HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 1

HEPAP – ILC Americas Region ReportHEPAP – ILC Americas Region Report

• ART ProgramART Program– FY08 status & prioritiesFY08 status & priorities– FY09 proposed programFY09 proposed program– Timelines & Critical DecisionsTimelines & Critical Decisions– US Host, non-host scenariosUS Host, non-host scenarios– Funding profilesFunding profiles– SummarySummary

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

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Americas Region FY08 statusAmericas Region FY08 status

Recent omnibus spending bill capped US FY08 ILC funding at $15M. Recent omnibus spending bill capped US FY08 ILC funding at $15M. Since we were 3 months into the fiscal year with a $60M Since we were 3 months into the fiscal year with a $60M guidance this was tantamount to a ‘cease work’ for the balance guidance this was tantamount to a ‘cease work’ for the balance of FY08.of FY08.

All spending was halted ~ 1 Jan and a count of funds remaining at All spending was halted ~ 1 Jan and a count of funds remaining at the labs indicated an unobligated balance of ~ $2.5M under the the labs indicated an unobligated balance of ~ $2.5M under the cap.cap.

FY08 priorities then became:FY08 priorities then became:– GDE common fund ($400K)GDE common fund ($400K)– GDE core support (Barish, Harrison, Ross, Carwardine) + some travelGDE core support (Barish, Harrison, Ross, Carwardine) + some travel– CESR TA (electron cloud R&D)CESR TA (electron cloud R&D)– + Machine – Detector Interface (?)+ Machine – Detector Interface (?)– + ……..+ ……..

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

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GDE Common fund & Management – GDE Common fund & Management – priority 1priority 1

Although this is essentially intuitive:Although this is essentially intuitive:

– The common fund contribution is the US membership dues to the The common fund contribution is the US membership dues to the GDEGDE

– Nationally embarrassing to lay-off the International DirectorNationally embarrassing to lay-off the International Director– Likewise the Regional Director & Project ManagementLikewise the Regional Director & Project Management– Even with a funding cap there is a need for some functionality to Even with a funding cap there is a need for some functionality to

maintain the ability to resume maintain the ability to resume

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

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CESR TA – Priority 2CESR TA – Priority 2

• Comprehensive electron-cloud R&D program based on the Comprehensive electron-cloud R&D program based on the very flexible machine complex at Cornell. very flexible machine complex at Cornell.

• Unique time-critical opportunity.Unique time-critical opportunity.• Rated the highest technical risk with the baseline design, Rated the highest technical risk with the baseline design,

which relies on successful mitigation.which relies on successful mitigation.• NSF 80% & DOE 20% over the 24 month experimental NSF 80% & DOE 20% over the 24 month experimental

program.program.

The FY08 funding-cap and the FY09 budget at collaborating labs The FY08 funding-cap and the FY09 budget at collaborating labs have resulted in some delays/issues. Looking for help at KEK.have resulted in some delays/issues. Looking for help at KEK.

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

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CESR TA – Priority 2CESR TA – Priority 2

Highest R&D priorities ILC Damping Rings – GDE working group – Lattice Design for positron ring– Lattice Design for electron ring– Demonstrate < 2pm vertical emittance (CesrTA <5-10pm for

positrons)– Characterize single bunch impedance driven instabilities– Characterize electron cloud build up– Develop electron cloud suppression techniques– Develop modeling tools for electron cloud instabilities– Determine electron cloud instability thresholds– Characterize ion effects– Specify techniques for suppressing ion effects– Develop a fast high power pulser

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 6

Machine/Detector Interface– Priority 3Machine/Detector Interface– Priority 3

Critically important for detector design – LOI’s in ~ 12 months

US is the GDE leadFY08 Funding uncertain

Highly Complex physics/engineering issues

Totally integrated design between machine & detector

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 7

Americas Region – Budget EvolutionAmericas Region – Budget Evolution

The chart shows the time evolution of ART funding - actuals + The chart shows the time evolution of ART funding - actuals + projected. Since Aug of last year the projected FY09 funding projected. Since Aug of last year the projected FY09 funding has fallen from $95M -> $60M -> $35M. Together with the has fallen from $95M -> $60M -> $35M. Together with the FY08 stop-work order it tends to make detailed planning FY08 stop-work order it tends to make detailed planning difficult.difficult.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

1-Oct-06

1-Mar-07

1-Aug-07

1-Oct-07

1-Jan-08

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

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Americas Region FY09 planningAmericas Region FY09 planning

• The recent presidents budget shows ART at roughly 50% of The recent presidents budget shows ART at roughly 50% of the former one.the former one.

• Program should be ‘ robust ’ and thus easily defensible.Program should be ‘ robust ’ and thus easily defensible.• Given the FY08 situation then only top down planning Given the FY08 situation then only top down planning

possible for the near term.possible for the near term.• No detailed ART multi-year program yet but it is conceptually No detailed ART multi-year program yet but it is conceptually

compatible with the new GDE plan (TDP1 & 2).compatible with the new GDE plan (TDP1 & 2).

