garrison constituencies and economics performances: the jamaican experience

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Garrison Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience Presenters: Kirkland Anderson John McAllister Jonas Semugeshi

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Garrison Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience . Presenters: Kirkland Anderson John McAllister Jonas Semugeshi. CONTENT. INTRODUCTION METHODOLOGY RESULTS AND FINDINGS CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDATION. INTRODUCTION. Serious and violent crimes include: Murder - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

Garrison Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

Presenters:Kirkland AndersonJohn McAllisterJonas Semugeshi

Page 2: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

CONTENT

• INTRODUCTION

• METHODOLOGY • RESULTS AND FINDINGS • CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDATION

Page 3: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

INTRODUCTION

Serious and violent crimes include:MurderRapeRobberyShootingsBreakingsLarcenyKnife related incidencesCarnal AbuseSource: Department of Statistics, Jamaica Constable Force

Page 4: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

INTRODUCTION

Garrison in Jamaica are poor inner-city communities controlled by either of Jamaica’s two main political parties. They are characterized by homogeneous and in some cases over voting patterns for one of the islands two political parties {Wikipedia, 2010}.

Page 5: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

JAMAICA’S GARRISON CONSTITUENCIES

1. West Kingston 7. Kingston Central2. South West St Andrew 8. South St Andrew3. St. Andrew Central 9. Clarendon Central4. St. Andrew Western5. St. Catherine Central 6. East Kingston and Port RoyalSt. Catherine South {includes Central Village)Source: The Politics of the Garrison in Jamaica: Electoral Manipulation Through Patronage and Violence Kevin O'Brien Chang, (January 27, 2008)

Page 6: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

HOW ARE GARRISON CONSTITUENCIES CREATED?Garrison constituencies are created by:

• the development of large scale housing schemes by the state and the location of the houses therein to supporters of the party in power;

• homogenisation by the dominant party activist pushing out the minority from within and guarding against invasion from outsiders

 • the expected setting up of squatter community • The hard core garrison communities exhibit an element of autonomy,

in that they are states within a state. The Jamaican State has no authority or power except in as far as its forces are able to invade in the form of police and military raids (Kerr, 1997 July).

 

Page 7: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

IMPACT OF SERIOUS AND VIOLENT CRIMES

The World Bank in a recent report says crime in the Caribbean and it's mostly referring to Jamaica - is "undermining growth, threatening human welfare, and impeding social development"(Biswas, 2007, May 16). Serious and violent crimes are costly. They impose:

concrete economic costs on the victims who survive as well as the families of those who lose their lives.

large costs on communities. significant costs on taxpayers (Shapiro, 2010).

Page 8: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

METHODOLOGY

This research focuses on the level of serious and violent crimes committed in Jamaica, in particular nine constituencies and one inner city community {Central Village, St. Catherine South}, all of which demonstrate garrison characteristics since 2007.

Page 9: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

A quantitative approach has been adopted utilizing secondary data such as:

• level of serious and violent crimes in the garrison constituencies.

• cost per inmate {Spanish Town Correctional Centre}.

• cost to the health system {Spanish Town Hospital} for treating serious and violent crimes such as stabbing, gun-shot wound, rape and carnal abuse.

Page 10: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

The data utilized were published by the following well established entities: • Statistical Institute of Jamaica • International Monetary Funds (IMF) • Economic Watch • Criminal Investigative Agency (CIA) Fact

Book • Jamaica Constabulary Force {JCF}

Statistical Department etc.

Page 11: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

LIMITATION

• Unavailability of important data  Total leakages from the Jamaican Economy are limited to:• cost incurred by the penal system• loss in GDP due to incarceration of

individuals

Page 12: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

RESULTS AND FINDINGS

Serious and violent crimes committed in the garrison constituencies

Page 13: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

% of serious and violent crimes committed in the garrison constituencies of Jamaica in 2002

5.194.3

5.17

10.52

8.26

9.42

9.317.88

39.9

Kingston CentralKingston EastKingston WestSt. Andrew CentralSt. Andrew NorthSt. Andrew SouthSt. Catherine Central {includes Spanish Town}St. Catherine South {includes Central Vil-lage}Other areas

Page 14: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

% of serious and violent crimes committed in the garrison constituencies of Jamaica in 2011, 2012 & 2013

2011 2012 201350

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

52.81

56.85

53.8 % of serious & violent crime committed in the garrison con-stituencies

Page 15: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

% of serious and violent crimes committed in the garrison constituencies of Jamaica between 2011 & 2013

2.411 4.2412.933

11.67

5.266

7.422

8.266

6.5435.777

45.46

Kingston CentralKingston EastKingston WestSt. Andrew CentralSt. Andrew NorthSt. Andrew SouthSt. Catherine Central {includes Spanish Town}St. Catherine South {includes Central Village}Clarendon CentralOther areas

Page 16: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

AVERAGE ANNUAL COST TO THE PENAL SYSTEM

PER INMATE

Page 17: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

2013 $845,000.00

2012 $787,592.00

( 845,000) 1 + 0.07289

2011 $732,473.00

(787,592) 1 + 0.07525

Page 18: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

TOTAL ANNUAL COST TO THE JAMAICAN ECONOMY DUE TO COST INCURRED BY THE PENAL SYSTEM

COST   YEAR

2013 2012 2011

Total cost {JA$} $2,074,475,000.00 

$1,851,631,143.00

$70,823,613.00 

Total cost allocated to garrison constituencies {JA$}

$1,116,067,550.00

$1,052,652,304.80 $ 38,117,268.52

Total cost allocated to garrison constituencies {US$}

US$11,075,394.96 

US$11,842,190.00 

US$442,812.13

Page 19: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

TOTAL ANNUAL COST TO THE JAMAICA ECONOMY DUE TO LOSS IN GDP COST   YEAR

2013 2012 2011Total cost {US$} 2,455* US$5,600.89 =

 

US$13,750,184.95 

2,351 * US$5,140.00 =  

US$12,084,140.00

2,181 * US$4,760.00 =  

US$10,381,560.00

 

Total cost allocated to garrison constituencies {US$}

0.538*US$13,750,184.95  

=US$7,397,599.50

0.5685*US$12,084,140.00  =US$6,869,833.59

0.538*US$13,750,184.95  

=US$7,397,599.50  

Page 20: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

TOTAL ANNUAL COST TO THE JAMAICA ECONOMY AS A % OF GDP COST   YEAR

2013 2012 2011

Total cost allocated to garrison constituencies {US$}

US$11,075,394.96 +

US$7,397,599.50 =

US$18,472,994.46 

US$11,842,190.00 +

US$6,869,833.59 =

US$18,712,023.59 

US$442,812.13 +

US$7,397,599.50 =  USS$7,840,411.63

 

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

US$15.477billion US$15.249billion

US$14.778billion

TOTAL COST AS A % OF GDP

O.119% 0.123% 0.053%

Page 21: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

CONCLUSION

This research is by no means suggesting that serious and violent crimes will be reduced by an average of fifty five per cent with the removal of the garrison constituencies. However, there is no doubt that its removal will:

Page 22: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

lower significantly the monster of serious and violent crimes

increase budgetary savings result in additional revenues result in increased real estate values in

the areas. Increase investments

Page 23: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

RECOMMENDATIONThe ultimate goal emanating from the removal of garrison constituencies should be the reduction of poverty, an increase in skills levels so that people have an opportunity to earn a liveable wage. This can be achieved with the implementation of the Partnership Upliftment Program for Inner City Young Men {expansion on the CSJP Program}

Page 24: Garrison  Constituencies and Economics Performances: The Jamaican Experience

• THANK YOU