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Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs @soul_sci Laura C. Soul @GraemeTLloyd Graeme T. Lloyd

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Page 1: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of

Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

@soul_sciLaura C. Soul

@GraemeTLloyd Graeme T. Lloyd

Page 2: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Acknowledgements

David W. Bapst@dwbapst

Katie E. Davis@drkatiedavis

Matt Friedman@Friedman_Lab

Page 3: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Prompt

Page 4: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

What use are dinosaurs?

Prompt

Page 5: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Prompt

Page 6: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Prompt

Page 7: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Palaeobiogeography

Page 8: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Palaeobiogeography

Page 9: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Palaeobiogeography

Page 10: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Palaeobiogeography

Page 11: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Discrete area approaches

BioGeoBEARS

Page 12: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Continuous approach

Page 13: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Continuous approach

Page 14: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Continuous approach

Page 15: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Continuous approach

Page 16: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Hypotheses

Page 17: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Hypotheses

Page 18: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Hypotheses

Page 19: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Data: phylogeny

Page 20: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

1000 Taxa > +

Data: phylogeny

Page 21: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Data: temporospatial

Page 22: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Results

Page 23: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Results

Page 24: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Results

Page 25: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

That’s all well and good in practice…

Page 26: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Does simulated data match empirical?

That’s all well and good in practice…

Page 27: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Does simulated data match empirical?

(Secondary) Test discrete methods

That’s all well and good in practice…

Page 28: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Challenges

Page 29: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Challenges

Page 30: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Challenges

Page 31: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Everything is easier with circles!

Page 32: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Everything is easier with circles!

xr

Page 33: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Everything is easier with circles!

x

x = 2r(1 – squishiness)

Page 34: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

Page 35: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

Page 36: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

Page 37: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

Page 38: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

/

Page 39: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

/

Page 40: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: continents

/

Page 41: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: organisms

Page 42: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: organisms

Page 43: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: organisms

Page 44: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: organisms

Page 45: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Model inputs: organisms

Page 46: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

github.com/laurasoul/dispeRse

Code

Page 47: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation run

Page 48: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation run

“Pangaea”

Page 49: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation run

“Pangaea”Clade start point

Page 50: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation run

Page 51: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation results

Page 52: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation results

Page 53: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Simulation results

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Page 54: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Page 55: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Land Shelf

Page 56: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Land Shelf

Page 57: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Land Shelf

Page 58: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Land Shelf

Page 59: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Page 60: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Page 61: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Page 62: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Extending the model

Page 63: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Conclusions

Page 64: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Conclusions

Page 65: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Conclusions

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Page 66: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Conclusions

✔ ✔

Page 67: Generating new models for detecting phylogenetic signals of endemism and dispersal: effects of Pangaean breakup and avian flight on Mesozoic dinosaurs

Conclusions

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