hobby center for the study of texas at rice university

Population Change in Texas and The Dallas-Fort Worth Area: Implications for Education, the Labor Force and Economic

Development

Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Steve H. Murdock, DirectorHobby Center for the Study of Texas

and Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology

Rice University

Bridging the Gap SymposiumFort Worth, Texas November 7, 2011

Major Topics of the Presentation__________________________

• Population Change• Increasing Racial/Ethnic Diversity• Aging of the Population• Implications of Demographic Change for

Education, The Labor Force and Economic Development


Total Population and Percent Population Changein Texas and the United States, 1850-2010

Total Population Percent Change

Year Texas U.S. Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7

Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.


Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009

United States Texas

Component Numeric Change

Percent of Total

ChangeNumeric Change

Percent of Total

Change

Total Change 25,584,644 100.0 3,930,482 100.0

Natural Increase 15,875,579 62.1 2,124,124 54.0

Net Domestic Migration ---- --- 848,702 21.6

Net International Migration 9,709,065 37.9 957,656 24.4

Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Thou

sand

s

Robert Warren Pew Homeland Security

Estimates of the Unauthorized Population in the United States, 2000-2010

Estimates of the Undocumented Population in Texas, 2000-2010

Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010

Population Numeric Percent

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0

Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau


Regional Population Change as a Proportion of U.S. Population Change, 2000-2010


PlacePopulation Change

2000 2010 Number Percent

New York , NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1Los Angeles , CA 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6Chicago , IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9Houston , TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5Philadelphia , PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6Phoenix , AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4San Antonio , TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0San Diego , CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9Dallas , TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8San Jose , CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States

Texas Regional Councils of Governments

Councils of Governments in Texas Ranked by Total Population in 2010: Total Population in 2000 and 2010; Numeric and Percent Change, 2000-2010;

and Percent of the State Population (2010) and State Population Change

Total Population Population Change Percent of State

Council of Government 2000 2010 Numeric %Population

2010Change, 2000-10

North Central Texas 5,309,277 6,539,950 1,230,673 23.2 26.0 28.7Houston-Galveston 4,854,454 6,087,133 1,232,679 25.4 24.2 28.7Alamo Area 1,807,868 2,249,011 441,143 24.4 8.9 10.3Capital Area 1,346,833 1,830,003 483,170 35.9 7.3 11.3Lower Rio Grande Valley 924,772 1,203,123 278,351 30.1 4.8 6.5East Texas 745,180 829,749 84,569 11.3 3.3 2.0Rio Grande 704,318 825,913 121,595 17.3 3.3 2.8Coastal Bend 549,012 571,987 22,975 4.2 2.3 0.5Central Texas 374,518 449,641 75,123 20.1 1.8 1.7Panhandle 402,862 427,927 25,065 6.2 1.7 0.6Permian Basin 376,672 417,679 41,007 10.9 1.7 1.0South Plains 377,871 411,659 33,788 8.9 1.6 0.8South East Texas 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9 1.5 0.1Deep East Texas 355,862 378,477 22,615 6.4 1.5 0.5Heart of Texas 321,536 349,273 27,737 8.6 1.4 0.6South Texas 264,177 330,590 66,413 25.1 1.3 1.5West Central Texas 324,901 327,390 2,489 0.8 1.3 0.1Brazos Valley 267,085 319,447 52,362 19.6 1.3 1.2Ark-Tex 270,468 281,947 11,479 4.2 1.1 0.3Nortex 224,366 222,860 -1,506 -0.7 0.9 0.0Texoma 178,200 193,229 15,029 8.4 0.8 0.4Golden Crescent 183,905 188,626 4,721 2.6 0.8 0.1Middle Rio Grande 154,381 167,010 12,629 8.2 0.7 0.3Concho Valley 148,212 154,192 5,980 4.0 0.6 0.1State of Texas 20,851,818 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0

Texas Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Total Population in 2000 and 2010 in Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas Ranked by Numerical Change Between 2000 and 2010

Total Population ChangeMetropolitan Statistical Area 2000 2010 Numeric %

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown 4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,393 26.1Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 5,161,544 6,371,773 1,210,229 23.4Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos 1,249,763 1,716,289 466,526 37.3San Antonio-New Braunfels 1,711,703 2,142,508 430,805 25.2McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1El Paso 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood 330,714 405,300 74,586 22.6Brownsville-Harlingen 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Laredo 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6College Station-Bryan 184,885 228,660 43,775 23.7Lubbock 249,700 284,890 35,190 14.1Tyler 174,706 209,714 35,008 20.0Corpus Christi 403,280 428,185 24,905 6.2Amarillo 226,522 249,881 23,359 10.3Waco 213,517 234,906 21,389 10.0Midland 116,009 136,872 20,863 18.0Longview 194,042 214,369 20,327 10.5Odessa 121,123 137,130 16,007 13.2Sherman-Denison 110,595 120,877 10,282 9.3San Angelo 105,781 111,823 6,042 5.7Abilene 160,245 162,252 5,007 3.1Victoria 111,663 115,384 3,721 3.3Texarkana* 89,306 92,565 3,259 3.6Beaumont-Port Arthur 385,090 388,745 3,655 0.9Wichita Falls 151,524 151,306 -218 -0.1

Source: U.S. Census Bureau *Reflects total population for Texas portion of MSA only.

Total Population in 2000 and 2010 and Population Change for the Twenty Largest Counties in Texas (2010)

Change 2000-2010County 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Harris County 3,400,578 4,092,459 691,881 20.3Dallas County 2,218,899 2,368,139 149,240 6.7Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,809,034 362,815 25.1Bexar County 1,392,931 1,714,773 321,842 23.1Travis County 812,280 1,024,266 211,986 26.1El Paso County 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8Collin County 491,675 782,341 290,666 59.1Hidalgo County 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1Denton County 432,976 662,614 229,638 53.0Fort Bend County 354,452 585,375 230,923 65.1Montgomery County 293,768 455,746 161,978 55.1Williamson County 249,967 422,679 172,712 69.1Cameron County 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Nueces County 313,645 340,223 26,578 8.5Brazoria County 241,767 313,166 71,399 29.5Bell County 237,974 310,235 72,261 30.4Galveston County 250,158 291,309 41,151 16.5Lubbock County 242,628 278,831 36,203 14.9Jefferson County 252,051 252,273 222 0.1Webb County 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6________

Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population Counts as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.

Twenty Counties in Texas with the Largest NumericPopulation Increase Between 2000 and 2010


Harris County 3,400,578 4,092,459 691,881 20.3Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,809,034 362,815 25.1Bexar County 1,392,931 1,714,773 321,842 23.1Collin County 491,675 782,341 290,666 59.1Fort Bend County 354,452 585,375 230,923 65.1Denton County 432,976 662,614 229,638 53.0Travis County 812,280 1,024,266 211,986 26.1Hidalgo County 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1Williamson County 249,967 422,679 172,712 69.1Montgomery County 293,768 455,746 161,978 55.1Dallas County 2,218,899 2,368,139 149,240 6.7El Paso County 679,622 800,647 121,025 17.8Bell County 237,974 310,235 72,261 30.4Brazoria County 241,767 313,166 71,399 29.5Cameron County 335,227 406,220 70,993 21.2Hays County 97,589 157,107 59,518 61.0Webb County 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6Guadalupe County 89,023 131,533 42,510 47.8Brazos County 152,415 194,851 42,436 27.8Galveston County 250,158 291,309 41,151 16.5________



Twenty Counties in Texas with the LargestPercentage Population Increase Between 2000 and 2010


