 3.7 persons per house-

    hold compred to 2.5 persons in non-immigrnt

    households.8

    HOUSEHOLDS HEADED BY:

    Unlawful Immigrant Lawful Immigrant Non-Immigrant

    Numberohouseholds 3,444,955 12,601,544 102,702,224

    Numberopersonsinhousehold 12,708,875 39,089,280 253,161,268

    Numberoearnersinhouseholds 5,417,751 18,082,129 127,598,880

    Personsperhousehold 3.7 3.1 2.5

    Adultsperhousehold 2.1 2.3 1.9

    Childrenperhousehold 1.6 0.8 0.6

    Earnersperhousehold 1.6 1.4 1.2

    Earningsperhousehold $38,988 $59,071 $53,937

    Earningsperworker $24,791 $41,167 $43,413

    Averagehouseholdtotalincome $40,993 $68,931 $68,095

    Medianageohouseholder 34 49 50

    Percentohouseholdsheadedbypersonsandolder 0.6% 19.4% 22.3%

    Percentopersonsinhouseholdwhowereorolder 1.1% 11.1% 13.7%

    Percentopersonsinhouseholdwhowereto 59.7% 65.9% 65.7%

    Percentopersonsinhouseholdwhowereunderage 42.3% 26.3% 23.4%

    Percentopersonsinhouseholdwhoarepoor 35.1% 18.8% 13.6%

    TaBLE 2

    DemographicCharacteristicsofUSHouseholds

    NoteTheguresorunlawulimmigranthouseholdsexcludemillionadultUScitizensandadultlawulimmigrantswhoresidedinthehouseholdSourceHeritageFoundationcalculationsbasedondataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurvey

    SR heritageorg

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    4

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    Unlwul immigrnt households hve more wgeerners per household: 1.6 compred to 1.2 mong

    non-immigrnt households. However, the ver-

    ge ernings per worker re drmticll lower in

    unlw ul immigrnt households: $24,791 per worker

    compred to $43,413 in non-immigrnt households.

    Contrr to conventionl wisdom, non-elderl dult

    unlwul immigrnts re not more likel to work

    thn re similr non-immigrnts.

    The heds o unlwul immigrnt households

    re ounger, with medin ge o 34 compred to

    50 mong non-immigrnt householders. Prtl

    becuse the re ounger, unlwul immigrnthouseholds hve more children, with n verge o

    1.6 children per household compred to 0.6 mong

    non-immigrnt households. The higher number o

    children tends to rise governmentl costs mong

    unlwul immigrnt households. (Both lwul nd

    unlwul children in unlwul immigrnt house-

    holds re eligible or public eduction, nd the lrge

    number o children who were born in the U.S. re

    lso eligible or mens-tested welre benets such

    s ood stmps, Medicid, nd Childrens Helth

    Insurnce Progrm benets.)

    B contrst, there re ver ew elderl persons inunlwul immigrnt households. Onl 1.1 percent o

    persons in those households re over 65 ers o ge

    compred to 13.7 percent o persons in non-immigrnt

    households. The bsence o elderl persons in unlw-

    ul immigrnt households signicntl reduces cur-

    rent government costs; however, i unlwul immi-

    grnts remin in the U.S. permnentl, the number

    who re elderl will obviousl increse signicntl.

    Unlwul immigrnt households re r more

    likel to be poor. Over one-third o unlwul

    immigrnt households hve incomes below the ed-erl povert level compred to 18.8 percent o lw-

    ul immigrnt households nd 13.6 percent o non-

    immigrnt households.

    Education Level o UnlawulImmigrant Households

    The low wge level o unlwul immigrnt work-

    ers is di rect result o their low eduction levels. as

    Tble 3 shows, hl o unlwul immigrnt house-

    holds re heded b persons without high school

    degree; more thn 75 percent re heded b indi-

    viduls with high school degree or less. Onl 10percent o unlwul immigrnt households re

    heded b college grdutes. B contrst, mong

    non-immigrnt households, 9.6 percent re heded

    b persons without high school degree, round 40

    percent re heded b persons with high school

    degree or less, nd nerl one-third re heded b

    college grdutes.

    The current unlwul immigrnt popultion thus

    contins disproportionte shre o poorl educt-

    ed individuls. These individuls will tend to hve

    low wges nd p comprtivel little in txes.

    There is common misconception tht the loweduction levels o recent immigrnts re prt o

    permnent historicl pttern nd tht the U.S.

    hs lws dmitted immigrnts who were poor-

    l educted reltive to the ntive-born popultion.

    Historicll, this hs not been the cse. For exm-

    ple, in 1960, recent immigrnts were no more likel

    thn non-immigrnts to lck high school degree.

    B 1998, recent immigrnts were lmost our times

    more likel to lck high school degree thn were

    non-immigrnts.9

    HOUSEHOLDS HEADED BY:

    Unlawful Immigrant Lawful Immigrant Non-Immigrant

    Personswithoutahighschooldegree 50.7% 19.9% 9.6%

    Personswithonlyahighschooldegree 26.6% 23.6% 29.8%

    Personswithsomecollege 12.8% 20.1% 29.9%

    Personswithacollegedegreeormore 9.9% 36.4% 30.7%

    Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

    TaBLE 3

    HouseholdDifferencesinEducationLevel

    SourceHeritageFoundationcalculationsbasedondataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurvey SR heritageorg

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    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    as the reltive eduction level o immigrnts ell

    in recent decdes, so did their reltive wge levels. In

    1960, the verge immigrnt mle in the U.S. ctu-ll erned more thn the verge non-immigrnt

    mle. as the reltive eduction levels o subsequent

    wves o immigrnts ell, so did reltive wges. B

    1998, the verge immigrnt erned 23 percent less

    thn the verge non-immigrnt erned.10

    Aggregate Cost oGovernment Benets and Services

    an nlsis o the distribution o benets nd

    txes within the U.S. popultion must begin with

    n ccurte count o the cost o ll benets nd ser-

    vices provided b the government. The size nd costo government is r lrger thn mn people img-

    ine. In scl er (Fy) 2010, the expenditures o the

    ederl government were $3.46 trillion. In the sme

    er, expenditures o stte nd locl governments

    were $1.94 trillion. The combined vlue o ederl,

    stte, nd locl expenditures in Fy 2010 ws $5.4

    trillion.11

    This sum is so lrge tht it is difcult to compre-

    hend. One w to grsp the size o government more

    redil is to clculte verge expenditures per

    household. In 2010, there were 120.2 million house-

    holds in the U.S.12 (This gure includes both multi-

    person milies nd single persons living lone.)The verge cost o government spending thus

    mounted to $44,932 per household cross the U.S.

    popultion.13

    The $5.4 trillion in government expenditure is

    not ree; it must be pid or b txing or borrowing

    economic resources rom americns or b borrow-

    ing rom brod. In Fy 2010, ederl txes mount-

    ed to $2.12 trillion. Stte nd locl txes nd relted

    revenues mounted to $1.98 trillion.14 Together, ed-

    erl, stte, nd locl txes mounted to $4.11 trillion.

