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Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster www.annimac.com.au DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch Forum 1 st Dec 2006

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Page 1: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

Future Trends Impacting DOCEP

People just ain’t what they used to be

Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster

www.annimac.com.au

DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch Forum 1st Dec 2006

Page 2: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 2

Rate of Change - exponential

Amount of change now in 1 day

grandparents had in 1 year

Younger means faster

Generational gap widening

Page 3: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 3

I’m never having kids. I hear they take nine months to download.

Page 4: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 4

Customer driven world

Product driven world shrinking

Customers demand excellence

Page 5: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 5

By 2020

70 % of job types then

do not exist now

because

Driving all Change : Technology

Page 6: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 6

By 2020

80 % of technology then

is not imagined yet

Driving all Change : Technology

Page 7: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 7

Japanese Robanoid 2006

Future Receptionist Mine site Guide ?

Page 8: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 8

Imagine

what some of

those

jobs might be ….. ?

Page 9: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 9

Likely jobs in next 15 years : Director of Emerging Thought Chief Zookeeper - of people Biotech Practices Auditor Virtual Regulations Designer Nano Technology Info Officer Chief Imagination Advisor Hacker Relations Manager Holographic Safety Modeller Online Client Consultant

Page 10: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 10

Pressure to change - why

Technology driving change

Who is driving new technologies

Not IT industry Not executives in Big Biz or Govt Not market industry researchers

Page 11: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 11

Look at Generational differences

Gen gap always existed

but

Gen gap is

fast

Page 12: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 12

Parallel

Universes ?

Kids

live

them.

Page 13: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 15

Page 14: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 16

Generations Baby Boomers 1945 – 60 age 45 – 60

Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45

DotComs 1975 – 90 15 - 30

Ferals 1990 – now to 15 annimac

Generation X 1960 – 80 25 – 45

Generation Y 1980 – now to 25 wikipedia

Page 15: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 17

Baby Boomers

Page 16: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 18

Baby Boomers 45 - 60

Downsizing lives

Empty nesters

Retired or part time work

Male identity from job

Questioning material status

Page 17: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 19

Boomers Care

Page 18: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 20

Baby Boomers 45 - 60 : Sense of community

Seek new safe experiences

Security & Health conscious

Defer to authority Love / hate change

Page 19: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 21

Boomers & technology

Page 20: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 22

Impact for DOCEP Baby Boomers 45 - 60 Winding down : leisure

indulgence Risk averse Respect rank Steady relationships Need

relationship continuity familiar experiences positive group identity organisational structure

Page 21: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 23

So

Are Boomers driving change ?

No Yes Maybe

Page 22: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 24

Gen Xers

Page 23: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 25

Generation Xers 30 - 45

Single Childless

Net Dating

Varied lifestyles

Varied workstyles

SOHO

Page 24: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 26

Gen X Singles

Page 25: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 27

Generation Xers 30 - 45

Risk takers Personal journey Fast decisions

Materialism assumed

Environmental values

Defer to heroes

Expect & accept change

Page 26: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 28

Gen X Lifestyle Dog

Page 27: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 29

Impact for DOCEP Generation X 30 - 45

Fast action Now Short term pitch - staged pitch Results oriented Need

choices immediacy short term projects complete – stand alone skills oriented demand quality of experience

Page 28: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 30

So

Are GenXers driving change ?

No Yes Maybe

Page 29: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 31

DotComs

Page 30: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 32

DotComs 15 – 30 ( Gen Y)

Own path

Temporary pairing

Group socialising

Internet relationships

Wired Immediacy

No home

No single careers

Page 31: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 33

DotComs Relationships

Page 32: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 34

DotComs 15 - 30

I.d. from activity

Multi channeled Multi

actions

Planetary group mission

Temporary deference -

usefulness

Need change Cluetrain Manifesto

www.cluetrainmanifesto.com

Page 33: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 35

Impact for DOCEP DotComs 15 - 30

Passionate – value driven Team + personal

relationships Short term fast involvement Multi channel activities Need

choices no spin very short term flexibility innovation real positive outcomes

Page 34: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 36

So

Are DotComs driving change ?

No Yes Maybe

Page 35: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 37

Ferals

Page 36: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 38

Ferals 0 - 15 Wild Child

No limits No boundaries Planetary mission : to create sustainable world Wired Parallel universes Unlimited mind channels Intuitive & telepathic

Page 37: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 39

Ferals Virtual World

Page 38: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 40

Ferals to 15

Future jobs unimportant

Non consumers

Global i.d. from self values

No deference

Respect only when useful

Live change & ignore

barriers

Page 39: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 41

Ferals

Page 40: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 42

Impact for DOCEP Ferals to 15

Expect new relationships & things

love Virtual world Create into unknowns Need

personal power trust clear values nb: super spin detectors

no rules no hindrance ICT resource access multi channel everything

Page 41: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 43

So

Are Ferals driving change ?

No Yes Maybe

Page 42: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 44

Page 43: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 45

DOCEP Trends Summary huge rate of change younger generations driving

change QBL = profit relationships Work / Life styles options less governance more community power individual responsibility

! Virtual world emerging !

Page 44: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 46

Facing the future at DOCEP :

Page 45: Future Trends Impacting DOCEP People just ain’t what they used to be Annimac Futurist Trend Forecaster  DOCEP WA Team Leadership Lunch

1 December 2006 www.annimac.com.au 47

thank you www. annimac.com.au