hr wallingford ltd 2002 overview of the cfmps and the mdsf rob cheetham hr wallingford ltd

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HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

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Page 1: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF

Rob Cheetham

HR Wallingford LTD

Page 2: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

INTRODUCTION

The following presentation aims to give:

•a brief overview of Catchment Flood Management Planning (CFMPs) and the Modelling and Decision Support Framework (MDSF)

•show methods of developing catchment wide rainfall runoff and flow routing models

•Demonstrate how to carry out socio-economic impact analysis within the MDSF

•Show how “what-if” scenarios can be developed to address policies

Page 3: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

PURPOSE OF CFMPs

• To determine the socio-economic risks associated with flooding;

• To investigate the efficacy of different flood management in reducing unacceptable risk at a catchment scale;

• To provide the basis for sustainable flood management policies within each catchment over the next 50 years.

PURPOSE OF MDSF

• To support implementation of CFMPs

•To provide tools to aid socio-economic and uncertainty analysis

• Manage data and results of “what if” scenario testing

Page 4: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Page 5: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Scoping Study dataSteps 1 and 2

Existing conditionsdatabase

Steps 3, 4 and 8

Flood extent anddepthStep 7

Economic and socialimpactsStep 9

Policy evaluation forexisting conditionsand future scenarios

Steps 9&10

Flood damage andsocial impact tools

Flood mapgeneration tools

Flow routing tool

Hydrology tool

Uncertaintyestimation procedure

TOOLKIT

Scenario definitionStep 5

CFMPStep 11

MDSF SYSTEM

CUSTOMISEDGIS

Figure 3.1 MDSF System

Note: Step numbers refer to steps inCFMP methodology

Flows, levels andflood duration.

Steps 4 & 6

Sensitivity tests:scenarios and storage

CASE MANAGEMENTFRONT END ANDUSER INTERFACE

CORE DATA- OS Background- Flood maps- Flood defences- Topography- Land use- Environmental- Social information- Existing reports- etc

Local orcatchment-specificdata

SECTION 105MAPS &MODELS

CFMP OUTPUTS(Electronic

CFMPs)

AGENCYDATABASES

PROCEDURES

MDSF system diagram

Page 6: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Import base data

Page 7: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Downstream boundary

Croal/Tonge confluence

Upstream boundary

Farnworth GS

Section 105 hydraulically modelled reaches

Routeing modelling

Page 8: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Sub-catchment 1-9 FEH lumped catchment

Sub-catchment 1-9i (intermediate sub-catchment)

Sub-catchment 1-6

Linked with rainfall runoff model

Page 9: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Import water levels and hydrographs

Page 10: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002External model results

Page 11: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Economic damages

Page 12: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Social vulnerability

Page 13: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

• Rainfall runoff - routing model generates water levels for present and future conditions

• MDSF generates flood outlines and socio-economic impacts, thus defining the present and likely future flood risks

• THESE ARE THE BASE CONDITIONS

• Policies are developed to address flood risks

• In the following example, the policy for the Croal catchment is ‘ensure River Tonge water levels do not increase in the future for the 100-year event’

Policy development

Page 14: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

• Flood management options are developed to try to achieve the policy

• Each option consists of a set of measures

• Flood management measures include:

– On-line/off-line storage

– Flood diversion

– Channel works/maintenance

– Walls and embankments

– Non-structural measures

Flood management option appraisal

Overview

Page 15: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Off-line Storage facility

River Tonge

Page 16: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Page 17: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

• Model used to determine feasibility of options. Objective is to achieve “sufficient and robust” options

• MDSF used to determine benefits of different options

• Off-line storage facility for the River Tonge:

– Requires modification to achieve stated policy for the Tonge

– Difficult to locate within Bolton (consider upstream sites)

• This is an example only - need to investigate other options

Flood management option appraisal

Conclusion

Page 18: HR Wallingford Ltd 2002 Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF Rob Cheetham HR Wallingford LTD

HR Wallingford Ltd 2002

Overview of the CFMPs and the MDSF

Rob Cheetham

HR Wallingford LTD