    Txes nd relted revenues cme to 75 percent o

    the $5.4 trillion in expenditures. The gp betweentxes nd spending ws nnced b government

    borrowing.

    Types o Government Expenditureater the ull cost o government benets nd

    services hs been determined, the next step in n-

    lzing the distribution o benets nd txes is to

    determine the beneciries o specic government

    progrms. Some progrms, such s Socil Securit,

    netl prcel out benets to specic individuls.

    CHART 1

    Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau,2010 Current Population Survey. See Appendix tables for more information.

    Note: Figures have been rounded.

    Households by Education Level of Head of Household

    heritage.orgSR 133

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    %

    HighSchool

    Graduate

    SomeCollege

    CollegeGraduate

    No HighSchool

    Diploma

    51%

    27%

    13%10%

    HighSchool

    Graduate

    SomeCollege

    CollegeGraduate

    No HighSchool

    Diploma

    20%

    24%

    20%

    36%

    HighSchool

    Graduate

    SomeCollege

    CollegeGraduate

    No HighSchool

    Diploma

    10%

    30% 30% 31%

    Unlawful Immigrant Households Lawful Immigrant Households Non-Immigrant Households

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    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    With progrms such s these, it is reltivel es to

    determine the identit o the benecir nd the

    cost o the benet provided. On the other hnd, other

    government unctions such s highw construc-

    tion do not netl prcel out benets to individuls.

    Determining the proper lloction o the benets o

    tht tpe o progrm is more complex.

    To determine the distribution o government

    benets nd services, this stud begins b dividing

    government expenditures into six ctegories: direct

    benets, mens-tested benets, eductionl ser-

    vices, popultion-bsed services, interest nd other

    nncil obligtions resulting rom prior govern-

    ment ctivit, nd pure public goods.

    Direct Benets. Direct benet progrms

    involve either csh trnsers or the purchse o spe-cic services or n individul. Unlike mens-tested

    progrms, direct benet progrms re not limited to

    low-income persons. B r the lrgest direct benet

    progrms re Socil Securit nd Medicre. Other

    substntil direct benet progrms re unemplo-

    ment insurnce nd workers compenstion.

    Direct benet progrms involve irl trnspr-

    ent trnser o economic resources. The benets re

    prceled out discretel to individuls in the popu-

    ltion; both the recipient nd the cost o the benet

    re reltivel es to determine. In the cse o Socil

    Securit, the cost o the benet would equl thevlue o the Socil Securit check plus the dminis-

    trtive costs involved in delivering the benet.

    Clculting the cost o Medicre services is more

    complex. Ordinril, government does not seek to

    compute the prticulr medicl services received b

    n individul. Insted, government counts the cost

    o Medicre or n individul s equl to the verge

    per cpit cost o Medicre services. (This number

    equls the totl cost o Medicre services divided

    b the totl number o recipients.15) Overll, gov-

    ernment spent $1.33 trillion on direct benets in Fy

    2010.Means-Tested Benets. Mens-tested pro-

    grms re tpicll termed welre progrms.

    Unlike direct benets, mens-tested progrms re

    vilble onl to households tht ll below specic

    income thresholds. Mens-tested welre progrms

    provide csh, ood, housing, medicl cre, nd socil

    services to poor nd low-income persons.

    The ederl government opertes over 80 mens-

    tested id progrms.16 The lrgest re Medicid; the

    Erned Income Tx Credit (EITC); ood stmps;

    Supplementl Securit Income (SSI); Section 8

    housing; public housing; Temporr assistnce or

    Need Fmilies (TaNF); school lunch nd brekst

    progrms; the WIC (Women, Innts, nd Children)

    nutrition progrm; nd the Socil Services Block

    Grnt (SSBG). Mn mens-tested progrms, such

    s SSI nd the EITC, provide csh to recipients.

    Others, such s public housing or SSBG, p or ser-

    vices tht re provided to recipients.

    The vlue o Medicid benets is usull counted

    much s the vlue o Medicre benets is counted.

    Government does not ttempt to itemize the specic

    medicl services given to n individul; insted, it

    computes n verge per cpit cost o services to

    individuls in dierent benecir ctegories such

    s children, elderl persons, nd disbled dults.(The verge per cpit cost or prticulr group

    is determined b dividing the totl expenditures

    on the group b the totl number o beneciries in

    the group.) Overll, the U.S. spent $835 billion on

    mens-tested id in Fy 2010.17

    Public Education. Government provides prim-

    r, secondr, post-secondr, nd voctionl edu-

    ction to individuls. In most cses, the government

    ps directl or the cost o eductionl services pro-

    vided. In other cses, such s the Pell Grnt progrm,

    the government in eect provides mone to n eligible

    individul who then spends it on eductionl services.Eduction is the single lrgest component o stte

    nd locl government spending, bsorbing roughl

    third o ll stte nd locl expenditures. The verge

    cost o public primr nd secondr eduction per

    pupil is now round $12,300 per er. Overll, ed-

    erl, stte, nd locl governments spent $758 billion

    on eduction in Fy 2010.

    Population-Based Services. Wheres direct

    benets, mens-tested benets, nd eduction ser-

    vices provide discrete benets nd services to prtic-

    ulr individuls, popultion-bsed progrms gener-

    ll provide services to whole group or communit.Popultion-bsed expenditures include police nd

    re protection, courts, prks, snittion, nd ood

    set nd helth inspections. another importnt

    popultion-bsed expenditure is trnsporttion,

    especill rods nd highws.

    a ke eture o popultion-bsed expenditures is

    tht such progrms generll need to expnd s the

    popultion o communit expnds. (This qulit

    seprtes them rom pure public goods.) For exm-

    ple, s the popultion o communit increses, the

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    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    number o police nd reghters will generll need

    to expnd proportionll.

    In The New Americans, stud o the scl costs

    o immigrtion published b the Ntionl acdem

    o Sciences, the Ntionl Reserch Council (NRC)

    rgued tht i service remins xed while the popu-

    ltion increses, progrm will become congested,

    nd the qulit o service or users will deteriorte.

    Thus, the NRC uses the term congestible goods to

    describe popultion-bsed services.18 Highws re

    n obvious exmple. In generl, the cost o popul-

    tion-bsed services cn be llocted ccording to n

    individuls estimted utiliztion o the serv ice or t

    t per cpit cost cross the relevnt popultion.

    a subctegor o popultion-bsed services is

    government dministrtive support unctions suchs tx collections nd legisltive ctivities. Few

    txpers view tx collection s government ben-

    et; thereore, ssigning the cost o this benet

    ppers to be problemtic.

    The solution to this dilemm is to conceptulize

    government ctivities into two ctegories: primr

    unctions nd secondr unctions.

    Primary unctions provide benets directl to thepublic; the include direct nd mens-tested ben-

    ets, eduction, ordinr popultion-bsed ser-

    vices such s police nd prks, nd public goods.

    B contrst, secondary or support unctions donot provide direct benets to the public but do

    provide necessr support services tht enble

    the government to perorm primr unctions.

