The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Creation date: 13 Apr 2017 Feedback: ochaea@un.org www.unocha.org www.reliefweb.int

Horn of Africa:Humanitarian Impacts of Drought in the Horn of Africa – Issue 2 (13 April 2017)

Rainfall performance: March 2017 Displacement of people Disease and pest outbreaks

According to FEWSNET, the March-May rainfall season is late in several parts of the region (by 20-30 days) particularly in areas that were significantly affected by below average rain in 2016. Rain is yet to start or rainfall delays of more than 30-40 days have been experienced in parts of Baringo, Tana River, Kajiado counties in Kenya; parts of Oromia, most of the Somali region in Ethiopia; and throughout most of south-ern-central, and the northern pastoral lands of Somalia. Humanitarian assistance is critical and should continue until the most vulnerable households can hope to recover in the next major season of 2018.

KENYA

SOMALIA

ETHIOPIA

UGANDA

Region affected by AWD/Cholera

AWD/Cholera deaths

AWD/Cholera cases

Measles deaths

Scabies

Measles cases

21,664AWD / Cholera

Cases

21,251AWD / Cholera

Cases

300AWD / Cholera

Cases

500deaths

187deaths

8 deaths

464,532 Scabies cases

3,800 measles cases

1,100 Measles cases

5 Measles deaths

H

H

H

H

H

As of 7 April, WHO reported a total of 43,215 cases of acute watery diarrhea (AWD)/cholera in Somalia, Ethio-pia and Kenya. These numbers are set to rise with the onset of the rainy season. For Somalia, the cumulative Case Fatality Rate (CFR) for 2017 is far above the emer-gency threshold of 1.0 per cent, in Middle Juba (14.1 per cent) and Bakool (5.1 per cent) regions due to increasing malnutrition and overcrowding in camps and towns. Efforts are ongoing to control a scabies outbreak in SNNP and Oromia regions in Ethiopia. The increase in the number of suspected measles cases, close to 4,000 cases mostly in Somalia, is of serious concern.Governments and health partners have prioritised the treatment and prevention of AWD/cholera and measles, improved access to food and safe water, and nutritional treatment for malnourished children. However, WHO remains concerned that life-saving health interventions are not scaling up as needed due to: 1) limitations in some countries in data and information-sharing on outbreaks and other public health emergencies, 2) a lack of strong financial backing from donor partners and, 3) security challenges that impede access to vulnerable populations in hard-to-reach locations.

Displacement by Region>1,0001,001 - 10,00010,001 - 25,00025,001 - 50,000Over 100,000

2,045

4,701

Drought related refugee caseload to drought Since Jan 2017XXDrought related Internal displacement since Jan 2017XX

536,000

20,457

126,000

SUDAN

KENYA

SOMALIA

UGANDA

TANZANIA

SOUTH SUDAN

ETHIOPIA

Drought-induced displacement is rising exponen-tially within and across Somalia’s borders. At least 52 per cent (278,000) of the 536,000 people displaced since November 2016, left their homes in March 2017.Within Somalia, IDPs are mostly travelling to Baidoa, Mogadishu, Sool and Sanaag. In March, Baidoa and Mogadishu received 70,000 and 72,000 new arrivals respectively. Kenya’s Dadaab Refugee camp received 2,000 new arrivals between December 2016 and March 2017, mainly from Sakow, Buale, Jamame, Baidoa/-Bay and Jilib. One hundred of the new arrivals are refugees who were assisted to voluntarily return to Somalia by UNHCR last December.In Ethiopia, UNHCR has registered 4,700 Somali refugees who have crossed into Dollo Ado since January 2017. The Government and humanitarian partners are planning for the potential arrival of more than 50,000 Somalis in the border regions.

The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

Creation date: 13 Apr 2017 Feedback: ochaea@un.org www.unocha.org www.reliefweb.int

Horn of Africa: Humanitarian Impacts of Drought in the Horn of Africa – Issue 2 (13 April 2017)

1: Humanitarian Requirements Document (HRD), 2: Operational Plan for Famine Prevention (OPFP), 3: 2017 Flash Appeal.

