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  • 7/29/2019 Grain Global -Production,Consumption

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    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2005 2006 2007

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    2005 2006 2007

    Thai Exports SurgeMMT

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1/4/05 5/24/05 10/11/05 2/28/06 7/18/06 12/5/06

    US$

    Price Spread Widens

    $110

    U.S.

    Thailand

    Grain:

    World Markets and Trade

    Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

    World rice supplies are expected to betight in 2007, but despite this amplesupplies in Thailand will allow it towiden its lead as the worlds largestexporter. Intervention stocks are

    currently at high levels and thegovernment has signaled that it intendsto reduce them by selling more forexport. This will allow Thai exportersto profit from strong Philippine andIndonesian demand. Exports to the EUcould also increase given the need toreplace U.S. rice sales which have beeneffectively banned. Vietnams exports

    are expected to improve, despite pressreportsto the contrary,as a consequenceof Indonesias increased demand. U.S.exports are forecast to slightly declinedue to tighter supplies and higher prices,despite strong world demand.

    Global import demand will be driven byIndonesia, where imports are forecast totriple. A weak El Nino has led to dryconditions during sowing periods,impacting area rather than yield. Otherfactors also contributing to the fallingarea include seed and fertilizer problemsand to pressures from land conversion tonon-agricultural uses.

    Global Rice Trade in 2007: Thailand to Expand Lead Worlds Largest Exporter

    $/Ton Fob

    Indonesian Imports J ump

    United States

    Department of

    Agriculture

    ForeignAgriculturalService

    Circular SeriesFG 01-07J anuary 07

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current DataWheat.................................................................................................................4Rice..................................................................................................................11Coarse Grains...................................................................................................17

    Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries............................40

    Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade...............................................65

    Circular Modifications:

    The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) will update its production, supply and distributiondatabase for cotton, oilseeds, grains and pulses along with its downloadable data sets at 9 a.m. onthe day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. Itis available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular will bereleased at 9:30 a.m. on the same day. This is an effort to speed up FAS informationdissemination to more closely coincide with the release of the WASDE. FAS will evaluate thisearlier release process to determine if it should be made permanent in 2007.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

    2eign Agricultural Service/USDAce of Global Analysis Janu

    http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/
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    All Grain Summary Comparison

    Marketing Year

    Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

    2006/2005/062004/052006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/05

    Production

    United States (Jun-May) 58.7 57.3 49.3 7.5 7.1 6.2 299.9 282.3 26

    Other 570.1 562.5 541.4 393.0 408.4 408.9 412.4 413.3 419

    World Total 628.8 619.8 590.8 400.5 415.5 415.0 712.3 695.6 68

    Domestic Consumption

    United States (Jun-May) 31.8 31.2 31.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 224.6 231.7 24

    Other 577.0 586.7 585.9 401.7 407.9 412.1 459.2 468.2 48

    World Total 608.8 617.9 617.2 405.7 411.7 416.0 683.9 700.0 72

    Ending Stocks

    United States (Jun-May) 14.7 15.5 12.9 1.2 1.4 0.9 53.7 50.0 19

    Other 136.7 131.9 109.0 76.9 79.1 76.8 77.1 75.0 6

    World Total 151.4 147.4 121.8 78.1 80.4 77.7 130.8 125.0 8

    TY Imports

    United States (Jun-May) 1.9 2.3 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2

    Other 108.2 108.3 106.1 26.5 25.2 26.6 76.0 79.6 8

    World Total 110.2 110.6 109.2 26.9 25.8 27.3 76.3 79.9 8

    TY Exports

    United States (Jun-May) 28.5 27.4 24.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 45.3 56.2 5

    Other 84.6 86.2 87.1 25.1 24.2 25.5 31.1 26.9 2

    World Total 113.1 113.7 111.6 29.0 27.7 28.9 76.5 83.1 8

    Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exportsdiffers from global totals shown elsewhere.

    Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

    eign Agricultural Service/USDAce of Global Analysis Janu

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    WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

    MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: U.S. Monthly Wheat Grain Imports SurgeTMT

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Dec

    05

    Feb

    06

    Apr

    06

    J un

    06

    Aug

    06

    Oct

    06

    De

    0

    U.S. Imports From Canada Continue to

    Climb: U.S. imports this month were revisedup to the highest level in 13 years. Canadahas a large, better quality crop this year andimports into the U.S. are allowed to come induty free. In recent months, Hard Red Springand Durum wheats have primarily beenimported. The United States is forecast to bea net importer of durum and products this yearas production has fallen to a nearly 20-yearlow. Spring wheat supplies are also tight,with production down as a result of dryness in

    the Plains states.

    U.S. Winter Wheat Area J umps:The total U.S. winter wheat seeding area isexpected to rise 9 percent from the previousyear because of elevated prices (10-yearhighs). Hard Red Winter (HRW) and SoftRed Winter (SRW) are expected to rise 9and 13 percent respectively from last year.SRW particulary had ideal plantingconditions.

    Australian Government Grants TwoWheat Export Permits: AgricultureMinister Peter McGauran announced onDecember 22, 2006 that he granted 2permits for the export of 300,000 MT ofwheat to Iraq by Wheat Australia and500,000 MT to Indonesia by CooperativeBulk Handling (CBH) Group, a growerowned and operated cooperative. Thegovernment stated that it chose these two because: 1) CBH Group will offer a price premium to

    Western Australian farmers and 2) Wheat Australia keeps the Iraqi market open for Australianwheat since Iraq will not import wheat from the Australian Wheat Board (AWB) due to itsinvolvement in the UN Oil-for-Food scandal. Currently, supporters of the single-desk believe itwas unfair to authorize these export permits because it effectively dismantles the single-deskeven before consultations begin between the government and industry over marketing options.Others argue that the decision merely perpetuates the single-desk. The Australian governmentexpects a solution to the single-desk dilemma in May 2007.

    3 0

    3 5

    4 0

    4 5

    5 0

    5 5

    9 3 9 5 9 7 9 9 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 7

    Mil. Acres

    Source: NASS Note: Years refer to harvest

    U.S. Winter Wheat Planted Area

    Note: November and December are estimates

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    PRICES:

    Domestic: For December, wheat prices for all classes dropped during the month on verysluggish export sales and shipments as well as expectations for much larger global production in

    2007. For the month, Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices fell $25, Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $23,Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $17, and Soft White (SWW) prices fell $4.

    U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

    160

    170

    180

    190

    200

    210

    220

    230

    10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27 11/3 11/10 11/17 11/24 12/1 12/8 12/15 12/22 12/29 1/5

    $/M

    T

    U.S. No.1HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf) U.S. No.1SWW (PNW) US No.1DNS 14% (PNW)

    TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007

    Selected Exporters

    Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million on very strong old crop exports.

    EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies and sluggish exportslicenses which are 1.5 million tons (20%) behind last years pace to date.

    Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million on higher production and very strong pace of

    exports to date.

    Ukraine is down 700,000 tons to 2.8 million on the imposition of government exportquotas.

    United States is down 1.0 million tons to 24.5 million as high prices have resulted inlaggard export sales and shipments to date.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    Selected Importers

    Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 millionon sluggish buying patterns.

    Pakistan is down 400,000 tons to 200,000 becoming a net exporter as a result of sizeabledomestic supplies.

    United States is up 300,000 tons to 3.1 million tons as a result of very large shipmentsfrom Canada.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

    July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    10,09,5008,30113,5027,3466,276Argentina

    12,012,00015,21315,82615,09610,946Australia

    1,21,0001,2001,100401,107Bulgaria

    20,520,50015,64415,14215,5269,393Canada2,52,5001,3971,1712,8241,718China, Peoples Republic of

    15,516,00015,03214,36710,93119,940EU-25

    5,05,0003,0002,7004,1106,238Kazakhstan, Republic of

    9,58,50010,6647,9513,11412,621Russian Federation

    2,02,0002,9002,217854839Turkey

    2,83,5006,4614,351666,569Ukraine

    6,05,9406,4146,31812,32011,655Others

    87,086,44086,22684,64572,22787,302Subtotal

    24,525,50027,42428,46432,29522,834United States

    111,5111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    4,84,8005,4695,3983,9336,079Algeria

    2,12,1002,0092,0581,9451,335Bangladesh

    7,57,5006,1945,3095,5596,631Brazil

    1,31,3501,3141,2481,2461,166Colombia

    7,07,0007,7718,1507,2956,327Egypt

    6,86,8007,6097,3935,91213,921EU-25

    6,06,00011814819India

    4,84,8004,9814,6614,5353,984Indonesia

    3,03,5004,8783,0101,9251,579Iraq

    1,21,2001,5421,5499511,691Israel

    5,55,5005,4695,7445,7515,579Japan

    3,63,6003,8843,5913,4344,052Korea, Republic of

    1,51,5001,6391,5081,0571,421Libya

    1,31,3501,2161,4121,3291,195Malaysia

    3,63,6003,5493,7173,6443,161Mexico1,91,9002,4182,2722,4142,720Morocco

    3,63,6003,6563,0142,3832,304Nigeria

    1,51,5001,6561,4491,4881,157Peru

    2,72,7002,9542,5932,9753,230Philippines

    1,21,2001,2821,1971,0261,045Russian Federation

    1,61,6001,6591,522995860Sudan

    1,21,2001,1741,0811,139895Thailand

    1,61,6001,6911,5041,538961Venezuela

    1,31,3001,1811,226830875Vietnam

    1,91,9002,1431,8531,6351,772Yemen

    27,527,92030,80335,75035,02931,814Others

    106,1107,020108,259108,22399,976105,773Subtotal

    2,32,1203,0822,9402,7862,405Unaccounted

    3,12,8002,3091,9461,7601,958United States

    111,5111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136World Total

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    World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    14,214,20013,80016,00014,50012,300Argentina

    10,510,50024,50022,60026,13210,132Australia

    27,327,30026,77525,86023,55216,198Canada

    103,5103,50097,45091,95086,49090,290China, Peoples Republic of8,28,2008,1847,1776,4436,300Egypt