Rockwall County 43,080 78,337 35,257 81.8Williamson County 249,967 422,679 172,712 69.1Fort Bend County 354,452 585,375 230,923 65.1Hays County 97,589 157,107 59,518 61.0Collin County 491,675 782,341 290,666 59.1Montgomery County 293,768 455,746 161,978 55.1Denton County 432,976 662,614 229,638 53.0Guadalupe County 89,023 131,533 42,510 47.8Kaufman County 71,313 103,350 32,037 44.9Kendall County 23,743 33,410 9,667 40.7Comal County 78,021 108,472 30,451 39.0Hidalgo County 569,463 774,769 205,306 36.1Chambers County 26,031 35,096 9,065 34.8Ellis County 111,360 149,610 38,250 34.3Garza County 4,872 6,461 1,589 32.6Wilson County 32,408 42,918 10,510 32.4Waller County 32,663 43,205 10,542 32.3Parker County 88,495 116,927 28,432 32.1Bell County 237,974 310,235 72,261 30.4Webb County 193,117 250,304 57,187 29.6________



Percent Change 1990-2000

< 0.0% (n=68)0.0 - 9.9% (n=61)10.0 - 21.9% (n=66)22.0 - 86.2% (n=59)

Population Change in Texas Counties, 1990-2000

Source: Texas State Data Center

ChangePercent ofPopulation

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010

NH White (Anglo) 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 52.4 45.3Hispanic 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 32.0 37.6NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 11.3 11.5NH American Indian 68,859 80,586 11,727 17.0 0.3 0.3NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 2.7 3.8NH Hawaiian/Pac. Isldr. 10,757 17,920 7,163 66.6 0.1 0.1NH Some Other Race 19,958 33,980 14,022 70.3 0.1 0.1NH Two or More Races 230,567 319,558 88,991 38.6 1.1 1.3Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0________

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.

*Hispanic includes Hispanic persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categoriesshown here are non-Hispanic (non-Hispanic White[Anglo], non-Hispanic Black, non-HispanicAmerican Indian, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Hawaiian/Pacific Islander,non-Hispanic Some Other Race, non-Hispanic Two or More Races).

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas, 2000 and 2010

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Age 18+ Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010

Change Percent of Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.70 56.31 49.64Hispanic (All Races) 4,282,901 6,143,144 1,860,243 43.43 28.62 33.61NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.27 10.90 11.36NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.67 2.77 3.92NH "Other" Races 70,612 95,973 25,361 33.05 0.47 0.53NH Two or More Races 138,715 172,686 33,971 24.49 0.93 0.94State of Texas 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.15 100.00 100.00

Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171 * “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010


Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.36 42.59 33.83Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.01 40.54 48.32NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.61 12.45 11.81NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.25 2.37 3.37NH "Other" Races 28,962 36,513 7,551 33.05 0.49 0.53NH Two or More Races 91,852 146,872 55,020 59.90 1.56 2.14State of Texas 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.63 100.00 100.00


*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7

Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3

NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2

NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7

NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0

Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of Total

Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent

Percent of Total

Change 2000 2010

NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5

Hispanic (All Races) 12,342,259 17,130,891 4,788,632 38.8 253.7 17.1 23.1

NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0

NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3

NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 31.2 47.8 4.0 5.1

Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City

Counties in Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change 2000 2010

NH White 6,280,433 6,126,120 -154,313 -2.5 -6.1 44.9 37.0Hispanic (All Races) 5,233,081 7,310,033 2,076,952 39.7 81.5 37.4 44.2NH Black 1,825,667 2,184,001 358,334 19.6 14.1 13.0 13.2NH Asian 427,495 636,526 209,031 48.9 8.2 3.1 3.8NH Other 227,029 286,543 59,514 26.2 2.3 1.6 1.7Total 13,993,705 16,543,223 2,549,518 18.2 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban



NH White 2,818,246 3,466,028 647,782 23.0 40.7 71.3 62.5

Hispanic (All Races) 659,705 1,196,032 536,327 81.3 33.7 16.7 21.6

NH Black 288,337 463,066 174,729 60.6 11.0 7.3 8.4

NH Asian 116,412 295,591 179,179 153.9 11.3 2.9 5.3

NH Other 68,143 121,229 53,086 77.9 3.3 1.7 2.2

Total 3,950,843 5,541,946 1,591,103 40.3 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties

in Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population


NH White 1,834,634 1,805,197 -29,437 -1.6 -19.2 63.1 59.0Hispanic (All Races) 776,880 954,856 177,976 22.9 116.2 26.7 31.2NH Black 250,251 239,758 -10,493 -4.2 -6.9 8.6 7.8NH Asian 10,538 16,309 5,771 54.8 3.8 0.4 0.5NH Other 34,969 44,272 9,303 26.6 6.1 1.2 1.4Total 2,907,272 3,060,392 153,120 5.3 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan

Central City Counties in Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population


NH White 1,363,975 1,158,793 -205,182 -15.0 -34.4 34.2 25.3Hispanic (All Races) 1,864,710 2,550,373 685,663 36.8 114.8 46.7 55.6NH Black 576,904 621,473 44,569 7.7 7.5 14.5 13.5NH Asian 103,312 143,972 40,660 39.4 6.8 2.6 3.1NH Other 82,532 113,969 31,437 38.1 5.3 2.1 2.5Total 3,991,433 4,588,580 597,147 15.0 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan

Suburban Counties In Texas, 2000 and 2010 Population Population Change Percent of Total Population


NH White 737,700 812,067 74,367 10.1 18.9 65.5 53.4Hispanic (All Races) 240,649 438,429 197,780 82.2 50.2 21.4 28.9NH Black 87,706 132,915 45,209 51.5 11.5 7.8 8.7NH Asian 33,331 83,626 50,295 150.9 12.8 3.0 5.5NH Other 26,392 52,584 26,192 99.2 6.7 2.3 3.5Total 1,125,778 1,519,621 393,843 35.0 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan



NH White 405,472 351,801 -53,671 -13.2 -450.1 52.7 46.4Hispanic (All Races) 281,406 328,975 47,569 16.9 398.9 36.6 43.4NH Black 68,197 56,155 -12,042 -17.7 -101.0 8.9 7.4NH Asian 2,583 3,860 1,277 49.4 10.7 0.3 0.5NH Other 11,890 16,832 4,942 41.6 41.4 1.5 2.2Total 769,548 757,623 -11,925 -1.5 100.0 100.0 100.0

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the TotalPopulation by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of Total Population


NH White 3,043,394 3,201,677 158,283 5.2 13.1 59.0 50.2

Hispanic (All Races) 1,117,717 1,752,166 634,449 56.8 52.4 21.7 27.5

NH Black 707,805 941,695 233,890 33.0 19.3 13.7 14.8

NH Asian 193,512 337,815 144,303 74.6 11.9 3.7 5.3

NH Other 99,116 138,420 39,304 39.7 3.2 1.9 2.2

Total 5,161,544 6,371,773 1,210,229 23.4 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington

Metropolitan Statistical Area, 2000 and 2010



NH White 726,422 690,033 -36,389 -5.0 -11.3 50.1 38.9

Hispanic (All Races) 408,769 659,472 250,703 61.3 77.6 28.2 37.2

NH Black 227,287 277,205 49,918 22.0 15.4 15.7 15.6

NH Asian 51,095 88,876 37,781 73.9 11.7 3.5 5.0

NH Other 37,138 58,276 21,138 56.9 6.5 2.6 3.3

Total 1,450,711 1,773,862 323,151 22.3 100.0 100.0 100.0






NH White (Anglo) 983,317 784,693 -198,624 -20.2 44.3 33.1Hispanic 662,729 905,940 243,211 36.7 29.9 38.3NH Black 445,716 518,732 73,016 16.4 20.1 21.9NH American Indian 8,106 7,330 -776 -9.6 0.4 0.3NH Asian 87,495 117,797 30,302 34.6 3.9 5.0NH Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 926 874 -52 -5.6 0.0 0.0NH Some Other Race 2,388 3,346 958 40.1 0.1 0.1NH Two or More Races 28,222 29,427 1,205 4.3 1.3 1.2Total 2,218,899 2,368,139 149,240 6.7 100.0 100.0________



Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Populationby Race/Ethnicity for Dallas County, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White(Anglo) 199,648 126,804 -72,844 -36.5 32.3 19.4Hispanic 240,829 336,108 95,279 39.6 38.9 51.4NH Black 142,749 148,215 5,466 3.8 23.1 22.7NH American Indian 1,987 1,590 -397 -20.0 0.3 0.2NH Asian 21,887 27,478 5,591 25.5 3.5 4.2NH Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 246 214 -32 -13.0 0.0 0.0NH Some Other Race 992 1,271 279 28.1 0.2 0.2NH Two or More Races 10,693 12,583 1,890 17.7 1.7 1.9Total 619,031 654,263 35,232 5.7 100.0 100.0________



Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Populationby Race/Ethnicity for the Population Less than Age 18 in Dallas County, Texas,

2000 and 2010



NH White (Anglo) 410,777 345,205 -65,572 -16.0 34.6 28.8Hispanic 422,587 507,309 84,722 20.0 35.6 42.4NH Black 304,824 294,159 -10,665 -3.5 25.6 24.6NH American Indian 3,705 3,167 -538 -14.5 0.3 0.3NH Asian 31,626 33,609 1,983 6.3 2.7 2.8NH Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 367 311 -56 -15.3 0.0 0.0NH Some Other Race 1,254 1,824 570 45.5 0.1 0.2NH Two or More Races 13,440 12,232 -1,208 -9.0 1.1 1.0Total 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8 100.0 100.0________



Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Populationby Race/Ethnicity for Dallas, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White(Anglo) 60,183 45,854 -14,329 -23.8 19.1 14.5Hispanic 150,255 183,407 33,152 22.1 47.6 57.8NH Black 92,443 75,966 -16,477 -17.8 29.3 24.0NH American Indian 800 569 -231 -28.9 0.3 0.2NH Asian 6,901 6,186 -715 -10.4 2.2 2.0NH Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 89 66 -23 -25.8 0.0 0.0NH Some Other Race 442 628 186 42.1 0.1 0.2NH Two or More Races 4,463 4,452 -11 -0.2 1.4 1.4Total 315,576 317,128 1,552 0.5 100.0 100.0________



Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Populationby Race/Ethnicity for the Population Less than Age 18 in Dallas, Texas,

2000 and 2010

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Tarrant County, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 895,253 937,135 41,882 4.7 11.5 61.9 51.8


NH Black 182,713 262,522 79,809 43.7 22.0 12.6 14.5

NH Asian 52,057 83,378 31,321 60.2 8.6 3.6 4.6

NH Other 30,906 43,022 12,116 39.2 3.3 2.1 2.4

Total 1,446,219 1,809,034 362,815 25.1 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity

for Tarrant County, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 213,955 200,205 -13,750 -6.4 -13.7 52.6 39.5


NH Black 60,165 81,533 21,368 35.5 21.2 14.8 16.1

NH Asian 14,127 21,745 7,618 53.9 7.6 3.5 4.3

NH Other 12,120 18,770 6,650 54.9 6.6 3.0 3.7

Total 406,472 507,061 100,589 24.7 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity

for Fort Worth, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 244,966 309,312 64,346 26.3 31.2 45.8 41.7


NH Black 106,988 136,941 29,953 28.0 14.5 20.0 18.5

NH Asian 13,895 27,095 13,200 95.0 6.4 2.6 3.7

NH Other 9,477 15,390 5,913 62.4 2.9 1.8 2.1

Total 534,694 741,206 206,512 38.6 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity

for Fort Worth, Texas, 2000 and 2010



NH White 49,563 65,347 15,784 31.8 23.7 32.8 30.0


NH Black 34,126 41,757 7,631 22.4 11.5 22.6 19.2

NH Asian 3,644 7,140 3,496 95.9 5.3 2.4 3.3

NH Other 3,614 6,772 3,158 87.4 4.7 2.4 3.1

Total 151,067 217,643 66,576 44.1 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010


Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 2,274,829 2,360,472 85,643 3.76 48.24 39.69Hispanic (All Races) 1,353,477 2,099,412 745,935 55.11 28.70 35.30NH Black 783,955 998,883 214,928 27.42 16.63 16.80NH Asian 226,308 384,596 158,288 69.94 4.80 6.47NH "Other" Races 18,867 27,895 9,028 47.85 0.40 0.47NH Two or More Races 57,971 75,542 17,571 30.31 1.23 1.27Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA

4,715,407 5,946,800 1,231,393 26.11 100.00 100.00


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA, 2000 and 2010


Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 546,716 498,328 -48,388 -8.85 39.96 29.98Hispanic (All Races) 489,912 745,414 255,502 52.15 35.81 44.84NH Black 245,599 283,635 38,036 15.49 17.95 17.06NH Asian 58,077 92,279 34,202 58.89 4.25 5.55NH "Other" Races 5,753 8,358 2,605 45.28 0.42 0.50NH Two or More Races 21,936 34,276 12,340 56.25 1.60 2.06Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown MSA

1,367,993 1,662,290 294,297 21.51 100.00 100.00


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Harris County, 2000 and 2010


Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 1,432,264 1,349,646 -82,618 -5.77 42.12 32.98Hispanic (All Races) 1,119,751 1,671,540 551,789 49.28 32.93 40.84NH Black 619,694 754,258 134,564 21.71 18.22 18.43NH Asian 173,026 249,853 76,827 44.40 5.09 6.11NH "Other" Races 12,994 18,324 5,330 41.02 0.38 0.45NH Two or More Races 42,849 48,838 5,989 13.98 1.26 1.19Harris County 3,400,578 4,092,459 691,881 20.35 100.00 100.00


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Harris County, 2000 and 2010


Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010

Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 324,186 264,016 -60,170 -18.56 32.93 23.00Hispanic (All Races) 403,640 588,970 185,330 45.91 41.00 51.31NH Black 194,927 213,150 18,223 9.35 19.80 18.57NH Asian 42,271 54,897 12,626 29.87 4.29 4.78NH "Other" Races 3,906 5,526 1,620 41.02 0.40 0.48NH Two or More Races 15,626 21,276 5,650 36.16 1.59 1.85Harris County 984,556 1,147,835 163,279 16.58 100.00 100.00


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010



Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 601,851 537,901 -63,950 -10.63 30.81 25.62Hispanic (All Races) 730,865 919,668 188,803 25.83 37.41 43.81NH Black 487,851 485,956 -1,895 -0.39 24.97 23.15NH Asian 102,706 124,859 22,153 21.57 5.26 5.95NH "Other" Races 6,528 8,367 1,839 28.17 0.00 0.40NH Two or More Races 23,830 22,700 -1,130 -4.74 1.22 1.08City Houston 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.46 100.00 100.00


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less Than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for the City of Houston, 2000 and 2010



