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Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Art Smith, PhD – University of Houston [email protected] March 11, 2015

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Page 1: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Hydrocarbon Infrastructure

Art Smith, PhD – University of Houston

[email protected] March 11, 2015

Page 2: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

NA Crude Supply Solutions circa 2005

ANS

Cushing

IMPORTS

IMPORTS

IMPORTS

Page 3: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

LNG DW GOM

Alaska/Beaufort

Onshore

NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2005

E. Canada

West LNG

Alberta

Page 4: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

The Game Changer: Shale

Page 5: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

US Hydrocarbon Production Growth 2005-2014

RBN Energy LLC

Page 6: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Brent-WTI Spread weekly continuation Nov 2010 –3/3/15

Page 7: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

WTI Crude/Henry Hub Nat.Gas monthly continuation 1991 – 3/3/25

Page 8: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

NA Crude Supply Solutions circa 2015

RAIL

WB GOM to EC

ANS

CAN EXPORT

GOM EXPORTS Crude & Products

CAN EXPORT

Imports

Page 9: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015

LNG

LNG

Marcellus

Export

Page 10: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Hydrocarbon Infrastructure

Transportation to Domestic Market

Transformation from Natural State

Export Facilities

Page 11: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Transport to Market

highest to lowest cost per unit

Truck

Rail

Inland Barge

Pipeline

Ocean Freight

Page 12: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Transformation from Natural State

Gas Processing Plants (NGLs)

NGLs Splitters

Distillation of Condensate/Crude pre Refinery

Refining to Intermediate Products

Refining to Finished Products

Gas to Liquids (LNG, Chemical, Fuel)

Page 13: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Impediments to Infrastructure Development

Environmental

Public Perception

Regulatory

Economic

Business Models

Page 14: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Citi

Page 15: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Marcellus/Utica Pipeline Market Areas

RBN Energy LLC

Page 16: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Pipelines to Market

RBN Energy llc

South via Atlantic Total 7.725 bcf/d

Canada Total 1.178 bcf/d

East Total 5.802 bcf/d

Midwest via Ohio Total 5.255 bcf/d

Gulf via Ohio Total 8.226 bcf/d

Grand Total 28.186 bcf/d

Page 17: Hydrocarbon Infrastructure - Bauer College of Business · NA Nat Gas Supply Solutions circa 2015 LNG LNG Marcellus Export . Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Transportation to Domestic Market

Market Cycles

High Differentials

Low Differentials

Build Infrastructure

(Pipelines, Barges, Rail, etc)

Increasing Supply

and Demand

Kevin Bass, BP

2001