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Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory Workshop 3 September 2003 Undersea Warfare Center Division

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Page 1: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the

Engineering of Distributed Systems

Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the

Engineering of Distributed Systems

Mr. Ray Christian3rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Workshop3 September 2003

Mr. Ray Christian3rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Workshop3 September 2003

Undersea Warfare Center Division

Page 2: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

AgendaAgenda

• Introduction• The Fundamentals of

Distributed, Networked Forces

• Development of Distributed, Networks Systems

• Conclusion

• Introduction• The Fundamentals of

Distributed, Networked Forces

• Development of Distributed, Networks Systems

• Conclusion

Page 3: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

Basic QuestionsBasic Questions

In support of distributed, networked forces:• What are the defining characteristics of a

distributed, networked system in the Information Age?

• What should a distributed, networked system be capable of?

• How should distributed, networked systems be developed to exploit their full potential?

In support of distributed, networked forces:• What are the defining characteristics of a

distributed, networked system in the Information Age?

• What should a distributed, networked system be capable of?

• How should distributed, networked systems be developed to exploit their full potential?

Page 4: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

The DilemmaThe Dilemma

“Defense community innovators have proposed concepts for using cutting-edge technologies to solve

long standing military challenges. These concepts assume great benefits from networking, however, the

advantages of networking as well as the implications of engineering distributed systems have not been fully

articulated.”

“Defense community innovators have proposed concepts for using cutting-edge technologies to solve

long standing military challenges. These concepts assume great benefits from networking, however, the

advantages of networking as well as the implications of engineering distributed systems have not been fully

articulated.”

How is the concept of distributed, networked system best translated to the technical and

experimentation communities?

How is the concept of distributed, networked system best translated to the technical and

experimentation communities?

Page 5: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Distributed, Networked System (DNS) Fundamentals

Distributed, Networked System (DNS) Fundamentals

• Basic Building Blocks– Apply to any system

• Functions– Pedigree from military combat modeling

• Defining Characteristics– Most insightful ways to think about a

DNS• Design Goals

– What performance attributes comprise “Universal Goods” for DNS?

• Basic Building Blocks– Apply to any system

• Functions– Pedigree from military combat modeling

• Defining Characteristics– Most insightful ways to think about a

DNS• Design Goals

– What performance attributes comprise “Universal Goods” for DNS?

Page 6: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Basic Building Blocks

From the Bottom, Up

Basic Building Blocks

From the Bottom, Up

• Element– A physical component that performs a

certain function (includes humans and IT equipment)

• Connection– Any interaction between elements or

between elements and the external world (e.g., comm links, weapon-target pairings, or logical relations). May be via physical or non-physical interactions.

• Element– A physical component that performs a

certain function (includes humans and IT equipment)

• Connection– Any interaction between elements or

between elements and the external world (e.g., comm links, weapon-target pairings, or logical relations). May be via physical or non-physical interactions.

Page 7: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

Basic FunctionsBasic Functions

• Sensing• Transport• Netting• Information Fusion and Pattern

Recognition• Interpretation, Cognition and Decision• Influence

May be executed individually or collectively at different levels within the DNS

• Sensing• Transport• Netting• Information Fusion and Pattern

Recognition• Interpretation, Cognition and Decision• Influence

May be executed individually or collectively at different levels within the DNS

Page 8: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Defining Characteristics Most Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

Defining Characteristics Most Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

• Number of Elements and collective behavior– As N increases, complex behavior increases

• But overhead increases if C2 centralized– In RBN, N = 400-600 => tipping point

• Buttons and Strings• Connection Topology

– A “real” DNS assumes a configuration based on resources available and tasks at hand• Min Connected ---- Others ---- Lattice ---- Others ----

Max Connected• Preferential attachment, clustering, path formation,

etc.• Dual Nature of links

• Number of Elements and collective behavior– As N increases, complex behavior increases

• But overhead increases if C2 centralized– In RBN, N = 400-600 => tipping point

• Buttons and Strings• Connection Topology

– A “real” DNS assumes a configuration based on resources available and tasks at hand• Min Connected ---- Others ---- Lattice ---- Others ----

Max Connected• Preferential attachment, clustering, path formation,

etc.• Dual Nature of links

Page 9: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Defining CharacteristicsMost Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

Defining CharacteristicsMost Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

• Connection Strength– Defines rate and degree of response and adaptation

• Too strong = “synthetic epilepsy,” too weak = strong control signals

– Most DNS have a dynamic mix of strengths• Usually as a result of local trade-offs

• Diversity– Systems that best adapt to competitors and

environment have diverse elements and connections. • Up to a point

– Specialization and standardization (decrease in diversity) means adaptation is devalued; systems become more vulnerable to catastrophic failure in dynamic competition

• Connection Strength– Defines rate and degree of response and adaptation

• Too strong = “synthetic epilepsy,” too weak = strong control signals

– Most DNS have a dynamic mix of strengths• Usually as a result of local trade-offs

• Diversity– Systems that best adapt to competitors and

environment have diverse elements and connections. • Up to a point

– Specialization and standardization (decrease in diversity) means adaptation is devalued; systems become more vulnerable to catastrophic failure in dynamic competition

Page 10: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Defining CharacteristicsMost Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

Defining CharacteristicsMost Insightful Ways to Think About

a DNS

• Scale – Scale is the extent to which the same system

looks different when observed at different levels of resolution. Very few dynamic, competing systems are “scale invariant”

– A distributed, networked system will be inefficient (or even completely ineffective) if it cannot observe, understand or influence behaviors at the scales in which they occur.