Numeric Percent 2000 2010NH Whites (Anglo) 102,378 79,042 -23,336 -22.79 19.08 14.56Hispanic (All Races) 254,414 306,315 51,901 20.40 47.41 56.41NH Black 147,819 124,600 -23,219 -15.71 27.54 22.95NH Asian 22,515 22,682 167 0.74 4.20 4.18NH "Other" Races 1,839 2,226 387 28.17 0.34 0.41NH Two or More Races 7,693 8,159 466 6.06 1.43 1.50Houston 536,658 543,024 6,366 1.19 100.00 100.00


Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2000

39.541.6

45.0 45.0 43.1 44.447.8

53.057.2

60.263.5

66.4 67.1

72.6

44.041.3

38.0 38.440.5 38.6

35.330.5

26.724.2 22.4 20.6 20.3

16.7

< 5 ye

ars

5 to 9

years

10 to

14 ye

ars

15 to

19 ye

ars

20 to

24 ye

ars

25 to

29 ye

ars

30 to

34 ye

ars

35 to

39 ye

ars

40 to

44 ye

ars

45 to

49 ye

ars

50 to

54 ye

ars

55 to

59 ye

ars

60 to

64 ye

ars

65 +

years

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0Percent

Anglo Hispanic


Percent of Texas Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2010

31.7 33.235.2 36.7

39.2 40.3 39.6 41.245.0

50.7

55.358.7

62.3

67.6

50.6 49.146.9

44.942.8 41.8 42.1

40.136.7

31.727.8

25.223.2

20.5

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

Anglo Hispanic


Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2040*

* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

17.7 19.3 19.9 20.3 19.8 19.3 19.4 20.5 20.6 21.925.3 26.5 27.2

39.8

69.967.8 66.5 65.5 66.0 66.8 66.4

64.3 62.660.6

56.7 55.252.3

37.1

< 5 ye

ars

5 to 9

years

10 to

14 ye

ars

15 to

19 ye

ars

20 to

24 ye

ars

25 to

29 ye

ars

30 to

34 ye

ars

35 to

39 ye

ars

40 to

44 ye

ars

45 to

49 ye

ars

50 to

54 ye

ars

55 to

59 ye

ars

60 to

64 ye

ars

65 +

years

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0Percent

Anglo Hispanic


Percent of United States Population by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000




< 5

year

s

5 to

9

10 to

14

15 to

19

20 to

24

25 to

29

30 to

34

35 to

39

40 to

44

45 to

49

50 to

54

55 to

59

60 to

64

65+

year

s

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

50.8 53

.3

55.1

56.0

57.6

57.9

57.6

59.4 63

.3 67.6 70

.8 73.5 76

.2 80.0

49.2

46.7

44.9

44.0

42.4

42.1

42.4

40.6

36.7

32.4

29.2

26.5

23.8

20.0

Anglo Non-Anglo

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS


Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009

1999 2009

Populationin Poverty %

Median Household

Income* Population in Poverty %

Median Household

Income

Anglo 826,459 7.8 $60,839

1,010,170 9.0 $59,836

Hispanic

1,658,434 25.4 $38,536

2,364,407 26.4 $35,628

Black 525,082 23.4 $37,803

630,479 23.1 $35,438

Asian

65,048 11.9 $64,576

105,186 12.1 $63,692

Other 42,586 13.9 NA 40,000 11.9 NA

Total

3,117,609 15.4 $51,506

4,150,242 17.2 $50,043

*In 2009 DollarsSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009

Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009

1999 2009

Populationin Poverty %

Median Household

Income* Population in Poverty %

Median Household

Income

Anglo 15,414,119 8.1 $58,523 19,462,966 10.0 $54,671

Hispanic 7,797,874 22.6 $43,442 11,130,896 23.5 $39,923

Black 8,146,146 24.9 $37,956 9,407,955 25.8 $33,463

Asian 1,257,237 12.6 $66,961 1,539,226 11.4 $68,780

Other 1,284,436 18.5 NA 1,327,120 18.4 NA

Total

33,899,812 12.4 $54,172 42,868,163 14.3 $50,221

*In 2009 Dollars

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009


Educational Attainment for the Texas Population Age 25 and Older

by Race/Ethnicity, 2009

RaceEthnicity

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than high

school

High school

diploma

Some college or associates

degreeBachelor or more

Non-Hispanic White 8,026,049 8.3 25.3 32.5 33.9Black 1,705,709 15.0 30.4 36.5 18.1Hispanic* 4,876,517 42.5 25.2 21.4 10.9Asian 580,159 14.2 15.4 17.2 53.2Total 15,361,557 20.1 25.4 28.9 25.5________

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.

*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Educational Attainment for the United States Population Age 25 and Older

by Race/Ethnicity, 2009

RaceEthnicity

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than high

school

High school

diploma

Some college or associates

degreeBachelor or more

Non-Hispanic White 139,962,199 9.6 29.3 30.0 31.1Black 22,975,410 18.6 31.6 32.2 17.6Hispanic* 26,106,587 39.1 26.2 22.1 12.6Asian 9,404,493 14.7 16.0 19.6 49.7Total 201,952,383 14.7 28.5 28.9 27.9________

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.

*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

PROJECTIONS


Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

White alone Black alone Asian alone All other races

2000 195,771 34,414 10,436 5,909 35,629 282,1582010 200,853 37,985 14,083 7,586 49,726 310,2332020 205,255 41,847 18,308 9,612 66,365 341,3872030 207,217 45,461 22,991 11,904 85,931 373,5042040 206,065 48,780 28,064 14,523 108,223 405,6552050 203,347 51,949 33,418 17,503 132,792 439,010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections

Year

(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)Non-Hispanic Hispanic

(any race) Total


Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)

7.617.5 23.0

11.6

97.2

156.9

Non-HispanicWhite alone

Non-HispanicBlack alone

Non-HispanicAsian alone

Non-Hispanic allother races

Hispanic (anyrace)

Total



Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050

Non-Hispanic White alone5%

Non-Hispanic Black alone11%

Non-Hispanic Asian alone15%

Non-Hispanic Other7%

Hispanic62%


Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: 2000 to 2050

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Under 5 years 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.45 to 19 years 21.7 20.3 19.9 19.7 19.4 19.320 to 44 years 36.9 33.8 32.7 32.0 31.5 31.745 to 64 years 22.1 26.1 24.7 22.6 22.7 22.465 to 84 years 10.9 11.1 14.1 17.0 16.5 15.885 years and over 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.3 3.5 4.3

Age Group (Percent of total resident population as of July 1)



Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000

Non-Hispanic White alone

Non-Hispanic Black alone

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

Non-Hispanic all other races

Hispanic (any race) Total

Total 69.4 12.2 3.7 2.1 12.6 100.0Under 5 years 58.7 14.4 3.6 3.8 19.5 100.05 to 17 years 62.1 15.0 3.4 3.1 16.4 100.018 to 24 years 62.0 13.9 4.2 2.5 17.4 100.025 to 44 years 67.4 12.5 4.4 1.9 13.8 100.045 to 64 years 76.7 10.4 3.5 1.5 7.9 100.065 years and over 83.7 8.0 2.3 0.9 5.0 100.0

65 to 74 years 81.6 8.7 2.7 1.1 5.9 100.075 to 84 years 85.8 7.2 2.0 0.8 4.1 100.085 years and over 86.9 7.3 1.5 0.7 3.6 100.0


Age(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)


Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2050

Non-Hispanic White alone

Non-Hispanic Black alone

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

Non-Hispanic all other races

Hispanic (any race) Total

Total 46.3 11.8 7.6 4.0 30.2 100.0Under 5 years 37.1 11.1 5.9 6.5 39.4 100.05 to 17 years 38.3 11.3 6.0 5.7 38.6 100.018 to 24 years 39.6 11.6 6.4 4.9 37.5 100.025 to 44 years 43.6 12.1 7.8 4.1 32.4 100.045 to 64 years 49.7 12.8 8.9 3.1 25.5 100.065 years and over 58.5 11.2 8.4 2.1 19.8 100.0

