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Freshwater conservation planning Systematic conservation planning and the role of software: from data to implementation and management Society for Conservation Biology Port Elizabeth 26-29 June 2007 Jeanne Nel [email protected]

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Page 1: Freshwater conservation planning Systematic conservation planning and the role of software: from data to implementation and management Society for Conservation

Freshwater conservation planning

Systematic conservation planning and the role of

software: from data to implementation and management

Society for Conservation Biology

Port Elizabeth

26-29 June 2007

Jeanne Nel

[email protected]

Page 2: Freshwater conservation planning Systematic conservation planning and the role of software: from data to implementation and management Society for Conservation

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Outline

• Framework for freshwater conservation planning

• Planning units for freshwater

• Mapping biodiversity pattern

• Incorporating biodiversity processes

• Quantitative targets

• Conservation design

• Scheduling catchments for implementation

• Integration with terrestrial conservation

• Implications of climate change

• Try to cover “high road” (plenty of data, time and funding) and “low road” (no data, or rapid assessment) options

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Framework for freshwater conservation planning

• Same overarching goals and principles to terrestrial

• No single “recipe” as methods depend on:

• Data availability

• Expert knowledge

• Skills & training of the conservation planning team

• Time & budgetary constraints

• Attention needs to be given to:

• Supporting process data layers, especially connectivity

• Rehabilitation

• Supporting process layers are space hungry – make more palatable for implementation through:

• Multiple-use zoning

• Scheduling

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Planning units

• Sub-catchments small enough to match variability of biodiversity pattern

• Immediately captures some degree of connectivity

• These are still generally larger than terrestrial planning units

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Biodiversity pattern

• River types

• Focal fish species

• Focal invertebrate species

• Wetland types

• Free-flowing rivers

• Special features

• Riparian forests

• Scenic gorges and waterfalls

• Large intact wetlands

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Biodiversity pattern: river types

• Top down vs bottom up approaches (Kingsford et al. 2005)

• Based on variables that drive heterogeneity vs those that respond to heterogeneity

• Drivers generally based on hydrology and geomorphology, for which surrogates can be derived

• Response variables generally use biota and water chemistry, are data intensive and often confounded by human impacts

• General trend is to use hydrogeomorphological classification

………..AND supplement wherever possible with freshwater focal species

Classification approaches:• Higgins et al. 2005. Conservation Biology 19(2): 432-445 • Kingsford, R.T. et al. 2005. Available from: http://www.ids.org.au/~cnevill/RiversBlueprint.pdf

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Application of classification approaches:• Nel et al. 2007. Diversity and Distributions 13: 341-352 • Thieme et al. 2007. Biological Conservation 135: 484-501

Biodiversity pattern: river types

VEGETATION

HYDROLOGICALVARIABILITY

LANDSCAPE-LEVEL CLASSIFICATION

STREAM GRADIENTS

RIVERTYPES

STREAM-LEVEL CLASSIFICATION

Spatialoverlay

Spatialoverlay

GEOLOGY

CLIMATE

…clean slivers & assess ”false heterogeneity”

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Biodiversity pattern: River types

• Hydrological variation• Low road: model water balance using mean annual precipitation and

evapotranspiration; provides sub-catchment level hydrology

• Middle road: model using hydrological gauge data; generally only available for main rivers

• High road: use topocadastral data which ID’s perenniality based on seasonal surveys

• Stream gradients• Low road: use elevation thresholds to ID high-elevation, mid-elevation and

lowland streams

• High road: Model stream slope based on rivers and DEM GIS layers & assign geomorphological zonation:

Lumped geomorphological zone

Rowntree and Wadeson (1999) zones

Source zone Source zones

Mountain stream Mountain headwater & mountain streams

Upper foothills Transitional zones and upper foothills

Lower foothills Lower foothills

Lowland river Lowland river

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Example of river types……

River type nameTotal length (km)

Length intact (km)

Target (km)