    117,9117,237122,685136,778106,878124,829EU-25

    68,068,00068,64072,15065,10071,810India

    14,014,00014,50014,00013,50012,450Iran

    11,511,50011,0009,95011,00012,600Kazakhstan, Republic of

    6,16,1003,0435,5405,1473,357Morocco

    21,721,70021,50019,50019,18318,227Pakistan

    44,943,50047,70045,40034,10050,550Russian Federation

    18,018,00018,00018,50016,80016,800Turkey

    14,314,30018,70017,5003,60020,556Ukraine

    5,85,8006,0505,5005,4005,000Uzbekistan, Republic of

    55,555,41059,96161,70652,95652,539Others

    541,4539,247562,488570,111490,781523,938Subtotal

    49,349,31657,28058,73863,81443,705United States

    590,7588,563619,768628,849554,595567,643World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    7,77,7007,5007,3006,8006,650Algeria

    6,96,9006,4006,2005,9566,178Australia

    10,410,40010,80010,2009,8009,890Brazil

    9,29,2009,1339,3007,6378,181Canada

    101,0101,000101,000102,000104,500105,200China, Peoples Republic of

    15,615,60014,80014,20013,30012,800Egypt

    116,6116,000119,500115,200107,900118,100EU-25

    72,772,50069,97172,83868,25874,294India

    15,215,20014,80014,50014,30014,350Iran

    7,67,6007,4007,4006,8006,800Kazakhstan, Republic of7,47,4007,1006,9006,4006,220Morocco

    21,922,00021,50020,00019,10018,380Pakistan

    37,336,90038,40037,40035,50039,320Russian Federation

    16,816,80016,10016,80016,80016,800Turkey

    11,511,20012,50011,7009,02514,500Ukraine

    128,0128,447129,809125,047116,600115,388Others

    585,0583,903592,570578,288555,971573,311Subtotal

    31,331,29831,19131,82332,50730,448United States

    616,3615,201623,761610,111588,478603,759World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    3,33,3653,6703,5062,8142,712Algeria

    7,57,5939,7437,9226,0805,725Canada

    35,535,59034,89038,81943,29360,378China, Peoples Republic of

    3,53,5964,0062,8611,7441,316Egypt

    13,512,95420,96825,20610,60216,643EU-25

    3,13,1984,2833,6423,7773,673Kazakhstan, Republic of

    5,25,2335,4835,2525,2125,072Syria

    36,837,27948,83649,51044,28557,669Others

    108,9108,808131,879136,718117,807153,188Subtotal

    12,811,92715,54514,69914,87213,374United States

    121,8120,735147,424151,417132,679166,562World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    5,501North America 5,630 5,910 6,136 6,650 6,95

    1,381Central America 1,500 1,510 1,514 1,575 1,57

    1,774Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,90

    11,394South America 11,207 10,826 12,687 13,440 13,44

    13,921European Union 5,912 7,393 7,609 6,800 6,801,971Other Europe 4,229 1,836 1,593 1,500 1,50

    4,601Former Soviet Union - 12 7,260 4,548 4,679 4,040 4,04

    11,507Middle East 8,813 10,202 13,099 10,925 10,42

    18,714North Africa 15,480 18,407 18,441 16,400 16,40

    9,603Sub-Saharan Africa 9,713 12,091 13,006 12,200 12,20

    12,236East Asia 15,320 18,357 12,830 12,050 12,05

    3,569South Asia 3,008 4,881 4,374 9,880 9,48

    10,663Southeast Asia 11,177 11,429 11,923 11,775 11,77

    896Oceania 648 745 751 680 68

    107,731Total 101,736 110,169 110,568 109,820 109,22

    Production non

    63,133North America 90,066 87,018 87,075 79,716 79,71

    1Central America 1 1 1 1

    0Caribbean 0 0 0 0

    17,903South America 23,632 25,261 21,749 19,473 19,47124,829European Union 106,878 136,778 122,685 117,237 117,92

    12,642Other Europe 7,564 15,538 13,198 12,105 12,20

    96,949Former Soviet Union - 12 60,910 86,830 92,195 82,685 84,08

    37,991Middle East 39,486 41,463 42,020 41,300 41,30

    11,704North Africa 16,285 17,166 15,178 18,325 18,32

    5,190Sub-Saharan Africa 4,497 4,919 5,700 6,051 6,05

    91,468East Asia 87,750 93,193 98,724 104,795 104,79

    95,303South Asia 90,966 97,696 96,300 95,950 95,95

    96Southeast Asia 107 130 150 148 14

    10,434Oceania 26,453 22,856 24,793 10,777 10,77

    567,643Total 554,595 628,849 619,768 588,563 590,75

    Domestic Consumption non

    44,529North America 46,044 47,123 46,424 46,698 46,72

    1,221Central America 1,354 1,410 1,406 1,476 1,47

    1,774Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,9022,305South America 23,240 23,493 24,461 23,852 23,80

    118,100European Union 107,900 115,200 119,500 116,000 116,60

    13,359Other Europe 12,870 14,128 13,507 13,030 12,83

    75,350Former Soviet Union - 12 65,874 72,930 75,240 72,450 73,15

    46,701Middle East 46,708 48,958 49,912 50,735 50,63

    29,666North Africa 30,082 32,608 33,789 34,975 34,97

    13,894Sub-Saharan Africa 14,573 16,524 18,210 18,086 18,08

    117,757East Asia 116,539 114,061 113,570 113,165 113,16

    101,320South Asia 96,891 102,188 100,941 104,200 104,30

    10,440Southeast Asia 10,438 11,029 11,677 11,818 11,81

    7,083Oceania 6,831 7,122 7,341 7,755 7,75

    603,499Total 581,183 608,808 617,904 616,145 617,22

    Ending Stocks non

    19,849North America 21,695 22,997 25,600 19,832 20,75

    190Central America 185 185 185 185 1820Caribbean 20 20 20 20 2

    3,170South America 2,992 2,856 3,280 2,221 2,19

    16,643European Union 10,602 25,206 20,968 12,954 13,59

    3,335Other Europe 2,110 3,949 3,267 2,257 2,10

    16,480Former Soviet Union - 12 10,986 14,247 15,571 12,686 13,08

    13,375Middle East 12,487 12,002 12,136 10,926 10,52

    5,959North Africa 7,467 10,220 9,835 9,370 9,37

    1,508Sub-Saharan Africa 1,108 1,234 1,393 1,183 1,18

    63,218East Asia 46,249 41,934 37,916 38,461 38,46

    17,915South Asia 9,200 7,250 5,833 6,413 6,11

    1,572Southeast Asia 2,030 2,052 1,989 1,614 1,61

    3,328Oceania 5,548 7,265 9,431 2,613 2,61

    166,562Total 132,679 151,417 147,424 120,735 121,82

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    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADEPRICES:

    Nominal Rice Quotes 2002 to PresentInternational: Export prices inThailand remain high given the

    strength of the baht and buyinginterest from Middle East andAsian countries. There are noquotes out of Vietnam due to theexport ban though there are reportsthat state owned exporting firmswill be allowed to respond totenders from Indonesia and thePhilippines.

    75

    125

    175

    225

    275

    325

    375

    425

    475

    9/3/0

    2

    2/10/04

    7/19/05

    1/9/0

    7

    Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%

    Indi 5% Paki 15/20

    Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain

    milled rice quotes remainunchanged from last month at $434per ton, FOB despite advances inlate December. The spreadbetween comparable qualities ofThai and U.S. rice is $113 per toncompared to $55 per ton this timelast year. U.S. medium grainprices have retreated from lastmonths highs of $575 per tonprice to $565 per ton, FOB.

    TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007

    Selected Exporters

    Pakistan is up 100,000 tons to 3.0 million in expectation of greater demand.

    Thailand is up 450,000 tons to 8.7 million due to increased regional demand and strongprices.

    Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 4.9 million also due to increased regional demand and

    strong prices.

    United States isup 200,000 tons to 3.4 million on the expectation of greater demandfrom major trading partners.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

    11

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    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

    12

    Selected Importers

    Indonesia is tripled to 1.8 million tons as the prolonged dry season has delayed plantingsand harvest in major producing areas.

    Philippines is up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million in anticipation that the government willbuild stocks.

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    World Rice Trade

    January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    4400400345249170Argentina

    110030052131141Australia

    11003002723719Brazil

    115075190130388Burma, Union of445035020030010Cambodia

    1,01,0001,1006568802,583China, Peoples Republic of

    99001,0001,095826579Egypt

    1150175201187220EU-25

    1170170182243200Guyana

    4,34,3003,8004,6873,1724,421India

    2200200200200200Japan

    3,02,9003,0003,0321,9861,958Pakistan

    8,78,2507,3007,27410,1377,552Thailand

    6625800762804675Uruguay

    4,94,7004,8005,1744,2953,795Vietnam

    3365421825517830Others

    25,524,76024,19125,14724,09423,741Subtotal

    3,43,2003,5003,8623,0903,834United States

    28,927,96027,69129,00927,18427,575World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    66007007858011,112Bangladesh

    88005505477621,063Brazil

    3300275350275250Cameroon

    3350335321285242Canada

    88007006091,122258China, Peoples Republic of

    8800850867740750Cote d'Ivoire

    7700600736639371Cuba

    99259259681,079950EU-25

    4450400450425357Ghana

    3350400328269345Haiti3315315315309307Hong Kong

    1,86006005006502,750Indonesia

    99001,200983950900Iran

    1,21,2001,200786889672Iraq

    6650650787706654Japan

    8850850751700500Malaysia

    6600600553521582Mexico

    3350350350375232Mozambique

    1,71,7001,6001,7771,3691,448Nigeria

    1,81,6501,9001,8901,1001,300Philippines

    3375375350350385Russian Federation

    1,01,0001,0001,3571,5001,150Saudi Arabia

    88507501,200850750Senegal

    3375375375346375Singapore

    8800800850818725South Africa, Republic of

    6,97,3066,9117,7417,0056,713Others

    26,625,59625,21126,52624,83525,141Subtotal

    1,61,7391,8802,0641,8721,976Unaccounted

    6625600419477458United States

    28,927,96027,69129,00927,18427,575World Total

    Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.