65 to 74 years 54.5 12.1 9.3 2.4 21.7 100.075 to 84 years 58.2 10.9 8.8 2.0 20.2 100.085 years and over 67.4 9.9 5.9 1.8 15.1 100.0


Age(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)


Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

2000 11,074,716 2,421,653 6,669,666 685,785 20,851,820

Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration

2010 11,331,872 2,627,276 8,060,601 783,198 22,802,9472020 11,381,128 2,771,387 9,336,516 841,654 24,330,6852030 11,171,420 2,823,280 10,576,253 878,107 25,449,0602040 10,733,052 2,796,629 11,662,260 893,129 26,085,070

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000

2010 11,533,974 2,754,744 9,080,436 961,458 24,330,6122020 11,796,493 3,052,401 11,882,998 1,273,896 28,005,7882030 11,789,298 3,268,616 15,140,100 1,632,575 31,830,5892040 11,525,112 3,403,169 18,804,298 2,028,622 35,761,201

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000

2010 11,739,988 2,888,448 10,252,220 1,177,909 26,058,5652020 12,227,547 3,361,700 15,226,387 1,921,059 32,736,6932030 12,442,107 3,783,673 21,871,386 3,020,458 41,117,6242040 12,376,308 4,140,673 30,604,622 4,585,897 51,707,500


2010 11,369,946 2,778,528 9,827,743 1,129,429 25,105,6462020 11,461,192 3,106,273 13,922,261 1,762,813 30,252,5392030 11,299,159 3,355,344 19,032,000 2,646,377 36,332,8802040 10,899,933 3,523,778 25,325,641 3,832,576 43,581,928

Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative

Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

Assuming Zero Net Migration

2000-2010 2.3 8.5 20.9 14.2 9.42010-2020 0.4 5.5 15.8 7.5 6.72020-2030 -1.8 1.9 13.3 4.3 4.62030-2040 -3.9 -0.9 10.3 1.7 2.52000-2040 -3.1 15.5 74.9 30.2 25.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000

2000-2010 4.1 13.8 36.1 40.2 16.72010-2020 2.3 10.8 30.9 32.5 15.12020-2030 -0.1 7.1 27.4 28.2 13.72030-2040 -2.2 4.1 24.2 24.3 12.32000-2040 4.1 40.5 181.9 195.8 71.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000

2000-2010 6.0 19.3 53.7 71.8 25.02010-2020 4.2 16.4 48.5 63.1 25.62020-2030 1.8 12.6 43.6 57.2 25.62030-2040 -0.5 9.4 39.9 51.8 25.82000-2040 11.8 71.0 358.9 568.7 148.0


2000-2010 2.7 14.7 47.3 64.7 20.42010-2020 0.8 11.8 41.7 56.1 20.52020-2030 -1.4 8.0 36.7 50.1 20.12030-2040 -3.5 5.0 33.1 44.8 20.02000-2040 -1.6 45.5 279.7 458.9 109.0

Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by

Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other

2000 53.1 11.6 32.0 3.3


2010 49.8 11.5 35.3 3.42020 46.7 11.4 38.4 3.52030 43.8 11.1 41.6 3.52040 41.2 10.7 44.7 3.4


2010 47.4 11.3 37.3 4.02020 42.2 10.9 42.4 4.52030 37.0 10.3 47.6 5.12040 32.2 9.5 52.6 5.7


2010 45.1 11.1 39.3 4.52020 37.3 10.3 46.5 5.92030 30.3 9.2 53.2 7.32040 23.9 8.0 59.2 8.9


2010 45.3 11.1 39.1 4.52020 37.9 10.3 46.0 5.82030 31.1 9.2 52.4 7.32040 25.0 8.1 58.1 8.8

Percent Anglo PopulationLess Than 50% Anglo Population

50% or Greater Anglo PopulationSource: 2006 Population Projections, Texas State Data Center,Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio

2000

2040 2040(2000-2004 Scenario)(0.5 Scenario)

2040(1.0 Scenario)

Texas Counties with 50 Percent or More of Their Total Population That is Angloin 2000 and Projected for 2040 Under Alternative Projection Scenarios


Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 andProjected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from

2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex andRace/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

Age Non-Hispanic Group White Black Hispanic Other Total All Scenarios <18 23.0 31.7 35.8 26.1 28.2 18-24 8.8 11.2 13.2 11.2 10.6 25-44 30.1 32.1 31.8 37.7 31.1 45-64 24.4 17.7 14.0 20.1 20.2 65+ 13.7 7.3 5.2 4.9 9.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Migration 2020 <18 20.1 24.8 32.0 21.2 25.2 18-24 8.2 10.2 11.1 9.1 9.6 25-44 24.7 29.3 26.9 24.0 26.1 45-64 27.4 25.0 21.5 29.9 24.9 65+ 19.6 10.7 8.5 15.8 14.2 2040 <18 17.4 19.9 27.5 16.8 22.2 18-24 7.6 8.8 10.0 6.5 8.7 25-44 24.1 27.6 27.1 23.7 25.9 45-64 24.9 26.5 20.6 22.1 23.0 65+ 26.0 17.2 14.8 30.9 20.2

Percent 65 Years Old and Older< 11.9 (n=66)

12.0 - 14.9 (n=70)

15.0 - 19.9 (n=80)

20.0 or more (n=38)

Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Census 2000 Summary File 1.

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2000


Percent 65 Years Old and Older< 11.9 (n=2)

12.0 - 14.9 (n=19)

15.0 - 19.9 (n=79)

20.0 or more (n=154)

Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Texas Population Estimatesand Projections Program, 2006 Projections.

Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2040*

* Assuming rates of migration equal to 2000-2004


Dallas-Forth Worth-Arlington MSA

Using 2000-2004 projections

Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and

Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area


2000 3,084,855 725,324 1,117,717 233,648 5,161,544


2010 3,218,132 796,877 1,396,152 271,654 5,682,8152020 3,261,411 845,127 1,652,639 292,486 6,051,6632030 3,215,609 861,866 1,923,362 307,535 6,308,3722040 3,069,167 850,680 2,162,713 316,114 6,398,674


2010 3,302,271 853,565 1,703,086 338,243 6,197,1652020 3,457,429 973,841 2,452,733 456,100 7,340,1032030 3,545,417 1,072,419 3,432,969 597,977 8,648,7822040 3,560,672 1,145,744 4,640,339 760,059 10,106,814


2010 3,408,215 912,181 2,069,289 417,125 6,806,8102020 3,735,145 1,123,101 3,603,561 697,861 9,159,6682030 4,036,244 1,344,982 6,007,551 1,133,394 12,522,1712040 4,304,799 1,575,096 9,594,010 1,776,129 17,250,034


2010 3,354,087 855,934 1,958,863 401,956 6,570,8402020 3,648,834 999,529 3,265,374 653,223 8,566,9602030 3,948,207 1,150,472 5,262,970 1,035,922 11,397,5712040 4,216,042 1,304,984 8,200,713 1,590,083 15,311,822

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative

Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area


2000 59.7 14.1 21.7 4.5


2010 56.6 14.0 24.6 4.82020 53.9 14.0 27.3 4.82030 50.9 13.7 30.5 4.92040 48.0 13.3 33.8 4.9


2010 53.2 13.8 27.5 5.52020 47.1 13.3 33.4 6.22030 41.0 12.4 39.7 6.92040 35.3 11.3 45.9 7.5


