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Page 1: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

1

Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery

Energy Storage Market

Page 2: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

2

Today’s Presenter

Utham

Ganesh

Research Analyst

Industrial

Frost & Sullivan

• Energy Storage and Power Supplies expert.

• 3+ years of research and consulting experience.

• Bespoke consulting assignment providing the go-to-market strategies and due diligence for

for leading OEMs in the Global Battery Energy Storage space.

• Delivered 20+ research and consulting deliverables on energy convergence topics including

Batteries, Energy Storage, Electric Vehicle and Digitization of energy sectors.

• Devised Mergers and Acquisition strategy for a leading engine manufacturer.

Follow me on:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/utham-ganesh/

Photo

Page 3: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

3

Agenda

Source: Frost & Sullivan

1Motivations, Disadvantages and Key Influencers in the purchase

decision

Key Market Analysis for commercial battery storage2

3

4 Key Strategic Messages

5

Growth Opportunities in the Battery Storage Market

5

Page 4: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

4

76%

62%

66%

64%

59%

64%

61%

62%

47%

Savings on electricity bill

Decreasing utility electricity usage during

peak hours to save on electricity bills

Incentives from the government

Environmentally friendly

Ability to store unused or excess energy

from solar panels

Decrease in dependence on energy

utility/provider

Ability to monitor/ control energy

consumption in the company

Use as a back-up power

Peer-to-peer energy trading with other

companies

Start of the Journey – Motivations to Purchase

Cost savings, avoid peak charges and ability to storage excess energy from solar PV are the top benefits.

To what degree would the following uses and benefits of battery energy storage systems motivate your company to start or continue investing in such system?

52%

54%

52%

50%

54%

46%

43%

45%

53%

73%

58%

62%

61%

59%

70%

70%

64%

63%

82%

80%

80%

73%

75%

71%

77%

75%

55%

84%

83%

80%

73%

77%

77%

74%

74%

55%

SpainItalyGermanyFranceUnited Kingdom

Page 5: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

5

What is Holding Firms Back? Perceived Disadvantages

Across Europe, the main disadvantages are upfront cost, maintenance costs and the long payback period.

Base: All respondents

What disadvantages or concerns do you associate with battery energy storage solution?

SpainItalyGermanyFranceUnited Kingdom

Device is too expensive to purchase or

rent

Maintenance costs are too high

Payback time is too long

Cost and potential damage to the building

while installing this system

Fire hazard

Integration with our other energy

management solutions may be a problem

Solution is not tested properly / is not

properly developed

It is difficult to use

Solution does not work as it should / it is

expected from this kind of device

Other

I do not see any problems

36%

30%

28%

30%

27%

24%

27%

8%

18%

1%

8%

57%

53%

59%

64%

57%

54%

57%

58%

53%

51%

43%

41%

36%

48%

39%

37%

44%

35%

3%

33%

34%

30%

11%

21%

32%

15%

9%

14%

6%

37%

45%

38%

28%

20%

26%

19%

14%

11%

6%

Page 6: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

6

People Influencing the Decision Making Process

Who is the Opinion Leader in Europe?

PV provider 56%

Facility Management Company,

Energy Service Company44%

Energy utility employee 33%

Energy consultant 33%

Electrician 28%

Sales manager(s) of battery manufacturer 22%

Base: All BES users

Q24. Whom did you ask before purchasing your battery energy storage system?

Page 7: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

7

Up-front payment. I own

and maintain the BES system

Lease model

Power Purchase Agreement

(PPA) Model

Loan model

32%

39%

23%

7%

How do commercial users want to pay for energy storage?

Payment methods for battery storage is inclined towards leasing model across Europe.

Base: All respondents (n=721)

Q44c. What would be your preferred payment model for battery energy storage solutions?

8%

79%

11%

2%

30%

43%

7%

20%

21%

26%

38%

15%

26%

33%

32%

9%

SpainItalyGermanyFranceUnited Kingdom

Page 8: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

8

US

Australia

United Kingdom

France

Germany

Italy

Spain

Non-PVS UsersPVS Users

2%

2%

2%

21%

12%

20%

10%

26%

20%

32%

30%

27%

27%

40%

42%

39%

26%

48%

47%

35%

44%

30%

31%

28%

4%

6%

2%

4%

4%

8%

18%

4%

6%

15%

18%

4%

12%

8%

2%

27%

27%

13%

16%

25%

27%

20%

22%

14%

23%

22%

22%

22%

30%

27%

24%

54%

54%

39%

39%

32%

5%

16%

4%

8%

2%

2%

6%

4%

1%

2%

2%

10%

We have it already installed

We are very interested in this solution and

will likely consider installing in the next 12

months

We are not interested at all

We are somewhat interested and will

likely consider installing in the next 5

years

We will likely show

interest once it becomes

standard

Do not know

Current and Future Adoption of Battery Storage SolutionsAcross Europe, there is a clear intent to adopt BESS among both PVS and Non-PVS users

Page 9: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

9

Revenue Forecast – Total Commercial Battery Storage Market

9

Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2018.Source: Frost & Sullivan

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2018

Re

ve

nu

e($

M)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2025

$253M

$1663M

CAGR = 26.5%

Page 10: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

10

Key Markets – Country AnalysisGermany and UK will be the two major markets for commercial energy storage in Europe.

The ending of feed in tariffs in

2019 creates an opportunity as

feeding excess energy into the

grid becomes less attractive.

New tax exemption for self-

consumed energy is expected

to drive the uptake of storage

solutions.

Low BES penetration, but similar

to France the elimination of the

self consumption tax is expected

to fuel market growth.

One most attractive country’s

for commercial battery

storage owing to the high

demand charges.

The combination of high

electricity tariffs and the need for

increasing resiliency drives

demand for storage in Italy.

Page 11: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

11

Competitive Landscape–Commercial Battery Storage Market

Storage

System

Project

Development

System

Integration

Installation

and Support

Financing

options

Software

Capabilities

Asset

Management

Page 12: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

12

Developing financial

modelling framework

Understanding of the local

regulatory energy markets and

incentive policies

Flexible Business Models

Advent of Digitization

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Strategies to unlock the market potential

Critical

Success

Factors

Page 13: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

13

Key Recommendations – Reaching the Customer

Promote Alternative Payment Methods

Educate Consumers about Safety Measures

Target facilities subjected to high peak demand charges

Communicate Freedom

Leveraging Multiple revenue streams

Intensify Promotional Activities to PV system providers

Flexible payment models

Use BES Maintenance as Regular Customer Touchpoint

Page 14: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

WHY PARTNER WITH FROST & SULLIVAN?

14

Everyone has an opinion on the future. Not everyone is as successful at identifying opportunities poised for growth as we are. From ideation to realization, we have the proven strategies and the implementation best practices to help organizations overcome challenges and identify new opportunities before their competitors to help achieve transformational growth. Over the past six decades, Frost & Sullivan has become world-renowned for its role in helping investors, corporate leaders and governments navigate economic changes and identify disruptive technologies, mega trends, new business models and companies to action resulting in a continuous flow of growth opportunities to drive future success.

THOUGHT LEADERSHIP

OUR EXPERIENCE

OUR TEAM

OUR VISION

OUR DEPTH & BREADTH OF SERVICES

OUR CREATIVITY

Page 15: Growth Opportunities in the Commercial Battery Energy Storage Market · 2 Today’s Presenter Utham Ganesh Research Analyst Industrial Frost & Sullivan • Energy Storage and Power

For Additional Information

Jonathan Robinson

Research Director, Industrial

[email protected]

Utham Ganesh

Research Analyst

[email protected]