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    World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Milled Production

    29,129,10028,75825,60026,15225,187Bangladesh

    7,77,7007,8748,9968,7097,050Brazil

    10,510,50010,4409,57010,73010,788Burma, Union of

    3,03,0252,8352,3302,9602,400Cambodia128,0128,000126,414125,363112,462122,180China, Peoples Republic of

    4,14,1404,1304,1283,9003,705Egypt

    91,091,00091,04083,13088,53071,820India

    33,735,08834,95934,83035,02433,411Indonesia

    7,97,9408,2577,9447,0918,089Japan

    4,64,6804,7685,0004,4514,927Korea, Republic of

    2,82,8002,7002,3002,2002,200Nigeria

    5,65,6005,5474,9204,8484,479Pakistan

    10,010,0009,8209,4259,2008,450Philippines

    18,218,25018,20017,36018,01117,198Thailand

    22,522,53622,00022,71622,08221,527Vietnam

    29,929,88330,65729,40029,01927,558Others

    408,8410,242408,399393,012385,369370,969Subtotal

    6,16,1377,1137,4626,4206,536United States

    415,0416,379415,512400,474391,789377,505World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    29,729,75029,00026,90026,70026,100Bangladesh

    8,98,9508,9748,8608,6878,100Brazil

    10,510,50010,40010,30010,20010,100Burma, Union of

    127,8127,800128,000130,300132,100135,700China, Peoples Republic of

    3,33,3003,2753,2503,2253,200Egypt

    87,587,50085,22080,74385,63079,860India

    35,835,80035,80035,85036,00036,500Indonesia

    3,23,2253,1753,1253,1003,075Iran

    8,28,2008,2508,3008,3578,742Japan

    4,84,8414,8534,8624,6135,033Korea, Republic of2,82,8152,8182,8672,9832,755Nepal

    4,44,4504,3504,2504,0003,750Nigeria

    11,311,25011,00010,40010,2509,550Philippines

    9,59,5709,5009,4809,4709,460Thailand

    18,518,50018,25018,00017,85017,500Vietnam

    45,545,92545,00844,24543,57241,941Others

    413,8414,287409,406403,787409,261403,836Subtotal

    3,93,9053,8093,9353,6563,534United States

    417,7418,192413,215407,722412,917407,370World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    36,936,94536,94538,93143,91563,311China, Peoples Republic of

    9,79,72010,5208,50010,80011,000India

    2,83,0953,2073,4484,0184,344Indonesia

    2,62,6162,4261,9191,7002,466Japan

    5,85,7925,2924,5724,0473,807Philippines

    3,84,2923,7622,3121,7063,302Thailand

    2,93,1003,4644,1644,3024,065Vietnam

    12,012,10913,45713,08914,14513,398Others

    76,777,66979,07376,93584,633105,693Subtotal

    99351,3701,211761829United States

    77,778,60480,44378,14685,394106,522World Total

    Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    1,282North America 1,283 1,293 1,535 1,575 1,57

    416Central America 463 531 480 500 50

    820Caribbean 1,084 1,213 1,215 1,205 1,20

    1,449South America 1,111 966 885 1,200 1,20

    950European Union 1,079 968 925 925 92209Other Europe 230 220 220 205 20

    540Former Soviet Union - 12 526 526 551 551 55

    3,970Middle East 4,510 4,485 4,630 4,430 4,43

    238North Africa 225 261 225 225 22

    6,901Sub-Saharan Africa 7,244 8,383 7,130 7,505 7,50

    2,166East Asia 2,948 2,556 2,415 2,655 2,30

    1,351South Asia 1,169 1,051 1,015 910 91

    5,063Southeast Asia 3,202 4,236 4,360 4,110 5,51

    244Oceania 238 256 225 225 22

    25,599Total 25,312 26,945 25,811 26,221 27,27

    Production non

    6,669North America 6,620 7,657 7,294 6,318 6,33

    574Central America 553 466 507 511 51

    865Caribbean 838 666 736 730 73

    12,614South America 14,667 15,346 14,180 13,805 13,801,731European Union 1,728 1,868 1,730 1,659 1,67

    15Other Europe 21 22 21 20 2

    690Former Soviet Union - 12 846 774 853 969 91

    2,151Middle East 2,483 2,611 2,737 2,803 2,84

    3,746North Africa 3,941 4,169 4,171 4,181 4,18

    7,025Sub-Saharan Africa 7,314 7,758 8,659 8,716 8,72

    137,917East Asia 126,628 140,858 142,072 143,214 143,21

    106,556South Asia 124,689 118,781 130,548 130,950 130,95

    96,639Southeast Asia 101,066 99,267 101,255 102,410 101,02

    313Oceania 395 231 749 93 9

    377,505Total 391,789 400,474 415,512 416,379 415,02

    Domestic Consumption non

    4,476North America 4,666 5,006 4,919 5,055 5,05

    950Central America 976 1,025 1,056 1,063 1,06

    1,610Caribbean 1,877 1,870 1,855 1,970 1,9712,876South America 13,535 13,837 14,097 14,168 14,16

    2,597European Union 2,509 2,529 2,550 2,600 2,60

    224Other Europe 236 227 231 235 23

    1,231Former Soviet Union - 12 1,434 1,354 1,370 1,365 1,36

    6,694Middle East 6,697 6,625 6,997 7,107 7,10

    3,429North Africa 3,491 3,552 3,541 3,566 3,56

    14,014Sub-Saharan Africa 15,016 15,816 16,169 16,400 16,40

    153,015East Asia 148,454 147,042 144,293 144,306 143,95

    113,800South Asia 120,469 115,642 122,244 125,375 125,37

    89,449Southeast Asia 90,493 90,597 91,810 92,521 92,62

    535Oceania 540 545 550 550 55

    404,900Total 410,393 405,667 411,682 416,281 416,02

    Ending Stocks non

    998North America 940 1,385 1,550 1,096 1,11

    410Central America 441 383 332 270 27220Caribbean 157 206 168 193 19

    2,107South America 3,010 3,668 2,911 2,235 2,25

    960European Union 974 1,138 1,068 878 92

    45Other Europe 40 50 60 65 6

    308Former Soviet Union - 12 191 117 131 267 21

    1,299Middle East 1,170 1,719 2,406 2,482 2,52

    870North Africa 719 502 357 297 29

    2,708Sub-Saharan Africa 2,297 2,108 1,992 1,708 1,70

    67,047East Asia 46,764 42,005 40,649 40,812 40,81

    11,848South Asia 12,189 8,933 11,503 10,793 10,69

    17,070Southeast Asia 15,952 15,520 16,805 17,354 16,51

    632Oceania 550 412 511 154 15

    106,522Total 85,394 78,146 80,443 78,604 77,72

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    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

    MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:

    Taiwan Seeks Chinese Corn:

    Recently, Taiwan's livestock industryhas shown interest in purchasing up to500,000 tons of Chinese corn due tohigh U.S. prices. However, tradesources expect perhaps 50,000 tons willbe purchased and delivered by the end ofFebruary, when the current Taiwanesegovernment authority expires. Strongdomestic demand is keeping Chinesecorn out of the export market, and thereis little history to suggest large sales to

    Taiwan that would significantly impactU.S. dominance in that key corn market.Taiwan is expected to import 4.5 milliontons of corn this year, nearly all from theUnited States.

    U.S. Gulf Export Bids

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    170

    Sep-03

    Dec-03

    Mar-04

    Jun-04

    Sep-04

    Dec-04

    Mar-05

    Jun-05

    Sep-05

    Dec-05

    Mar-06

    Jun-06

    Sep-06

    Dec-06

    $/MT

    PRICES:

    omestic: December export bids for U.S. #2 yellow corn dropped for the first time in 6 months

    RADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007

    Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn

    Dand averaged $160. Prices remain high with strong domestic and foreign demand, and slackcompetition from China and Argentina.

    T

    elected Exporters

    United States corn is up 1.0 million tons to 56.5 million. Huge outstanding sales, a rapid

    Brazil corn is raised 1.0 million this month to 4.5 million because of ample exportable

    Ukraine corn is cut in half to 1.0 million tons and Ukraine barley is lowered 300,000

    Argentina sorghum is up 350,000 tons to 600,000 based on early export registrations,

    S

    shipment pace to date, and continued limited competition have combined to push exportsto a 12-year high despite soaring prices.

    supplies and strong shipments in recent months.

    tons to 4.0 million because of export quotas that are restricting trade.

    increased exportable supplies (largest crop in 7 years), and strong shipments to Japan.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    U.S. sorghum is down 200,000 tons to 4.2 million based on the slow pace of sales,especially to Mexico. This is the lowest level of exports in over 20 years.

    Selected Importers

    EU-25 corn is raised 500,000 tons again this month to 4.0 million based on the pace ofimport licenses. This is more than double from last year and the accession of Bulgariaand Romania will likely increase corn trade to the EU-25.

    Mexico corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.8 million because of rapid purchases and shipments.

    China barley is lowered 200,000 tons to 2.0 million as a result of tightness in keysuppliers such as Australia and Canada as well as a large domestic crop.

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    World Coarse Grain Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    12,912,55511,24314,37110,83413,055Argentina

    2,52,5455,6324,9966,7522,472Australia

    4,53,5502,8261,4576,1913,246Brazil

    3,53,5504,0103,2173,4741,712Canada4,04,0253,7567,6177,72315,336China, Peoples Republic of

    4,24,2053,2295,0782,3429,736EU-25

    770045489593243Romania

    2,62,6001,5501,5341,7673,494Russian Federation

    1,21,2051,27959363366Serbia and Montenegro

    5,06,3007,4446,4653,8113,420Ukraine

    3,63,5356,2955,1795,6155,167Others

    44,944,77047,71851,40248,66558,247Subtotal

    61,260,43561,54850,69254,07846,394United States

    106,1105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    2,12,1552,0432,1741,7881,696Algeria

    1,01,0001,099745596935Brazil

    2,32,3702,0292,3392,0814,098Canada

    1,71,5151,6621,1891,1481,110Chile

    2,12,3352,3072,0731,5331,830China, Peoples Republic of

    3,53,3253,3802,5162,2322,428Colombia

    7650687569583514Costa Rica

    1,11,1501,0681,031824906Dominican Republic

    4,84,8204,4175,4053,7474,867Egypt

    4,74,1953,6943,7667,3536,721EU-25

    1,31,3001,4435411,4361,633Indonesia

    3,13,1003,1003,8492,5182,157Iran

    1,51,5751,5681,7002,0121,382Israel

    19,419,49519,76719,70919,98220,321Japan

    1,01,0001,200938771820Jordan8,88,8658,5468,7108,9878,881Korea, Republic of

    2,62,6002,5172,4062,4012,408Malaysia

    9,49,1009,9418,9758,8738,766Mexico

    1,91,9052,0101,9891,3261,212Morocco

    1,41,4001,5671,3661,114992Peru

    7,57,5008,4727,6447,1308,927Saudi Arabia

    88251,034277612750South Africa, Republic of

    2,32,3001,9912,2811,5411,198Syria

    4,64,6504,6144,7575,1144,829Taiwan

    1,11,1501,2001,2288831,046Tunisia

    9,49,40511,56310,65210,90010,838Others

    100,899,685102,91998,82997,485101,265Subtotal

    2,93,0704,0471,0233,002833Unaccounted

    2,42,4502,3002,2422,2562,543United States

    106,1105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641World Total

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    World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    23,523,39819,22324,90218,59619,445Argentina