Perennial-South Western Coastal Belt-Mountain stream 13 0 2545

Perennial-South Western Coastal Belt-Upper foothills 17 0 3338

Perennial-South Western Coastal Belt-Lower foothills 14 0 2900

Perennial-Western Folded Mountains-Mountain stream 115 98 22929

Perennial-Western Folded Mountains-Upper foothills 375 308 75042

Perennial-Western Folded Mountains-Lower foothills 60 38 11906

Perennial-Western Folded Mountains-Lowland river 36 22 7231

Non-perennial-Great Karoo-Mountain stream 22 16 4368

Non-perennial-Great Karoo-Lower foothills 53 17 10649

From:

• Nel et al. 2006. Available from: http://www.waternet.co.za/rivercons/

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Biodiversity pattern: Wetland delineations

• Orthophotos and user-interpretation – works very well but time-consuming and mentally tedious

• Remote sensing:

• Fine-resolution (< 30 m) imagery hold potential but is still relatively expensive

• 30 m resolution imagery with wetness potential models (based on seasonality, geology, topography) has been used in South Africa, but with disconcerting levels of accuracy

• Amalgamation of existing GIS layers:

• Delineations from ad hoc site visits by ecologists

• Wetlands marked on 1:50 000 topocadastral maps

• 30 m resolution waterbodies corrected for dams, and enhanced using wetness potential models)

Relevant literature:• Ewart-Smith et al. 2006. Available from the Water Research Commission, South Africa, Report K8/652.• Goetz et al. 2006. Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 42(1):133-143.

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Biodiversity pattern: Wetland types

• Floristic vs hydrogeomorphological classification frameworks

• Hydrogeomorphological frameworks classify according to ecological functional type and tend to be more commonly used

• South African National Classification Framework:

• Hierarchical

• Based primarily on hydrogeomorphological criteria

• Biotic criteria are used as secondary descriptors

Vegetation group

Alluvial

Dune Strandveld

Fynbos

Nama Karoo

Renosterveld

Salt Marsh

Salt Pans

Sand and Dune Fynbos

Succulent Karoo

Drainage Landform (shape and/or setting)

Non-isolated Valley bottom

Floodplain

Depression linked to channel

Seep linked to channel

Isolated Depression not linked to a channel

Seep not linked to a channel

Level 1: Primary descriptors

Secondary descriptors

Relevant literature:• Ewart-Smith et al. 2006. Available from the Water Research Commission, South Africa, Report K8/652.

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Biodiversity pattern: Wetland types

• Functional type is based on drainage, landform and/or setting

• Can use surrogates based on river buffers, soil depth and slope

• Slope from United States 90 m digital

elevation data;

http://www.personal.psu.edu/users/j/z/jzs169/Project3.htm

• Soil from General Soils Pattern Map of

South Africa which provides soil and

terrain information at a 1:250000 scale.

Available from www.agis.agric.za.

• Results are strongly limited by scale of

environmental surrogates

Functional Surrogate

Valley bottom Wetlands occurring on slopes of 0-2.4° and soils < 450 m that are not “Depression” or “Floodplain”

Floodplain Wetlands intersecting a 100 m GIS buffer around lowland river reaches

Depression Pans from 1:50000 topocadastral

Seep linked to channel Wetlands occurring within a 100 m GIS buffer of a 1:50,000 river, on slopes of > 2.4° and soils  > 450 mm that are not “Depression” or “Floodplain”

Seep not linked to a channel Wetlands occurring outside a 100 m GIS buffer of a 1:50,000 river, on slopes of > 2.4° and soils  > 450 mm that are not “Depression” or “Floodplain”