2010 50.1 13.4 30.4 6.12020 40.8 12.3 39.3 7.62030 32.2 10.7 48.0 9.12040 25.0 9.1 55.6 10.3


2010 51.1 13.0 29.8 6.12020 42.6 11.7 38.1 7.62030 34.6 10.1 46.2 9.12040 27.5 8.5 53.6 10.4

Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to

2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area

AgeGroup Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total

All Scenarios

<18 24.0 32.8 36.6 27.2 28.118-24 8.0 10.4 15.3 10.1 10.025-44 33.3 34.1 35.3 40.1 34.245-64 24.0 17.0 10.5 18.6 19.865+ 10.7 5.7 2.3 4.0 7.9

Assuming Rates of Zero Migration

2020

<18 19.6 25.5 33.0 22.1 24.218-24 7.7 9.8 11.6 9.0 9.125-44 24.2 27.9 26.4 23.3 25.345-64 30.0 27.0 23.0 31.8 27.865+ 18.5 9.8 6.0 13.8 13.6

2040

<18 16.8 20.5 28.9 17.7 21.418-24 6.6 8.3 9.8 6.0 7.925-44 23.8 27.1 26.7 24.1 25.245-64 24.8 26.0 19.5 21.5 23.065+ 28.0 18.1 15.1 30.7 22.5

Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2000-2040 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Dallas-Fort Worth-

Arlington Metropolitan Statistical Area

Race Number Percent


Anglo -15,688 -1.3Black 125,356 10.1Hispanic 1,044,996 84.5Other 82,466 6.7Total 1,237,130 100.0


Anglo 475,817 9.7Black 420,420 8.5Hispanic 3,522,622 71.2Other 526,411 10.6Total 4,945,270 100.0


Anglo 1,219,944 10.1Black 849,772 7.0Hispanic 8,476,293 70.1Other 1,542,481 12.8Total 12,088,490 100.0


Anglo 1,131,187 11.1Black 579,660 5.7Hispanic 7,082,996 69.8Other 1,356,435 13.4Total 10,150,278 100.0

Dallas County



Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County


2000 998,543 454,103 662,729 103,524 2,218,899


2010 1,007,956 494,139 830,730 118,717 2,451,5422020 984,873 520,011 985,179 126,343 2,616,4062030 940,007 526,601 1,153,443 131,124 2,751,1752040 869,640 516,022 1,303,969 133,609 2,823,240


2010 920,237 512,122 987,592 143,174 2,563,1252020 816,650 558,664 1,383,137 182,943 2,941,3942030 700,149 585,993 1,884,214 225,753 3,396,1092040 578,571 593,274 2,474,994 272,456 3,919,295


2010 834,964 526,671 1,168,292 169,833 2,699,7602020 655,778 588,121 1,907,657 255,981 3,407,5372030 482,514 621,860 2,950,450 367,957 4,422,7812040 335,572 623,621 4,324,970 515,010 5,799,173


2010 750,780 461,345 1,024,088 145,756 2,381,9692020 523,441 443,128 1,442,360 184,630 2,593,5592030 341,405 397,820 1,902,774 218,575 2,860,5742040 209,133 332,948 2,352,550 249,039 3,143,670

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for

Dallas County


2000 44.9 20.5 29.9 4.7


2010 41.1 20.2 33.9 4.82020 37.6 19.9 37.7 4.82030 34.2 19.1 41.9 4.82040 30.8 18.3 46.2 4.7


2010 35.9 20.0 38.5 5.62020 27.8 19.0 47.0 6.22030 20.6 17.3 55.5 6.62040 14.8 15.1 63.1 7.0


2010 30.9 19.5 43.3 6.32020 19.2 17.3 56.0 7.52030 10.9 14.1 66.7 8.32040 5.7 10.8 74.6 8.9


2010 31.5 19.4 43.0 6.12020 20.2 17.1 55.6 7.12030 12.0 13.9 66.5 7.62040 6.7 10.6 74.8 7.9

Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

for Dallas County


All Scenarios

<18 20.5 32.4 36.3 25.7 27.918-24 7.6 10.1 15.9 10.3 10.725-44 33.2 34.1 35.5 40.4 34.445-64 25.4 17.6 10.1 19.2 18.965+ 13.3 5.8 2.2 4.4 8.1


2020

<18 17.2 25.4 33.3 21.5 25.118-24 6.8 9.4 11.6 8.1 9.225-44 22.9 27.8 26.3 22.8 25.145-64 31.7 27.2 23.0 33.0 27.765+ 21.4 10.2 5.8 14.6 12.9

2040

<18 14.2 20.2 29.2 16.7 22.418-24 5.5 8.1 9.8 5.0 7.925-44 22.7 27.1 26.5 23.6 25.345-64 24.9 26.2 19.3 22.0 22.465+ 32.7 18.4 15.2 32.7 22.0

Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2000-2040 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex

and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Dallas County

Race Number Percent


Anglo -128,903 -21.3Black 61,919 10.2Hispanic 641,240 106.1Other 30,085 5.0Total 604,341 100.0






Anglo -789,410 -85.3Black -121,155 -13.1Hispanic 1,689,821 182.7Other 145,515 15.7Total 924,771 100.0

Denton County



Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Denton County


2000 333,058 26,290 52,619 21,009 432,976


2010 370,845 30,768 65,770 26,166 493,5492020 390,935 33,471 76,935 29,157 530,4982030 396,355 34,323 87,479 31,111 549,2682040 387,251 33,689 96,051 32,564 549,555


2010 441,910 40,018 90,967 33,820 606,7152020 548,999 55,890 146,031 49,108 800,0282030 643,915 73,608 225,401 68,177 1,011,1012040 724,887 92,786 334,071 91,570 1,243,314


2010 524,630 51,783 124,252 43,035 743,7002020 759,742 92,460 269,354 80,172 1,201,7282030 995,769 154,999 551,575 143,334 1,845,6772040 1,213,931 245,622 1,063,678 245,098 2,768,329


2010 528,449 52,310 123,118 43,747 747,6242020 760,305 93,778 264,402 82,204 1,200,6892030 994,449 155,191 527,820 146,710 1,824,1702040 1,205,345 237,210 972,704 247,653 2,662,912

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010

to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Denton County


2000 76.8 6.1 12.2 4.9


2010 75.2 6.2 13.3 5.32020 73.7 6.3 14.5 5.52030 72.2 6.2 15.9 5.72040 70.5 6.1 17.5 5.9


2010 72.8 6.6 15.0 5.62020 68.6 7.0 18.3 6.12030 63.7 7.3 22.3 6.72040 58.2 7.5 26.9 7.4


2010 70.5 7.0 16.7 5.82020 63.2 7.7 22.4 6.72030 53.9 8.4 29.9 7.82040 43.8 8.9 38.4 8.9


2010 70.6 7.0 16.5 5.92020 63.4 7.8 22.0 6.82030 54.6 8.5 28.9 8.02040 45.3 8.9 36.5 9.3

Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration

for Denton County


All Scenarios

<18 26.3 32.3 34.9 27.2 27.718-24 10.1 15.3 15.9 12.3 11.325-44 36.7 38.0 37.3 40.3 37.045-64 21.0 12.2 10.2 17.0 19.065+ 5.9 2.2 1.7 3.2 5.0


2020

<18 20.7 21.2 30.5 24.1 22.318-24 9.5 13.4 12.3 10.9 10.325-44 25.5 30.0 27.0 25.2 25.945-64 30.0 28.5 24.4 28.6 29.165+ 14.3 6.9 5.8 11.2 12.4