    7,77,75513,75911,57314,8616,652Australia

    44,744,75944,47437,87444,88147,097Brazil

    23,423,52026,03626,44726,32619,892Canada151,4151,440147,696138,252123,953130,725China, Peoples Republic of

    9,49,4259,0857,5656,5604,775Ethiopia

    126,3127,224131,750150,209122,183137,892EU-25

    33,733,70034,39033,57037,81025,660India

    29,129,13025,83328,94730,27726,420Mexico

    24,224,20023,70022,30020,30019,050Nigeria

    9,69,67511,83913,8057,9658,365Romania

    30,230,70027,60029,60030,50033,400Russian Federation

    10,510,5387,31112,20910,36310,126South Africa, Republic of

    11,011,04511,94511,04510,0409,960Turkey

    19,919,95018,14023,00015,60017,110Ukraine

    127,0126,808125,965123,337120,573114,770Others

    682,2683,267678,746694,635640,788631,339Subtotal

    280,1285,722298,763319,417275,098243,719United States

    962,3968,989977,5091,014,052915,886875,058World Total

    no

    Domestic Consumption

    10,310,5739,4239,0587,4077,427Argentina

    42,942,90941,97241,55838,91338,585Brazil

    24,524,58523,95623,80423,82622,816Canada

    151,3151,580147,455141,172138,651136,401China, Peoples Republic of

    11,611,68011,28012,36410,27711,989Egypt

    134,4134,475132,445138,817134,584135,386EU-25

    33,633,60034,23033,24036,00026,750India

    19,819,89519,99219,87820,73720,475Japan

    38,538,28037,60538,27637,33235,533Mexico

    24,024,05023,45022,05020,25019,000Nigeria10,810,80511,10511,0058,9558,205Romania

    28,028,35027,70029,40033,25029,850Russian Federation

    9,69,6489,47310,3059,2199,072South Africa, Republic of

    11,311,35011,55211,40411,18610,674Turkey

    14,013,50011,99015,20014,00013,262Ukraine

    189,2188,953187,703177,558172,488161,102Others

    757,8757,400744,063735,542719,887687,637Subtotal

    253,4255,149244,726240,216225,958214,667United States

    1,011,31,012,549988,789975,758945,845902,304World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    2,74,2474,0474,3808,0456,360Brazil

    4,04,0876,3326,3414,0763,135Canada

    33,933,97935,80937,01745,48166,369China, Peoples Republic of

    15,716,09422,65723,68712,62221,646EU-25

    3,23,2643,3145,3955,7673,973Mexico

    2,82,8883,1982,7082,4342,645Saudi Arabia

    3,02,2372,4172,6741,6202,653Ukraine

    29,930,05734,40437,22331,12232,169Others

    95,796,853112,178119,425111,167138,950Subtotal

    22,227,28254,76758,80028,76430,940United States

    117,9124,135166,945178,225139,931169,890World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    15,407North America 13,210 13,556 14,270 13,920 14,22

    1,980Central America 2,178 2,405 2,734 2,500 2,55

    1,509Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,08

    6,606South America 6,383 6,460 8,688 8,140 8,54

    6,721European Union 7,353 3,766 3,694 4,195 4,771,196Other Europe 1,563 658 709 645 65

    756Former Soviet Union - 12 1,440 1,080 1,157 980 98

    16,952Middle East 16,162 17,864 17,643 16,940 16,94

    9,143North Africa 8,275 11,489 10,345 10,630 10,63

    2,596Sub-Saharan Africa 1,665 2,703 3,590 2,105 2,20

    36,109East Asia 35,786 35,611 35,584 35,595 35,39

    10South Asia 32 44 10 0

    4,726Southeast Asia 4,046 3,499 4,776 4,280 4,28

    97Oceania 14 23 40 20 2

    103,808Total 99,741 101,071 105,219 102,135 103,26

    Production non

    290,031North America 331,701 374,811 350,632 338,372 332,73

    3,060Central America 3,206 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,14

    540Caribbean 535 505 456 456 45

    75,291South America 72,953 72,662 73,567 78,216 78,39137,892European Union 122,183 150,209 131,750 127,224 126,38

    22,146Other Europe 18,710 29,052 26,796 23,770 23,96

    60,724Former Soviet Union - 12 55,371 62,945 55,080 59,448 58,94

    17,508Middle East 17,717 18,496 19,186 18,286 18,28

    9,612North Africa 11,757 11,786 9,299 11,692 11,69

    69,170Sub-Saharan Africa 78,249 78,047 81,876 85,334 85,33

    133,039East Asia 126,244 140,589 150,079 153,680 153,68

    30,464South Asia 42,245 38,130 38,950 38,263 38,26

    18,264Southeast Asia 19,543 21,740 22,543 22,700 22,70

    7,317Oceania 15,472 12,198 14,406 8,402 8,40

    875,058Total 915,886 1,014,052 977,509 968,989 962,38

    Domestic Consumption non

    273,016North America 287,116 302,296 306,287 318,014 316,59

    4,935Central America 5,070 5,455 5,500 5,775 5,82

    2,056Caribbean 2,112 2,350 2,433 2,618 2,5159,512South America 60,528 65,467 67,464 70,015 70,16

    135,386European Union 134,584 138,817 132,445 134,475 134,47

    20,986Other Europe 21,270 24,964 24,906 24,054 24,05

    52,781Former Soviet Union - 12 56,725 54,616 49,479 50,953 51,20

    30,736Middle East 34,351 33,889 36,224 36,265 36,26

    19,162North Africa 18,746 21,891 20,720 21,715 21,71

    70,013Sub-Saharan Africa 77,112 78,897 84,513 85,640 85,64

    172,991East Asia 175,783 177,183 183,348 187,465 187,26

    31,524South Asia 40,573 37,815 38,790 38,163 38,16

    22,160Southeast Asia 21,818 24,140 26,133 26,340 26,34

    5,936Oceania 7,245 7,525 7,815 7,890 7,89

    901,194Total 943,033 975,305 986,057 1,009,382 1,008,11

    Ending Stocks non

    38,048North America 38,607 70,536 64,413 34,633 29,61

    379Central America 700 541 607 470 5774Caribbean 131 199 201 223 22

    8,820South America 10,829 8,233 7,321 7,853 6,28

    21,646European Union 12,622 23,687 22,657 16,094 15,70

    2,981Other Europe 1,698 4,115 4,215 2,320 2,24

    11,967Former Soviet Union - 12 5,964 7,258 5,556 5,345 6,00

    6,467Middle East 6,457 8,178 8,237 6,952 6,89

    1,019North Africa 2,288 3,327 2,317 2,924 2,92

    3,944Sub-Saharan Africa 5,306 5,337 4,675 5,051 5,19

    71,188East Asia 49,780 41,221 39,780 37,565 37,56

    826South Asia 1,231 1,116 961 836 83

    1,228Southeast Asia 1,988 2,075 2,642 2,519 2,54

    1,303Oceania 2,330 2,402 3,363 1,350 1,35

    169,890Total 139,931 178,225 166,945 124,135 117,97

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    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    World Corn Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    12,012,00010,70713,75210,43912,349Argentina

    4,53,5002,8261,4315,8183,181Brazil

    430040050081191Bulgaria

    3300250150144113Burma, Union of4,04,0003,7277,5897,55315,244China, Peoples Republic of

    55001,314386548733Paraguay

    660027158793144Romania

    1,21,2001,27458957353Serbia and Montenegro

    55001,4061,5177971,141South Africa, Republic of

    1,02,0002,4642,3341,238811Ukraine

    1,41,4252,2512,3053,6623,249Others

    26,426,32526,89031,14030,43037,509Subtotal

    56,555,50056,18145,34748,80940,924United States

    82,981,82583,07176,48779,23978,433World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    2,12,1001,9892,0461,7651,643Algeria

    8850931481459639Brazil

    2,32,3001,9622,2372,0333,846Canada

    1,61,4001,5871,0811,043933Chile

    3,33,1003,1512,2561,9992,112Colombia

    7650687569583514Costa Rica

    1,11,1501,0681,031824906Dominican Republic

    4,84,8004,3975,3983,7434,848Egypt

    4,03,5003,1382,9665,5094,327EU-25

    6600751641513513Guatemala

    1,31,3001,4435411,4361,633Indonesia

    2,52,5002,3002,5581,8572,157Iran

    1,21,2001,1281,2421,377776Israel

    16,516,50016,61916,48516,78116,863Japan

    8,88,8008,4838,6338,7788,781Korea, Republic of2,62,6002,5172,4062,4012,408Malaysia

    6,86,3006,7875,9455,7395,269Mexico

    1,51,5001,4741,4231,1831,054Morocco

    1,31,3001,4671,3011,041917Peru

    1,51,5001,4721,2241,6211,424Saudi Arabia

    7700896131495617South Africa, Republic of

    1,61,6001,1911,781941919Syria

    4,54,5004,4644,5624,9514,681Taiwan

    6650600714784734Tunisia

    6600900731233625Zimbabwe

    6,86,9558,2347,6138,2208,260Others

    80,378,95579,63675,99676,30977,399Subtotal

    2,42,6203,2212102,574660Unaccounted

    2250214281356374United States

    82,981,82583,07176,48779,23978,433World Total

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    World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    19,019,00015,80020,50015,00015,500Argentina

    42,042,00041,70035,00042,00044,500Brazil

    9,39,3009,4618,8409,6008,999Canada

    143,0143,000139,365130,290115,830121,300China, Peoples Republic of5,85,8705,8605,8405,7406,000Egypt