    For exmple, no one cn receive ood stmp ben-

    ets unless the government rst collects txes

    to und the progrm. Secondr unctions cn

    thus be considered n inherent prt o the cost

    o production o primr unctions, nd the ben-

    ets o secondr support unctions cn be llo-

    cted mong the popultion in proportion to thelloction o benets rom government primr

    unctions.

    Government spent $871 billion on popultion-

    bsed services in Fy 2010. O this mount, some

    $769.6 billion went or ordinr services such s

    police nd prks, nd $101.4 billion went or dmin-

    istrtive support unctions.

    Interest and Other Financial Obligations

    Relating to Past Government Activities. Oten,

    tx revenues re insufcient to p or the ull cost o

    government benets nd services. In tht cse, gov-

    ernment will borrow mone nd ccumulte debt. In

    subsequent ers, interest pments must be pid to

    those who lent the government mone. Interest p-

    ments or the government debt re in ct prtil

    pments or pst government benets nd services

    tht were not ull pid or t the time o deliver.

    Similrl, government emploees deliver services

    to the public. Prt o the cost o the service is pid

    or immeditel through the emploees slr, but

    government emploees re lso compensted b

    uture retirement benets. To considerble degree,

    expenditures o public-sector retirement re there-

    ore present pments in compenstion or servic-

    es delivered in the pst. The expenditure ctegorinterest nd other nncil obligtions relting to

    pst government ctivities thus includes interest

    nd principl pments on government debt nd

    outls or government emploee retirement. Totl

    government spending on these items equled $533.3

    billion in Fy 2010.19

    While direct benets, mens-tested benets,

    public eduction, nd popultion-bsed services

    will grow s more immigrnts tke up residence

    in the United Sttes, this is not the cse or inter-

    est pments on the debt nd relted costs. These

    costs were xed b pst government spending ndborrowing nd re lrgel unected, t lest in the

    intermedite term, b immigrnts entr into the

    United Sttes. While n incresed inow o immi-

    grnts will led to n increse in most orms o gov-

    ernment spending, it will not cuse n increse in

    interest pments on government debt in the short

    term.

    To ssess the scl impct o unlwul immi-

    grnts, thereore, the present report ollows the pro-

    cedures used b the Ntionl Reserch Council in

    The New Americans: Tht is, it ignores the costs o

    interest on the debt nd similr nncil obligtionswhen clculting the net tx burden imposed b lw-

    ul nd unlwul immigrnt households.20

    On the other hnd, while unlwul immigrnt

    households do not increse government debt imme-

    ditel, such households will, on verge, increse

    government debt signicntl over the long term.

    For exmple, i n unlwul immigrnt house-

    hold generted net scl decit (benets received

    minus txes pid) o $20,000 per er nd roughl

    20 percent o tht mount ws nnced ech er b

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    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    government borrowing, then the immigrnt house-

    hold would be responsible or dding roughl $4,000

    to government debt ech er. ater 50 ers, the

    mils contribution to growth in government debtwould be round $200,000. While these potentil

    costs re signicnt, the re outside the scope o

    the current pper nd re not included in the clcu-

    ltions presented here.

    Pure Public Goods. Economic theor distin-

    guishes between privte consumption goods nd

    pure public goods. Economist Pul Smuelson is

    credited with rst mking this distinction. In his

    seminl 1954 pper The Pure Theor o Public

    Expenditure,21 Smuelson dened pure public

    good (or wht he clled collective consumption

    good) s good which ll enjo in common in the

    sense tht ech individuls consumption o such

    good leds to no subtrctions rom n other indi-viduls consumption o tht good. B contrst,

    privte consumption good is good tht cn be

    prceled out mong dierent individuls. Its use

    b one person precludes or diminishes its use b

    nother.

    a clssic exmple o pure public good is light-

    house: The ct tht one ship perceives the wrn-

    ing becon does not diminish the useulness o the

    lighthouse to other ships. another cler exmple o

    governmentl pure public good would be uture

    Government Expenditures

    FederalExpenditures(millionsofdollars)

    StateandLocalExpenditures

    (millionsofdollars)TotalExpenditures(millionsofdollars)

    AverageExpenditureper

    Household(dollars)

    Direct benets 1,185,313 147,875 1,333,188 $11,088

    Means-tested benets 661,990 172,908 834,898 $6,944

    Education benets 93,284 664,755 758,039 $6,304

    Population-based services 249,187 622,368 871,554 $7,249

    Interest and other spending due topast government services

    224,403 308,943 533,347 $4,436

    Pure public goods expenditures 1,049,394 22,193 1,071,586 $8,912

    Total expenditures 3,463,571 1,939,041 5,402,612 $44,932

    Total expenditures less public goodexpenditures and expenditures forpast services

    2,189,774 1,607,905 3,797,679 $31,584

    Government Revenues

    FederalRevenues(millionsofdollars)

    StateandLocalRevenues(millions

    ofdollars)TotalRevenues

    (millionsofdollars)

    AverageRevenuesperHousehold

    (dollars)

    Taxes and ees 2,122,445 1,536,017 3,658,462 $30,427

    Earnings on government assets(government employee retirement

    unds, and related income)

    448,555 448,555

    Total government revenues 2,122,445 1,984,572 4,107,017

    TaBLE 4

    AggregateGovernmentExpendituresandRevenuesFY

    SourceHeritageFoundationcalculationsbasedondataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurveySeeAppendixTablesandormoreinormation SR heritageorg

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    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    cure or cncer produced b government-unded

    reserch: The ct tht non-txpers would benet

    rom this discover would neither diminish its ben-

    et nor dd extr costs to txpers. B contrst, n

    obvious exmple o privte consumption good is

    hmburger: When one person ets it, it cnnot be

    eten b others.

    Direct benets, mens-tested benets, nd edu-

    ction services re privte consumption goods in

    the sense tht the use o benet or service b one

    person precludes or limits the use o tht sme ben-

    et b nother. (Two people cnnot csh the sme

    Socil Securit check.) Popultion-bsed services

    such s prks nd highws re oten mentioned s

    public goods, but the re not pure public goods in

    the strict sense described bove. In most cses, sthe number o persons using popultion-bsed ser-

    vice (such s highws nd prks) increses, the ser-

    vice must either expnd (t dded cost to txpers)

    or become congested, in which cse its qulit will

    be reduced. Consequentl, use o popultion-bsed

    services such s police nd re deprtments b non-

    txpers does impose signicnt extr costs on

    txpers.

    Government pure public goods re rre; the

    include scientic reserch, deense, spending on vet-

    erns, interntionl irs, nd some environmen-

    tl protection ctivities such s the preservtion oendngered species. Ech o these unctions gener-

    ll meets the criterion tht the benets received

    b non-txpers do not result in loss o utilit or

    txpers. Government pure public good expendi-

    tures on these unctions equled $978 billion in Fy

    2010. Interest pments on government debt nd

    relted costs resulting rom public good spending in

    previous ers dd n estimted dditionl cost o

    $93.5 billion, bringing the totl public goods cost in

    Fy 2010 to $1,071.5 billion.

    an immigrnts entr into the countr nei-

    ther increses the size nd cost o public goods nordecreses the utilit o those goods to txpers.

