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Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012

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Page 1: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Hera Group 2011 annual results10th financial report since establishment

Analyst presentation, 22nd March 2012

Page 2: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

2011 results at a Glance

Strong set of achievements in 2011

Growth underpinned by all businesses, andparticularly by Energy activities with commercialdevelopment and procurement position postingnet growth.

M&A included Sadori Gas and 50% JVEnomondo (+9m€).

Positive free cash flows * accounting 319m€capex. Debt at 1.987m€ enhanced in Q4 (by~68m€).

Positive results in all businesses driving Ebitdaup by +37.5 m€ in line with business plan target.

Limited impact of additional Robin tax andIRAP.

Proposed dividend per share at 9c€.

Confirming resilience in each yearof crisis period.

Growing Ebitda and Ebit throughout the crisis(m€)

1

+5.3%+6.1%+6.2%

+11.3%

Revenues Ebitda Ebit Net Profit*

2011 annual growth rates(%)

645

453

528567

607

334315

291281

221

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

* Adjusted for extraordinary benefits related to advanced payments of deferred tax

*Before M&A and DividendsEbitda Ebit

Page 3: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

2011 Financial report: 10 th since establishment

2

645607

567528

454427

192243

293

386334315

291281

221231216177

11378

0.0

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

700.0

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Ever growing operating results(m€)

Overcoming peak in capex *(m€)

Maintaining sustainable Debt/Ebitda

Progressing dividend per share(€c)

3.2x 3.0x3.3x

3.1x 3.1x2.8x2.5x

1.9x1.8x

1.3x

0

1

2

3

4

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

8.0 8.0 8.0

9.0 9.0

8.0

7.0 6.0

5.3

3.5

23456789

10

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

472 427 429

354 325

505

442

291 321

177

100

200

300

400

500

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

EbitdaEbit

*Gross capex

Page 4: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Financial inc./exp. slightly increased in ‘11.

2011 results in line with planning and track record s

3

Enhancement of tariffs, energy prices and volumes sold/traded.

‘10 taxes affected by extraord. benefits from advanced payments of deferred taxes (~25m€).

Contribution from all businesses and drivers.

Conservative accruals to bad debts (49.7 m€) in difficult scenario and includes 7.3m€ for “salvaguardia service”.

2011 taxes include increased Robin tax and IRAP (by 4.9m€) and extraord. benefits from advanced payments of deferred taxes (by 7.6m€).

2010% 2011 Ch.%

Revenues 3,877.3 4,315.9 +11.3%Ebitda 607.3 644.8 +6.2%Depreciation (223.2) (233.8) +4.7%Provisions (68.7) (76.6) +11.4%Ebit 315.4 334.5 +6.1%Net financial Interests (102.0) (106.4) +4.3%IAS figurative interest* (13.6) (13.1) (3.1%)Results from associates 5.8 6.3 +8.9%Pre tax Profit 205.6 221.2 +7.6%Tax adjusted (88.6) (102.0) +15.1%Net Profit adj. 117.0 119.2 +1.9%Minorities (24.8) (22.2) (10.8%)Hera Net Profit adj. 92.2 97.1 +5.3%

Net profit reported 117.2 104.6 (10.8%)* IAS figurative interests ("non cash out") related to provisions

Page 5: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

607.3+22.5 +6.0 +9.0 644.8

400

500

600

700

2010 Syn &Org.G.

NewPlants

M&A 2011

Organic Growth fuelled by Energyactivities (Ebitda from 107m€ to 138m€).

Increase in tariffs, customers, cross sellingand synergies.

New plants: WTE Rimini reached fullcapacity with power gen. turbine.

M&A relates to JV Enomondo (50% proquota consolidation) and Sadori Gas merger(accounted for from 1 July ‘11).

Portfolio activities show increasing Ebitdaduring last 4 years (+9.2% cagr).

Both regulated and liberalised activitiesconfirmed positive growth.

Energy activities outperformed in last 4years (+33.8% cagr).

All value drivers contributed to growth

Ebitda growth drivers(m€)

Ebitda by strategic areas(m€)

4

+6.2%

Page 6: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Positive cash flows before M&A and dividends

2011 free cash generation fully funded netcapex by 317 m€. Working Capital in linewith 2010 despite significant turnoverincrease.

