from past to present: energy efficiency programs and ... · cee 2018 annual industry report...
TRANSCRIPT
From Past to Present: Energy
Efficiency Programs and Industry
Trends
Kevin Bright
Managing Director, Customer Efficiency Programs
Duke Energy
September 19, 2018
New Orleans, LA
CEE 2018 Annual Industry Report
Preliminary Data
2
Evolution of Energy Efficiency
Preliminary Annual Industry Report Insights
3
1970s
• Energy crisis and OPEC oil
embargo
• “Conservation”
1980s – Least cost planning
Mid-1990s
• Deregulation
• Some abandon least cost planning
• Implement EE resource standards
2000s
• Industry maturing to serve a host
of objectives in a more sustaining
way
How Efficiency
Programs Began
4
Energy
delivery
has used
the same
business
model for
decades
5
6
Some Dynamics Utilities Face
12
Declining Electric
Load
• Energy efficiency and conservation
have become a part of the general
culture
• Growth of customer self-generation
• Increases to codes and standards
Need for Increased
Investment• Customers desire greater reliability,
resiliency after Superstorm Sandy,
etc.
• Generally aging infrastructure
• Use control technologies, Smart
Grid
• Cybersecurity
Disruptive Trends
• Communicating products
• Dynamic products
• Energy storage and accessibility to
renewable sources
• New market entrants
NEED/INSERT A GRAPH OF HISTORICAL LOAD TRENDS FOR EACH OF THE THREE UTILITIES.
Grid Quality
Credit Quality
Historical & Forecasted Electricity Growth
Utilities
are challenged
under the
existing
regulatory
model
7
What is emerging integrated
demand-side management (IDSM)?
Integration of technologies at end user
homes and facilities
Integration of programs, delivering
customer solutions
Integration of DSM for power planning,
acquisition, transmission planning, and
reliability
Demand-side management refers to, and encompasses, both
energy efficiency and demand response programs
8
Potential Benefits of Integration
CUSTOMER BENEFITSEnhanced engagement
Financial savings from new DSM
opportunities
Nonenergy benefits: remote
control, comfort, safety,
convenience, health, wellness, etc.
GRID BENEFITSGrid balancing and load
management
Grid signals, e.g. spinning
reserve, load delay, etc.
Program M&V data
Enhanced customer engagement
New IDSM Program Offerings
ENVIRONMENTAL
BENEFITSEnhanced air quality
Carbon reduction
9
10
State and provincial regulatory
policy is in motion
Key considerations:
• Emerging utility business models
• Inclusion of nonenergy benefits
• Increased grid resiliency and efficient
use of grid capital
11
Evolution of Energy Efficiency
Preliminary Annual Industry Report Insights
12
CEE Annual Industry Report
Purpose
Scope
Collaboration
Preliminary Data
13
US and Canadian Expenditure Trends
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$5.3
$6.5
$7.4
$8.0 $8.0
$8.7 $8.7 $8.8$9.3
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BIL
LIO
NS
US
DGasElectric
14
US Electric Energy Efficiency and
Demand Response Expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$3.8
$4.8
$5.7$6.1 $6.0
$6.7 $6.7 $6.7 $7.1
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BIL
LIO
NS
US
D
Demand Response
Energy Efficiency
15
Canadian Electric Energy Efficiency and
Demand Response Expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
$615
$745$712 $696 $700
$626
$562 $572
$737
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MIL
LIO
NS
US
D
Demand Response
Energy Efficiency
16
US Energy Efficiency Expenditures by Customer Class
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Electric
17
Program Categorization
Residential Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Consumer Product
Rebate - Lighting
Whole home - Retrofit
Prescriptive - HVAC
0% 10% 20% 30%
Whole home - Audits
18
Program Categorization
C&I Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Mixed Offerings
Custom
Prescriptive
New Construction
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
19
Program Categorization
Cross Sector Customer ClassRank by % of
category
expenditures
Preliminary data as of September 5, 2018
Planning, Evaluation
Other Program Support
Marketing, Education,
and Outreach
Codes & Standards
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Voltage Reduction /
Transformers
20
Energy Efficiency Program Industry
Projected DSM program expenditures
suggest investment increased in 2017
At CEE, members act as an industry,
accounting for about 80% of total DSM
expenditures
Final report will be available in 2019
21
Q&A
22
Kevin Bright
CEE Board Chair
Watch for full report on www.cee1.org