• Scale – Scale is the extent to which the same system

looks different when observed at different levels of resolution. Very few dynamic, competing systems are “scale invariant”

– A distributed, networked system will be inefficient (or even completely ineffective) if it cannot observe, understand or influence behaviors at the scales in which they occur.

Realization of unique synergies and inter-relationships of the defining characteristics

comprise the foundation for real performance improvements

Realization of unique synergies and inter-relationships of the defining characteristics

comprise the foundation for real performance improvements

Page 11: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Design Goals“Universal Goods”

Design Goals“Universal Goods”

• Persistent Operational Advantage– Adaptively maintaining advantage against a clever

foe, even when facing surprising initiatives, dramatic innovations or changing rules. • Includes admitting disadvantage to regain persistent

advantage later.

• Competitive Collective Behavior– Acting as purposeful collectives without

prescribed, centralized control or synchronization. • An enemy’s ability to discern friendly intent will be

dramatically reduced if the macroscopic system actions are not mapped directly or obviously to the actions of the discrete elements.

• Persistent Operational Advantage– Adaptively maintaining advantage against a clever

foe, even when facing surprising initiatives, dramatic innovations or changing rules. • Includes admitting disadvantage to regain persistent

advantage later.

• Competitive Collective Behavior– Acting as purposeful collectives without

prescribed, centralized control or synchronization. • An enemy’s ability to discern friendly intent will be

dramatically reduced if the macroscopic system actions are not mapped directly or obviously to the actions of the discrete elements.

Page 12: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Design Goals“Universal Goods”

Design Goals“Universal Goods”

• Stable System Performance– Dynamic competitive environments are extraordinarily

complex and unpredictable. A distributed, networked force must have a fundamental precept of stability in the midst of turmoil. • Controllable stability akin to "physical agility" plus aspects

of "balance." • Implies that limited losses should not impact macroscopic

behavior.

• Dynamic Adaptability– Branch-and-sequel planning is inappropriate for dynamic

environments but traditional long-term planning functions will still be required.• Simultaneously allocation, assessment and planning at

different time scales and in multiple dimensions.• Ability of forces to self-synchronize is imperative

• Stable System Performance– Dynamic competitive environments are extraordinarily

complex and unpredictable. A distributed, networked force must have a fundamental precept of stability in the midst of turmoil. • Controllable stability akin to "physical agility" plus aspects

of "balance." • Implies that limited losses should not impact macroscopic

behavior.

• Dynamic Adaptability– Branch-and-sequel planning is inappropriate for dynamic

environments but traditional long-term planning functions will still be required.• Simultaneously allocation, assessment and planning at

different time scales and in multiple dimensions.• Ability of forces to self-synchronize is imperative

Page 13: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

• Direct Connections– Example: Metcalf’s Law

• Pro: Square Law Effect• Con: Decreasing Returns (Factorial Overhead)

• Indirect Connections– Example: N!

• Pro: Factorial Effects• Con: Requires Decentralized C2

• Direct Connections– Example: Metcalf’s Law

• Pro: Square Law Effect• Con: Decreasing Returns (Factorial Overhead)

• Indirect Connections– Example: N!

• Pro: Factorial Effects• Con: Requires Decentralized C2

Primary source of advantage in DNS is the benefit derived by exploiting indirect

effects in multi-dimensional competition

Primary source of advantage in DNS is the benefit derived by exploiting indirect

effects in multi-dimensional competition

Page 14: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

• Networking Only– Example: Sensor-to-shooter

•Pro: Improves current processes•Con: Decreasing returns

• Distributing Only– Example: Streetfighter and UAVs

•Pro: Increases options•Con: Defeat in detail

• Networking Only– Example: Sensor-to-shooter

•Pro: Improves current processes•Con: Decreasing returns

• Distributing Only– Example: Streetfighter and UAVs

•Pro: Increases options•Con: Defeat in detail

Page 15: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

Advantage in Distributed Networked Forces

• Networking AND Distributing– Example: CEC

• Pro: Factorial Effects• Con: Requires Decentralized C2 (!)

• Networking AND Distributing Military Forces– Pro: Advantage can emerge from a broad pool of

inputs and manifest in a multitude of ways, each obscure to an opponent until advantage is ready to be applied.

