george siemens, oslo, noviembre 2009
TRANSCRIPT
Learning in 2020
George Siemens
November 17, 2009
Oslo, Norway
Me
https://tekri.athabascau.ca/
www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter)
http://twitter.com/gsiemens
It’s getting crazy out there.
Universities transitioning to an
information era
Freedman, G. (2008). Unlocking the global education imperative: Core
challenges & critical response
But our current system has a
dim future
India calls for 27,000 HE
institutions
http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/1/68995.htm
Funding reductions in public
education
http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19562
Tremendous growth of online
education
http://www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/staying_course
Growth of for-profit education
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/10/28/phoenix
What will 2020 look like?
Population growth (extra 1 B+)
Globalized, integrated world
(legal)
Pelton, Toward a Global Rule of Law: A Practical Step Toward World
Peace. WFS
West to east money/power
transfer
Climate change
Resource scarcity
Women as agents of
geopolitical change
DCDC, National Intelligence Council
Technologies of transformation
Traceable & recordable
everything
Gene Stephens, “Cybercrime in the Year 2025,” July-Aug 2008, p. 34 World
Future Society
Cognitive augmentation
(technological, biological)
Identity/presence tools
(with accompanying
privacy/security/ethics
concerns)
Physical/virtual integration
Aggregation at point of search/use
Prominence of indirect internet
access (i.e. apps)
Rise of Things
Internet of things
Robot in every home
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2006/09/060906-robots.html
Global, complex future requires
a connected, educated
populace
Why is change so hard in
education??
Trailing ideologies
Ideologies of an era are
embedded into its systems
Eras change. Systems stay.
Anomalies of a transition period
The Dynamo
How will we learn in 2020?
Institutions
Learners
Course design
Adaptive
Contextual
Aggregation-driven
Learning is elimination
Technology is about addition
Trend of information is
abundance
Do you really need a citation? Look at your inbox.
Abundance “will challenge decision-support
processes which are based on „ordered‟
knowledge”DCDC Global Strategic Trends
Complexity is our problem
reality
How do we handle it?
Technology
Social networks
Wayfinding through social
systems
Human/machine learning and
sensemaking
Matching systems to society’s
needs
Farmer
Greeks
Religious
Schools & Institutions
Networks
https://tekri.athabascau.ca/
www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter)
http://twitter.com/gsiemens