Financial debt reduced in Q4 from 2.055 b€to 1.987 b€ thanks to better working capital management and cash flow generation.

No refinancing issues (available committed credit lines reached ~400m€ as at today).

Financial soundness confirmed :

D/Ebitda: Stable at 3.1x

D/Equity: 1.06x

Duration: over 9 years on avg.

Net debt change by quarters(m€)

5

2011 cash flows(m€)

* Operating cash flows=Nnet profit + D&A+IAS interests

(127)+68(84)

+14

(125)

-250

-150

-50Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Y2011

Op.CF* NetCapex

NWC Prov. CF preextraord.

Div. &Min.

M&AOther

DebtCh.

0

+401

(317)

+2(50) +35

(117)

(45) (127)

Page 7: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Capital expenditure commitments confirmed

Capex further decreased in 2011 mainly due to the completion of WTE plants.

56% capex on regulated asset base.

Electricity “smart meters” roll out program completed.

District Heating network expanded also in 2011 to optimize stream from generation assets.

Capital exp. & investments(m€)

6

2010 2011

Waste 98.7 70.1Water 94.2 100.6Gas 48.8 52.2Electricity 39.0 33.8Other 13.3 14.0Holding 51.8 54.2

Capex 345.8 324.9Investments 8.1 0.0(Dismissions) (12.0) (7.5)Net Capex & Inv. 341.9 317.4

Page 8: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

WASTE: Tackling with a tough scenario

Revenues up +5.3% driven by electricityproduction revenues (+18%) and regulatedactivities (+4%). Urban waste tariffs up by +3.3%.

Economic slow down impact on Ebitda almostfully compensated by Rimini WTE results (at fullregime with electric turbine) and by Enomondoconsolidation (pro-quota by 50%;+7.5m€ effect).

Treatment mix managed to exploit green powergeneration capacity (0.7 TWh generated up by+31%), of WTE and biomass plants. Enhancementto 50.5% of sorted urban w. collection.

The tender for industrial partner, aimed at constructand manage a new WTE in Florence province,was assigned to Hera in November 2011.

Tackling with tough economic scenario(since 2008), focusing on high valueadded activities (’11 Ebitda margin 26.2% ).

Volumes

Financial highlights (m€)

7

2010% 2011 Ch. %

Revenues 703.1 740.1 +5.3%Ebitda 195.1 194.2 (0.5%)

156

186 187 195 194

151131

866258

0

100

200

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Ebitda track record since 2002(m€)

2010 2011 Ch.%

Urban W. Volumes 1,864.1 1,808.7 (3.0%)Special W. Volumes 1,608.5 1,573.3 (2.2%)Total from 3rd parties 3,472.6 3,382.0 (2.6%)Of which:Landfill disposals 1,429.7 1,268.3 (11.3%)WTE treatment 800.6 923.0 +15.3%Composting treatment 463.8 574.7 +23.9%

Page 9: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Volumes

Tariffs increase of +3.4% slightly offset bypersistent slow down in works for third parties.

Ebitda reflects also efficiency improvementspartially compensating higher electricity costs(pumping plants of soil water).

Real estate industry still affecting newconnection activity.

Confirmed original concession length (up to2022 on avg).

2012 tariff increases safeguarded by Atoagreements (still in force) to progress towardproper returns (agreements in Bologna andModena expire in 2015 and 2014 respectively).

Uninterrupted resilient track record in10 financial reports in a row.

8

WATER: Committed to reach proper returns

2010% 2011 Ch. %160.1 158.3 -1.1%

Revenues 579.2 596.7 +3.0%Ebitda 142.0 150.2 +5.8%

119 130 131142 150

108947766

54

0

100

200

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Data 2010 2011 Ch.%

Aqueduct (mm 3) 250.8 253.7 +1.2%Sewerage (mm3) 220.0 222.6 +1.2%Purification (mm3) 220.0 221.4 +0.6%

Financial highlights (m€)

Ebitda track record since 2002(m€)

Page 10: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Gas: still benefitting from commercial activities

Volumes and customers

Revenues growth mainly driven byhigher commodity prices, larger tradingvolumes (+73.5%) offsetting mild winterseason.