2040

<18 17.5 16.3 26.1 19.5 19.118-24 8.0 10.9 10.3 8.5 8.525-44 24.8 25.8 26.9 26.0 25.345-64 24.2 27.1 20.2 20.1 23.565+ 25.5 19.9 16.5 25.9 23.6

Percent of Net Change in the Population from 2000-2040 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for the Denton County

Race Number Percent


Anglo 54,193 46.5Black 7,399 6.3Hispanic 43,432 37.3Other 11,555 9.9Total 116,579 100.0


Anglo 391,829 48.4Black 66,496 8.2Hispanic 281,452 34.7Other 70,561 8.7Total 810,338 100.0


Anglo 880,873 37.7Black 219,332 9.4Hispanic 1,011,059 43.3Other 224,089 9.6Total 2,335,353 100.0


Anglo 872,287 39.0Black 210,920 9.5Hispanic 920,085 41.3Other 226,644 10.2Total 2,229,936 100.0

Tarrant County



Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Tarrant County


2000 908,197 188,144 285,290 64,588 1,446,219


2010 944,905 209,714 355,926 75,436 1,585,9812020 956,557 225,754 421,573 81,964 1,685,8482030 941,825 234,045 489,759 86,618 1,752,2472040 897,803 235,615 550,438 89,048 1,772,904


2010 911,369 225,189 430,915 95,407 1,662,8802020 886,652 260,444 617,564 131,668 1,896,3282030 829,786 290,030 858,506 174,901 2,153,2232040 748,812 313,107 1,152,116 224,451 2,438,486


2010 872,269 240,051 518,064 118,380 1,748,7642020 794,914 293,877 884,617 203,122 2,176,5302030 676,652 343,174 1,433,965 334,315 2,788,1062040 544,833 380,803 2,204,488 528,639 3,658,763


2010 892,982 244,950 536,164 126,240 1,800,3362020 826,042 302,309 939,480 227,675 2,295,5062030 709,630 349,925 1,535,562 386,584 2,981,7012040 570,396 378,859 2,345,942 622,373 3,917,570

Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010

to 2040 Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Tarrant County


2000 62.8 13.0 19.7 4.5


2010 59.6 13.2 22.4 4.82020 56.7 13.4 25.0 4.92030 53.7 13.4 28.0 4.92040 50.7 13.3 31.0 5.0


2010 54.9 13.5 25.9 5.72020 46.8 13.7 32.6 6.92030 38.5 13.5 39.9 8.12040 30.8 12.8 47.2 9.2


2010 49.9 13.7 29.6 6.82020 36.6 13.5 40.6 9.32030 24.3 12.3 51.4 12.02040 14.9 10.4 60.3 14.4


2010 49.6 13.6 29.8 7.02020 36.0 13.2 40.9 9.92030 23.8 11.7 51.5 13.02040 14.5 9.7 59.9 15.9

TEXAS EDUCATION


Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas

Public Schools, 1999-2000 and 2009-2010 School Years

Enrollment 10-Year Change Proportion

Race/Ethnicity 1999-2000 2009-2010 Numeric Percent1999-2000

2009-2010

Economically DisadvantagedWhite 359,510 443, 933 84,423 23.5 18.4 15.6African American 369,393 475,994 106,601 28.9 18.9 16.7Other 36,734 66,874 30,140 82.0 1.9 2.3Hispanic 1,190,363 1,866,376 676,013 56.8 60.8 65.4Total 1,956,000 2,853,177 897,177 45.9 100.0 100.0

TotalWhite 1,727,733 1,615,459 -112,274 -6.5 43.2 33.3African American 576,977 679,351 102,374 17.7 14.4 14.0Other 114,979 198,992 84,013 73.1 2.9 4.1Hispanic 1,582,538 2,354,042 771,504 48.8 39.5 48.6Total 4,002,227 4,847,844 845,617 21.1 100.0 100.0

Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2009-10 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf

District/County/School Year White (%)African

American (%) Hispanic (%)

Asian/Pacific Islander (%)

Native American (%)

Total Enrollment

Houston ISD (Harris)2000-2001 10.0 32.1 54.9 2.9 0.1 208,4622010-2011 7.8 26.2 61.9 3.2 0.2 204,245

Dallas ISD (Dallas)2000-2001 7.8 35.9 54.5 1.4 0.4 161,5482010-2011 4.6 25.0 68.2 1.2 0.4 157,162

Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)2000-2001 58.5 10.0 23.4 7.9 0.2 63,4972010-2011 31.0 15.5 42.5 8.0 0.2 106,097

Northside ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 36.7 6.6 54.3 2.2 0.2 63,7392010-2011 20.1 6.2 67.8 3.1 0.2 95,581

Austin ISD (Travis)2000-2001 33.7 15.7 47.8 2.5 0.3 77,8162010-2011 24.3 9.5 60.3 3.4 0.3 85,697

Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)2000-2001 21.4 30.9 45.4 2.1 0.2 79,6612010-2011 14.3 23.4 59.2 1.8 0.3 81,651

Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)2000-2001 37.8 28.0 18.1 16.0 0.1 53,9992010-2011 20.3 29.4 25.9 21.4 0.6 68,948

North East ISD (Bexar)2000-2001 49.1 9.4 38.8 2.5 0.2 50,8752010-2011 32.0 7.3 54.1 3.6 0.3 66,604

Arlington ISD (Tarrant)2000-2001 47.3 21.3 24.0 6.8 0.6 58,8662010-2011 26.2 23.2 41.8 6.8 0.4 64,484

El Paso ISD (El Paso)2000-2001 15.2 4.8 78.5 1.2 0.3 62,3252010-2011 10.7 4.1 82.8 1.2 0.3 64,330

Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2010-2011

*Largest enrollment based on 2010-2011 school yearSource: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles

Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges andHealth-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008

Enrollment by Race/EthnicityPublic Univ

Public 2-year Colleges

Health-related Institutions

2000 Enrollment

White (%) 58.4 52.8 61.3

African American (%) 9.8 11.0 4.9

Hispanic (%) 19.6 28.9 12.6

Asian (%) 5.7 3.9 14.6

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .5

International (%) 5.3 2.4 4.8

Unknown (%) .7 .5 1.3

Total 2000 Enrollment 414,626 447,998 13,806

2008 Enrollment

White (%) 50.4 45.2 51.3

African American (%) 11.6 11.8 6.6

Hispanic (%) 24.3 34.1 13.8

Asian (%) 6.6 4.2 14.5

American Indian (%) .5 .5 .6

International (%) 5.7 2.5 9.7

Unknown (%) .9 1.7 3.5

Total 2008 Enrollment 509,136 617,507 20,421

Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB)

Public Elementary and Secondary Public CommunityCollege, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by

Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 AssumingRates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)


Total Public Education (All Levels) 2000 2,186,097 661,995 1,785,676 160,507 4,794,275 2010 2,125,643 693,172 2,367,308 231,798 5,417,921 2020 2,106,211 731,976 3,308,472 326,936 6,473,595 2030 1,992,718 746,148 4,324,751 432,828 7,496,445 2040 1,852,133 739,828 5,596,378 590,265 8,778,604

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 1,727,733 576,977 1,582,538 114,979 4,002,227 2010 1,643,722 588,781 2,065,327 164,425 4,462,255 2020 1,643,592 619,318 2,892,656 227,683 5,383,249 2030 1,527,293 623,104 3,729,428 287,975 6,167,800 2040 1,411,454 612,608 4,803,635 397,902 7,225,599

Public Community Colleges 2000 230,497 46,742 124,057 19,782 421,078 2010 239,191 56,798 184,582 29,824 510,395 2020 232,120 62,178 254,482 44,330 593,110 2030 232,363 68,156 364,216 65,020 729,755 2040 220,266 70,850 485,107 88,280 864,503

