from big data to big evidence to big impact at landscape scale · from big data to big evidence to...
TRANSCRIPT
TonySimons,WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF)IGNITESession,FC14,Washington,Nov2015
FromBigDatatoBigEvidencetoBigImpactatLandscapeScale
BigData,EvidenceandImpact
1. CocoaLandscapes(PPP)
2. GreeningIndia(Policy)
3. DatatoDecisions(LandUse)
Land Equivalent Ra/os (LERs)
Forestry
Agroforestry
+ForestryAgriculture
Agriculture
Valueofenterpriseandecosystemservicesfromtreeand
shrubcomponent
Valueofenterprise
and
ecosystem
servicesfrom
crop,grassand
livestock
compo
nents
Source:C.Dupraz,F.Liagre,AGROOF
1.CocoaLandscapes
Cocoa Yields are too low
Source:Etudesurlesrevenusetlesinves?ssementsdesproducteursdecaféetdecacaoenCôted’Ivoire,AgrisystemsConsor=um,2008
010203040506070
0-100
100-200
200-300
300-400
400-500
500-600
600-700
700-800
800-900
900-1000
1000-1100
1100-1200
1200-1300
1300-1400
1400-1500
1500-1600
1600-1700
1700-1800
1800-1900
1900-2000
YieldclassificaRon(kg/ha)
Num
bero
fplotssu
rveyed
0.5MT/haOnsta=on2500kgs
ResearcherManagedOnfarm1500kgs
Newfarmerthreshold
MARS-ICRAF-CDIGovernmentPublicPrivatePartnership
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10
PodNumber
TrunkCircumference
PodNumber&WetBeanWeight
Witches’BroomResistance
PodWeight
FrostyPodResistance&WetBeanWeight
BeanLength
Jorque]eHeight
FrostyPodResistance
BeanLength,SeedWeight,OvuleNumber,&TrunkCircumference
BlackPod
BeanWeight,BeanThickness,PodWeight&PodLength
~40idenRfiedQTLsincacao
RobustEvidencefortargeRngincocoalandscapes
V4C project implementa/on area with the 16 Cocoa Development Centres and 47 Cocoa Village Centres
Newlygra_edseedlingsfortheestablishmentofclonalgardens
SeedlingsofimprovedcocoavarieResproducedinV4CnurseryatSoubre
Useofclonesandhybridseeds
22monthsa_ersidegra_ing,from4-5podsto20-30podspertree
2. Why an Agroforestry Policy Initiative? Evidence of strong policy effects with respect to the adoption of agroforestry, the policy arena for agroforestry is complex, and collaboration and coordination would seem to enhance likelihood of success
Some key policy areas for agroforestry include:
• unintended adverse effects of forestry regulations
• property rights laws or arrangements that may discourage agroforestry
• fragmentation of agroforestry related mandates across ministries
• incentives favoring short term over long term investment • Inadequate recognition, valuation, and reward of environmental services
• poor information and germplasm systems in agroforestry
• 9EUCountrieswithNaRonalAgroforestryPolicy
• 2013AFincludedinnewCAPinEC
• Nov2014,AFaddedaseligibleinCDMforLULUCF
• AFisoneoftwoeligiblemiRgaRonacRonsin
EC2020ClimatePolicy
PrivilegedtobeinvitedbyIndiatoworkwiththemonanAgroforestryPolicyRelatedtoseveralotherGOIprocesses
Indiasetagoalofmovingfrom24%treecoverto33%treecoverby2030
NowpartofIndiaINDC
ICRAFistheonlyNon-StateActorincluded
42%ofallGovernmentTaxRevenuetoStates
$85billionp.a.total
7.5%($6billion)weightedbytreecover
OneoflargestPESinworld($120perhap.a.)
SupportedbyanAgroforestryMission($160m)
Review&of&the&Evidence&on&Indicators,&Metrics(and(Monitoring(Systems!
Commissioned by the UK Department for International Development (DFID)
Conducted by the CGIAR Program on Water, Land & Ecosystems
Coordinated by the World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)
Authors: Keith D Shepherd1, Andrew Farrow2, Claudia Ringler3, Anja Gassner1, Devra Jarvis4
1 World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 2 Consultant for World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 3 International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) 4 Bioversity International
Surveillance science! Land health metrics
Consistentfieldprotocol
SoilspectroscopyCouplingwithremotesensingPrevalence,Riskfactors,Digitalmapping
Sen=nelsitesRandomizedsamplingschemes
SoilCarbon(30mx30m)Canguidebe]erdecisions
Over1800Datasets
StakeholderApproachtoRiskInformedandEvidenceBaseDecisionMaking
Turkana County Revised Decision Cycle
Resilience Mapping
IUCNMobilePhoneApp
www.vegetaRonmap4africa.org
ThepoliRcalProcessversusScienceWithCOP21andSDGsrolloutupwehavehighaspiraRons,butitisapoliRcalprocess.WhilstwelookuptoourpoliRcians….whodotheylookupto?
TheCGIAR