    43,944,38548,61852,96839,87649,360EU-25

    14,514,50015,09014,18014,72011,100India

    6,66,6006,9007,2006,3506,100Indonesia

    22,022,00019,50022,05021,80019,280Mexico

    7,57,5007,0006,5005,5005,200Nigeria

    5,85,8005,9005,0504,9004,430Philippines

    8,58,50010,30012,0007,0207,300Romania

    6,66,6006,6006,5693,8005,585Serbia and Montenegro

    10,010,0006,93511,7169,7009,675South Africa, Republic of

    6,56,5007,1508,8006,8504,180Ukraine

    68,568,40067,08664,85560,72656,698Others

    419,6419,955413,265412,358369,412375,207Subtotal

    267,5272,931282,311299,914256,278227,767United States

    687,1692,886695,576712,272625,690602,974World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    7,07,0006,2005,2004,4004,100Argentina

    40,040,00039,00038,50036,30035,800Brazil

    11,811,80010,93710,31411,22812,576Canada

    141,0141,000137,000131,000128,400125,900China, Peoples Republic of

    10,610,60010,20011,3009,20010,900Egypt

    50,349,80048,70051,70046,81449,526EU-25

    14,514,50014,60013,90013,20012,000India

    8,08,0008,2507,9007,3507,500Indonesia

    16,616,60016,60016,50017,20016,800Japan

    8,98,9008,5798,6668,7228,782Korea, Republic of28,828,30027,90027,90026,40024,700Mexico

    7,47,4006,8006,3005,5005,200Nigeria

    5,95,9005,8005,1504,9504,650Philippines

    9,59,5009,7009,5007,9007,200Romania

    9,09,0008,9009,7008,6778,520South Africa, Republic of

    111,5110,749109,071105,71998,76391,215Others

    484,1482,173469,675460,325436,006426,596Subtotal

    241,5243,597231,722224,648211,644200,748United States

    725,7725,770701,397684,973647,650627,344World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    2,64,1423,8924,1927,8786,258Brazil

    1,61,6012,0011,8021,1431,111Canada

    33,333,35535,25536,55544,85264,973China, Peoples Republic of

    7,47,9469,9407,0082,9384,826EU-25

    1,31,3191,3491,3821,3371,211Korea, Republic of

    2,62,6662,6664,5294,4613,327Mexico

    2,22,2251,4753,1902,9562,443South Africa, Republic of

    16,115,72518,44518,45713,61113,721Others

    67,368,97975,02377,11579,17697,870Subtotal

    19,123,76049,96853,69724,33727,603United States

    86,492,739124,991130,812103,513125,473World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    9,489North America 8,128 8,463 8,963 8,850 9,35

    1,980Central America 2,178 2,401 2,734 2,500 2,55

    1,509Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,08

    5,629South America 5,805 5,738 8,056 7,515 7,91

    4,327European Union 5,509 2,966 3,138 3,500 4,00872Other Europe 1,084 459 413 310 31

    179Former Soviet Union - 12 677 559 616 500 50

    7,668Middle East 7,901 8,039 7,341 8,225 8,22

    8,413North Africa 7,673 10,013 8,935 9,450 9,45

    2,293Sub-Saharan Africa 1,333 2,147 2,901 1,745 1,74

    30,602East Asia 30,682 30,044 29,978 30,150 30,15

    7South Asia 32 40 10 0

    4,721Southeast Asia 4,021 3,492 4,766 4,275 4,27

    84Oceania 8 3 20 0

    77,773Total 76,665 76,277 79,850 79,205 80,56

    Production non

    256,046North America 287,678 330,804 311,272 304,231 298,89

    2,676Central America 2,874 2,552 2,582 2,820 2,82

    415Caribbean 407 377 328 328 32

    66,971South America 64,550 63,302 65,436 69,066 69,0649,360European Union 39,876 52,968 48,618 44,385 43,93

    17,767Other Europe 15,130 23,699 22,183 19,610 19,81

    8,548Former Soviet Union - 12 11,530 15,385 13,125 12,925 12,82

    3,763Middle East 4,382 4,732 5,432 4,932 4,93

    6,202North Africa 5,942 6,042 6,062 6,072 6,07

    35,014Sub-Saharan Africa 37,971 41,104 38,296 43,196 43,19

    123,074East Asia 117,679 132,145 141,277 144,789 144,78

    14,707South Asia 17,875 17,300 18,210 17,620 17,62

    17,972Southeast Asia 19,246 21,380 22,183 22,340 22,34

    459Oceania 550 482 572 572 57

    602,974Total 625,690 712,272 695,576 692,886 687,19

    Domestic Consumption non

    238,024North America 249,272 262,862 270,559 283,697 282,16

    4,570Central America 4,735 5,100 5,190 5,450 5,50

    1,931Caribbean 1,984 2,222 2,305 2,490 2,3951,041South America 52,555 56,033 58,840 61,090 61,44

    49,526European Union 46,814 51,700 48,700 49,800 50,30

    16,906Other Europe 17,270 20,174 20,339 19,660 19,66

    7,921Former Soviet Union - 12 11,009 12,706 11,755 11,380 11,93

    10,642Middle East 12,208 12,221 12,978 13,331 13,33

    14,334North Africa 13,298 15,702 14,875 15,550 15,55

    35,041Sub-Saharan Africa 37,555 40,803 41,326 42,932 42,93

    158,247East Asia 161,385 163,078 169,004 173,091 173,09

    15,573South Asia 16,493 17,034 17,720 17,620 17,62

    21,896Southeast Asia 21,515 23,797 25,788 26,000 26,00

    465Oceania 555 465 580 555 55

    626,117Total 646,648 683,897 699,959 722,646 722,46

    Ending Stocks non

    32,041North America 29,941 60,028 54,635 28,027 23,36

    333Central America 658 525 590 452 5674Caribbean 131 199 201 223 22

    8,008South America 9,763 7,249 6,717 6,977 5,43

    4,826European Union 2,938 7,008 9,940 7,946 7,42

    2,462Other Europe 1,175 3,404 3,612 1,821 1,80

    1,528Former Soviet Union - 12 1,361 2,165 1,612 1,526 1,88

    1,976Middle East 1,985 2,400 2,047 1,927 1,87

    338North Africa 805 996 1,105 1,077 1,07

    3,396Sub-Saharan Africa 3,861 4,459 2,870 3,579 3,57

    68,847East Asia 48,338 39,901 38,425 36,273 36,27

    379South Asia 536 392 592 392 39

    1,220Southeast Asia 1,983 2,049 2,616 2,493 2,52

    45Oceania 38 37 29 26 2

    125,473Total 103,513 130,812 124,991 92,739 86,43

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    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    World Barley Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    3300309338167101Argentina

    2,32,3005,2314,4816,1042,159Australia

    115020040020154Bulgaria

    1,51,5001,8761,4761,937304Canada3,53,5002,4943,8819846,307EU-25

    3300100100613542Kazakhstan, Republic of

    1100183308099Romania

    2,52,5001,5001,4881,7363,066Russian Federation

    554613Serbia and Montenegro

    505050320446Syria

    2250550260504Turkey

    4,04,3004,9263,9922,5572,334Ukraine

    0302183Others

    14,915,25517,42716,54414,44616,212Subtotal

    5500357771384552United States

    15,415,75517,78417,31514,83016,764World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    1150153182128296Brazil

    2,02,2002,2172,0491,5191,792China, Peoples Republic of

    2200198234181226Colombia

    33503875546721,443EU-25

    66008001,2916610Iran

    3300300313508448Israel

    1,41,4001,4171,5221,3591,399Japan

    6600800607400414Jordan

    220020021462116Kuwait

    2200200261333188Libya

    4400500565143156Morocco

    2250250266438275Russian Federation

    6,06,0007,0006,4205,5087,502Saudi Arabia7700800500600279Syria

    550060051499312Tunisia

    1,11,1801,2611,1841,4961,411Others

    15,015,23017,08316,67614,10716,257Subtotal

    1225577482226225Unaccounted

    3300124157497282United States

    15,415,75517,78417,31514,83016,764World Total

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    World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    1,41,4504001,3141,220416Algeria

    4,24,2009,8697,70810,3873,865Australia

    1,31,3501,8002,0001,8001,681Belarus

    10,010,00012,48113,18612,3287,489Canada3,53,5003,4003,2222,7173,322China, Peoples Republic of

    1,81,8001,7851,5751,4101,200Ethiopia

    54,854,86352,76961,72754,82656,509EU-25

    1,41,4001,0801,3101,4101,500India

    2,92,9002,9002,9002,9003,085Iran

    1,21,2501,2501,2501,1501,000Iraq

    1,51,5001,5001,5002,1002,200Kazakhstan, Republic of

    2,52,5001,1022,7602,6201,669Morocco

    18,118,50015,80017,20018,00018,700Russian Federation

    7,27,2007,6007,4006,9007,200Turkey

    11,811,8009,00011,1006,85010,364Ukraine

    10,610,54510,64311,95110,2299,707Others

    134,3134,758133,379148,103136,847129,907Subtotal

    3,93,9204,6136,0916,0594,940United States

    138,3138,678137,992154,194142,906134,847World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    3,73,7003,6503,4503,0502,700Australia

    1,51,5001,9751,9001,7501,700Belarus

    10,210,20010,41410,7679,8937,905Canada

    5,45,6505,5505,3504,7004,900China, Peoples Republic of

    1,81,8001,7851,5751,4101,200Ethiopia

    54,854,80052,50052,90056,87754,400EU-25

    1,41,4001,1001,3001,4001,500India

    4,14,1003,9003,5003,1002,900Iran

    1,61,6501,6501,6501,6301,600Japan

    2,62,6002,4502,7002,3002,000Morocco15,716,10015,50016,50018,60015,500Russian Federation

    6,36,3106,5105,4107,0105,810Saudi Arabia

    1,41,4501,4501,3501,2501,100Syria

    7,17,1007,3007,3007,1006,800Turkey

    6,96,9004,9006,4006,2007,400Ukraine

    16,216,21816,07016,64414,92514,216Others

    140,8141,620137,771137,832142,557131,204Subtotal

    4,44,2464,5715,6724,9905,179United States

    145,2145,866142,342143,504147,547136,383World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    9954554876611291Algeria