    In contrst to direct benets, mens-tested bene-

    ts, public eduction, nd popultion-bsed servic-

    es, the ct tht unlwul nd low-skill immigrnt

    households m benet rom public goods tht the

    do not p or does not dd to the net tx burden on

    other txpers.

    This report thereore ollows the sme methods

    emploed b the Ntionl Reserch Council in The

    New Americans nd excludes public goods rom the

    count o benets received b unlwul immigrnt

    households.22 (For urther discussion o pure pub-

    lic goods, see appendix G.)

    Summary: Total Expenditures. as Tble 4

    shows, overll government spending in Fy 2010

    cme to $5.40 trillion. Direct benets hd n ver-

    ge cost o $11,088 per household cross the whole

    popultion, while mens-tested benets hd n

    verge cost o $6,944 per household. Eduction

    benets nd popultion-bsed services cost $6,304

    nd $7,249 per household, respectivel. Interest p-

    ments on government debt nd other costs relting

    to pst government ctivities cost $4,436 per house-

    hold. Pure public good expenditures comprised 20

    percent o ll government spending nd hd n ver-

    ge cost o $8,912 per household.Excluding spending on public goods, interest

    on the debt, nd relted nncil obligtions, totl

    spending cme to $31,584 per household cross the

    entire popultion.

    Taxes and RevenuesTotl txes nd revenues or ederl, stte, nd

    locl governments mounted to $4.107 trillion in

    Fy 2010. The ederl government received $2.12 tril-

    lion in revenue, while stte nd locl governments

    received $1.98 trillion.

    a detiled brekdown o ederl, stte, nd locltxes is provided in appendix Tbles 6 nd 7. The big-

    gest revenue genertor ws the ederl income tx,

    which cost tx pers $899 billion in 2010, ollowed

    b Federl Insurnce Contribution act (FICa) txes,

    which rised $812 billion. Propert tx ws the big-

    gest revenue producer t the stte nd locl levels,

    generting $442 billion, while generl sles txes

    gthered $285 billion.

    Over 90 percent o the revenues shown in

    appendix Tbles 6 nd 7 re conventionl t xes nd

    revenues; the remining 9 percent ($449 billion) re

    ernings rom government ssets, primril ssetsheld in stte nd locl government emploee pen-

    sion unds. about one-qurter o these revenues

    were used to und current retirement benets; the

    rest were ccumulted or uture use.

    Unlike generl txes, these ernings re not mn-

    dtor trnsers rom the popultion to the govern-

    ment, but rther represent n economic return on

    ssets the government owns or controls. Becuse

    the do not represent pments mde b households

    to the government, these ernings re not included

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    10

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    in the scl blnce nlsis presented in the bod

    o this pper. I the were included, the would lter

    the scl blnce o current government retirees;

    thereore, the re irrelevnt to the min topic o this

    pper: the scl blnce o unlwul immigrnts.

    Summary o Estimation MethodologyThe ccounting rmework used in the present

    nlsis is the sme rmework emploed b the

    Ntionl Reserch Council o the Ntionl acdem

    o Sciences in The New Americans.23 Following thtrmework, the present stud:

    1. Excludes public goods costs such s deense nd

    interest pments on government debt;

    2. Trets popultion-bsed or congestible services

    s ull privte goods nd ssigns the cost o those

    services to immigrnt households bsed either on

    estimted use or on the immigrnt shre o the

    popultion;24

    3. Includes the welre nd eductionl costs o

    immigrnt nd non-immigrnt minor children

    nd ssigns those costs to the childs household;

    4. assigns the welre nd eductionl costs o

    minor U.S.-born children o immigrnt prents

    in the immigrnt household; nd

    5. assigns the cost o mens-tested nd direct ben-

    ets ccording to the sel-reported use o those

    benets in the CPS.

    Clerl, n stud tht does not ollow this

    rmework m rech ver dierent conclusions.

    For exmple, n stud tht excludes the welre

    benets nd eductionl services received b the

    minor U.S.-born children o unlwul immigrnt

    prents rom the costs ssigned to unlwul immi-

    grnt households will rech ver dierent conclu-

    sions bout the scl consequences o unlwul

    immigrtion.

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithoutaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    IndividualsWithSomeCollege

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaCollegeDegreeor

    More AllHouseholds

    Government Benefits Received per Household

    Direct benets $13,837 $13,301 $10,201 $8,713 $11,088

    Educational benets $6,999 $5,847 $7,099 $5,730 $6,304

    Means-tested benets $18,336 $8,070 $6,009 $2,227 $6,944

    Population-based services $7,410 $6,941 $6,499 $8,169 $7,248

    Total benefits and services $46,582 $34,159 $29,808 $24,839 $31,584

    Taxes Paid per Household

    Federal taxes paid $5,914 $10,837 $14,667 $31,533 $17,652

    State and local taxes paid $5,554 $8,507 $9,455 $22,556 $12,775

    Total taxes paid $11,469 $19,344 $24,122 $54,089 $30,426

    Fiscal deficit or surplus perhousehold

    $35,113 $14,815 $5,686 $29,250 $1,158

    TaBLE 5

    GovernmentBenefitsReceivedandTaxesPaidAllUSHouseholds

    ALLFIGURESAREDOLLARSPERHOUSEHOLD

    SourceHeritageFoundationcalculationsbasedondataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurveySeeAppendixTablesormoreinormation SR heritageorg

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    SPECIAL REPORT | NO. 133May 6, 2013

    an importnt principle in the nlsis is tht

    receipt o mens-tested benets nd direct benets

    ws not imputed or ssigned to households rbitrri-l. Rther, the cost o benets received ws bsed

    on the households sel-report o benets in the U.S.

    Census Bureus Current Popultion Surve.25 For

    exmple, the cost o the ood stmp benets received

    is bsed on the ood stmp benets dt provided

    b the household. I the household stted it did not

    receive ood stmps, then the vlue o ood stmps

    within the household would be zero.

    Dt on ttendnce in public primr nd sec-

    ondr schools were lso tken rom the CPS; stu-

    dents ttending public school were then ssigned

    eductionl costs equl to the verge per-pupilexpenditures in their stte. Public post-secondr

    eduction costs were clculted in similr mnner.

    Wherever possible, the cost o popultion-bsed

    services ws bsed on the estimted utiliztion o

    the service b unlwul immigrnt households. For

    exmple, ech households shre o public trnspor-

    ttion expenditures ws ssumed to be proportionl

    to its shre o spending on public trnsporttion s

    reported in the Bureu o Lbor Sttistics Consumer

    Expenditure Surve (CEX). When dt on utiliztion

    o service were not vilble, the households shre

    o popultion-bsed services ws ssumed to equl

    its shre o the totl U.S. popultion.Federl nd stte income txes were clculted

    bsed on dt rom the CPS. FICa txes were lso

    clculted rom CPS dt; both the emploer nd

    emploee shre o FICa txes were ssumed to ll

    on workers. Corporte income txes were ssumed

    to be borne prtl b workers nd prtl b own-

    ers; the distribution o these txes ws estimted

    ccording to the distribution o ernings nd prop-

    ert income in the CPS.