Ebitda increase mainly driven by supplyand trading activities. Slow down inDistrict Heating activities due to mildwinter (-5m€).

Net growth in customer base throughcommercial expansion and M&A (SadoriGas).

Purchase portfolio for 2012/2013ongoing.

Sharp Ebitda increase record yearby year during crisis thanks toflexible procurement policies.

9

2010% 2011 Ch. %

Revenues 1,237.1 1,490.2 +20.5%Ebitda 193.9 208.7 +7.6%

105

144174

194 209

116119106100

70

0

100

200

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Data 2010 2011 Ch.%

Volumes sold (mm 3 ) 2,914.0 3,321.0 +14.0%of which trading (mm 3 ) 721.8 1,252.6 +73.5%

District Heating (GWht) 534.5 499.3 (6.6%)

Customers ('000) 1072.5 1114.5 +3.9%

Financial highlights (m€)

Ebitda track record since 2002(m€)

Page 11: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Electricity: fast market expansion still progressin g

Volumes and customers

Revenues growth mainly driven by highervolumes (+29.1%) related to “salvaguardia”services and market expansion (+25k and+75k customers respectively).

Commercial margins and power purchasesoffset negative performance of powergeneration assets.

Performance of distribution activitiesconfirmed stable (+1m€).

Ebitda margin up by 50 bp.

Ebitda positive trend reflects shortposition in power generation.

10

2010% 2011 Ch. %

Revenues 1,468.3 1,585.2 +8.0%Ebitda 59.8 73.2 +22.5%

4354 53

60

73

2523

789

0

100

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Data 2010 2011 Ch.%

Volumes sold (GWh) 7,744.0 9,996.1 +29.1%

Volumes distrib. (GWh) 2,237.8 2,303.9 +3.0%

Customers ('000) 382.5 482.1 +26.0%

Financial highlights (m€)

Ebitda track record since 2002(m€)

Page 12: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Strong competitiveness on energy marketand positive developments on relatedactivities underpinned positiveperformance .

Business portfolio resilience shown alsoduring long crisis period.

All business plan targets achieved.

M&A strengthened Waste asset base with anew biomass plant. Sadori Gas (accountedfor from 1 July) merged.

Solid financial structure (3.1x D/Ebitdaconfirmed), no refinancing issues and D/E at1.1x

DPS of 9 €c confirmed.

Closing remarks

11

‘11 results in line with plan target

Market multiples *

2010 2011

MKT Cap/Book value 1.0x 0.69xEV/Ebitda 5.9x 4.9xP/E 14.8x 11.4xDividend Yield 5.8% 8.4%

*Calculated on 31/12/2010 and 21/03/2012 market prices respectively.

Business plan 2011

Ebitda avg. growth (%) +5.7% +6.2% ✔

Capex reduction (m€/Y) 345 317 ✔Cash flows increase +35 ✔Dividend policy no decrease Stable ✔Financial structure soundness enhance Stable ✔

Market development :Electricity +60k +100k ✔Gas +20k +42k ✔

Page 13: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

Q&A session

Page 14: Hera Group 2011 annual results · Hera Group 2011 annual results 10 th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22 nd March 2012. 2011 results at a Glance Strong

10Y market valuation Multiples*

EV/Ebitda

Mkt cap/Book value Dividend yield

P/E

2,6%

4,9%5,4% 5,8%

8,2%

2,4%3,1%2,8%

4,3%

2,8%

0,00%

10,00%

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

10,0x

6,1x 6,3x 5,9x5,0x

10,6x

8,5x8,0x

5,9x6,4x

0123456789

101112

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

32,3x

17,7x

23,4x

14,8x11,7x

37,2x

28,6x31,4x

19,9x

29,7x

89101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

2,1x

1,1x1,0x 1,0x

0,7x

2,3x

1,6x1,7x

1,1x1,2x

0,4

1,4

2,4

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

-16%-21%

+42%-30%

*multiples calculated on year end market prices of each year (in 2002 IPO price is the reference).