    1,01,0032,8031,8841,887948Australia

    1,61,6393,2893,4352,1021,475Canada

    5,45,6698,08210,6804,2878,488EU-25

    1,01,0849342,1102,2274,706Russian Federation

    2,82,8523,1622,6722,3992,611Saudi Arabia

    1,81,4321,2129915961,424Ukraine

    5,55,4996,5157,8075,8335,749Others

    20,320,13226,55130,45519,94225,692Subtotal

    1,51,8072,3502,7962,6191,510United States

    21,921,93928,90133,25122,56127,202World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    514North America 567 291 220 400 40

    772South America 440 538 534 535 53

    1,443European Union 672 554 387 350 35

    235Other Europe 384 141 171 240 24

    333Former Soviet Union - 12 706 327 470 330 339,081Middle East 8,112 9,619 10,160 8,635 8,63

    721North Africa 601 1,473 1,370 1,170 1,17

    97Sub-Saharan Africa 69 102 100 100 10

    3,340East Asia 3,047 3,768 3,775 3,750 3,55

    2South Asia 0 0 0 0

    1Oceania 6 20 20 20 2

    16,539Total 14,604 16,833 17,207 15,530 15,33

    Production non

    13,166North America 19,469 20,209 17,847 14,820 14,82

    1,399South America 2,039 2,058 1,827 2,020 2,09

    56,509European Union 54,826 61,727 52,769 54,863 54,81

    3,208Other Europe 2,395 4,119 3,381 2,937 2,93

    34,072Former Soviet Union - 12 29,631 33,160 29,385 34,495 34,09

    12,438Middle East 12,116 12,540 12,530 12,130 12,13

    2,430North Africa 4,795 4,719 2,212 4,595 4,591,485Sub-Saharan Africa 1,764 1,871 2,132 2,175 2,17

    3,839East Asia 3,136 3,678 3,845 3,925 3,92

    1,995South Asia 1,970 2,025 1,795 2,118 2,11

    4,306Oceania 10,765 8,088 10,269 4,600 4,60

    134,847Total 142,906 154,194 137,992 138,678 138,30

    Domestic Consumption non

    13,884North America 15,833 17,389 15,935 15,396 15,61

    1,950South America 2,189 2,330 2,220 2,225 2,22

    54,400European Union 56,877 52,900 52,500 54,800 54,80

    2,810Other Europe 2,700 3,495 3,205 3,075 3,07

    27,616Former Soviet Union - 12 29,506 27,550 25,094 27,250 26,85

    18,627Middle East 20,750 20,232 21,875 21,630 21,63

    3,839North Africa 4,427 5,164 4,780 5,130 5,13

    1,612Sub-Saharan Africa 1,774 1,986 2,200 2,265 2,26

    6,949East Asia 6,719 7,457 7,601 7,710 7,511,998South Asia 1,960 2,015 1,815 2,118 2,11

    3,125Oceania 3,450 3,850 4,050 4,125 4,12

    136,810Total 146,185 144,368 141,275 145,724 145,34

    Ending Stocks non

    3,027North America 4,921 6,470 5,731 3,538 3,32

    267South America 404 331 186 218 29

    8,488European Union 4,287 10,680 8,082 5,669 5,44

    455Other Europe 470 660 556 453 39

    7,445Former Soviet Union - 12 3,727 4,165 3,141 3,216 3,61

    4,448Middle East 4,429 5,742 6,154 4,989 4,98

    640North Africa 1,442 2,291 1,172 1,807 1,80

    3Sub-Saharan Africa 58 93 125 135 13

    1,388East Asia 850 839 855 820 82

    24South Asia 34 44 24 24 2

    1,017Oceania 1,939 1,936 2,875 1,070 1,0727,202Total 22,561 33,251 28,901 21,939 21,91

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    World Sorghum Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    6250226279228604Argentina

    110019037042575Australia

    5002437164Brazil

    25262816888China, Peoples Republic of252524426India

    5050505050Nigeria

    2523364149South Africa, Republic of

    5528143665Others

    95805688251,3611,001Subtotal

    4,24,4004,9704,5414,8454,877United States

    5,14,9805,5385,3666,2065,878World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    6542716258Chile

    2525815550Eritrea

    43251592261,139439EU-25

    50383410469Israel

    1,31,3501,3931,3741,4341,562Japan

    2,52,7003,0292,9313,0023,384Mexico

    5050505025Niger

    25751801Somalia

    21002111601515Sudan

    5050616164Taiwan

    70308227235210Others

    4,74,8105,3805,2336,1575,877Subtotal

    3170158132490Unaccounted

    00101United States

    5,14,9805,5385,3666,2065,878World Total

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    World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    3,13,0002,2002,9002,2002,800Argentina

    2,12,1002,0192,1772,0091,465Australia

    1,91,9001,8502,0512,1031,900Brazil

    1,61,6001,8371,4001,5201,260Burkina2,52,5802,5462,3282,8653,327China, Peoples Republic of

    9900900900900900Egypt

    2,92,9002,8002,1501,7001,100Ethiopia

    5480477492380701EU-25

    7,87,8007,7907,2407,3307,060India

    6,16,1505,5005,8907,3006,338Mexico

    6675750500720700Niger

    10,510,50010,50010,0009,0007,850Nigeria

    3,73,7004,3802,7005,1902,930Sudan

    7700890820500835Tanzania, United Republic

    4490450400420425Uganda

    4,44,4314,2734,3144,3864,064Others

    50,049,90649,16246,26248,52343,655Subtotal

    7,07,3279,98111,52310,4469,163United States

    57,157,23359,14357,78558,96952,818World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    2,32,5002,2002,6002,0002,250Argentina

    2,02,0051,8551,9051,4051,405Australia

    1,91,9001,9002,1001,6501,850Brazil

    1,61,6001,8371,4001,5201,260Burkina

    2,52,5502,5002,4003,0002,825China, Peoples Republic of

    9900900900900900Egypt

    3,03,0002,2002,1501,7001,105Ethiopia

    1,08755507001,966677EU-25

    7,77,7007,7007,2007,3507,150India

    1,41,4001,4001,4001,5001,575Japan8,78,9008,6009,3009,8009,900Mexico

    7700750550750725Niger

    10,410,45010,4509,9508,9507,800Nigeria

    4,04,0004,2503,5004,5003,500Sudan

    7700890820500860Tanzania, United Republic

    5,15,1705,1945,1005,0624,817Others

    54,054,23653,39152,07252,57348,797Subtotal

    3,93,8104,8146,2555,6384,939United States

    58,058,04658,20558,32758,21153,736World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    3428128328379370Argentina

    2206186156247547China, Peoples Republic of

    5500600000Ethiopia

    22201458061123India

    55035536241,103601Mexico

    2200200200200200Nigeria

    5404652313958263Sudan

    8763901948837682Others

    3,33,2243,3652,6493,7852,786Subtotal

    89811,6681,4468521,093United States

    4,14,2055,0334,0954,6373,879World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    3,385North America 3,002 2,932 3,029 2,700 2,50

    0Central America 0 4 0 0

    0Caribbean 0 0 0 0

    123South America 104 158 67 65 6

    439European Union 1,139 226 159 325 4034Other Europe 24 7 10 10 1

    71Middle East 105 34 38 50 5

    1North Africa 0 0 35 0

    187Sub-Saharan Africa 232 412 564 235 33

    1,632East Asia 1,526 1,450 1,468 1,420 1,42

    1South Asia 0 4 0 0

    5Southeast Asia 25 7 10 5

    0Oceania 0 0 0 0

    5,878Total 6,157 5,234 5,380 4,810 4,78

    Production non

    15,501North America 17,746 17,413 15,481 13,477 13,20

    384Central America 332 330 307 326 32

    125Caribbean 128 128 128 128 12

    5,473South America 5,075 5,777 4,890 5,751 5,85

    701European Union 380 492 477 480 565Other Europe 5 5 5 5

    553Middle East 485 485 485 485 48

    915North Africa 915 915 915 915 91

    16,957Sub-Saharan Africa 21,315 20,045 23,650 22,736 22,73

    3,344East Asia 2,882 2,348 2,566 2,600 2,60

    7,263South Asia 7,560 7,470 8,020 8,030 8,03

    132Southeast Asia 137 200 200 200 20

    1,465Oceania 2,009 2,177 2,019 2,100 2,10

    52,818Total 58,969 57,785 59,143 57,233 57,13

    Domestic Consumption non

    14,839North America 15,438 15,555 13,414 12,710 12,63

    365Central America 335 355 310 325 32

    125Caribbean 128 128 128 128 12

    4,988South America 4,509 5,594 4,981 5,326 5,12

    677European Union 1,966 700 550 875 1,0239Other Europe 29 12 15 15 1

    610Middle East 590 527 523 535 53

    916North Africa 915 915 950 915 91

    17,632Sub-Saharan Africa 20,550 21,039 23,164 23,191 23,19

    4,484East Asia 4,603 3,886 3,985 4,025 4,02

    7,354South Asia 7,580 7,431 7,930 7,930 7,93

    104Southeast Asia 143 183 185 180 18

    1,405Oceania 1,405 1,905 1,855 2,005 2,00

    53,538Total 58,191 58,230 57,990 58,160 58,03

    Ending Stocks non

    1,694North America 1,955 2,070 2,221 1,484 1,34

    46Central America 42 16 17 18 1

    0Caribbean 0 0 0 0

    447South America 558 535 304 544 44

    68European Union 32 43 63 34 70Other Europe 0 0 0 0

    43Middle East 43 36 36 36 3

    40North Africa 40 39 39 39 3

    530Sub-Saharan Africa 1,375 773 1,668 1,325 1,46

    826East Asia 463 347 370 340 34

    123South Asia 61 80 145 220 22

    8Southeast Asia 5 26 26 26 2

    54Oceania 63 130 144 139 13

    3,879Total 4,637 4,095 5,033 4,205 4,14

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    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    World Oats Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    51201Argentina

    1125191137210145Australia

    1,71,7001,7541,3749841,058Canada

    2527294412Chile2250229354443794EU-25

    55551Kazakhstan, Republic of

    0521129Others

    2,12,1102,2121,9221,6982,020Subtotal

    3039313839United States

    2,12,1402,2511,9531,7362,059World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    54217Algeria