Public Universities 2000 227,867 38,276 79,081 25,746 370,970 2010 242,730 47,593 117,399 37,549 445,271 2020 230,499 50,480 161,334 54,923 497,236 2030 233,062 54,888 231,107 79,833 598,890 2040 220,413 56,370 307,636 104,083 688,502

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 458,364 85,018 203,138 45,528 792,048 2010 481,921 104,391 301,981 67,373 955,666 2020 462,619 112,658 415,816 99,253 1,090,346 2030 465,425 123,044 595,323 144,853 1,328,645 2040 440,679 127,220 792,743 192,363 1,553,005

Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, PublicCommunity College and Public University Enrollment in Texasby Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming

Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other

Public Education (All Levels) 2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 39.2 12.8 43.7 4.3 2020 32.5 11.3 51.1 5.1 2030 26.5 10.0 57.7 5.8 2040 21.1 8.4 63.8 6.7

Public Elementary and Secondary 2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 36.8 13.2 46.3 3.7 2020 30.6 11.5 53.7 4.2 2030 24.7 10.1 60.5 4.7 2040 19.5 8.5 66.5 5.5

Public Community Colleges 2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 46.9 11.1 36.2 5.8 2020 39.1 10.5 42.9 7.5 2030 31.9 9.3 49.9 8.9 2040 25.5 8.2 56.1 10.2

Public Universities 2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 54.5 10.7 26.4 8.4 2020 46.4 10.2 32.4 11.0 2030 38.9 9.2 38.6 13.3 2040 32.0 8.2 44.7 15.1

Total Public Colleges and Universities 2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 50.5 10.9 31.6 7.0 2020 42.5 10.3 38.1 9.1 2030 35.0 9.3 44.8 10.9 2040 28.4 8.2 51.0 12.4

TEXAS LABOR FORCE


Projections of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/EthnicityAssuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000 to 2040

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total 2000 5,741,765 1,053,552 2,700,075 335,167 9,830,559 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 5,810,029 1,199,667 3,299,753 368,732 10,678,181 2020 5,563,393 1,265,378 3,850,987 372,710 11,052,468 2030 5,312,914 1,279,307 4,332,859 364,545 11,289,625 2040 5,110,308 1,274,155 4,722,681 352,305 11,459,449 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 5,922,120 1,258,663 3,805,362 464,481 11,450,626 2020 5,778,384 1,395,998 5,071,050 586,070 12,831,502 2030 5,619,763 1,485,116 6,539,041 707,879 14,351,799 2040 5,497,055 1,557,689 8,111,449 833,779 15,999,972 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 6,036,408 1,320,511 4,394,254 582,258 12,333,431 2020 6,001,817 1,539,959 6,720,289 915,688 15,177,753 2030 5,944,488 1,723,492 9,917,813 1,364,129 18,949,922 2040 5,913,114 1,903,402 13,980,316 1,958,552 23,755,384 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 5,886,054 1,346,947 4,278,133 583,323 12,094,457 2020 5,710,962 1,593,503 6,293,283 901,517 14,499,265 2030 5,528,586 1,803,590 8,824,223 1,304,376 17,460,775 2040 5,378,380 2,015,813 11,638,896 1,788,788 20,821,877


Percent Change in Projected Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios,

2000-2040Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total Assuming Zero Net Migration 2000-2010 1.2 13.9 22.2 10.0 8.6 2010-2020 4.2 5.5 16.7 1.1 3.5 2020-2030 4.5 1.1 12.5 2.2 2.1 2030-2040 3.8 0.4 9.0 3.4 1.5 2000-2040 11.0 20.9 74.9 5.1 16.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2000-2010 3.1 19.5 40.9 38.6 16.5 2010-2020 2.4 10.9 33.3 26.2 12.1 2020-2030 2.7 6.4 28.9 20.8 11.8 2030-2040 2.2 4.9 24.0 17.8 11.5 2000-2040 4.3 47.9 200.4 148.8 62.8 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2000-2010 5.1 25.3 62.7 73.7 25.5 2010-2020 0.6 16.6 52.9 57.3 23.1 2020-2030 1.0 11.9 47.6 49.0 24.9 2030-2040 0.5 10.4 41.0 43.6 25.4 2000-2040 3.0 80.7 417.8 484.4 141.6 Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2000-2010 2.5 27.8 58.4 74.0 23.0 2010-2020 3.0 18.3 47.1 54.5 19.9 2020-2030 3.2 13.2 40.2 44.7 20.4 2030-2040 2.7 11.8 31.9 37.1 19.2 2000-2040 6.3 91.3 331.1 433.7 111.8


Projections of the Percent of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios,

2000-2040

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other 2000 58.4 10.7 27.5 3.4

Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 54.4 11.2 30.9 3.5 2020 50.4 11.4 34.8 3.4 2030 47.1 11.3 38.4 3.2 2040 44.6 11.1 41.2 3.1

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 51.7 11.0 33.2 4.1 2020 45.0 10.9 39.5 4.6 2030 39.2 10.3 45.6 4.9 2040 34.4 9.7 50.7 5.2

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 49.0 10.7 35.6 4.7 2020 39.6 10.1 44.3 6.0 2030 31.4 9.1 52.3 7.2 2040 24.9 8.0 58.9 8.2

Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 48.7 11.1 35.4 4.8 2020 39.4 11.0 43.4 6.2 2030 31.7 10.3 50.5 7.5 2040 25.8 9.7 55.9 8.6


Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000 Dollars)


$54,441

$52,639

$50,903

$49,326$47,883

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040


11.4

7.5

15.0

26.7

18.9

14.415.4

11.8

17.0

30.0

18.916.6

Family Households

Married Couple

Male Householder

Female Householder

Nonfamily Households

Total Households

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Percent in Poverty

2000 2040

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040


18.8

29 28.7

18.2

5.3

30.128.7

23.9

12.9

4.4

No High School Diploma

High School Graduate

Some College

Bachelor's Degree

Graduate/Prof.Degree

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Percent

2000 2040


Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*

*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)

$30,412

$42,271

$52,552

$80,950

$102,410

$32,473

$44,068

$54,467

$80,327

$104,294

Less ThanHigh School

High SchoolGraduate

Some College or Associate Degree

Bachelor'sDegree

Graduate/ProfessionalDegree

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

Average Income

Texas United States

Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040*

Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates

*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

12.7

25.7

31.6

30.0

24.0

29.9

30.6

15.5

50.7

22.0

18.4

8.9

21.0

16.1

20.6

42.3

2.2

16.6

33.4

47.8

4.3

25.6

40.5

29.6

32.1

25.8

24.1

18.0

13.4

7.6

11.0

68.0

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc.

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

< High School

High School

Some Coll/Assoc

Bachelor's +

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0

Percent

2000 2040

Black

Hispanic

Other

Anglo


Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under

Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*

*Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario

$251

$621

$765

$938

$210

$528

$629

$752

2000Base Values

2040 Assuming2000 Attainment

Differentials

2040 Assuming1990-2000 Trends

in Differentials

2040 AssumingAnglo Trends

Apply to all Groups

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

Billions

Aggregate Income Consumer Expenditures


The mark of a truly educated man is to be

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw

Race/Ethnicity by Age for the Population in Texas, 2010

198

Per

cent

Age <18 18-35 36-53 54-71 72-89 90+0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

NH White All Others

Steve MurdockPhone: 210-867-4385

E-mail: [email protected]: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu

mailto:[email protected]

hobby center for the study of texas at rice university

Documents

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