galvanized steel sheet in an automotive sector as a...
TRANSCRIPT
Galvanized steel sheet in an automotive sector as a barometer of Zinc market growthLisbon, October 23, 2014Nicolas RouetAutomotive Marketing, ArcelorMittal Europe – Flat Products
Key contents
ArcelorMittal, a global steel leader
Steel remains material of choice for Automotive industry
And zinc coated material the material of choice
Our Answer to Future Automotive Constraints
ArcelorMittal, a global steel leader
Steel remains material of choice forautomotive industry
And zinc coated material the material of choice
Our Answer to Future Automotive Constraints
Our steel – the fabric of life
4
Our strengths
• Proximity to every customer in Europe with an efficient and optimized supply chain network
• Dedicated flexible customer teams focused to manage all the aspects of your business with us (commercial, supply chain, quality, innovation)
• High focus on technical support at all stages of the product life from design, engineering, industrialization to an exemplary after sales service
• Backed by a world-class R&D team offering the largest range of products, steel solutions and simulations
• Efficient, proven steel solutions thanks to our strong partnerships with customers, helping you to address crucial challenges concerning environmental impact, product performance and manufacturing costs
• Our “power of imagination” concept in business development to boost business in good old Europe.
44
• We offer all around the world the most advanced steels with: – Consistent mechanical properties resulting from many parameters defined all
along the production process– Different coatings and surface treatments– Systematic comparison of in-use properties of similar products (equivalency
program)
Hot Stamping, AHSS, Deep Drawing steels, Electrical steels and much more…
A worldwide automotive offer
514/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
ArcelorMittal, a global steel leader
Steel remains material of choice forautomotive industry
And zinc coated material the material of choice
Our Answer to Future Automotive Constraints
• China, from 1 million in 2000 to 30 millions in 2020 to represent 1/3 Global automotive production• Market recovery expected in Europe, and go back in 2018/2020 to pre-crisis (2007) level• New emerging markets: Middle East – North Africa, ASEAN, Andes• Global platform development
Automotive production continues to grow to reach 100 millions in 2018 with 30% vehicles produced in China
714/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Market recovery in Europe, contrasted evolution. Growth in Spain and Eastern countries. Germany keeps the lead
14/05/2014 8Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
In Steel equivalent
Area Trends for material mix in automotive application - BIW
EuropeModerate growth for aluminum for premium vehicles (Audi, Jaguar, BMW) and aluminum already present
Nafta Growth for aluminum pushed by Ford F-150+1,2 Mt capacity till 2020.
Mercosur Steel remains the only material
China Very low growth, steel remains the material of choice
India Steel remains the only material
Russia Steel remains the only material
Japan Steel remains the main choice
9Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Steel remains the materials of choice, despite a growth of Aluminium in Nafta, global growth in automotive production will be in emerging countries in which steel is predominant
Source: Ducker Worldwide, Aluminum and Magnesium Industry analysis - 08-31-2010 & Light Vehicle Metals Market Analysis and Forecast - 06-12-2012
2012 8,3%
2015 10,7%
2020 16,1%
2012 5,1%
2015 5,3%
2020 4,7%
2012 54.6%
2015 49.3%
2020 42.2%
Source: Novelis presentation to 3rd annual aluminum outlook conference, Chicago, June 2010Bumper beams FY12: 2,6%
Chassis, Suspensions & Steering FY12: 12,1%
Closures FY12: 3.2%
Heat exchangersFY12: 9.2%
Wheels FY12: 19.8%
Brakes FY12: 2.5%Engines FY12: 54.6% Transmission & Driveline FY12: 12.8%
BIW structure FY12: 2.5%
Heat shields FY12: 2.4%Others FY12: 2.4%
2012 31,9%
2015 34,7%
2020 36,9%
1014/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Aluminum in automotive
Weight of new Peugeot 308 BIW is decreasing by 70 kg: 20 kg linked to AHSS; 5 kg linked to alternative materials but 45 kg linked to optimized design, resizing of the car and advanced assembly process
Optimized design and improved assembly process will also lead to steel intensity reduction
-33 Kilos/veh
1114/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Reduction in steel intensity due to lightweight steel solutions, alternative materials and design improvement
ArcelorMittal continues to respond to demanding regulations offering affordable and safe lightweight solutions
ArcelorMittal continues to respond to demanding regulations offering affordable and safe lightweight solutions
Powertrain efficiencyand weight reduction,2 main driversto reach C02 target
Europe already at 127 g CO2/km in 2013 and 15% vehicles registered in 2013 below 100 g CO2/km
1214/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Global regulation as main driver on weight reduction target Ambitious target for the next 5 to 10 years
Weight reduction in kg (Veh segment B)
Usibor®
1500 (included in wet zones)
0
10
20
30
40
60
70
80
90
Usibor® 2000, Low density Duplex,
FeTiB2
2015 2020
2015 20202013
MS1500TRIPDUAL Usibor® 2000
T5.0
FeTiB23rd generation AHSS (Fortiform®)
Upgrade with AHSS (TRIP800,
DP1180…)
• Integration of functions
• More ambitious 3rd generation AHSS (forfiform ®)
Target 2020 -100kg
Target 2015 -50kg
Requires new solutions
Reachable with existing steel solutions (in particular massive use of hot stamping
Product development portfolio
MS1500, Usibor®
1500, Ductibor®
500, door-ring,
openings frame
Typical alignment of ArcelorMittal’s product development with OEM weight saving objectives
31% BIW + Closures
weight decrease
in this extreme
case!