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Example of wetland types……

Drainage Landform Vegetation group Wetland type Total area (ha) Intact area (ha) TargetChannelled Valley bottom Alluvial Channelled-Valley bottom-Alluvial 3173 1155 635Channelled Valley bottom Dune Strandveld Channelled-Valley bottom-Dune Strandveld 329 0 66Channelled Valley bottom Fynbos Channelled-Valley bottom-Fynbos 1794 610 359Channelled Valley bottom Nama Karoo Channelled-Valley bottom-Nama Karoo 70 70 14Channelled Valley bottom Renosterveld Channelled-Valley bottom-Renosterveld 199 60 40Channelled Valley bottom Sand & Dune Fynbos Channelled-Valley bottom-Sand & Dune Fynbos 1656 26 331Channelled Valley bottom Succulent Karoo Channelled-Valley bottom-Succulent Karoo 3462 2806 692Channelled Floodplain Alluvial Channelled-Floodplain-Alluvial 12069 0 2414Channelled Floodplain Fynbos Channelled-Floodplain-Fynbos 3420 3420 684Channelled Floodplain Renosterveld Channelled-Floodplain-Renosterveld 649 0 130Channelled Floodplain Sand & Dune Fynbos Channelled-Floodplain-Sand & Dune Fynbos 4177 0 835Channelled Seep Alluvial Channelled-Seep-Alluvial 1709 951 342Channelled Seep Fynbos Channelled-Seep-Fynbos 1533 538 307Channelled Seep Nama Karoo Channelled-Seep-Nama Karoo 65 42 13Channelled Seep Renosterveld Channelled-Seep-Renosterveld 866 408 173Channelled Seep Sand & Dune Fynbos Channelled-Seep-Sand & Dune Fynbos 1337 40 267Channelled Seep Succulent Karoo Channelled-Seep-Succulent Karoo 5844 4789 1169Unchannelled Seep Alluvial Unchannelled-Seep-Alluvial 45 20 9Unchannelled Seep Fynbos Unchannelled-Seep-Fynbos 107 74 21Unchannelled Seep Nama Karoo Unchannelled-Seep-Nama Karoo 12 12 2Unchannelled Seep Renosterveld Unchannelled-Seep-Renosterveld 190 62 38Unchannelled Seep Sand & Dune Fynbos Unchannelled-Seep-Sand & Dune Fynbos 49 16 10Unchannelled Seep Succulent Karoo Unchannelled-Seep-Succulent Karoo 360 318 72Unchannelled Depression Alluvial Unchannelled-Depression-Alluvial 507 477 101Unchannelled Depression Fynbos Unchannelled-Depression-Fynbos 23 16 5Unchannelled Depression Nama Karoo Unchannelled-Depression-Nama Karoo 82 82 16Unchannelled Depression Renosterveld Unchannelled-Depression-Renosterveld 51 0 10Unchannelled Depression Salt Marsh Unchannelled-Depression-Salt Marsh 260 260 52Unchannelled Depression Salt Pans Unchannelled-Depression-Salt Pans 120 46 24Unchannelled Depression Sand & Dune Fynbos Unchannelled-Depression-Sand & Dune Fynbos 63 23 13Unchannelled Depression Succulent Karoo Unchannelled-Depression-Succulent Karoo 274 274 55

From:• Nel et al. 2006. Available from: http://www.waternet.co.za/rivercons/

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Biodiversity pattern: Focal fish species

• Umbrella, keystone, flagship, threatened, rare or endemic species

• Point locality & expert knowledge

• What is the status of the population at each locality

• Exclude marginal river reaches; select ones with the most suitable habitat & containing populations large enough to be “viable”

• Modelled distributions and probability of occurrence

• Core populations based on abundances

• Needs to be accompanied by persistence considerations

Relevant literature:• Brewer et al. 2007. North American Journal of Fisheries Management 27:326–341.• Filipe et al. 2004. Conservation Biology 18:189-200.• Nel et al. 2006. Available from: http://www.waternet.co.za/rivercons/• Winston & Angermeier 1995. Conservation Biology 9:1518-1527.

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Example of fish sanctuaries and connector areas

From:• Nel et al. 2006. Available from: http://www.waternet.co.za/rivercons/

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Biodiversity pattern: other focal species

• Data almost non-existent

• Invertebrates often exist at family level; rarely species level problematic

All families (90) Focal genera (25)

• But see Linke et al. 2007

Relevant literature:• Linke et al. 2007. Freshwater Biology 52:918–938.

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Biodiversity pattern: special features

• The low road option of incorporating expert knowledge!

