how much will this project...
TRANSCRIPT
Cost Management
How Much Will This Project Cost?
Janelle Abaoag
Project Insight
Marketing, Public Relations
www.projectinsight.net
Moderator
Things to Know…
All participants will be on mute
Questions are welcome
Please use the questions box to ask
questions
The moderator will select questions
All questions will be answered today or
by email at [email protected]
Webinar recording available in the PI Community
Goals of the Fundamentals Series
Deepen your understanding of fundamental project management
concepts
Identify tools and techniques that can be implemented to manage
projects more effectively
Discover practical applications for your existing projects
Use project management software more effectively
© 2014 Core Performance Concepts Inc.
Linda Iovinelli, PMP
Program Manager for a major financial institution
Training in IT project management, risk
management and PMP Preparation.
Presenter
PMP® is a registered trademark of the Project Management Institute
© 2014 Core Performance Concepts Inc.
Objectives of This Webinar
Differentiate between estimates and budgets
Identify influences on estimating cost
Compare types of estimates
List the steps to good cost estimating
Define best practices to implement within Project Insight
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Poll: Cost Management
What is YOUR biggest issue in estimating cost?
Unclear or incomplete scope definition
Poor time estimates for labor costs
Lack of understanding of resource capability
Wrong people doing the estimate
Wishful thinking or optimistic biases
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Distinction in PMBOK® Guide
External contracts with buyer & seller
Internal projects – no real distinction
Estimates vs. Budgets
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Establish a realistic plan for using resources
Create a workable project budget
Identify cost-related risks
Highlight the complexity of the project
Develop a realistic schedule
Provide a meaningful plan to management and clients
Build confidence and credibility
Make better decisions
Benefits of Good Estimating
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Quote
As you move up the organizational chart, the easier,
faster and cheaper the job looks to the senior manager
than to the project team member who must do the work. Robert Gilbreath
Project Management Guru
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Influences on Estimating Cost
Strategic concerns
Ability to prioritize effectively
Understanding of scope complexity
Resource availability
Resource capability
Clients, Customers, End Users Management
Technical knowledge
Strength of desire for specific outcomes
Time desired
Clarity of performance criteria
Level of detail in scope definition
Scope Other
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Influences on Estimating Cost (cont.)
Degree of new technology
Resource availability
Resource capability
Priorities
Overly optimistic schedules
Risk & unknowns
Scope Other
Clarity of performance criteria
Level of detail in scope definition
Omissions in scope
Accuracy of WBS
Size & length of project
Complexity and technical sophistication
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Analogous Parametric Bottom up
Use similar past project as basis for estimate; Should be scalable
Use when there is a mathematical relationship between variables; Should be scalable
Use when you have time to prepare detailed WBS and activity list;
Adjust for differences between current and prior projects, e.g. • Scope • Labor cost or mix • Technology • Equipment • Materials • Inflation
Computer model based on statistical parameter, e.g. • $/sq ft • $/lb • $/component • $/kilowatt • $/unit
Estimate cost of each activity or work package, including, e.g. • Materials • Labor • Outsourced labor • Hardware, software • Travel • Training
Comparison of Estimating Types
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Questions for You
What are the advantages of top
down estimates?
What are the disadvantages?
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Questions for You
What are the advantages of
bottom up estimates?
What are the disadvantages?
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1. Start with project plans
Clarify scope definition
Decompose work into activities
Understand the components of the activities
Determine activity sequence
2. Identify resources required
3. Establish estimating assumptions
4. Gather information
5. Review effort & duration estimates
6. Forecast quantity of resources
required
7. Apply costs to quantities
8. Create time-phased budget
Steps to Good Estimating
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Busy Foods, Inc. – Case Study
Customer Needs
Organizational Needs
Project Charter
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Factors Affecting Busy Foods Inc.
Overview
• BUSY FOODS services over 200 clients world-wide.
• Most of BUSY FOOD’S clients are large restaurant venues who can serve thousands in a single day
Situation
• In recent years, long-term clients have started to leave for a competitor who promises overnight delivery of restaurant equipment without a minimum order.
Goal
• BUSY FOODS would like to improve their distribution process to match the competition
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Deliverable
Improve the time from order intake to shipping restaurant equipment) to less than 8 hours
Deliverable
Develop and launch a marketing campaign to clients to educate them on the new equipment shipping process
Deliverable
Train all internal staff affected by the new business process
Project Statement of Work
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Step 1: Our Project Schedule
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Project schedule and Gantt chart in Project Insight
Step 2: Identify Resources Required
Labor
Contractors
Consultants
Scope Costs Time Costs
Materials
Software
Hardware
Equipment
Travel & living
Training
Facilities
Prototypes
Etc.