    55655Bosnia and Herzegovina

    2021161949Canada

    20181397China, Peoples Republic of

    2526262328Colombia

    10861111EU-25

    7059676783Japan

    5075519182Mexico

    51101Morocco

    2048221Norway

    2525423119South Africa, Republic of

    5048263834Switzerland

    057275Others

    3305343265324332Subtotal

    357759110-50Unaccounted

    1,81,8001,8311,6291,3021,777United States

    2,12,1402,2511,9531,7362,059World Total

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    World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    4400350508348500Argentina

    1,01,0001,4161,3212,018957Australia

    5550600770500575Belarus

    4475517433413390Brazil3,63,6003,4323,6833,6912,911Canada

    3380420425425420Chile

    6600600600600600China, Peoples Republic of

    7,67,4687,4098,7538,6239,280EU-25

    1140140140100100Kazakhstan, Republic of

    3349349359333279Norway

    3350350350350350Romania

    4,95,0004,5504,9505,2005,700Russian Federation

    1120120120110125Serbia and Montenegro

    2290290290285290Turkey

    99008001,000925943Ukraine

    5557559547555495Others

    22,222,17921,90224,24924,47623,915Subtotal

    1,31,3611,6671,6792,0961,684United States

    23,523,54023,56925,92826,57225,599World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    4400350500359525Argentina

    1,01,0751,2001,1751,705800Australia

    5550650700500600Belarus

    4475515425410382Brazil

    2,02,0502,1152,1942,1871,870Canada

    3350400400380430Chile

    6620620610610600China, Peoples Republic of

    7,37,2007,3508,3308,2768,287EU-25

    113513513595100Kazakhstan, Republic of

    1130155126182133Mexico3370400360340280Norway

    3350350350350350Romania

    4,94,9004,6004,9005,6006,300Russian Federation

    2290290290288290Turkey

    99008001,000950950Ukraine

    7780773760747743Others

    20,720,59920,72822,33223,20422,692Subtotal

    3,13,1893,2873,2973,3893,480United States

    23,923,78824,01525,62926,59326,172World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    7782837777Argentina

    1115315299290187Australia

    7742872974788524Canada

    1107107109106107China, Peoples Republic of

    77557469128341,010EU-25

    3031343338Norway

    1290190240184575Russian Federation

    1130123183123156Others

    2,12,2462,4662,8342,4352,674Subtotal

    7716763841941723United States

    2,82,9623,2293,6753,3763,397World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    1,908North America 1,412 1,696 1,927 1,870 1,87

    30South America 34 26 31 25 2

    11European Union 11 6 8 10 1

    41Other Europe 47 34 101 75 7

    2Former Soviet Union - 12 9 7 0 00Middle East 5 0 0 0

    8North Africa 1 3 5 10 1

    19Sub-Saharan Africa 31 42 25 25 2

    90East Asia 76 80 77 90 9

    0Oceania 0 0 0 0

    2,109Total 1,626 1,894 2,174 2,105 2,10

    Production non

    4,660North America 5,882 5,437 5,179 5,041 5,04

    1,331South America 1,221 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,28

    9,280European Union 8,623 8,753 7,409 7,468 7,62

    963Other Europe 981 1,028 1,026 1,026 1,02

    7,331Former Soviet Union - 12 6,735 6,870 6,100 6,598 6,49

    290Middle East 285 290 290 290 29

    65North Africa 105 110 110 110 11

    45Sub-Saharan Africa 45 45 45 45 4602East Asia 602 602 602 602 60

    1,032Oceania 2,093 1,396 1,491 1,075 1,07

    25,599Total 26,572 25,928 23,569 23,540 23,59

    Domestic Consumption non

    5,483North America 5,758 5,617 5,557 5,369 5,36

    1,390South America 1,207 1,382 1,326 1,280 1,28

    8,287European Union 8,276 8,330 7,350 7,200 7,35

    1,015Other Europe 1,042 1,064 1,129 1,102 1,10

    7,963Former Soviet Union - 12 7,155 6,745 6,195 6,493 6,49

    290Middle East 288 290 290 290 29

    73North Africa 106 110 115 120 12

    59Sub-Saharan Africa 79 87 70 70 7

    685East Asia 677 677 683 690 69

    875Oceania 1,780 1,250 1,275 1,150 1,15

    26,120Total 26,368 25,552 23,990 23,764 23,91Ending Stocks non

    1,250North America 1,732 1,818 1,638 1,461 1,46

    98South America 104 118 114 114 11

    1,010European Union 834 912 746 755 77

    63Other Europe 52 50 47 46 4

    665Former Soviet Union - 12 242 351 246 346 24

    0Middle East 0 0 0 0

    1North Africa 1 1 1 1

    15Sub-Saharan Africa 12 12 12 12 1

    108East Asia 109 114 110 112 11

    187Oceania 290 299 315 115 11

    3,397Total 3,376 3,675 3,229 2,962 2,88

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    World Rye Trade

    October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    TY Exports

    50505050150Belarus

    115014112318644Canada

    3300381676452624EU-25

    04912242687Others55006219717301,505Subtotal

    51222United States

    55056229737321,507World Total

    no

    TY Imports

    1021422501EU-25

    251021112389Israel

    1175279261341414Japan

    107811431Korea, Republic of

    5413168Norway

    11005617760Russian Federation

    59272Switzerland

    52611643Turkey

    500032222Ukraine

    016121190Others

    33854776595881,400Subtotal

    201414043-2Unaccounted

    1100131174101109United States

    55056229737321,507World Total

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    World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec

    2006/0Ja

    no

    Production

    5555893780Argentina

    1,11,1001,1501,4001,2001,600Belarus

    3300359420327134Canada

    6,56,6727,6459,9666,9079,190EU-253,02,8003,6002,8504,2007,150Russian Federation

    2240240240240255Turkey

    66001,0501,6006251,511Ukraine

    2215227223221225Others

    12,111,98214,32616,78813,75720,145Subtotal

    1183191210219165United States

    12,212,16514,51716,99813,97620,310World Total

    no

    Total Consumption

    5555893780Argentina

    1,11,1001,1001,3251,2001,300Belarus

    2215187211138106Canada

    7,37,4008,60010,0758,7009,310EU-25

    1175279261340415Japan

    5050504559Kazakhstan, Republic of

    5050505050Romania

    3,12,9503,6003,3005,5006,150Russian Federation

    2245247299283269Turkey

    88501,0501,3009001,300Ukraine

    1160268270298305Others

    13,313,24115,47317,29717,69419,404Subtotal

    3307332344297321United States

    13,613,54815,80517,64117,99119,725World Total

    no

    Ending Stocks

    1114164164139199Belarus

    11051701304325Canada88641,8513,1563,8346,177EU-25

    2020202019Japan

    76126773551,805Russian Federation

    67267336140325Ukraine

    00111Others

    1,21,2462,5983,8844,5328,551Subtotal

    1818201511United States

    1,21,2642,6163,9044,5478,562World Total

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    Thousand Metric Tons

    Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

    2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec

    2006/07Jan

    2006/0

    TY Imports non

    111North America 101 174 131 100 10

    52South America 0 0 0 0

    501European Union 22 14 2 10 1

    14Other Europe 24 17 14 10 1

    242Former Soviet Union - 12 48 187 71 150 15132Middle East 39 172 104 30 3

    0Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0

    445East Asia 455 269 286 185 18

    12Oceania 0 0 0 0

    1,509Total 689 833 608 485 48

    Production non

    299North America 546 630 550 483 48

    85South America 42 94 64 61 6

    9,190European Union 6,907 9,966 7,645 6,672 6,59

    147Other Europe 143 145 145 136 13

    10,311Former Soviet Union - 12 6,075 5,900 5,850 4,550 4,75

    255Middle East 240 240 240 240 24

    3Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3

    0East Asia 0 0 0 0

    20Oceania 20 20 20 20 220,310Total 13,976 16,998 14,517 12,165 12,28

    Domestic Consumption non

    427North America 435 555 519 522 52

    111South America 42 94 64 61 6

    9,310European Union 8,700 10,075 8,600 7,400 7,30

    160Other Europe 173 163 162 146 14

    8,819Former Soviet Union - 12 7,655 5,985 5,815 4,950 5,15

    358Middle East 306 410 349 270 27

    3Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3

    446East Asia 454 269 286 185 18

    31Oceania 20 20 20 20 2

    19,665Total 17,788 17,574 15,818 13,557 13,65

    Ending Stocks non

    36North America 58 150 188 123 12

    0South America 0 0 0 06,177European Union 3,834 3,156 1,851 864 85

    1Other Europe 1 1 0 0

    2,329Former Soviet Union - 12 634 577 557 257 25

    0Middle East 0 0 0 0

    0Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0

    19East Asia 20 20 20 20 2

    0Oceania 0 0 0 0

    8,562Total 4,547 3,904 2,616 1,264 1,25

    NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.

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    HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

    SELECTED REGIONS AND

    COUNTRIESD

    G F/SA &

    F

    CONTENTS

    European Union: Grain Supply and Demand...............................................41

    China: Grain Supply and Demand................................................................42

    Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand....................................................43Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................44

    Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................51

    Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters...................................53

    Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................55

    Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................56

    U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution...........................................................57

    Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand.................................59

    World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand...............................60

    World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand..............................................62

    World Rice: Supply and Demand.................................................................64

    Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007

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    Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

    European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

    AreaHarvested

    Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti

    DomesticConsumpti

    EndingStocks

    Wheat

    114.7 106.551.219.45.15.222.01999/00 15.0

    124.2 111.154.216.84.75.323.52000/01 16.0

    113.6 110.153.414.210.75.122.32001/02 15.9

    124.8 118.158.419.913.95.423.12002/03 16.6

    106.9 107.950.810.95.94.822.02003/04 10.6

    136.8 115.256.714.47.45.923.22004/05 25.2

    122.7 119.560.515.07.65.422.52005/06 21.0

    117.9 116.657.615.56.85.322.12006/07 13.6

    Coarse Grains

    133.5 126.795.015.24.84.629.11999/00 21.1

    132.7 131.099.510.75.44.629.02000/01 17.6

    140.3 134.4101.28.05.94.729.52001/02 21.4

    137.9 135.4102.18.66.44.828.82002/03 21.6

    122.2 134.6101.14.47.84.328.62003/04 12.6

    150.2138.8106.54.03.75.129.22004/05 23.7

    131.8 132.4100.33.83.54.728.32005/06 22.7

    126.4 134.5102.13.74.84.528.02006/07 15.7

    Wheat and Coarse Grains

    248.3 233.2146.234.59.94.951.11999/00 36.1

    256.9 242.1153.727.510.24.952.52000/01 33.6

    253.8 244.5154.622.216.64.951.82001/02 37.3

    262.7 253.5160.528.620.35.151.92002/03 38.3

    229.1 242.5151.915.313.74.550.72003/04 23.2

    287.0 254.0163.218.411.15.552.42004/05 48.9

    254.4 251.9160.818.911.15.050.82005/06 43.6

    244.3 251.1159.719.211.64.950.12006/07 29.3

    Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. DataEU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.

