ibfra presentation monday · 2019. 7. 2. · capturing complexity maartje j klapwijk, johanna...
TRANSCRIPT
Capturing Complexity
Maartje J Klapwijk, Johanna Boberg, Johan Bergh, Kevin Bishop, Christer Björkman, David Ellison, Adam Felton, Rolf Lidskog, Tomas Lundmark, E. Carina H. Keskitalo, Johan Sonesson, Annika Nordin, Eva-Maria Nordström, Jan Stenlid &
Erland Mårald
Affliations: Umeå University, Örebro University, Linnean University and The Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Is there enough forest?
Forests in climate mitigation
No clear direction
S T A T E
Current
Target
Socio-Ecologicalsystem
S T A T E
ACTION
Aim:
To explore a range of interacting obstacles which inhibit the
increased use of forests as a climate change mitigation tool.
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
Carbon Accounting Bio-energy
Disagreement on models
Constructed problem in the institutional
international context
Disagreement on models–prevent formulation of policy
due to lack of long-term strategy
Social values as to whose arguments are
the most trustworthy inhibit progress
Carbon Accounting
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
S T A T E
Current
Target
Socio-Ecologicalsystem
S T A T E
ACTION
X
Disagreement on models
Constructed problem in the institutional
international context
Disagreement on models–prevent formulation of policy
due to lack of long-term strategy
Social values as to whose arguments are
the most trustworthy inhibit progress
Carbon Accounting
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
S T A T E
Current
Target
Socio-Ecologicalsystem
S T A T E
ACTION
X
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
S T A T E
Current
Target
Socio-Ecologicalsystem
S T A T E
ACTION
XBio-energy
Unclear what forest products to use and
quantitative contribution to
mitigation unclear
Market uncertainties related to energy price
No incentives to increase
the use of forest products
for bio-energyDisagreement on
acceptable forest use
COGNITIVE
STRATEGIC
INSTITUTIONAL
NORMATIVE
S T A T E
Current
Target
Socio-Ecologicalsystem
S T A T E
ACTION
XBio-energy
Unclear what forest products to use and
quantitative contribution to
mitigation unclear
Market uncertainties related to energy price
No incentives to increase
the use of forest products
for bio-energyDisagreement on
acceptable forest use
Carbon Accounting Bio-energy
Supportive institutional context created
Scientific knowledge obtained
Socio -
ecological
system
S T A T ECurrent
Target
S T A T E
Mutual trust achieved
Shared values agreed
Obstacle: Lacking scientific knowledge
Obstacle: Non-supportive institutional context
Obstacle: Uncertainty about consequences
Obstacle: Opposing values
Alternative Observedpathways
Acknowledgements
Erland Mårald,
Professor in the history of ideas
Johanna Boberg
Researcher in forest mycology and pathology
https://www.slu.se/en/Collaborative-Centres-and-Projects/future-forests/
And all other contributing authors