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Global Helicopter Forecast
2
In 2016, with more than 100 bookings (all OEMs)
China booked more helicopters than any other country
C&P untapped demand is rising
Key world economies are still underequipped
0 5000
U.S.A.
Russia
Canada
Brazil
Australia
United Kingdom
Italy
Japan
France
Germany
TOP 10 Countries in 2016
( H/C fleet in service)
China
U.S.A
India
Japan
Germany
Russia
Indonesia
France
United Kingdom
Brazil
TOP 10
World economies in 2016
GDP @PPP*
… #11 China
China
India
U.S.A.
Indonesia
Japan
Turkey
Germany
Mexico
Brazil
Russia
TOP 10
World economies in 2036
GDP @PPP
In the last 5 years Chinese fleet
x 2.7
*Purchasing power parity
3
Helicopters address primary and secondary human needs
Helicopters help…
Public Services EMS Energy Commercial Private
to protect
populations
to save lives to transport
passengers to
remote areas
to build in remote
areas
to deploy rapidly
to reach places that
jets can’t
Make your life easier
Social development Economic development
All OEMs C&P helicopter business A global business volume of 370 Bn€
20 year global turbine helicopter business volume (2017 – 2036):
90
155
125
125 Bn€
245 Bn€
Labor
Spares &
Components
Airframe & engine H/c deliveries
66%
34%
% Value
Customer service business accounting
for an average of 65% of the total C&P
market
5
Over the next 20 years, the C&P market will represent nearly 22,000 units Representing 125 Bn€
Light & Medium Twin (< 7 tons)
We expect ~ 22,000 new helicopters in all market segments by 2036
Light & Single engine Super Medium & Heavy (> 7 tons)
50% (units)
17% (value)
35% (units)
45% (value)
15% (units)
38% (value)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2039
1.61% CAGR
2016-2020
1st oil crisis
Evolution of the C&P in-service fleet Expected to grow by almost 50% over the next 20 years
C&P helicopter fleet in service:
1973
2nd oil crisis 1979
Black Monday 1987
Asia, Brazil, Argentina
1997-98
Russia
W.T.C. 2001
Global recession 2008 - 09
2020 2025 2030 2035
Forecast
2.6% CAGR
2005-2015
2.3% CAGR
1995-2005
2.08% CAGR
2017-2036
2040
(Compound annual growth rate)
Demand driven by growth Significant part of today’s helicopters will remain in service
~15,000
~22,000
2016 2036
~25,000
~37,000
Fleet growth in units:
Today
New
Stay in
service
57% 43%
Growth Replacement
20 years from now
New C&P helicopter deliveries 2017-2036
~5,000 ~4,000
~8,000
~2,000
~3,000
23%
USA / Canada
18%
Europe
36%
Asia/Pacific
9%
Africa & Middle East
14%
Latin America World demand units
Demand driven by North American replacement needs
and new demand in Asia-Pacific region
Key highlights
Market demand for almost 22, 000 helicopters over the next 20 years
supported by robust economic and social drivers
Emerging regions will drive the global demand for growth while
replacement needs will essentially come from mature regions
Potential short/midterm increase in the case of faster deregulation and
infrastructure implementation in emerging regions
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SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “expects”, “intends”, “plans”, “projects”, “may” and similar expressions are used to identify
these forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include statements made about strategy, ramp-up and delivery schedules, introduction of new products and services and market
expectations, as well as statements regarding future performance and outlook.
By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances and there are many factors that could cause actual results and developments
to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
THESE FACTORS INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO:
Changes in general economic, political or market conditions, including the cyclical nature of some of Airbus’ businesses;
Significant disruptions in air travel (including as a result of terrorist attacks);
Currency exchange rate fluctuations, in particular between the Euro and the U.S. dollar;
The successful execution of internal performance plans, including cost reduction and productivity efforts;
Product performance risks, as well as programme development and management risks;
Customer, supplier and subcontractor performance or contract negotiations, including financing issues;
Competition and consolidation in the aerospace and defence industry;
Significant collective bargaining labour disputes;
The outcome of political and legal processes including the availability of government financing for certain programmes and the size of defence and space procurement budgets;
Research and development costs in connection with new products;
Legal, financial and governmental risks related to international transactions;
Legal and investigatory proceedings and other economic, political and technological risks and uncertainties.
Any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation speaks as of the date of this presentation. Airbus undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements in light of
new information, future events or otherwise.
Disclaimer
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