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How will digital natives move ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20 th October 2016, Lausanne Kathrin Konrad Dirk Wittowsky Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016 1

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Page 1: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

How will digital natives move –

ICT and mobility behavior of young people

Swiss Mobility Conference

20th October 2016, Lausanne

Kathrin Konrad

Dirk Wittowsky

Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016 1

Page 2: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

2 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Motivation for U.Move 2.0

In a digital age technical devices have the potential to optimize

our physical and virtual mobility

Rapid spread of ICT-technologies

Digitalization is increasingly affecting our daily

behavior in space and time

We live in a world where we can be…

online anywhere and anytime

interacting with different people

searching for information

using a variety of more or less useful

applications – also for our mobility

ICT

Page 3: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

95% 98% 96%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

10 - 13 14 - 19 20 - 29age

online offline

3 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Internet access

Private internet penetration is approaching more and more to

the full supply

ICT are pervading modern

lifestyle

indicator of digitalization: the

older the person, the higher the

proportion of mobile devices

widespread use of the internet

creates excellent conditions for

the use of innovative forms of

mobility

Facts

Page 4: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

4 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

New forms of mobility

We observed significant changes in the mobility behavior of

young people

young people have left the former

dominance of the own car behind

boom of innovative mobility

services:

public bike- and car-sharing

systems (car2go, citibike)

ride-sharing / ride-selling

(Uber, flinc)

Demand Responsive Transport

Facts

Source: urba-e.com

Page 5: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

Inhaltlicher Hintergrund We can observed a change in the mobiltiy behaviour of young people –

e.g. the distance travelled decreased

Reference: Ifmo (2011)

there are a lot of hypotheses why those changes have

taken place

change of mobility-related attitudes

changes in biographies

use of information and communication technologies (ICT)

change in transport infrastructure

realocation of mobility budget

kilometers by car

Hypotheses

5 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Page 6: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

6 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Status Quo

first generation to grow up with new technology

behavior changed radically - receive information very fast and

like to do parallel activities (Prensky 2001)

digital

natives

substitution

modification

stimulation

fragmen-

tation

There are a vast number of studies that seek to explore and

understand the relationship between ICT and physical mobility

ICT increases the efficiency of the transportation system

not all uses of ICT constitute a replacement of travel

paradoxical results (Moktharian)

spatial technologies increases the widely observed travel

demand in the industrialized world

planners have less control than ever before on what activities

take place where (and when)

(Couclelis 2000)

Page 7: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

Variety of assumptions about the link between ICT and mobility –

not empirically well documented

Empirical design

multi-level empirical design

Personal paper & pencil

topic-related interviews

classical trip diary – georeferenced

ICT diary

Online survey

Trip and ICT diary

detailed questions about substituted

and induced trips or modifications

Method

(When) Did you

plan this trip?

Did the use of

smartphone or

internet result in

any modification of

this trip?“

8 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

additional item

vehicle

destination

Page 8: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

Different survey contents and detail levels to estimate the

effects of ICT on activities and travel behavior

personal online

14-24 years old

3 social milieus (precariat, middle-class, cosmopolitan)

n= 180 n = 1273

Ruhr-Area nationwide

Personal theme-centered interviews Online-(Access-)Panel

Trip / ICT diary for 3 days Trip / ICT diary for 1 day

mobility-based attitudes

9 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Comparison of the surveys

Page 9: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

We adopted a simple approach for classification of the social

milieus - degree education, attitudes to way of living, and budget

18 %

54 %

28 %

12

Page 10: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

13 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

What characterizes today’s digital natives?

