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FTTH Wholesale Evolution
A review on what is coming next
Polska Cyfrowa impulsem do e-rozwoju Warszawa, 26 maja 2015 r.
Guillermo Alarcon. Alcatel-Lucent
FTTH: Inclusion and Competitiveness From Luxury to Affordable Necessity
Country Operator Mbps USD % of Monthly
GNIPPP
Tunis Ooredoo 100 86 10%
Tunis Ooredoo 40 56 6%
Tunis Ooredoo 20 46 5%
Oman Ooredoo 50 164 4%
Oman Ooredoo 30 138 3%
Oman Ooredoo 16 112 3%
Oman Ooredoo 8 86 2%
France SFR 200 42 1%
France SFR 100 32 1%
Poland Alfanet 200 26 1%
Poland Alfanet 100 15 1%
Poland Alfanet 30 13 1%
Poland Alfanet 5 10 1%
Mexico Axtel 200 65 5%
Mexico Axtel 20 37 3%
Mexico Axtel 6 27 2%
Colombia ETB 150 100 10%
Colombia ETB 70 65 6%
Colombia ETB 40 46 5%
Colombia ETB 20 35 4%
-50,00
0,00
50,00
100,00
150,00
200,00
-50 0 50 100 150 200 250
Tunis Oman France
Poland Mexico Colombia
Speed M
on
thly
Fee
USD
/M
Bubble Size: Monthly Fee / GNIPPP
Publicized prices in the Internet March 17th 2015 World Bank Data
Telecom Network Layered Model
Services, Content & Apps (residential, public & business)
Active Network (network equipments,
business & operation support)
Passive Infrastructure (trenches, ducts, fibre)
End-user
Investment needed Payback
Few m-3 y
5-7 y
10-15 y
20%
80%
INFRASTRUCTURE SHARING, WHOLESALE SERVICES AND PPP
How to go further?
You know the defy is exponential Well, there are also exponential solutions!
FTTH CAPEX /Abonné)
~4 ans ~8 ans > 20 ans
ZONES DENSES ZONES RURALES DENSITE MOYENNE
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Fiber drop
Dark Fiber
Trenching ducts
Engineering
Network HW
Home HW
Fiber drop
Dark Fiber
Trenching/ducts
Engineering
Network HW
Home HW
Fiber drop
Dark Fiber
Trenching/ducts
OSP engineering
Network HW
Home HW
500€
3000 €
House
holds
Cost per household
-
No ROI without
subsidies
Positive ROI for several
alternative operators
Subsidy
Comprehensive
natural monopoly
Preventive
9M 24M Positive ROI for
one operator
only
Positive ROI for one or
two operator
s
Optics Flexibility & Scalability
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
GP
ON
XG
-PO
N1
TWD
M-P
ON
[1
]
TWD
M-P
ON
[4
]
DS [Gbps]
2010
GPON G.984
NG-PON1 XG-PON1
G.987 XG-PON2 ✔ X
NG-PON2 TWDM
G.989 WDM TDM ✔ X
Niche applications
Still no volume deployments
NG-PON2 coming soon (2015)
XG-PON1
ALL services on one network
Operational benefits
Same initial cost as XG-PON1
TWDM
2015
Next generation PON standardization roadmap
Optics: Scalable & Flexible
Sharing Fiber through bitstream
POI
Layer 2 Wholesale Products
Layer 3 Wholesale Products
Both Layer 2 and Layer 3 IP/MPLS wholesale products can provide any transport service and meet any SLA
Access Provider Offers Wholesale Bitstream products at Points of Interconnections More POI, More Access Seeker Differentiation, at a Price.
Layer 2 is more straightforward while Layer 3 is more flexible in services but more complex in operations
IP/MPLS Wholesale Bitstream Compromises
Access Provider
Acc
ess
Se
eke
r
Less Responsibility More Responsibility
Less
Dif
fere
nti
atio
n
Mo
re D
iffe
ren
tiat
ion
Level 3 Wholesale Bitstream Products
Level 2 Wholesale Bitstream Products
Services Infrastructure: Meet Cloud/IP • Operators Consolidate & Converge (Fixed, Mobile,
Media) Seeking Economies of Scale and Client Retention.
• Enterprises and OTT clearly going Cloud
• Operators going Cloud/IP: Network Function Virtualization (NFV) & Software Defined Networks (SDN).
• NFV: Dealing with service request in the Cloud • Scalability, Programmability
• 30% CAPEX Savings on Core Functions
• SDN: Automates provisioning of network connections • Operational Lifecycle more efficient
• 25% to 40% OPEX Savings on Network Connectivity
http://www2.alcatel-lucent.com/landing/bell-labs/adl/
The challenge continues: Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) continues to erode.
NFV/SDN: The Next Technological Wave, as important and disruptive as IP twenty years ago
Cloud/IP What does it mean? Network Function Programmability, Connectivity Automation
and Life Cycle Simplification means:
• New Relationships with Clients: Elastic reservation and release of network capacities, On-Line Selling, Service Provisioning and Self-Care, Faster, Simpler and Cheaper Trial and Fail
• New Market Players: Large Enterprises, Virtual SP, Brokers, Access-Centric Players and Cloud Carriers
• New Collaborations: SD-VPNs and NFaaS could yield to global offerings, as in Airline business
• Profound Changes in Operations: More IT savvy, compatible OSS/BSS required, Transformation / Greenfield decisions
• OPEX Savings: Estimated 25% for Europe
NFV&SDN will expand value in telecom sector for those who embrace it by bringing elastic, programmable and dynamically manageable network capacities at internet timescales and transaction volumes
Cloud/IP Simplifies, Scales up & Innovates
Access Centric Carriers
Clo
ud
Car
rie
rs, E
nte
rpri
ses
and
IT
& O
TT
pla
yers
Less Wholesale Product
Differentiation
More Wholesale Product Differentiation
All
Kin
ds
and
Siz
es
BIg
•Bandwidth on Demand •Bandwidth Calendaring
•Enhanced user control of virtual network slices •Real-time, context-dependent QoS
•Rapid turn-up and configuration of new enterprise sites •Enablement of rapid, customized product trials
•Federated multi-operator dynamic virtual networks •Real-time, end user customizable service options
•Security Services (Firewalls, NAPT, ACL, Intrusion Detection, DoSP, On demand Security Probes)
•Content Filtering, End Point Security •IaaS: Compute, Storage & Desktop as a Service
•Granular Network Slices (Virtual IMS, Virtual ePC) •Enterprise Connectivity (SD-VPN, Virtual CPE Services)
Level 2 WP
What is Complex today, will become simpler tomorrow What is Local today, will be Global tomorrow
Conclusion
• Broadband: Citizen Inclusion and Community Competitiveness
• FTTH: from Luxury to Necessity
• Infrastructure Sharing, Wholesale & PPP prospering
• Network Technology Evolving: Faster (TWDM-NGPON2) Services (IP/MPLS) which can be shared in wholesale mode (L2/L3 Bitstream).
• Telecom going Cloud (NFV & SDN): Cloud benefits into Networks
Our industry is evolving. Lets evolve with it.