    Sles, excise, nd propert tx pments were

    bsed on consumption dt rom the Consumer

    Expenditure Surve.26 For exmple, i the CEXshowed tht households heded b persons without

    high school degree ccounted or 10 percent o ll

    sles o tobcco products in the U.S., those house-

    holds were ssumed to p 10 percent o ll tobcco

    excise txes.

    Certin specic djustments were mde or

    unlwul immigrnt households. Since 45 percent

    o unlwul immigrnts re believed to work o

    the books, the ederl nd stte income tx nd

    FICa tx pments tht Census imputes or ech

    CHART 2

    Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau,2010 Current Population Survey, and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 ConsumerExpenditure Survey. Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendix.

    Government Benefits Received and Taxes Paid: All U.S. Households, 2010BY EDUCATION OF HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD

    heritage.orgSR 133

    BenefitsReceived

    TaxesPaid

    BenefitsReceived

    TaxesPaid

    BenefitsReceived

    TaxesPaid

    BenefitsReceived

    TaxesPaid

    No High SchoolDiploma

    High SchoolGraduate

    Some College College Graduate

    Deficit:$35,113

    Deficit:$14,815

    Deficit:$5,686

    Surplus:$29,250

    $46,582

    $11,469

    $34,159

    $19,344

    $29,808

    $24,122 $24,839

    $54,089

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    12

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    NON-IMMIGRANT HOUSEHOLDS

    ALLMONETARYFIGURESAREDOLLARSPERHOUSEHOLD

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithoutaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    IndividualsWithSomeCollege

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaCollegeDegreeor

    More AllHouseholds

    Number o households 10,083,618 31,099,306 30,986,396 31,857,640 104,026,960

    Percentage o households 9.7% 29.9% 29.8% 30.6% 100.0%

    Government Benefits Received per Household

    Direct benets $16,461 $13,884 $10,454 $9,004 $11,617

    Educational benets $4,930 $5,341 $6,897 $5,463 $5,802

    Means-tested benets $19,150 $8,147 $6,091 $1,891 $6,685

    Population-based services $6,408 $6,740 $6,490 $8,333 $7,121Totalbenefitsandservices

    Taxes Paid per Household

    Federal taxes paid $5,387 $10,944 $14,762 $31,878 $17,954

    State and local taxes paid $5,509 $8,525 $9,447 $23,068 $12,961

    Totaltaxespaid

    Fiscal deficit or surplus perhousehold

    $36,053 $14,642 $5,722 $30,255 $310

    LAWFUL IMMIGRANT HOUSEHOLDS

    ALLMONETARYFIGURESAREDOLLARSPERHOUSEHOLD

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithoutaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    IndividualsWithSomeCollege

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaCollegeDegreeor

    More

    AllHouseholdsWithLawful

    ImmigrantHeads

    Number o households 2,558,106 3,015,088 2,561,737 4,631,877 12,766,808

    Percentage o households 20.0% 23.6% 20.1% 36.3% 100.0%

    Government Benefits Received per Household

    Direct benets $12,212 $10,639 $9,094 $7,204 $9,398

    Educational benets $9,786 $8,748 $8,873 $7,213 $8,424

    Means-tested benets $19,762 $10,093 $7,022 $3,549 $9,040

    Population-based services $8,439 $8,030 $7,487 $9,017 $8,361

    Totalbenefitsandservices

    Taxes Paid per Household

    Federal taxes paid $7,207 $10,897 $15,416 $30,897 $18,320

    State and local taxes paid $6,000 $8,287 $9,572 $20,614 $12,559

    Totaltaxespaid

    Fiscal deficit or surplus perhousehold

    $36,993 $18,327 $7,489 $24,529 $4,344

    TaBLE 6

    GovernmentBenefitsReceivedandTaxesPaidperHousehold(Pageof)

    SR heritageorg

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    UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANT HOUSEHOLDS

    ALLMONETARYFIGURESAREDOLLARSPERHOUSEHOLD

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithoutaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaHighSchool

    Degree

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    IndividualsWithSomeCollege

    HouseholdsHeadedby

    PersonsWithaCollegeDegreeor

    More

    AllHouseholdsWithUnlawful

    ImmigrantHeads

    Number o households 1,746,857 916,231 440,179 341,688 3,444,955

    Percentage o households 51% 27% 13% 10% 100%

    Government Benefits Received per Household

    Direct benets $45 $50 $47 $19 $44

    Educational benets $15,514 $13,067 $10,501 $9,508 $13,627

    Means-tested benets $6,235 $3,755 $2,006 $815 $4,497

    Population-based services $7,554 $6,033 $5,039 $4,783 $6,553Totalbenefitsandservices

    Taxes Paid per Household

    Federal taxes paid $4,284 $4,694 $6,160 $10,339 $5,233

    State and local taxes paid $4,579 $4,418 $4,869 $9,901 $5,101

    Totaltaxespaid

    Fiscal deficit or surplus perhousehold

    $20,485 $13,794 $6,564 $5,115 $14,387

    TaBLE 6

    GovernmentBenefitsReceivedandTaxesPaidperHousehold(Pageof)

    NoteThecountohouseholdsincludeshouseholdsintheCurrentPopulationSurveyandasmallnumberopersonsresidinginnursinghomesSourceHeritageFoundationcalculationsbasedondataromtheUSCensusBureauCurrentPopulationSurveySeeAppendixtablesormoreinormation

    SR heritageorg

    household were reduced b 45 percent mong

    unlwul immigrnt households. The vlues o the

    Erned Income Tx Credit nd additionl Child Tx

    Credit tht Census imputes bsed on mil income

    were reduced to zero or unlw ul immigrnt m-

    ilies since the re not eligible or those benets.

    Immigrnt children enrolled in government medicl

    progrms were ssumed to hve hl the ctul cost

    o non-immigrnt children.27 and unlwul immi-grnt milies were ssumed to use prks, highws,

    nd librries less thn lwul households with the

    sme income.

    Finll, bout 9 percent o the persons in unlw-

    ul immigrnt households re dult lwul immi-

    grnts or U.S. citizens. The benets received nd

    txes pid b these individuls hve been excluded

    rom the nlsis. The overll methodolog o the

    stud is described in detil in the appendices.

    Distribution o Government Benetsand Taxes in the U.S. Population

    Tble 5 shows government benets received nd

    txes pid b the verge household in the whole

    U.S. popultion. In Fy 2010, the verge household

    received totl o $31,584 in government direct ben-

    ets, mens-tested benets, eduction, nd popu-

    ltion-bsed services. The household pid $30,426

    in ederl, stte, nd locl txes. Since the benetsreceived exceeded txes pid, the verge household

    hd scl decit o $1,158 tht hd to be nnced b

    government borrowing.