67 % are

always

available

61 % find

permanent

availability

positive

socializing

emergencies

information

pressure‘

23 % find

permanent

availability

negative

mobile

addiction

Page 11: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

30,9% 30,2% 42,0%

5,0% 5,5%

40,2% 36,9%

37,7%

24,0% 27,4% 18,6%

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %

cosmopolitan middle-class precariat

car public transport bike walk

Young adults increasingly prioritise environmental transport

modes

Mode choice (Ø-day)

[percent] first survey

14 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Page 12: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

correlation

trips – ICT

0.32**

4,0

7,7

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

trips ICT usage

15 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

trips and ICT usage (Ø-day)

[count / paper pencil]

Significantly correlation between number of trips and the ICT

usage – the more trips the more ICT use

Public transport and walking

have extraordinary shares in the

modal split

ICT has a considerable meaning

in the everyday life of young

people

Comments

Page 13: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

17 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Cosmopolitans make the highest number of trips as well as the

number of ICT usage

trips and ICT usage (Ø-day)

[count / online]

Page 14: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

18 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Excepting the rush-hour in the morning the distribution of ICT

usage and trips are similar looking

ICT usage / trips and time distribution

[percent]

Page 15: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

Trip diary: Nearly 8 % of the trips were modified by

ICT use

8,4%

91,6%

trip affected by ICT use

trip not affected by ICT use

38,3%

18,4%

16,6%

9,7%

13,7%

3,4%

Kind of trip modification

information/ timetable information

activity

travel mode or trip

navigation/ route planning

others

no specification

Trip modification

[percent]

Page 16: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

On almost every second trip in public transport, young

people use ICT devices such as mobile phones

trip ICT

ICT ICT

ICT ICT

44%

49%

0%

20%

40%

all trips public transport

Share of trips with parallel ICT use

[percent]

20 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

On average 44 % of the reported

trips overlap with ICT

Especially trips by public transport

are used for ICT activities

ICT devices used by young people

are predominantly mobile devices

14.6 % trips were modified /

induced by the use of ICT

Results

Page 17: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

21 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

ICT is in particular used for communication and socializing

ICT activities during a trip

[percent]

only 6 % oft the ICT usage

are trip planning or mobility

information

mainly for better information

about different routes and

modes

reacting more

spontaneously than ever

73%

13%

6%

8%

communication (Whatsapp etc.)

social networks (facebook etc.)

trip planning / traffic info

gaming

Results

Page 18: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

Over 75 % of young people plan trips and activities online –

investing 11 minutes a day thereon

23 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

ICT activities which affected a trip

[percent]

every fifth ICT-activity

affected a trip

ICT lead rather to additional

trip than to reducing trips

reorganize daily activity and

mobility patterns

Results

17,1%

30,3%

9,0%

43,7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

replace

modified

shift to another day

additional trip

Page 19: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

General effects of ICT use on activities and trips

24

Substitution / stimulation: high

level of agreement

Induction effect on trips

slightly stronger

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

no/ lowagreement

mediumagreement

strong/ verystrong agreement

Page 20: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

On the first view it seems that ICT has only a very small negative

sustainable effect – maybe more stimulation of additional car use

25 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Page 21: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

ICT

ICT has a great meaning in everyday life of young people – do technical

devices have the potential to optimize our mobility all alone?

users can choose the mode of travel best fitting the situation and

their individual time and financial budget

Concurrency and considerable overlapping of virtual and spatial

mobility

ICT seems to intensify communication and socializing

provide new activity and travel planning

ICT leads rather to additional ways than to substitution

use of ICT is strongly influenced by the milieu

the ability to use ICT while traveling further fosters the

attractiveness of public transport - but car and ICT merge together

Facts

Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016 27

Page 22: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

28 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016

Lessons learned

The link between virtual and physical mobility remains complex

and requiring further research

difficult to measure effects

developing and testing new survey approaches

observation variables over long periods of time

assessment of the effects of ICT on mobility (and

reverse)

additional ways of analysing (SEM, TOPB, DCM)

visualising virtual and physical mobilities

Page 23: How will digital natives move ICT and mobility …...How will digital natives move – ICT and mobility behavior of young people Swiss Mobility Conference 20th October 2016, Lausanne

to be continued...

Dr. Dirk Wittowsky

ILS – Research Institute for Regional and Urban

Development gGmbH

[email protected]

29 Wittowsky | Swiss Mobility | Oktober 2016