14/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Continuous innovation in steel grades allows continuous weight reduction opportunities for OEMs
13
quotes from Volkswagen and Volvo
“Volkswagen is using high strength steels in increasing amounts. It is a very cost effective way of reducing weight. Using new innovations in steel engineering… it is possible to reduce weight without the use for more costly materials such as aluminium and carbon fibre.”
Armin Plath, VW’s Head of Materials Research and Manufacturing
“Volvo prefers boron steel to aluminum because of the strength properties and the added safety in a crash”
Peter Mertens, senior vice president of research and development for Volvo.
15
Source: Article “Volkswagen Replaces Aluminium With Steel To Save Weight And Money” , written by Bertel Schmitt on January 24, 2013 for the Truth About Cars website.
1514/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
ArcelorMittal, a global steel leader
Steel remains material of choice forautomotive industry
And zinc coated material the material of choice
Our Answer to Future Automotive Constraints
Pure zinc
Pure aluminium
100
55
5 GALFAN
ALUZINC®
ALUPUR®
HDG – EXTRAGAL®EG
wt% Al
wt% Mg
wt% Fe
10 GALVANNEALED
wt% Si10ALUSI®
Al > 50%
Zn > 50% ZAGNELIS®
MAGNELIS® 3.7
3
1714/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
95% auto
coating
Coating : for automotive applications 95% volumes are pure zinc
% of coated materials in Body in White
• In Europe, ratio at high level and remains at this level
• In emerging countries, coated materials is increasing pushed by global platform programmes, limited in India due to cost pressure
• In China, the ratio is constrainted by capacity and by JapaneseOEMs’ policy to avoid using coated materials for some exposed parts
Source: ArcelorMittal Europe, Automotive marketing
1814/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Automotive coated materials are increasing in all emerging countries
CW (g/m²) %Zn coating Current Trend
Steels for Cold Formed Parts
100, 140 100% GIAlmost all market of
coated steel for Auto BiW
Surface improvements for compliance to new painting systems and improvement of
manufacturing conditionsZn Coating weight reduction is marginal
90 10% GA
70, 90, 120 93,3% ZnMgAl Starting Development for optimizing functional cost. 2 kilos zinc saved on one vehicle.
120 0 AlSi Specific (Exhaust, engine area)
AlSi remains on specific applicationsNo trend in market for a new 0 zinc coating
Steels for Hot Stamping
140 to 180 100% GI Marginal AlSi will remain main coatingLimited growth of GI or potential evolutions
towards new coatings which composition may contain Zn
80, 150 0 AlSi Almost all market
Coating Code
Market Trend
CoatingShift
Impact on Zn Content
Electro-Galvanized ZE Z none
Hot Dip Galvanized Z ZM Mainly 100 g/m2, remaining carmakers to switchfrom 140 g to 100 g
Hot Dip Galvannealed ZF none
Zagnelis® ZM Reduction of Zn by 20% to 40% on GI displaced
to ZM
Alusi® AS Displacement of Zn coated Cold formed parts to
No Zn Hot formed parts
1914/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Coatings trends in automotive market:Alsi and ZnMgAl to growth
BodyShop
Paint Shop Vehicle lifePressShop
Improvement need in Stamping ability & adhesive bonding
Evolutions in painting processes• Substitution of phosphatation• Compact paint Systems
Ready: Ultragal®Under study: Improved EG surface
Corrosion Protection
Ready ZnMgAl unexposed on normal gaugeAlmost ready ZnMgAl on heavy gauge (non AHSS)Industrial trials: ZnMgAl exposed
Reduce friction issuesReduce zinc abrasion/galling
Paint aspect for exposed pannels
Improved corrosion behaviour in critical zones
Ready: NIT on GI and EGPositive impact ZnMgAl
2014/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
The challenges for coatings in automotive industry
2114/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Metallic coatings for industry marketOverview
Surfaceprotection
Edge andscratch
protection
Outdoorexposure
performances
Aspectdurability
Bendingand
profiling
Temperatureresistance
Solar heatreflectivity
Hot DipGalvanised + ++ + ++ ++ + +
Galfan ++ +++ ++ + +++ + +
Aluzinc® +++ + +++ +++ ++ ++ +++
Alupur® ++++ (flat)+ (deformed)
+ ++ ++++ (flat)+ (deformed)
+ +++ +++
Magnelis® ++++ ++++ ++++ + ++ + +
Performance rating from low (+) to very high (++++)Performance rating from
2214/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Metallic coating range for industryKey properties for outdoor usage
SurfaceProtection(unpainted)
Protection (painted)
AspectDurability
(unpainted)
Aspect(post-
painted)
Coatingformability
ElectricalResistance
welding
Temperatureresistance
Electrogalvanised + +++ ++ +++ ++ +++ +
Hot DipGalvanised + +++ ++ +++ ++ ++ +
Galfan ++ +++ + +++ +++ + +
Aluzinc® +++ +++ +++ +++ ++ + ++
Alusi® +++ +++ ++ + + + +++
Alupur® - - - - - - ++
Performance rating from low (+) to very high (++++)
2314/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Metallic coating range for IndustryKey properties for indoor usage
Coating Code
Market Trend
CoatingShift
Impact on Zn Content
Electro-Galvanized ZE Z More Zn/m² (x3)
Hot Dip Galvanized Z ZM Less Zn/m² (÷2)
Galfan ZA / ZM Less Zn/m² (÷2)
Aluzinc® AZ / ZM More Zn/m² (x2)
Magnelis® ZM Batch Less Zn/m² (÷3)
Alusi® AS No Zn
Alupur® AL No Zn
2414/05/2014 Metal Bulletin - 18th Zinc & its Markets Seminar
Metallic coating range for IndustryMarket Trend (EU scope)