    I ernings in government emploee retirement

    unds were included in the nlsis, this smll

    verge household decit would be lrgel ersed.

    Nonetheless, these gures show tht the txes pid

    b U.S. households overll brel cover the cost

    o immedite services received (direct benets,

    mens-tested id, eduction, nd popultion-bsed

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    14

    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    services).28 Public goods such s deense nd inter-

    est on government debt re unded b government

    borrowing.

    However, these verge household gures msk

    gret dierences between dierent tpes o house-

    holds. Individul households hve dierent scl

    blnces. Mn households renet tax contributors:

    The txes the p exceed the direct nd mens-

    tested benets, eduction, nd popultion-bsed

    services the receive. These households generte

    scl surplus tht government uses to nnce ben-

    ets nd services or other households. B contrst,

    other households re net tx consumers: The govern-

    ment benets nd services received b these house-

    holds exceed txes pid. These households generte

    scl decit tht must be nnced b txes rom

    other households or b government borrowing.

    Tble 5 shows tht criticl ctor in determin-

    ing the scl blnce o household is the eduction

    o the hed o household. Individuls with higher

    eduction levels ern more, p more in txes, nd

    receive ewer government benets. Less-educted

    individuls tend to receive more in government ben-

    ets nd p less in txes.

    Chrt 2 shows the verge scl blnce or llU.S. households bsed on the eduction level o the

    hed o household. at one extreme re households

    with college-educted heds; on verge, these

    households receive $24,839 in government benets

    while ping $54,089 in txes. The verge college-

    educted household thus genertes scl surplus o

    $29,250 tht government uses to nnce benets or

    other households.

    at the other extreme re households heded b

    persons without high school degree. On verge,

    these households receive $46,582 in government

    benets (direct, mens-tested, eduction, nd pop-ultion-bsed services) while ping onl $11,469 in

    txes. This genertes n verge scl decit (ben-

    ets received minus txes pid) o $35,113.

    The lrge verge scl decit o less-educt-

    ed households hs bering on the immigrtion

    debte becuse immigrnt milies (both lwul

    nd unlwul) hve, on verge, r lower eduction

    levels thn non-immigrnts. For exmple, s Tble 3

    shows, hl o unlwul immigrnt household heds

    do not hve high school degree, nd nother 27 per-

    cent hve onl high school diplom.

    Household Fiscal Balancesand Immigration

    Tble 6 shows the scl blnce or non-immi-

    grnt, lwul immigrnt, nd unlwul immigrnt

    households. Unlwul immigrnt households hve

    the lrgest nnul scl decits t $14,387 per house-

    hold. Lwul immigrnt households hve n verge

    nnul scl decit o $4,344, nd non-immigrnt

    households hve decit o $310, mening tht txes

    pid roughl equl benets received.29

    CHART 3

    Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from theU.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current Population Survey, and U.S.Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer Expenditure Survey.Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendices.

    Government Expenditures for

    Benefits and Services for UnlawfulImmigrant Households

    heritage.orgSR 133

    AVERAGEEXPENDITUREPERHOUSEHOLD

    Total: $24,721

    Education

    Means-Tested Welfare

    Police, Fire, and PublicSafety

    Direct Benefits

    Administrative Support

    Transportation

    Other Population-Based

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    Lwul i mmigrnt households hve higher scl

    decits thn non-immigrnts or two resons. The

    rst is lower eduction levels; 20 percent o lw-

    ul immigrnt households re heded b individu-

    ls without high school diplom, compred to 10

    percent mong non-immigrnt households. The

    second reson is high levels o welre use. There

    is populr misconception tht immigrnts use

    little welre. The opposite is true. In ct, lwul

    immigrnts receive the highest level o welre

    benets.

    at $9,040, lwul immigrnts nnul welre

    benets re third higher thn non-immigrnts

    benets. This seems prdoxicl becuse lwul

    immigrnts re brred rom receiving nerl ll

    mens-tested welre during their rst ve ers in

    the U.S. as Tble 6 shows, this temporr bn hs

    virtull no impct on the overll use o welre

    becuse () the bn does not ppl to children born

    inside the U.S. nd (b) receipt o welre occurs con-

    tinull throughout lietime nd thereore is little

    ected b ve- or 10-er mortorium on receipt

    o id.

    The lck o eectiveness o the ve-er bn on

    welre receipt in controlling totl welre costs hs direct bering on the debte bout mnest legisl-

    tion. It is noteworth tht the highest level o welre

    use shown in Tble 6 is $19,762 per household per

    er mong lwul immigrnt households heded

    b individuls without high school diplom. This

    gure is importnt becuse similr levels o welre

    use cn be expected mong unlwul immigrnt

    households receiving mnest.

    another importnt point is tht the level o wel-

    re benets received b unlwul immigrnt house-

    holds is signicnt, despite the ct tht unlwul

    immigrnts themselves re ineligible or nerl llwelre id. The welre benets received b unlw-

    ul immigrnt households go to U.S.-born children

    within these homes. I undocumented dults within

    these households re given ccess to mens-tested

    welre progrms, per-household benets will rech

    ver high levels.

    Cost o Government Benets andServices Received by UnlawulImmigrant Households

    as noted, in 2010, some 3.44 million unlwul

    immigrnt households ppered in Census surves.appendix Tble 8 shows the estimted costs o gov-

    ernment benets nd services received b these

    households in 73 seprte expenditure ctegories.

    The results re summrized in Chrt 3.

    Overll, households heded b n unlwul immi-

    grnt received n verge o $24,721 per household

    in direct benets, mens-tested benets, eduction,

    nd popultion-bsed services in Fy 2010. Eduction

    spending on behl o these households verged

    $13,627, nd mens-tested id (going minl to the

    CHART 4

    Source: Heritage Foundations calculations based on data fromthe U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current Population Survey, andU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer ExpenditureSurvey. Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendix.

    Taxes Paid by Households

    Headed by Persons Without aHigh School Diploma

    heritage.orgSR 133

    AVERAGEANNUALTAXESPERHOUSEHOLD

    Total: $10,334

    Federal InsuranceContribution Act(FICA) Taxes

    Federal Individual IncomeTaxes

    State and Local PropertyTaxes

    Miscellaneous Taxes

    Corporate Income Tax(Federal and State)

    Labor Taxes

    Federal Excise Taxes andCustoms Duties

    State Lottery Purchases

    State Individual Income Tax

    State and Local Sales andConsumption Taxes

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    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    U.S.-born children in the mil) verged $4,497.

    Spending on police, re, nd public set cme to

    $3,656 per household. Trnsporttion dded noth-

    er $662, nd dministrtive support services cost

    $958. Direct benets cme to $44. Miscellneous

    popultion-bsed services dded nl $1,277.Taxes and Revenues Paid by Unlawul

    Immigrant Households. appendix Tble 9 detils

    the estimted txes nd revenues pid b unlwul

    immigrnt households in 34 ctegories. The results

    re summrized in Chrt 4.

