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Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and opportunities Anthony Schiavo Analyst Prepared for: Graphene Malaysia

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Page 1: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and opportunities

Anthony Schiavo

Analyst

Prepared for:

Graphene Malaysia

Page 2: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

About Lux Research

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Page 3: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Agenda

Graphene landscape 2016

Roadmap for graphene adoption

Key innovators in graphene

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Page 4: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Agenda

Graphene landscape 2016

Roadmap for graphene adoption

Key innovators in graphene

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Page 5: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene interest boomed with the 2010 Nobel Prize

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Graphene Patenting activity, 2002 to 2012

Isolated at Manchester University

Nobel Prize awarded

Page 6: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

GNPs and graphene films dominate start-up efforts, while GO has emerged as a trendy material

Graphene Nanoplatelets(GNPs)

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Graphene Oxide (GO)Graphene Films

Image credit: Luism for the Noun Project

Page 7: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Start-ups like XG Sciences sought to capitalize on the hype…

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“We ship products daily to customers in North and South America, Asia and Europe, and are a leading supplier of graphene nanoplatelets and integrated products” – XG CEO, 2015

Page 8: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

… but commercialization has been rough going

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2015 sales: $164,153

2015 losses: $5,635,517

Headcount cut by nearly 50%

“XG Science has redefined its value proposition to focus on showing value in customer applications with the intent of being the industry standard for providing product and customer service on a per-application basis.” XG CEO, 2016

Page 9: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene start-ups have strengthened academic relationships in response

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Page 10: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Universities form the key links in growing graphene partnership space

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Page 11: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Total graphene market will grow to $305 million by 2025

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$0

$50,000,000

$100,000,000

$150,000,000

$200,000,000

$250,000,000

$300,000,000

$350,000,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Composites Conductive inks and coatings Energy storage

Water filtration TCFs High-performance electronics

Other Research

Page 12: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene nanoplatelet demand to grow to 7,500 MT by 2025

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0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Composites Conductive inks and coatings Energy storage

Page 13: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Agenda

Graphene landscape 2016

Roadmap for graphene adoption

Key innovators in graphene

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Page 14: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Product integration was the core challenge for CNTs

Beyond pricing, product integration challenges were a major impediment to adoption

Most formulators/compounders keep their composition a trade secret

After straight raw material business models failed, developers moved towards downstream integration

Developers had to invest considerable time and money into defining and justifying individual use cases

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Page 15: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

MWNT market will grow to $560 million by 2025

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$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Structural polymer composites Conductive polymer composites

Li-ion battery electrodes Rubber tire reinforcement

CNTs will only be adopted as additives in understood applications

Page 16: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene success depends on emulating CNTs while simultaneously exploring new routes

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Graphene Success

Accelerate adoption as additives

Develop new products

Page 17: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene success depends on emulating CNTs while simultaneously exploring new routes

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Graphene Success

Accelerate adoption as additives

Develop new products

Page 18: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Case study: Nanocyl

Key Stats

Headquarters: Belgium

Business Model:

Provides Services; Sells Product

Employees: 44

Cash: $1.1 Million

Revenue: $5 Million

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Nanocyl is the leading provider of CNTs for established applications

Quality over scale

Fortitude and persistence

Understanding regional differences

Page 19: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Graphene success depends on emulating CNTs while simultaneously exploring new routes

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Graphene Success

Accelerate adoption as additives

Develop new products

Page 20: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Case study: AzTrong

Key Stats

Headquarters: United States

Business Model:

Licenses Technology; Sells Product

Employees: 15

Cash: $1.13 Million

Revenue: $350,000

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AzTrong produces electrically conductive and insulating and thermally conductive sheets made of GO and GNPs

Target established applications

Combine new materials and new form factors

Close collaboration with end users

Page 21: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Challenges create opportunities for graphene innovation

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Cost

New processes

Integration

New materials

Adoption

New products

Page 22: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Agenda

Graphene landscape 2016

Roadmap for graphene adoption

Key innovators in graphene

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Page 23: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Cambridge Nanosystems makes long term play with palm byproducts to graphene tech

Produces graphene nanoplatelets (GNPs) by plasma cracking of natural gas without the need of any catalyst or additive

Claims a high percentage of its GNPs are single-layer graphene with 99.6% purity and lower cost than competitors

Acquired by FGV and jointly developing a technique to convert by-products of palm oil plantations to graphene

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Cost

New processes

Integration

New materials

Adoption

New products

Page 24: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Garmor’s novel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties

Employs a milling process to produce graphene oxide (GO) nanoplatelets from graphite using a mild oxidant; GO is oxidized on the edges and retains conductivity

Has made strides in cost reduction and new application development in the past year

Dispersion properties make Garmor’s GO compelling

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Cost

New processes

Integration

New materials

Adoption

New products

Page 25: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Imagine IM hits big with product innovation

Manufactures bulk graphene nanoplatelets (GNPs) from graphite for use in geosynthetictextiles

Graphene-enabled geosynthetic textiles have increased conductivity at a lower production and installation cost

First customer is Geosynthetic Australasia, a textile manufacturer in Australia

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Cost

New processes

Integration

New materials

Adoption

New products

Page 26: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Outlook: Graphene at the crossroads

Graphene commercialization efforts have struggled up to this point

Major innovations are continuing to occur globally in response to key challenges

Graphene can overtake its carbon cousin if it can accelerate adoption as additives while developing new products

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Page 27: Graphene Global Outlook: Roadmap for applications and … · 2016-11-18 · Garmor’snovel GO material enhances dispersion while maintaining properties Employs a milling process

Lux Research Inc. 100 Franklin Street, 8th Floor Boston, MA 02110 USA Phone: +1 617 502 5300 www.luxresearchinc.com

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