Strategic goals:Strategic goals:Preserve collaborative commitment to the GDEPreserve collaborative commitment to the GDE

Provide contributions to the ILC R&D program which are unique Provide contributions to the ILC R&D program which are unique to the USto the USSupport the value engineering effort in the medium termSupport the value engineering effort in the medium termMaintain US presence in ILC SRF R&DMaintain US presence in ILC SRF R&D

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 9

ART/GDE Collaboration - Management & ART/GDE Collaboration - Management & Conceptual EngineeringConceptual Engineering

• FY09 reduction of effort ~50% i.e. scaling with program size FY09 reduction of effort ~50% i.e. scaling with program size though not linearly. Mid level management pushed back into though not linearly. Mid level management pushed back into the technical programs.the technical programs.– Preserves international and national management & engineering Preserves international and national management & engineering

roles, travel, contingency, etc..roles, travel, contingency, etc..

Management/Engineering (GDE) Barish, Harrison, Ross, Carwardine + travel etc.GDE common fund - $400KManagement ART/GDE (Garbincius, Kerby) + travel etc.System integration - (Paterson)Communications - (~ 50% of an FTE)Contingency ~ $3M

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 10

ART ILC Systems - FY09 ImpactART ILC Systems - FY09 Impact

• Electron SourceElectron Source– 20% reduction.20% reduction.

• Positron SourcePositron Source– US efforts eliminatedUS efforts eliminated

• Damping RingsDamping Rings– All effort eliminated except e-cloud R&D at CESR-TA (with NSF)All effort eliminated except e-cloud R&D at CESR-TA (with NSF)

• RF systemsRF systems– All hardware deliverables eliminated (40% reduction) - preserve All hardware deliverables eliminated (40% reduction) - preserve

R&D at SLAC in HLRF systemsR&D at SLAC in HLRF systems

• Beam Delivery SystemBeam Delivery System– 10% reduction. 10% reduction.

• Accelerator physics/Global systemsAccelerator physics/Global systems– 50% reduction50% reduction

• Conventional FacilitiesConventional Facilities– No bid to host or site categorisationNo bid to host or site categorisation– Maintain value engineeringMaintain value engineering

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Americas

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ART ILC Systems - Cavities & CryomodulesART ILC Systems - Cavities & Cryomodules

• Reduction of ~ 50% in FY09Reduction of ~ 50% in FY09• StrategyStrategy

– Maintain US presence in the GDE SRF program but no lead role. Maintain US presence in the GDE SRF program but no lead role. – No industrialization.No industrialization.– No systems tests with ILC funds (potential SRF generic goal with No systems tests with ILC funds (potential SRF generic goal with

ART hardware and synergistic with Project X)ART hardware and synergistic with Project X)

Here we ‘play the global’ card relying on work in Asia and the EU to Here we ‘play the global’ card relying on work in Asia and the EU to provide the majority of the ILC SRF technology development. String provide the majority of the ILC SRF technology development. String test in KEK 2011 at the same time the XFEL is producing 1 test in KEK 2011 at the same time the XFEL is producing 1 cryomodule per week.cryomodule per week.

What do we keep ?What do we keep ?–Minimal gradient program – no ramp up Minimal gradient program – no ramp up –Cryomodule prototyping at Fermilab (cryomodule engineering, Cryomodule prototyping at Fermilab (cryomodule engineering, cryomodule parts, testing etc….. $20M over 4 yrs). ART - Project X cryomodule parts, testing etc….. $20M over 4 yrs). ART - Project X common goal.common goal.–Note: cryomodule development assumes some Fermilab Note: cryomodule development assumes some Fermilab infrastructure (horizontal test stand, cryomodule assembly facilities, infrastructure (horizontal test stand, cryomodule assembly facilities, cryomodule test stand)cryomodule test stand)

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 12

ART ILC Systems - Cavities & CryomodulesART ILC Systems - Cavities & Cryomodules

Cryomodules are complex• Cavities made from pure Nb• Smooth & ultra clean surfaces• Cavity handling is crucial• Operate in 2K superfluid He• 1200 parts!