    Totl ederl, stte, nd locl txes pid b

    unlwul immigrnt households verged $10,334

    per household in 2010. Federl nd stte individu-

    l income txes comprised less thn th o totl

    txes pid. Insted, txes on consumption nd

    emploment (FICa) produced nerl hl o the tx

    revenue or unlwul immigrnt households. (The

    nlsis ssumes tht workers p both the emplo-

    er nd emploee shre o FICa tx.) Propert txes

    (shited to renters) nd corporte prot txes (shit-

    ed to workers) lso orm signicnt prt o the tx

    burden.

    It is worth noting tht FICa nd income txes

    reported in Chrt 4 hve been reduced becusethe nlsis ssumes tht 45 percent o unlwul

    immigrnt erners work o the books. I ll unlw-

    ul immigrnt workers were emploed on the books,

    these tx pments would increse signicntl.

    Balance o Taxes and Benets. On verge,

    unlwul immigrnt households received $24,721

    per household in government benets nd serv ices in

    Fy 2010. This gure includes direct benets, mens-

    tested benets, eduction, nd popultion-bsed

    services received b the household but excludes the

    CHART 5

    Notes: All figures are for 2010. The figures for unlawfulimmigrant households exclude 1.1 million adult U.S. citizens and

    adult lawful immigrants who resided in the household.Sources: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data fromthe U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current Population Survey, andU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer ExpenditureSurvey. Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendix.

    Unlawful Immigrant Households:

    Earnings, Government Benefits,and Taxes

    heritage.orgSR 133

    AnnualHousehold

    Earnings

    AnnualGovernment

    BenefitsReceived

    AnnualGovernmentTaxes Paid

    $38,988

    $24,721

    $10,334

    CHART 6

    Note: Figures are averages per household.Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data fromthe U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current Population Survey, andU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer Expenditure

    Survey. Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendix.

    * Direct benefits, means-tested benefits, education, andpopulation-based services.

    Unlawful Immigrant Households:

    Average Fiscal Deficit perHousehold Equals $14,387

    heritage.orgSR 133

    AverageTaxes Paid

    AverageBenefits*Received

    Net FiscalDeficit

    $10,344

    $24,721

    $14,387

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    cost o public goods, interest on the government debt,

    nd other pments or prior government unctions.

    B contrst, unlwul immigrnt households onverge pid onl $10,334 in txes. Thus, unlwul

    immigrnt households received $2.40 in benets

    nd services or ech dollr pid in txes.

    Mn politicins believe tht households tht

    mintin sted emploment re invribl net tx

    contributors, ping more in txes thn the receive

    in government benets. Chrt 5 shows wh this is

    not the cse. as Tble 2 shows, unlwul immigrnt

    households hve high levels o emploment, with 1.6

    erners per household nd verge nnul ernings

    o round $39,000 or ll workers in the household.

    But with verge government benets t $24,721,unlwul immigrnt households ctull receive

    63 cents in government benets or ever dollr o

    ernings.

    To chieve scl blnce, with txes equl to ben-

    ets, the verge unlwul immigrnt household

    would hve to p nerl two-thirds o its income in

    txes. Given this simple ct, it is obvious tht unlw-

    ul immigrnt households cn never p enough

    txes to cover the cost o their current government

    benets nd services.

    Net Annual Fiscal Decit. The net scl de-

    cit o household equls the cost o benets nd ser-

    vices received minus txes pid. as Chrt 6 shows,when the costs o direct nd mens-tested benets,

    eduction, nd popultion-bsed services re count-

    ed, the verge unlwul immigrnt household hd

    scl decit o $14,387 (government expenditures o

    $24,721 minus $10,334 in txes) in 2010.

    For the verge unlwul immigrnt household

    to become scll solvent, with txes pid equling

    immedite benets received, it would be necessr

    to increse the households tx pments to 240 per-

    cent o current levels. alterntivel, unlwul immi-

    grnt households could become solvent onl i ll

    mens-tested welre nd nerl ll public educ-tion benets were eliminted.

    Age Distribution o Benets and Taxes

    Among Unlawul Immigrant Households. Mn

    politicl decision mkers believe tht becuse

    unlwul immigrnt workers re comprtivel

    oung, the cn help to relieve the scl strins o n

    ging societ. Chrts 7 nd 8 show wh this is not the

    cse. These chrts seprte the 3.44 million unlw-

    ul immigrnt households into ve ctegories bsed

    on the ge o the hed o household.

    CHART 7

    Note: Benefits include direct and means-tested benefits, public education, and population-based services. Lawful residentsare included in these figures.Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current Population Survey, andU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer Expenditure Survey. Summaries of data sets are provided in the Appendix.

    AGE OF HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD

    Benefits Received and Taxes Paid by Unlawful ImmigrantHouseholds, by Age of Head of Household

    heritage.orgSR 133

    Under 25 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64

    $12,335$11,112

    $13,045

    $9,978$11,524

    $24,726

    $27,082$28,345

    $29,361

    $21,123

    Taxes PaidImmediate Benefitsand Services Received

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    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    The benets levels in Chrt 7 gin include

    direct benets, mens-tested benets, public educ-tion, nd popultion-bsed services. These benets

    strt t $24,726 or households heded b immi-

    grnts under 25 ers o ge nd rise to $28,000 to

    $29,000 per er s the heds o household rech

    their 30s nd 40s. The increse is driven b rise in

    the number o children in ech home. as the ge o

    the hed o household reches the lte 50s, the num-

    ber o children in the home lls, nd benets dip to

    round $21,000 per er. annul tx pments vr

    little b the ge o the householder, verging round

    $12,000 per er in ech ge brcket.

    The criticl ct shown in Chrt 7 nd Chrt 8 istht, or ech ge ctegor, the benets received b

    unlwul immigrnt households exceed the txes pid.

    at no point in the lie ccle does the verge unlwul

    immigrnt household p more in txes thn it tkes

    out in benets. In ech ge ctegor, unlwul immi-

    grnt households receive roughl $2.00 in govern-

    ment benets or ech dollr pid in txes. Between

    ges 45 nd 54 (generll considered prime erning

    ers), unlwul immigrnts ctull receive nerl

    $3.00 in benets or ech dollr pid in txes.

    These gures belie the notion tht government

    cn relieve nncil strins in Socil Securitnd other progrms simpl b importing ounger

    unlwul immigrnt workers. The scl impct o n

    immigrnt worker is determined r more b educ-

    tion nd skill level thn b ge. Low-skill immigrnt

    workers (whether lwul or unlwul) impose net

    drin on government nnce s soon s the enter

    the countr nd dd signicntl to those costs

    ever er the remin.

    Chrt 8 shows the net scl decits (benets

    minus txes) or ech ge ctegor. The scl de-

    cits rech pek o over $19,000 per er or house-

    holds with heds between 45 nd 54 ers old. Theverge decit then lls to round $10,000 per er

    or households with heds between 55 nd 64 ers

    old. The number o unlwul immigrnt households

    declines shrpl with ge. There re ver ew unlw-

    ul immigrnt households with heds over ge 65.

