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GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS Midland EOR Carbon Management Workshop December 2015 Cover image: Overlooking the Quest Capture facility located at Shell - Scotford, near Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta. Image provided by Shell.

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Page 1: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS

Midland EOR Carbon Management Workshop

December 2015

Cover image: Overlooking the Quest Capture facility located at Shell -

Scotford, near Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta. Image provided by Shell.

Page 2: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Reserves to production ratio:

~75 years

The Global CCS Institute

We are an international membership

organisation.

Offices in Washington DC, Brussels,

Beijing and Tokyo. Headquarters in

Melbourne.

Our diverse international

membership consists of:

o governments,

o global corporations,

o small companies,

o research bodies, and

o non-government organisations.

Specialist expertise covers the

CCS/CCUS chain.

OUR MISSIONTo accelerate the

development,

demonstration and

deployment of CCS

globally.

1Fact-based,

influential

advice and

advocacy

2Authoritative

knowledge

sharing

Our Vision for CCS:

CCS is an integral part of a low-carbon future

Page 3: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Fossil fuel demand growing and reserves robust

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015

Fossil fuel proved reserves:

6 trillion barrels of oil equivalent

Reserves to production ratio:

~75 years

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook, 2015 (New policies scenario)

Page 4: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

CCS is a vital element of a low-carbon energy future

Source: IEA Energy Technology

Perspectives (2015)

A transformation in how we generate and use energy is needed

Gt

CO

2em

issio

ns

6DS

2DS

Page 5: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

A significant task within one generation

45 large-scale CCS projects -

combined capture capacity of

80 Mtpa*:

• 22 projects in operation or

construction (40 Mtpa)

• 11 projects in advanced

planning, five nearing FID

(15 Mtpa)

• 12 projects in earlier stages

of planning (25 Mtpa)

OECDNon-OECD

4,000 Mtpa of CO2

captured by CCS by 2040 (IEA 450 Scenario)**

40 Mtpa

Global Status

of CCS: 2015

*Mtpa = million tonnes per annum **Source: IEA, Energy Technology Perspectives (2015).

Page 6: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Large-scale CCS projects by region or country

North America (with 13 in the US and 6 in Canada), China (with 9)

and UK (with 5) have the most projects

Americas 1 3 5 11 20

Early

planning

Advanced

planningConstruction Operation Total

China 5 4 - - 9

Europe 2 4 - 2 8

Gulf Cooperation

Council- - 1 1 2

Rest of World 4 - 1 1 6

Total 12 11 7 15 45

Page 7: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

15 large-scale projects are operational

Source: Large Scale CCS Projects database, Global CCS Institute (2015)

Page 8: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Large-scale projects expected to become operational by 2017

Source: Global Status of CCS: 2015, Global CCS Institute (2015)

Page 9: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

A global portfolio of operating CCS projects is emerging

Source: Global Status of CCS: 2015, Global CCS Institute (2015)

Page 10: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Relative US DOE cost reduction targets and timing for second

generation and transformational carbon capture technologies

Source: Fueling the Future: Safe, affordable, secure energy, Plasynski (2015)

Page 11: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Geographical coverage of storage resource assessments

Source: Global Storage Readiness Assessment, Global CCS Institute & Causebrook (2015)

Page 12: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

Regional analysis – Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)

GCC countries are at an early stage of CCS/CCUS deployment.

Saudi Arabia is home to the region’s first operational large-scale CCS project

The UAE hosts the world’s first CCS/CCUS project in the iron and steel sector.

The focus of CCS/CCUS activity in the region is two-fold:

o validate large-scale projects under local conditions

o support for R&D activities

Confidence from these programs is a key driver for longer-term deployment.

Page 13: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

The Global Status of CCS: 2015

The Institute’s key publication

Summary Report, Key Findings and other

advocacy materials can be found at:

http://status.globalccsinstitute.com/

Full report is available online at the Institute’s

Members Portal.

Page 14: GLOBAL CCUS DEVELOPMENTS - CO2 Conference · 12/11/2015  · •11 projects in advanced planning, five nearing FID (15 Mtpa) •12 projects in earlier stages of planning (25 Mtpa)

www.globalccsinstitute.com