global coal: trends and outlook€¦ · 16-03-2011 · global coal: trends and outlook 13th...
TRANSCRIPT
Global Coal:
trends and outlook
13th European Round Table on Coal
“Surging Global Demand for Coal: what it means for the EU”
European Parliament
Dr.-Ing. Hartmuth ZEIß – President EURACOAL
Chairman of the Managing Directors
Vattenfall Europe Mining AG &
Vattenfall Europe Generation AG
16 March 2011
Coal in total primary energy supply, 2008
EU-27: 1 751 Mtoe (14.3%) World: 12 267 Mtoe
sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2010 and IEA databases
gas
oil
coal 27.0%
other hydro
nuclear
combustible
renewables &
waste
coal 17.4%
oil gas
nuclear
combustible
renewables &
waste
other hydro
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 2
Fuel sources for electricity generation, 2008
EU-27: 3 341 TWh (16.6%) World: 20 181 TWh
sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2010 and IEA databases
coal 41.0%
other
hydro
nuclear
gas oil
coal 28.1% other
hydro
nuclear
gas
oil
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 3
Coal use in EU-27, China and USA, 1970-2010
source: Coal Information 2010, OECD/IEA (with 2010 estimates)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
EU-27
China
USA
Tong Mei Datang Tashan coal mine: 15 Mt annual production
mill
ion tonnes
China joins WTO
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 4
Australian & Indonesian coal exports, 1970-2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
mill
ion
ton
nes
Australia
Indonesia
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 5
sources: IEA Coal Information 2010, OECD/IEA and McCloskey Coal Report, IHS McCloskey
Tong Mei Datang Tashan coal mine: 15 Mt annual production
EU-27 coal imports by origin, 1978-2009
sources: IEA Coal Information 2010, OECD/IEA and EUROSTAT databases
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
mill
ion
ton
nes
other/non spec.
Poland
Indonesia
Australia
United States
South Africa
Colombia
Russia
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 6
Tong Mei Datang Tashan coal mine: 15 Mt annual production
EU-27 indigenous coal production, 2010
note: TPES: total primary energy supply
sources: EURACOAL and IEA databases
Germany
Greece
Poland
Czech Republic
Romania
Bulgaria
HungarySlovenia Slovakia
Poland
Germany
United Kingdom
Czech Republic
Spain
Romania Bulgaria
Hard Coal
Brown Coal
134 Mt
112 Mtce 397 Mt
122 Mtce
~60% of coal use ~20% of all energy production ~10% of TPES
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 7
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
Jan/04 Jan/05 Jan/06 Jan/07 Jan/08 Jan/09 Jan/10 Jan/11
USD/tonne (6,000 kcal/kg net)
Tong Mei Datang Tashan coal mine: 15 Mt annual production
Coal prices in EU and China, 2004-2011
source: IHS McCloskey
FOB Qinhuangdao
NW Europe (ARA) CIF
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 8
Modernisation and CO2 capture & storage (CCS)
Continuous power plant modernisation and new CCS-ready plants.
avera
ge C
O2 e
mis
sio
ns p
er
unit o
f ele
ctr
icity
ge
ne
rate
d a
t co
al-
fire
d p
ow
er
pla
nts
(g/k
Wh
)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2000 2010 2020
world
700°C
CCS
state-of-the-art
EU
source: VGB PowerTech e.V. photo courtesy of Vattenfall
Nordjyllandsværket, Denmark
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 9
Coal is the world’s fastest-growing source of primary energy and the
No.1 fuel for power generation.
Coal is safe, reliable, affordable and becoming ever-more
sustainable. Low CO2 emissions can be achieved with CCS.
Imported coal provides energy diversity. Indigenous coal reduces
energy import dependence and generates wealth.
Coal improves security of electricity supply around the world.
Conclusions
Coal is an important part of a balanced energy mix.
Coal Round, 16 March 2011 – Slide 10
Dr.-Ing. Hartmuth ZEIß
President
EURACOAL – European Association for Coal and Lignite
www.euracoal.org
Thank you!