    Aggregate Annual Net Fiscal Costs. In 2010,

    3.44 million unlwul immigrnt households

    ppered in the Current Popultion Surve. The

    verge net scl decit per household ws $14,387.

    Most experts believe tht t lest 350,000 more

    CHART 8

    Notes: Fiscal deficit equals benefits and services received minus taxes paid. Benefits include direct and means-tested benefits, public education, and population-based services. Lawful residents are included in these figures.Source: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Current PopulationSurvey, and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010 Consumer Expenditure Survey. Summaries of data sets areprovided in the Appendices.

    AGE OF HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD

    Annual Fiscal Deficit per Unlawful Immigrant Household,by Age of Head of Household

    heritage.orgSR 133

    Under 25 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64

    $12,391

    $15,970$15,299

    $19,383

    $9,599

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    unlwul immigrnt households resided in the U.S.

    but were not reported in the CPS.

    assuming tht the scl decit or these unre-

    ported households ws the sme s the scl decit

    or the unlwul immigrnt households in the CPS,

    the totl nnul scl decit (totl benets received

    minus totl txes pid) or ll 3.79 million unlwulimmigrnt households together equled $54.5 billion

    (the decit o $14,387 per household times 3.79 million

    households). This sum includes direct nd mens-test-

    ed benets, eduction, nd popultion-bsed services.

    Adjusting Future Decit Estimates orthe Potential Impact o the 2010Recession

    In 2010, the econom ws in recession. In

    recession, overll income nd tx revenue will be

    lower; some benets such s unemploment insur-

    nce will be drmticll higher. The recession

    m thereore hve incresed the scl decit o

    unlwul immigrnt households reltive to non-

    recession ers. However, the impct o reces-

    sion will not be uniorm cross ll socioeconomic

    groups.Evidence suggests tht the recession hd t best

    modest impct on the scl sttus o unlwul

    immigrnt households. For exmple, while incomes

    dropped signicntl during the recession, most o

    the drop occurred in propert income; the Ntionl

    Income nd Product accounts (which mesure the

    whole econom) show tht totl nominl wges ell

    b onl 2.3 percent rom 2008 to 2010. Some 95 per-

    cent o the income o unlwul immigrnt house-

    holds comes rom wges.

    CHART 9

    Note: Figures show total federal and state means-tested welfare spending on cash, food, housing, medical care, and social services.Source: The Heritage Foundation, from current and previous Oce of Management and Budget documents and other ocial government sources.

    IN BILLIONS OF CONSTANT 2011 DOLLARS

    Total Federal and State Means-Tested Welfare Spending, 19652011

    heritage.orgSR 133

    2011: $927 billion

    1965:$64 billion

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    THE FISCAL COST OF UNLAWFUL IMMIGRANTS

    AND AMNESTY TO THE U.S. TAXPAYER

    as mesured in the CPS, the constnt-dollr

    income o the verge unlwul immigrnt house-

    hold ws the sme in 2010 s in 2006. The mesured

    income o unlwul immigrnts m be compr-

    tivel stble during recession becuse unemploed

    unlwul immigrnts return to their countr o

    origin nd thereb dispper rom Census records.

    I the verge unlwul immigrnt household lost

    income during the recession, the drop ws modest.

    Wht bout welre spending? There is popu-

    lr conception tht welre spending is like roller

    coster, rising shrpl during recession nd lling

    when the recession ends. This pttern pplies some-

    wht to ood stmps but not to mens-tested welre

    in generl. Historicll, overll mens-tested spend-

    ing does rise during recession but does not llnoticebl when the recession ends.

    This pttern is shown in Chrt 9, which shows

    totl mens-tested spending over time djusted or

    intion. The chrt shows drmtic rise in costs

    over time. Periods o rpid increse re ollowed b

    spending plteus, but there re no signicnt dips

    in post-recession periods. Following this pttern,

    the Obm budget shows tht constnt-dollr per

    cpit mens-tested spending will not decline over

    the next decde.30

    Despite these cvets, the estimtes o uture s-

    cl decits in the rest o this pper will be djustedor the potentil eects o the recession on the 2010

    dt. Specicll, the nlsis reduces uture unem-

    ploment benets nd ood stmp benets b 66 per-

    cent nd 25 percent below 2010 levels, respectivel.

    These djustments re rml bcked b evidence nd

    included in ll o the gures on uture-er decits.

    In ddition, the nlsis increses uture tx p-

    ments b unlwul immigrnts upwrd b 5 per-

    cent nd reduces uture overll mens-tested wel-

    re benets downwrd b 5 percent to compenste

    or the impct o the recession on 2010 dt. These

    djustments re more specultive; their impct isshown seprtel in Tble 7 nd in subsequent tbles.

    The ltter djustments reduce projected uture s-

    cl decits mong unlwul immigrnt households

    b bout 5 percent.

    Fiscal Impact o Amnestyor Earned Citizenship

    In recent ers, Congress hs considered vri-

    ous comprehensive immigrtion reorm proposls.

    One ke eture o these proposls hs been tht

    ll or most current unlwul immigrnts would be

    llowed to st in the U.S. nd become U.S. citizens.

    In most legisltive proposls, mnest or erned

    citizenship would hve three phses. First, unlw-

    ul immigrnts would be plced in provisionl st-

    tus tht would llow them to remin in the U.S. lw-

    ull. ater ve to 10 ers in this provisionl sttus,

    most ormer unlwul immigrnts would be grnted

    legl permnent resident (LPR) sttus. ater ve

    ers in LPR sttus, the individuls would be llowed

    to become U.S. citizens. The intervl between initil

    mnest nd citizenships would thus stretch or 10

    to 15 ers or longer.

    The scl impct o mnest would vr gretl

    depending on the time period exmined. The pres-

    ent pper will nlze the scl consequences omnest in our phses.

    Phase 1: Current Law or Status Quo. This is thescl sttus t the present time prior to mnest.

    Phase 2: The Interim Phase. This phse wouldinclude the period in which mnest recipients

    were in provisionl sttus ollowed b the rst ve

    ers o legl permnent residence. During the

    interim phse, tx revenues would go up s more

    ormer unlwul immigrnts begn to work on

    the books but would remin brred rom receiv-ing mens-tested welre nd probbl Obmcre

    helth cre subsidies. The overll net scl cost o

    the ormer unlwul immigrnt popultion could

    be expected to decline slightl during this period.

    The length nd progrmmtic boundries o the

    interim phse would obviousl vr in dierent

    bills, but ve to 15 ers would be tpicl.

    Phase 3: Full Implementation o Amnesty. atthe end o the interim phse, ll mnest bills

    would provide the mnest recipients (ormer

    unlwul immigrnts) with ull eligibilit ormore thn 80 mens-tested welre progrms s

    well s helth cre subsidies under the aordble

    Cre act (aCa, or Obmcre). The resulting

    increse in outls would be substntil.

    Phase 4: Retirement Years. Under cur-rent lw, unlwul immigrnts re not eligible

    or Socil Securit nd Medicre benets. all

    mnest legisltion would llow recipients o

    mnest to obtin eligibilit or these progrms.

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