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IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 – 16 Vienna, Austria. Session 2: Energy Demand The Role of Infrastructure on Energy Demand The Role of Infrastructure on Energy Demand

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Page 1: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT

Néstor D. Luna GonzálezDirector of Planning and Projects

September 15 – 16 ● Vienna, Austria.

Session 2: Energy DemandThe Role of Infrastructure on Energy Demand The Role of Infrastructure on Energy Demand

Page 2: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

2

Is an intergovernmental agency created through formalization of the LIMA AGREEMENT on Ecuador November 2, 1973, and ratified by 26 countries of Latin America and the Caribbean:

Central America and Mexico: Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, México, Nicaragua and Panama.

Andean Region: Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela

The Caribbean: Barbados, Cuba, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Dominica Republic and Suriname.

Southern Cone: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay and Uruguay.

1 participant country: Algeria

Page 3: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

(2)

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

- 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Energy Consumption pc (thousand boe)

GD

P pc

(US$

@20

00)

Argentina

Brazil

Venezuela

ChileBolivia

Ecuador

Colombia

Peru

ParaguayGuatemala

México

Uruguay

1970

Haiti

Energy Use

Page 4: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

(2)

-

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

- 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Energy Consumption pc (thousand boe)

GD

P pc

(US$

@20

00)

Argentina

México

Chile

Bolivia

EcuadorColombia

Perú

ParaguayGuatemala

Brazil

Venezuela

Uruguay

2007Energy Use

Haiti

Page 5: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure and Energy

– Building Infrastructure is highly energy-intensive,

– It is often “long lived” and expensive to replace,

– Infrastructure can shape the type of energy forms that are needed

•• Getting the “right” infrastructure is Getting the “right” infrastructure is important for developmentimportant for development

Page 6: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure: Buildings

• A large portion of energy is used in Buildings

• “Stock turn” over is slow

• Retrofits are possible but:– Can be expensive– Don’t reach the same

efficiency levels

Bahrain trade center

Page 7: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure: Buildings

• Codes and Standards for residential and commercial Buildings can help shape our future energy use

EU Building Energy Rating

Page 8: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure: City planning

• Town and city planning influence energy use patterns

• Interplay between: – Energy supply systems such

as: gas, heating, hot water, electricity networks

– Energy use: transport systems, building types, urban densities (sprawl versus planned)

• Energy considerations in town planning can lower impacts (on energy use, environment, cost)

Page 9: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Energy Demand Vs. Infrastructure

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

7 9 11 13 15

log (km of Highway)

log

(Ene

rgy

Dem

and

(kbo

e))

Page 10: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure: Embodied energy

• Infrastructure requires material

• Steel, wood and concrete: – require vastly different

levels of energy– Have vastly different GHG

implications

But are (often) substitutable building blocks of much of our “built environment”

Page 11: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure: Regional energy transport

• Help allocate otherwise “locked-in” resources

• Reduces transport costs• Reduces overall system

costs• Increase regional trade• Develop long term

commitments• Can lock in dependencies

Page 12: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

42%

26%

10%13%

3%5%

1%

29% 29%

17%14%

3%6%

2%

Oil andderivatives

Natural Gas Hydroenergy Biomass Others Coal Nuclear

2003-2007 (5,031Mbep) 2032 (10,082 Mbep)

Oil and natural gas remain majorfuels in the foreseeable future.

Source: Economic and Energetic Information System -SIEE

Perspective - ALC Energy Demand

Page 13: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure and Developing Countries

– Lower level of development in DC is a blessing in disguise.

It is a chance to build the “right” It is a chance to build the “right” infrastructure for their developmentinfrastructure for their development

Page 14: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure and Developing Countries

Page 15: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure and Developing Countries

Page 16: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Infrastructure and Developing Countries

Page 17: IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009€¦ · IAEA SCIENTIFIC FORUM 2009 ENERGY FOR DEVELOPMENT Néstor D. Luna González Director of Planning and Projects September 15 –16 Vienna, Austria

Néstor D. Luna GonzálezDirector of Planning and Projects

www.olade.orgQuito-Ecuador

THANK YOU!!