Cryomodules are expensive• Single most expensive component of the ILC• Must industrialize cavities, components, and maybe assembly• Developing the extensive infrastructure to build and test CM’s• FNAL leads an international team working to improve the TESLA CM

design for ILC (DESY, INFN, KEK, CERN, SLAC, India, etc )• Plan to have an improved ILC design ready for bids - deferred

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 13

ART ILC Systems - Cavities & CryomodulesART ILC Systems - Cavities & Cryomodules

GDE estimate for cavity production and testing as part of the gradient GDE estimate for cavity production and testing as part of the gradient program program

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 14

ILC Project - US Role & R&D phaseILC Project - US Role & R&D phase

The concept of the requirements for an ILC host has been relatively stable The concept of the requirements for an ILC host has been relatively stable for the past few years. The host would be expected to provide ~50% for the past few years. The host would be expected to provide ~50% of the total cost. This is made up of the site specific costs together of the total cost. This is made up of the site specific costs together with contributions summing to 33% of the remaining value costs. The with contributions summing to 33% of the remaining value costs. The host would also be expected to donate any land needed by the Project. host would also be expected to donate any land needed by the Project. In order to construct and operate the machine successfully the host In order to construct and operate the machine successfully the host would need to have wide ranging involvement in all the various would need to have wide ranging involvement in all the various technical elements of the program; with the SRF systems prominent.technical elements of the program; with the SRF systems prominent.

As a Non-Host then depending on the number of collaborating countries As a Non-Host then depending on the number of collaborating countries the contribution would probably lie in the range of 10-25%. Technical the contribution would probably lie in the range of 10-25%. Technical involvement does not need to be across the board and targeting involvement does not need to be across the board and targeting specific sub-systems for contributions will be necessary.specific sub-systems for contributions will be necessary.

A program at the anticipated level of FY09 lacks the resources to provide A program at the anticipated level of FY09 lacks the resources to provide a broad-based R&D program consistent with a host scenario.a broad-based R&D program consistent with a host scenario.

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 15

ILC Strawman Project timelineILC Strawman Project timeline

The US system (413.3A) requires critical decisions:The US system (413.3A) requires critical decisions:

CD0 - Mission need - a.k.a. LHC physics results ~ 2011CD0 - Mission need - a.k.a. LHC physics results ~ 2011

CD1 - Cost Range - a.k.a. Site selection (Host or not) ~ 2013CD1 - Cost Range - a.k.a. Site selection (Host or not) ~ 2013

CD2 - Performance baseline - a.k.a. International scope agreement CD2 - Performance baseline - a.k.a. International scope agreement (who does what) ~ 2014(who does what) ~ 2014

CD3 - Construction Start - ~ 2016CD3 - Construction Start - ~ 2016

CD4 - Start of Operations - ~2023CD4 - Start of Operations - ~2023

Caveat: this does not represent any official GDE planning scenarioCaveat: this does not represent any official GDE planning scenario

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 16

Near-term ART R&D ProgramNear-term ART R&D Program

Assume FY09 $30MAssume FY09 $30M

– Host scenario would suggest FY11 $86M, FY12 $148M hence FY10 Host scenario would suggest FY11 $86M, FY12 $148M hence FY10 ~$60M thus we need starting in FY08 ~$60M thus we need starting in FY08 15->35->60->86->14815->35->60->86->148. .

– Total R&D costs $344M out of ~$10B; low compared to the typical Total R&D costs $344M out of ~$10B; low compared to the typical 6-8%.6-8%.

– Non Host scenario would suggest FY11 $34M, FY12 $59 hence Non Host scenario would suggest FY11 $34M, FY12 $59 hence FY10 $32M thus we need FY10 $32M thus we need 15->35->37->39->5915->35->37->39->59. .

– Total R&D $185M out of $4B would indicate that we are still low Total R&D $185M out of $4B would indicate that we are still low compared to a 20% non-host contribution but O.K. for 10-15% one.compared to a 20% non-host contribution but O.K. for 10-15% one.

– It is conceivable to steer a middle path with some additional SRF It is conceivable to steer a middle path with some additional SRF cavity & cryomodule volume together with some specific siting cavity & cryomodule volume together with some specific siting studies studies

HEPAPFebruary 08

Americas

Slide 17

ART Program SummaryART Program Summary

• Funding cap for the balance of FY08Funding cap for the balance of FY08• Reduction of ~ 50% in FY09Reduction of ~ 50% in FY09• Effort more focusedEffort more focused• Pull back on SRF technology - gradient & system testsPull back on SRF technology - gradient & system tests• on any relevant time scale it’s difficult to see how we get on any relevant time scale it’s difficult to see how we get

from ‘here to there’ with a $35M-ish program if ‘there’ for from ‘here to there’ with a $35M-ish program if ‘there’ for the US is hosting an ILC in the foreseeable future.the US is hosting an ILC in the foreseeable future.

• we are (just) consistent with a non-host role (15±5%) at we are (just) consistent with a non-host role (15±5%) at this funding level for the next couple of years. The this funding level for the next couple of years. The elements of the ART program may not be the correct ones elements of the ART program may not be the correct ones since a non-host role will have specific technical since a non-host role will have specific technical contributions.contributions.

• A little stability in the funding (actuals & projected) would A little stability in the funding (actuals & projected) would help to get the most from the available resources.help to get the most from the available resources.