– Con: Requires dramatic cultural change

• Networking AND Distributing– Example: CEC

• Pro: Factorial Effects• Con: Requires Decentralized C2 (!)

• Networking AND Distributing Military Forces– Pro: Advantage can emerge from a broad pool of

inputs and manifest in a multitude of ways, each obscure to an opponent until advantage is ready to be applied.

– Con: Requires dramatic cultural change

Primary source of advantage in DNF arises from factorial effects distributed in many dimensions and summoned

for use in a manner dictated by evolving conditions

Primary source of advantage in DNF arises from factorial effects distributed in many dimensions and summoned

for use in a manner dictated by evolving conditions

Page 16: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center DivisionPotential DNS

Design PrinciplesPotential DNS

Design Principles• Recombination

– Ability to aggregate, distribute or interchange physical, informational or logical parts

• Dispersion– Avoiding spatial, informational or logical massification

• Mobility– Sufficient speed for rapid relocation/reconfiguration

• Stealth– Physically smaller elements with reduced signatures

• Proximity– Ability to get up close and survive

• Flexibility– Fluid system substructures, broad interoperability

• Persistence– Ability to operate without disruption by cyclic logistics

• Recombination– Ability to aggregate, distribute or interchange

physical, informational or logical parts• Dispersion

– Avoiding spatial, informational or logical massification• Mobility

– Sufficient speed for rapid relocation/reconfiguration• Stealth

– Physically smaller elements with reduced signatures• Proximity

– Ability to get up close and survive• Flexibility

– Fluid system substructures, broad interoperability• Persistence

– Ability to operate without disruption by cyclic logistics

Explicit value of Design Principles is context dependent.Explicit value of Design Principles is context dependent.

Page 17: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

Development of Distributed Networked

Systems

Development of Distributed Networked

Systems

Page 18: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division An Intellectual Gap

An Intellectual Gap

• Physical parts of the system are over-represented in the Design Principles– Informational and logical aspects not at same level of

specificity as physical elements and tangible connections.

– Principles on the surface appear to concentrate on individual rather than collective attributes.

• Largely because sensibilities for designing intangible behaviors in distributed, networked forces are immature. – The practice of engineering distributed, networked

forces has not preceded the need to engineer such forces.

– We must develop the engineering and system engineering competencies for distributed forces at the same time that we learn how to engineer the actual forces.

• Physical parts of the system are over-represented in the Design Principles– Informational and logical aspects not at same level of

specificity as physical elements and tangible connections.

– Principles on the surface appear to concentrate on individual rather than collective attributes.

• Largely because sensibilities for designing intangible behaviors in distributed, networked forces are immature. – The practice of engineering distributed, networked

forces has not preceded the need to engineer such forces.

– We must develop the engineering and system engineering competencies for distributed forces at the same time that we learn how to engineer the actual forces.

Page 19: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

Filling the GapFilling the Gap

Engineering discipline – Context – Experimentation• Evolve the field of DNS Engineering

– Interact with non-traditional fields: social sciences, mathematical biology, …

– Codify processes, practices, principles and standards• Evaluate in a warfighting context

– Co-evolve with the end user• Experiment, Experiment, Experiment

– Since end benefit is derived from system interactions and a priori design process is not feasible

– Venues: Workshops, war games, simulation, real world

Engineering discipline – Context – Experimentation• Evolve the field of DNS Engineering

– Interact with non-traditional fields: social sciences, mathematical biology, …

– Codify processes, practices, principles and standards• Evaluate in a warfighting context

– Co-evolve with the end user• Experiment, Experiment, Experiment

– Since end benefit is derived from system interactions and a priori design process is not feasible

– Venues: Workshops, war games, simulation, real world

Page 20: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

OperationalConcept

TechnologyConcept

OperationalConcept

EXPERI

MENTATION

DefiningCharacteristic

OperationalConcept

TechnologyConcept

OperationalConcept

EXPERI

MENTATION

DesignPrinciples

ExploratoryDevelopment

AdvancedDevelopment

TechnologyConcept

OperationalConcept

EXPERI

MENTATION

SystemDesign

EngineeringDevelopment

DistributedNetworked

System

Design Goals

Developing DNSDeveloping DNS

Page 21: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Undersea Warfare Center Division

ConclusionConclusion

• Articulated a formal translation• Explicitly described source of

advantage• Proposed Design Principles• Suggested critical development

needs• Offered vision of paradigm shift

• Articulated a formal translation• Explicitly described source of

advantage• Proposed Design Principles• Suggested critical development

needs• Offered vision of paradigm shift

Page 22: Fundamentals of Distributed, Networked Military Forces and the Engineering of Distributed Systems Mr. Ray Christian 3 rd New Horizons in Search Theory

Questions?Questions?

Undersea Warfare Center Division