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Question for You
What are resources for the
Busy Foods project that you
might need to estimate?
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Who is the end user of the estimate?
Internal
External bid for contract
Marketing proposal
What constraints do you face?
Time
Budget
Resources
Step 3. Establish Estimating Assumptions
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Question for You
If you were to develop and launch a
marketing campaign to existing
clients and past clients, what
assumptions are you likely to make?
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Rely on experience
Use prior project plans
Interview project professionals
Hire consultants
Use templates or checklists
Use commercial databases
Step 4. Gather Information
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Quote
The same work under the same conditions will be
estimated differently by ten different estimators
OR
by one estimator in ten different ways. PM Proverb
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Use scope statement and activity list
Many projects have a large labor component
Estimate effort & duration
Effort is actual work time spent; used to create the
budget
Duration is calendar time needed: used to create
the schedule
Step 5. Review Effort & Duration Estimates
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Sample Time Estimate Activity Effort Duration
A – Project kick-off 1 hour 1 day
B – Analyze current business process 12 hours 10 days
C – Marketing Plan 5 hours 5 days
D – Create Marketing Message 20 hours 8 days
E – Determine areas for improvement 3 days 5 days
F – Review improvement opportunities with Management 8 hours 2 days
G – Approval on improvements 2 hours 1 day
H – Design training materials 24 hours 8 days
I – Deliver training to staff 3 days 3 days
J – Deliver marketing message through several modes 2 hours per day for 2 weeks
10 days
K – Implement Improvements 25 days 25 days
L – Test improvements as a prototype 24 hours 5 days
M – Approve improvements 10 hours 2 days
N – Go-Live 1 day 1 day
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Labor quantities may be estimated by:
Standard staff hours
Head count
Labor hours
Materials, equipment, software, hardware and other scope
quantities are determined by:
RFQ
Procurement estimates
Published price lists
Step 6. Forecast Resource Quantities
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Question for You
How do you measure your
labor costs?
Standard staff hours
Head count
Labor hours
Or????
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Apply cost estimates to
estimated quantities to
determine budget
Step 7. Apply Costs to Quantities
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Spread costs over the life of the project based on when
they are spent
Show the cumulative costs as well as periodic costs
Step 8. Create Time-Phased Budget
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Project Insight Time-Phased Budget
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Task report in Project Insight
1. Start with project plans
Clarify scope definition
Decompose work into activities
Understand the components of the
activities
Determine activity sequence
2. Identify resources required
3. Establish estimating assumptions
4. Gather information
5. Review effort & duration estimates
6. Forecast quantity of resources
required
7. Apply costs to quantities
8. Create time-phased budget
Steps to Good Estimating
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Challenges in Managing Cost
It’s difficult to manage project costs because…
Too much time between the end of the reporting
period and the report
Accounting systems set up for financial statements,
not projects.
People enter time incorrectly
Disconnect between the level of detail in planning
and reporting
© 2014 Core Performance Concepts Inc.
Poll: Sample Exam Questions
A. Cost estimates, work breakdown structure,
and project organization charts B. Cost
estimates, scope baseline, and appropriate
estimating techniques
C. Activity cost estimates, project schedule,
and reserve analysis
D. Cost estimates, risk contingency plans, and
cost performance baseline
Question Answers
In planning to manage project
cost, you must develop a
budget. Which of the following
are critical inputs for
developing your budget?
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Review
Differentiate between estimates and budgets
Identify influences on estimating cost
Compare types of estimates
List the steps to good cost estimating
Define best practices to implement within Project Insight
Questions & Answers ???
© 2014 Core Performance Concepts Inc.
Use this link and answer 10 questions about Cost Management
CPC will send out the results to all participants
• https://coreperformanceconcepts.testcraft.com/assess.aspx?aid=WEBINAR-COSTMANAGEMENT&apass=webinar
THIS LINK WILL BE DISTRIBUTED on Monday, March 17th.
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Compare Yourself to Others
2014 Fundamentals Webinar Series The 2nd Wednesday of Every Month
8:00 am Pacific Time Topics
Jan 8 – Estimating Time
Feb 12 – Conducting Meetings with Virtual Teams (NEW!)
Mar 12 – Estimating Cost
April 9 – Business Process Improvement Basics (NEW!)
May 14 – Techniques to Identify & Assess Risks
June 11 – Earned Value Basics
Topics
July 9 – Delivering Quality in Projects
Aug 13 – Troubleshooting 101 (NEW!)
Sept 10 – Influencing 101 (NEW!)
Oct 8 – Lessons Learned Basics (NEW!)
Nov 12 – Requirements Tools & Techniques (NEW!)
Dec 10 – Difficult Conversations
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