hans-josef fell - beyond zero emissions may discussion group

Renewable Energies and Climate Protection Skype Conference

May 3th 2010

Hans-Josef Fell, Member of German

Parliament

Hans-Josef Fellwww.hans-josef-fell.de


197917th September

Arctic sea ice

Quelle: Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann



Quelle: Prof. Dr. Anders Levermann

197917th September

Arctic sea ice



Climate problems can only be solved by two strategies:

1. Stop greenhouse gas emissions(not only reduce the emissions)

promote renewable technologies completely cancel the use of fossil and nuclear

energies

2. Take out carbon from atmosphere convert plants to humus soil (HTC) reforesting big areas

The Target must be: 330 ppm CO2




Share of Renewables in the Gross ElectricityConsumption in Germany

Source: BDEW



Avoided Costs due to Renewable Energies in 2009

Source: BEE



Average electricity costs for a multi-person household in Germany: 52 €

Source: BMU 2009



Job engine renewable energies in Germany

Source: BEE /BMU 2009Hans-Josef Fell

www.hans-josef-fell.de

Renewable Energies



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CO2 Costs CO2 Costs

bn

. Eu

ro

avoi

ded

CO2

in M

io. t

57 Mio. t 5,6 bn. €

8 Mio.t

4,3 bn. €

Source: www.energie-verstehen.de

Comparing Climate protection tools in Germany Renewable Energy Sources Act (2007) v. Emission trading system (2005-07)

Emission tradingsystem

Renewable Energy Sources Act



A Path to Sustainable Energy by 2030

‘Wind, water and solar technologies can provide100 percent of the world’s energy, eliminating allfossil fuels.‘

(Mark Z. Jacobson & Mark A. Delucchi)



Sources:

Mark Z. Jacobson/ Mark DeLucchi 2009, A plan for a sustainable future, in: Scientific American Nov. 2009

Dr. Werner Zittel 2010, Worldwide Estimated Yearly Energy Costs (EWG 2010)

Renewable energies are cheaper than global fossil energy bill

Estimated costs fossil, nuclear energies (US $)

PetroleumNatural GasCoalElectricity

Sum per year (without external costs!)

3350-4475 Bil.550-830 Bil.150-300 Bil.

1490-2150 Bil.

5000–7750 Bil.

Sum 2010-2030 (+ 20% rise)

200 000 Bil.

Sum to replace world’s energy by 2030

100 000 Bil.



Key components of a successfull feed-in law

Privileged grid access Attractive feed-in tariff for each RE technology

(must be high enough for cost-effecient RE power production)

Feed-in cost distributed via electricity price No cap on total amount of generated RE

power Guaranteed feed-in period

- Also important: No obstacles through approval procedures in practice




Photovoltaic




Innovation of Wind Power Technology 20 Years Development of Wind Power Technology (20 kW to 6 MW)




Biogas




Geothermal Energy


Hot-Dry-Rock Method



Small Hydropower

www.hans-josef-fell.deSource: Badenova



Source: REN21

Renewable Energy Share of Global Final Energy Consumption



Worldwide Potential Renewable Energy

Source : FVS/DLR



Oil production world summaryEnergy Watch Group

1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 20250

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Oil

pro

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ctio

n [

Mb

/d]

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40

60

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100

120WEO2006Middle EastAfricaLatin AmericaSouth AsiaEast AsiaChinaTransition EconomiesOECD PacificOECD EuropeOECD North America

WEO 2006

WEO 2008



Umsätze der 16 wertvollsten Konzerne 2008

Quelle: SZ, 28.08.09



Quelle Ölpreis: MWV (Rohölsorte WTI);Quelle Gewinne: Jahresabschlüsse

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20

40

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05

101520253035404550

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Oilp

rice

in $

/Bar

rel

Pro

fits

in B

illio

n $

Corporate Profits Rise with Oil Price



Global coal production: Peak 2030

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

1950 2000 2050 2100

Worldwide possible coal production M toe

OECD North America

China

LA

OECD Pacific

OECD Europe

SouthAsia

East Asia

FSU

subbituminous

subbituminous

bituminous

bituminous

bituminous

bituminous

lignitelignite

lignite

lignite

lignitelignite

bituminous

Year

WEO 2006: Reference scenario

WEO 2006: Alternative policy scenario



Example: Lignite Power Station Neurath

, Mio. t/a

,5 Mio. t/a

1, Mio. t/a

1,5 Mio. t/a

2, Mio. t/a

2,5 Mio. t/a

3, Mio. t/a

3,5 Mio. t/a

4, Mio. t/a

without CCS with CCS

Consumption of lignite from mine Mio. t/a



Pripjat Towncenter April 2006: 20 years after Tchernobyl nuclear accident



27



Climate problems can only be solved by two strategies:

1. Stop greenhouse gas emissions(not only reduce the emissions)

promote renewable technologies completely cancel the use of fossil and nuclear

energies

2. Take out carbon from atmosphere convert plants to humus soil (HTC) reforesting big areas

The Target must be: 330 ppm CO2




Hydrothermal carbonization (HTC)

Source: MPI of Colloids and Interfaces

Process: • Input: plants (+ side products)• Outcome: biochar (+ energy)

Usage of biochar:• fuel• chemical base (oil substitute)• CO2–binding in soil



Climate protection with HTC

• 20 t biochar can be put into soil per hectare

• With an additional 100 t carbon due to the growing generativity of the soil (e.g. afforestation)

• Around 200 Gt CO2 could be taken out of the atmosphere in the next 30 years

-> 330 ppm

• Needed: about 8 Mio. HTC-machines worldwide

• Overall costs: US $ 1000 Bil.

Source: MPI of Colloids and Interfaces



Afforestation by sowing forest seeds

• Forest seeds are much cheaper than plantation (US $ 500 per hectare)

• In the Tropics an annual rate of return of up to US $ 10 000 can be achieved

• In a temperate zone an annual rate of return at least US $ 500 per hectare

Source: Forest Seed



Climate-protection policiesPromoting renewable energy,chemistry & organic farming: Laws for feed-in-tariffs tax relief for renewables canceling subsidies for intensive agriculture, for fossil

and nuclear energy and chemistry research and education offensive for renewables and

organic farming reduction of approval obstacles dispose big areas for reforesting

not successful: quota or certificate systems (unable to promote fast climate protection)



Many Thanks for your Attention!


hans-josef fell - beyond zero emissions may discussion group

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