Food Insecurity

Source: FNSWG (Feb-May 2017)

Food security condition1: None or Minimal2: Stressed3: Crisis4: Emergency5: Catastrophe/FamineNo data

Current number of food insecurepopulationXX

Food security condition1: None or Minimal2: Stressed3: Crisis4: Emergency5: Catastrophe/FamineNo dataCurrent number of people incrisis and emergency levels offood insecurity or equivalentas of March 2017

XX

5.60M

2.6M

2.9MSOMALIASOUTH SUDAN

TANZANIA

KENYA

ETHIOPIA

Funding

KENYA3

$949M

$166M

$426M

$26.3M

SOMALIA2

ETHIOPIA1

$825M $571M

REQUIRED (US$) FUNDING

45%

16%

69%

% FUNDED

As of March, a total of 11 million people were facing crisis or emergency food insecurity levels: the majority of Somalia, southeastern Ethiopia, and northeastern Kenya are expected to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between February and September 2017, with some areas of Somalia in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). If the April to June 2017 Gu season performs very poorly, purchasing power declines to levels seen in 2010/11, and humanitarian assistance is unable to reach popu-lations in need, there is elevated risk of famine in agro pastoral areas of Bay/Bakool and Northern Inland Pastoral livelihood zone in Somalia .Food insecurity is expected to continue deteriorating across the region with delayed and below-normal March-May seasonal rainfall. This will further negatively impact livestock productivity, as well as delay land preparation and planting. The rains are expected to resume in April, the total cumulative amounts are likely to be below average, but will likely mitigate water and forage deficits.

The total humanitarian requirements for the drought response in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya stands at US$1.94 billion. Donors are encouraged to continue fast-tracking disbursement of pledges and commit-ments to ensure that partners have the necessary cash for their operations.

Funding as of 12th Apr 2017

Access: While access in urban areas in Somalia has improved, violence and insecurity continue to hinder humanitarian space in the rural areas including those under Al Shabaab control. At least nine aid workers were kidnapped in the country in the first half or April 2017. This highly insecure environment, coupled with donor aid restrictions, is severely compromising NGO capacity to respond. In addition, administrative hurdles imposed by the authorities at different levels remain a major concern.In both Somalia and Kenya, growing bureaucratic constraints are significantly affecting the ability of INGOs to scale up the regional drought response. Since late 2016, no work permits have been issued to foreign aid workers by the Kenyan authorities. This has forced the relocation of staff to other countries and disrupted some programmes.

Food and fuel prices in the region are rising, in sharp contrast to falling global food prices because of high world stockpiles of corn and wheat (for the third year running). In Kenya, the inflation rate rose to 10.28 per cent in March, a rate last seen in May 2012. On 30 March, the Government announced a tax exemption on maize imports (which also applies to humanitarian assistance channeled through the Kenya Red Cross Society) over the next four months to stem the rising price of flour. In Ethiopia, the food inflation rate reached 9.6 by March up from 7.8 per cent in February 2017. During March, the prices of cereals, vegetables, pulses, potatoes and other tubers, especially Kocho, as well as coffee increased. Saudi Arabia imposed an import ban on Somali livestock in December 2016 over concerns relating to Rift Valley Fever. This has reduced Somalia's access to foreign currency, which in turn constrains the ability to fill the food gap resulting from poor rainfall through commercials imports.

Access, markets and logistical constraints

ETHIOPIA

KENYA

SOMALIA

Prices of Maize increased by 30%, this is up to 43 % higher than a year earlier. Sustained increase in pricesof livestock products. Milk, cheese and eggs rose, on average, by almost 50 % since June last year

Livestock prices continue to decline due to deterior-ating livestock body conditions and destocking.

Livestock prices decreased.due to deteriorating livest-ock body conditions and reduced herd sizes. Price of goats were 25-55% lower than year earlier.

In March, maize and sorghum prices continued to declinebut remained twice above 2015 levels, due to the reduced 2016 cereal output.

Maize prices continued to increase sharply in March. Prices were at levels around 45 to 65% higher than those a year earlier.

Livestock prices decreased by70 % compared to a year earlierdue to poor body conditions.

Source: FAO, (10-Apr-17)

Source: KNBS, CSA (Apr-17)MarFebJan

Inflation % change

KenyaEthiopia6.99%

9.04%

6.1%7.0%

8.5%

10.28%

Funded Unmet