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    Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

    China: Grain Supply and Demand

    AreaHarvested

    Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti

    DomesticConsumpti

    EndingStocks

    Wheat

    102.2 106.53.20.512.53.528.91995/96 76.5

    110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.61996/97 81.2

    123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.11997/98 96.2

    109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.81998/99 97.9

    113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.91999/00 102.9

    99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.72000/01 91.9

    93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.62001/02 76.6

    90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.92002/03 60.4

    86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.02003/04 43.3

    92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.62004/05 38.8

    97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.82005/06 34.9

    103.5 101.04.02.50.74.423.42006/07 35.6

    Coarse Grains

    124.5 115.478.40.23.04.627.31995/96 101.1

    141.3121.082.64.02.14.929.11996/97 119.5

    114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.11997/98 108.0

    143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.11998/99 123.4

    137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.61999/00 124.2

    114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.52000/01 102.8

    122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.52001/02 85.6

    130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.02002/03 66.4

    124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.12003/04 45.5

    138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.22004/05 37.0

    147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.12005/06 35.8

    151.4 151.4105.04.02.15.129.92006/07 34.0

    Wheat and Coarse Grains

    226.7 221.981.60.715.54.056.21995/96 177.6

    251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.71996/97 200.7

    238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.11997/98 204.2

    253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.81998/99 221.3

    251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.41999/00 227.1

    213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.12000/01 194.7

    216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.12001/02 162.1

    221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.92002/03 126.7

    210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.12003/04 88.8

    230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.82004/05 75.8

    245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.92005/06 70.7

    254.9 252.4109.06.52.84.853.32006/07 69.6

    Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.

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    Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

    Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand

    AreaHarvested

    Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti

    DomesticConsumpti

    EndingStocks

    Wheat

    16.6 14.23.32.81.23.35.11995/96 3.7

    8.9 12.63.00.62.22.33.91996/97 1.7

    16.0 14.43.21.11.53.25.01997/98 3.6

    14.5 14.33.11.11.23.14.61998/99 3.9

    11.9 13.33.21.61.83.13.91999/00 2.6

    12.1 12.82.80.91.92.84.42000/01 2.9

    14.7 13.63.32.02.02.95.12001/02 4.0

    12.6 13.43.21.92.02.74.72002/03 3.3

    7.6 12.92.50.14.22.23.52003/04 2.1

    15.5 14.13.51.41.83.84.12004/05 3.9

    13.2 13.53.12.01.63.14.32005/06 3.3

    12.2 12.82.62.01.53.13.92006/07 2.1

    Coarse Grains

    25.8 25.221.20.90.73.47.61995/96 1.8

    23.423.519.51.00.93.07.71996/97 1.5

    29.4 27.022.91.20.73.97.51997/98 3.5

    22.8 23.819.81.00.63.17.31998/99 2.1

    26.5 25.821.80.90.83.67.31999/00 2.7

    15.2 17.513.50.31.42.36.62000/01 1.4

    21.1 20.516.61.01.13.16.82001/02 2.2

    22.1 21.017.21.71.33.46.62002/03 3.0

    18.7 21.317.90.31.52.86.62003/04 1.7

    29.1 25.019.82.30.64.27.02004/05 4.1

    26.8 24.919.32.50.73.96.92005/06 4.2

    24.0 24.118.62.50.73.86.32006/07 2.2

    Wheat and Coarse Grains

    42.4 39.424.43.81.83.312.71995/96 5.6

    32.3 36.122.51.63.02.811.61996/97 3.2

    45.4 41.426.12.32.23.612.41997/98 7.1

    37.3 38.223.02.11.83.112.01998/99 6.0

    38.4 39.125.02.52.53.511.11999/00 5.3

    27.3 30.316.31.33.32.511.02000/01 4.3

    35.8 34.019.93.03.13.011.82001/02 6.1

    34.8 34.320.53.53.33.111.32002/03 6.3

    26.3 34.120.40.45.82.610.12003/04 3.8

    44.6 39.123.33.72.54.011.12004/05 8.1

    40.0 38.422.44.52.33.611.22005/06 7.5

    36.2 36.921.24.62.23.510.22006/07 4.4

    Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.

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    Millions of Tons/Hectares

    Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

    AreaHarvested

    EndingStocks

    TotalConsumpti

    FeedConsumpti

    MYExports

    MYImports

    ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

    Former Soviet Union - 12

    Kazakhstan, Republic of

    2.2 1.91.80.50.01.31.82002/03 0.9

    2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.82003/04 0.4

    1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.72004/05 0.2

    1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.62005/06 0.2

    1.5 1.41.30.30.00.91.62006/07 0.0

    Russian Federation

    18.7 15.510.73.10.31.810.32002/03 4.7

    18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.52003/04 2.2

    17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.02004/05 2.1

    15.8 15.510.91.70.31.79.22005/06 0.9

    18.1 15.711.12.50.31.810.12006/07 1.1

    Ukraine

    10.4 7.45.52.90.02.54.22002/03 1.4

    6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.62003/04 0.6

    11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.52004/05 1.0

    9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.42005/06 1.2

    11.8 6.95.24.30.02.35.22006/07 1.8

    Uzbekistan, Republic of

    0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12002/03 0.0

    0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.12003/04 0.0

    0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12004/05 0.0

    0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12005/06 0.0

    0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12006/07 0.0

    Other Former Soviet Union - 12

    2.6 2.61.90.00.02.41.12002/03 0.3

    2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.22003/04 0.5

    3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.22004/05 0.8

    2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.22005/06 0.7

    2.5 2.72.00.00.12.21.12006/07 0.6

    Total Former Soviet Union - 12

    34.1 27.620.06.50.32.017.32002/03 7.4

    29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.32003/04 3.7

    33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.52004/05 4.2

    29.4 25.117.85.80.51.816.32005/06 3.1

    34.1 26.919.77.10.31.918.12006/07 3.6

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    Millions of Tons/Hectares

    Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)

    AreaHarvested

    EndingStocks

    TotalConsumpti

    FeedConsumpti

    MYExports

    MYImports

    ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

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    Millions of Tons/Hectares

    Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

    AreaHarvested

    EndingStocks

    TotalConsumpti

    FeedConsumpti

    MYExports

    MYImports

    ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

    Former Soviet Union - 12

    Kazakhstan, Republic of

    0.4 0.40.30.00.03.20.12002/03 0.0

    0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12003/04 0.0

    0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12004/05 0.0

    0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12005/06 0.0

    0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.12006/07 0.0

    Russian Federation

    1.6 1.61.20.00.12.80.62002/03 0.1

    2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.72003/04 0.2

    3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.92004/05 0.2

    3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.92005/06 0.1

    3.6 3.73.20.10.33.61.02006/07 0.2

    Ukraine

    4.2 3.52.80.80.03.51.22002/03 0.8

    6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.02003/04 0.8

    8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.32004/05 1.3

    7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.72005/06 0.9

    6.5 5.34.51.00.03.81.72006/07 1.2

    Uzbekistan, Republic of

    0.2 0.10.10.00.04.30.02002/03 0.0

    0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.02003/04 0.0

    0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.02004/05 0.0

    0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.02005/06 0.0

    0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.02006/07 0.0

    Other Former Soviet Union - 12

    2.2 2.32.00.00.12.80.82002/03 0.5

    2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.72003/04 0.3

    2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.92004/05 0.6

    2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.82005/06 0.5

    2.3 2.52.20.00.23.10.72006/07 0.5

    Total Former Soviet Union - 12

    8.5 7.96.40.90.23.22.72002/03 1.5

    11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.62003/04 1.4

    15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.22004/05 2.2

    13.1 11.810.12.50.63.93.42005/06 1.6

    12.8 11.910.31.10.53.63.62006/07 1.9

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    Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)

    AreaHarvested

    EndingStocks

    TotalConsumpti

    FeedConsumpti

    MYExports

    MYImports

    ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

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    Millions of Tons/Hectares

    Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

    AreaHarvested

    EndingStocks

    TotalConsumpti

    FeedConsumpti

    MYExports

    MYImports

    ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

    Former Soviet Union - 12

    Kazakhstan, Republic of

    12.6 6.82.76.20.01.111.52002/03 3.7

    11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.32003/04 3.8

    10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.82004/05 3.6

    11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.82005/06 4.3

    11.5 7.62.75.00.00.912.22006/07 3.2

    Russian Federation

    50.6 39.316.012.61.02.025.72002/03 6.1

    34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.22003/04 2.6

    45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.22004/05 3.9

    47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.42005/06 3.8

    44.9 37.314.19.51.21.923.72006/07 3.1

    Ukraine

    20.6 14.54.06.60.83.06.82002/03 3.3

    3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.52003/04 1.1

    17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.92004/05 2.6

    18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.62005/06 2.4

    14.3 11.52.12.80.12.65.42006/07 2.5

    Uzbekistan, Republic of

    5.0 4.90.80.00.34.21.22002/03 0.9

    5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.52003/04 0.9

    5.5 5.40.80.10.23.91.42004/05 1.1

    6.1 5.60.80.10.24.21.52005/06 1.7

    5.8 6.00.80.10.24.51.32006/07 1.6

    Other Former Soviet Union - 12

    8.2 9.81.30.32.52.63.22002/03 2.5

    6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.92003/04 2.5

    8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.22004/05 3.0

    8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.32005/06 3.4

    7.6 10.81.30.12.52.53.02006/07 2.7

    Total Former Soviet Union - 12

    96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.42002/03 16.5

    60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.32003/04 11.0

    86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.52004/05 14.2

    92.2 75.223.020.34.