guide to oil and gas mlps

22
An Investor’s Guide to Oil & Gas MLPs (Part I) Photo credit: LINN Energy

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Despite the Federal Reserve's moves to start easing its economic stimulus, interest rates are still at record lows. This means investors continue to have no choice but to look for better yields in the stock market. One place that has really caught investors' attention are oil and gas master limited partnerships, where the top four offer an average distribution yield of 9%. The business of an oil and gas MLP is pretty straightforward. These companies acquire mature oil and gas wells, hedge to lock in the cash flows associated with those wells,Seems like need a bit more explanation of this middle part, but this could be just because I don't know the topic and then return nearly all of the excess cash flow to investors. That said, not all of these companies are that straightforward. This can make it difficult for investors to choose which one would fit best within their portfolio. Some investors might want the security of owning top-dog LINN Energy (NASDAQ: LINE) or its affiliate LinnCo (NASDAQ: LNCO). The acquisition machine now owns an interest in 19,000 producing wells throughout the U.S. Not only that, but thanks to its most recent acquisition, LINN Energy's production is quite balanced and its distribution is now rock solid. Still, other investors are more interested in upside that can be offered by smaller operations like BreitBurn Energy Partners (NASDAQ: BBEP), Vanguard Natural Resources (NASDAQ: VNR) , or EV Energy Partners (NASDAQ: EVEP). However, while all three are relatively the same size, there are major differences between each company. For example, BreitBurn Energy Partners' production is heavy on oil, while Vanguard Natural Resources and EV Energy Partners lean heavily toward natural gas. These are just some of the differences between these top four companies. To take an even deeper look I've created the slideshow below to help investors decide which of these massive distributions belong in their portfolio.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

An Investor’s Guide to Oil & Gas MLPs (Part I)

Photo credit: LINN Energy

Page 2: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Part I Will Look Closer at the Top 4

• Represent ~75% segment’s value

• Most aggressive acquirers• Geographically diverse• Secure and growing

distributions

Page 3: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

LINN Energy LLC and LinnCo LLC

• $7.8 billion market cap

• 8.8% yield• Coverage ratio last

quarter: 1.0x• Distribution paid

monthly

Ticker: LINE/LNCO(All data LINE)

Photo credit: LINN Energy

Page 4: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Part I Will Look Closer at the Top 4

Source: LINN Energy Investor Presentation

Page 5: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 1.1 Billion BOE• Liquids production: 54%• Reserve life-index: ~17 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Recently completed Berry

Petroleum acquisition, natural gas prices and the Permian Basin development

Page 6: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

BreitBurn Energy Partners L.P.

• $2.4 Billion market cap

• 9.6% yield• Coverage ratio last

quarter: 1.3x• Distribution paid

monthly

Ticker: BBEP

Photo credit: Flickr/Robert Ashworth

Page 7: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Part I Will Look Closer at the Top 4

Source: BreitBurn Energy Investor Presentation

Page 8: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 190.8 million BOE• Liquids production: 62%• Reserve life-index: ~15 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Oil prices and debt levels

Page 9: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Vanguard Natural Resources, LLC

• $2.4 billion market cap

• 8.3% yield• Coverage ratio last

quarter: 1.09x• Distribution paid

monthly

Ticker: VNR

Photo credit: Flickr/USFWS Mountain Prairie

Page 10: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Part I Will Look Closer at the Top 4

Source: Vanguard Investor Presentation

Page 11: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 316 million BOE• Liquids production: 33%• Reserve life index: ~13 years• General Partner: None• Areas to watch: Natural gas prices and strategy

shift organically grow production

Page 12: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

EV Energy Partners, L.P.

• $1.9 billion market cap

• 8.6% yield• Coverage ratio last

quarter: 0.7x• Distribution paid

quarterly

Ticker: EVEP

Photo credit: Flickr/Daniel X. O’Neil

Page 13: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Part I Will Look Closer at the Top 4

Source: EV Energy Investor Presentation

Page 14: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

The Information that Matters

• Total Proved Reserves: 160.5 million BOE/d• Liquids production: 31%• Reserve life index: ~14 years• General Partner: EnerVest• Areas to watch: Utica Shale and natural gas

prices, distribution coverage ratio and midstream growth

Page 15: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Now Let’s See How Each Compares

• Scale• Reserves• Production• Hedging

Page 16: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Enterprise Value

Page 17: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Total Proved Reserves

Sources: Company investor presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Page 18: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Where is the Cash Flowing From?

Sources: Company investor presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Page 19: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

How Secure is the Cash Flow?

Sources: Company investor presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Page 20: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

How Secure is the Cash Flow?

Sources: Company investor presentations, SEC filings and author’s calculations

Page 21: Guide to Oil and Gas MLPs

Key Takeaways

LINN Energy – Top-dog, balanced production and very secure cash flowsBreitBurn – Oil heavy with less secure cash flowVanguard – Natural gas focused with secure gas cash flowEV Energy – Natural gas heavy with less secure cash flow