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How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five challenges for the grid operator Marjolein Hulsebosch | Strategy & Innovation 10-12-2015 1

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Page 1: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be?

Five challenges for the grid operator

Marjolein Hulsebosch | Strategy & Innovation

10-12-2015 1

Page 2: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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Why

flex?

What

How

Page 3: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

2030: 25% from decentral generation

Page 4: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference
Page 5: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference
Page 6: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Rising costs

Page 7: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Changing system dynamics

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Generation:

centralized, predictable

Demand:

inelastic

Page 8: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Changing system dynamics

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Generation:

decentral, less predictable

Demand:

elastic, (electrification)

Page 9: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Facilitate energy transition

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Page 10: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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Why

What

How

Page 11: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in

terms of capacity and volume, across time and

location; flex is managed interference with

volumes and loads to address volatility and

congestion.

Page 12: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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3 drivers in the flexibility market: 1. Balancing the system; the need to balance supply and

demand

2. Portfolio optimization; the need to manage price risks due to

price volatility

3. Congestion management; manage load within grid capacity

Page 13: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

NL system level

Europe

Local Local Local Local Local

1. Ensure supply equals demand

Balancing & portfolio optimization

2. Ensuring load is within grid capacity

Congestion management

Important control mechanisms

3rd of August: solar power largely exceeds local consumption. Potential local congestion

Balancing is managed on system level on a different local level than congestion problem.

Page 14: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Flexibility Sources

• Demand response

• Energy storage

• Flexible (decentral) power generation

• Or…..a more robust grid

Important: social assessment between buying flexibility services

versus costs for grid extension

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Page 15: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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Why

What

How

Page 16: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

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5 key challenges

Page 17: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

When and where will congestion occur?

• Infrastructural Footprint; scenario analysis

• Sustainable scenario; congestion on all voltage levels

• Integral perspective needed; energy landscape planning

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Page 18: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Regulation - Lobby

Case study – Grower

Current tariff system: grower is

paying for peak

Potential future system: grower

earns money by offering its

flexibility.

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Page 19: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Changing market model

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• New role: Aggregator

• Change in merit

order?

• Who is in charge?

• What is the role of the

DSO?

• Which market will start

first?

Page 20: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Types of flex sources

Pilot Couperus

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Page 21: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Types of flex sources

Pilot Hoog Dalem

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZiosvcJ8BjY

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Page 22: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Types of flex sources

Pilot Lomboxnet

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Page 23: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Value Flex

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Volatility Congestion

Page 24: How FLEX should the Dutch energy system be? Five ......11 Flexibility: Balancing supply and demand in terms of capacity and volume, across time and location; flex is managed interference

Thanks for your attention!

Contact details: [email protected]

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