the william p. hobby distinguished lecture texas certified public manager conference...
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THE WILLIAM P. HOBBY DISTINGUISHED LECTURE
TEXAS CERTIFIED PUBLIC MANAGER CONFERENCE
SOCIAL JUSTICE IN PUBLIC POLICY AND ADMINISTRATION
FRIDAY, APRIL 12, 2013
F. SCOTT MCCOWN, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
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Source: Legislative Budget Board, Fiscal Size Up 2012-13. Dotted lines include Medicaid supplemental funding and the August 2013 FSP payment.
Our problem is not spending: State Budget: Adjusted for Population and Inflation
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
1992-93 1994-95 1996-97 1998-99 2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13
Biennial billion 1992-93$
General Revenue
All Funds
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2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013
% o
f P
ers
onal In
com
e
Source: Comptroller of Public Accounts, U.S. Census Bureau.
State taxes
Local taxes
State revenue would be
$10+ billion higher in 2013;
State/local, $11 billion
Our problem is inadequate taxation: State Taxes as Percent of Total Personal Income
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How We “Balanced” 2012-13
•$5 billion Medicaid IOU (matched with $6 billion federal); if not paid would require a 30% cut to nursing homes •$5 billion in dedicated GR used to balance the budget – money left unspent is used for certification •$3 billion in accounting maneuvers: postponed payments to 2014, speeded-up tax collections due in 2014 •$11 billion in cuts to current services for 2012-13 -- $5.3 billion from preK-12, $1.5 billion from higher education
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$79 $86 $95 $96 $108
$-
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
2012 13(Summer
2011)
2012 13 (Fall2013)
2014 15estimate:
10% growth?
2014-15Current
services for"cut" budget
RestorationsAND growth
Rainy Day Fund
GR
Revenue vs. Needs 2014-15
Billion $
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