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2012 REGIONAL FORECAST Presented to the Hampton Roads Planning District Commission Agenda Item #5 James Clary Senior Economist November 19, 2015 Education Funding in Hampton Roads

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Page 1: Hampton Roads Education

2012 REGIONAL FORECAST

Presented to the Hampton Roads Planning District

CommissionAgenda Item #5

James Clary

Senior Economist

November 19, 2015

Education Funding inHampton Roads

Page 2: Hampton Roads Education

Education and the Economy

• Higher education is important

– Faster growth

– Greater income

– Impacts everyone

• K-12 education also matters

– Housing values

– Geographic mobility

– Socioeconomic mobility

– Unemployment rate

2

Page 3: Hampton Roads Education

Money and Education

3

$12,731

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000 Sch

oo

l Sp

en

din

g a

s a P

erce

nta

ge

of G

DP

Pe

r P

up

il S

pe

nd

ing

in

US

Do

lla

rs

Per Pupil Primary and Secondary Spending, 2011

Per Pupil Spending Education as Percentage of GDP

OECD Average: $9,280, 3.6% of GDP

Source: OECD, HRPDC

Page 4: Hampton Roads Education

More Expensive Education

4

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

U.S

. Pe

r P

up

il S

pe

nd

ing

(20

14

Do

lla

rs)

Total Expenditures

Source: National Center for Education Statistics, HRPDC

Page 5: Hampton Roads Education

Education Outcomes Between States

5Source: Urban Institute, Institute of Educational Sciences, HRPDC

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Mo

nth

s o

f L

ea

rnin

g D

iffe

ren

ceV

s N

ati

on

al

Av

era

ge

Adjusted Data

Raw Data

Page 6: Hampton Roads Education

Per Pupil Spending in the States

6

10,960

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Ad

juste

d Ed

ucatio

nal P

rogre

ssP

er

Pu

pil

Spe

nd

ing

2013 Spending and Outcomes

Per Pupil Spending

Educational Progress

Source: Urban Institute, U.S. Census Bureau, HRPDC

Page 7: Hampton Roads Education

Per Pupil Spending Over Time

7

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

20

14

Do

llars

Pe

r P

up

il

Hampton Roads Virginia

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 8: Hampton Roads Education

Hampton Roads School Funding FY14

8

Local42%

Retail Sales & Use Tax

9%

State40%

Federal9%

Source: Virginia Department of Education, HRPDC

Page 9: Hampton Roads Education

Source of Hampton Roads Funding

9

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

Infl

ati

on

-Ad

just

ed

So

urc

e o

f E

du

cati

on

Fu

nd

s(B

illi

on

s o

f F

Y2

01

4 D

oll

ars

)

Federal Retail

State Local

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 10: Hampton Roads Education

Per Pupil Local Funds Over Time

10

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000

Ha

mp

ton

Ro

ad

s L

oca

l F

un

din

g P

er

Pu

pil

(FY

20

14

Do

lla

rs)

23%

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 11: Hampton Roads Education

Per Pupil Federal Funds Over Time

11

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Fe

de

ral

Fu

nd

ing

Pe

r P

up

il(F

Y2

01

4 D

oll

ars

)

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 12: Hampton Roads Education

Federal Funding- Six Main Channels• Elementary & Secondary Education Act (“No

Child Left Behind”)

• Individuals with Disabilities Education Act

• Carl Perkins Act

• Adult Ed. & Family Literacy Act

• School Nutrition Act (USDA)

• Impact Aid

12

Page 13: Hampton Roads Education

State Funding- Regional Experience

13

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Infl

ati

on

-Ad

just

ed

Pe

r P

up

il F

un

din

g

Gloucester Isle Of Wight Southampton Surry

York Hampton Newport News Norfolk

Portsmouth Suffolk Virginia Beach Williamsburg/James City

Franklin Chesapeake Poquoson

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 14: Hampton Roads Education

Per Pupil State Funds Over Time

14

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Sta

te S

pe

nd

ing

Pe

r P

up

il

Nominal State Funding

Inflation-Adjusted

-19%

Source: Virginia Department of Education, BEA, HRPDC

Page 15: Hampton Roads Education

State Funding in Hampton Roads• State education funding fell by 23% per pupil in

Hampton Roads between FY09 and FY14

– Overall, state education funding fell by 19% per pupil

• Driven both by a decline in total state funds for education, as well as updates to the Local Composite Index

15

Page 16: Hampton Roads Education

State Funds for Education

• Primarily Standards of Quality (SOQ)

– 81% to 85% of all state funds for education flow through Standards of Quality

• Incentive Accounts are another 3.3%

• 8.8% to 10.3% from lottery funds

16

Page 17: Hampton Roads Education

Conclusions• Spending on Education has declined

• Economically and Socially, education is important to each locality in this region, to Hampton Roads, and to the State

• This presentation discussed spending trends at the regional level. If your staff would like assistance for analysis at the local level, the HRPDC will provide support.

17

Page 18: Hampton Roads Education

Types of Federal Aid

18

Title I24%

IDEA22%

Child Nutrition

22%

Other through

State12%

Impact Aid13%

Other Federal Direct

7%

Federal Aid in Hampton Roads, 2013

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, HRPDC

Page 19: Hampton Roads Education

Students Educated

• Between FY10 and FY15

– Hampton Roads number of Economically Disadvantaged Students has grown 38%, versus 25% in the Commonwealth

• Regionally, these students are 46% of enrollment, versus 40% in the Commonwealth

– Hampton Roads has seen the number of Limited English Proficiency Students grow by 39%, versus 25% for the Commonwealth

• Regionally these students were 2% of student population, but are 10% of the Commonwealth’s student population

19

Page 20: Hampton Roads Education

What is Driving the Cost of Education

• Over the past 20 years, U.S. Per Pupil

– Salaries have increased by 14%

– Benefits have increased by 65%

– Purchased services have increased by 63%

– Capital expenditures by 22%

– Interest on debt by 101%

• Size matters

– Salaries have contributed 8% to the growth in costs, while benefits added 10%, and interest less than 2%

20

Page 21: Hampton Roads Education

Composite Index Formula

21

ADM Component =

Local Adjusted

Local True Values Gross Income Local Taxable Retail Sales

Local ADM Local ADM Local ADM

.5 ----------- + .4 ----------- + .1 -----------

Statewide Total of Total State Adjusted Total Taxable Retail Sales

Local True Values Gross Income Total State ADM

Total State ADM Total State ADM

Population Component =

Local Adjusted

Local True Values Gross Income Local Taxable Retail Sales

Local Population Local Population Local Population

.5 ----------- + .4 ----------- + .1 -----------

Total Local True Values Total State Adjusted Total Taxable Retail Sales

State Population Gross Income State Population

State Population

Local Composite Index =

((.667 x ADM Component) + (.333 x Population Component)) X 0.45 (average local share)