• Features generally include:

• Rivers free of alien fish

• Intact river gorges & waterfalls (scenic and evolutionary value)

• Large known & intact wetland systems

• All were included as moderate protection zones in the final conservation design, PLUS

• Planning unit cost was “discounted” for all sub-quaternary catchments containing special features

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Outline

• Framework for freshwater conservation planning

• Planning units for freshwater – sub-catchments….see Hydrosheds

• Mapping biodiversity pattern

• Incorporating biodiversity processes

• Quantitative targets

• Conservation design

• Scheduling catchments for implementation

• Integration with terrestrial conservation

• Implications of climate change

• Try to cover “high road” (plenty of data, time and funding) and “low road” (no data, or rapid assessment) options

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Biodiversity processes

• Four key considerations for freshwaters:

• Step 1: Select systems of high ecological integrity

• Step 2: Incorporate connectivity

• Step 3: Incorporate any additional spatial processes

• Step 4: Select persistent populations

Relevant literature:• Pressey et al. in press. Trends in Ecology and Evolution.• Pressey et al. 2003. Biological Conservation 112: 99–127.• Rouget et al. 2006. Conservation Biology 20(2): 549–561.• Sarkar et al. 2006. Annual Review of Environmental Resources 31:123–59.

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Step 1: Select systems of high ecological integrity

• Incorporates numerous local-scale processes & large-scale processes associated with the natural flow regime

• Use as an initial screening mechanism in selecting for pattern targets

• Field-based biological assessments at site-level BUT labour intensive

• Land cover surrogates in riparian buffers & throughout the catchment

• BUT cumulative upstream impacts can be problematic

• Wherever possible use field-based data and modelling in combination

Relevant literature:• Amis et al. 2007. Water SA 33(2): 217-221.• Matteson & Angermeier 2007. Environmental Management 39:125–138.• Snyder et al. 2007. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 41: 659-677.

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Methods for mapping ecological integrity

• Used national data (Kleynhans 2000) • Flow

• Inundation

• Water quality

• Stream bed condition

• Introduced instream biota

• Riparian or stream bank condition

• Integrity categories• A (largely natural) to F (unacceptably

modified)

• Evaluated against site assessment data

• Used 30 x 30 m national land cover to calculate % natural vegetation, deriving:• Catchment disturbance index (sub-

quaternary catchment)

• Riparian disturbance index (within a GIS buffer of 500 m)

• Macro-channel disturbance index (within a GIS buffer of 100 m)

• Used 80% as threshold for “intact” vs “not intact”

• Downgraded any intact tributaries with > 5 % erosion within 500 m of channel

Main rivers in quaternary Tributaries (all other 500K rivers)

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Map of ecological integrity

• 23% main rivers intact; 57% if tributaries are added

• Emphasizes the role of tributaries as refugia

• Main rivers need to be in a state that supports connectivity

From:• Nel et al. 2006. Available from:

http://www.waternet.co.za/rivercons/

Other application studies:• Linke et al. 2007. Freshwater Biology 52:918–938• Thieme et al. 2007. Biological Conservation 135: 484-501

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Wetland integrity/condition

• Use NLC2000 to calculate % natural vegetation, deriving:• Catchment disturbance index (sub-quaternary catchment)

• Buffered core disturbance index (within a GIS buffer of 100 m)

• Core disturbance index (within a GIS buffer of 50 m)

• Assign the minimum of these three indices to each wetland

• Any wetland with a minimum natural vegetation of ≥ 90 % considered “Intact”, all others “Not intact”

• For 10 wetland types that cannot meet their conservation targets in “Intact” wetlands, lower the minimum natural vegetation threshold to 80 %

• 8 wetlands still cannot achieve targets……Need to look at rehab

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Step 2: Incorporate connectivity

• 3 spatial dimensions:

• Longitudinal

• Lateral

• Vertical

• 1 temporal dimension

• natural flow regime

• temporal availability of surface water

• All 4 dimensions are highly inter-dependent

• Space hungry so try to allocate different protection levels

Federal Interagency Stream Restoration Working Group 1998 (http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/technical/stream_restoration/Images/scrhimage/part1/part1a.jpg).Relevant literature:

• Freeman et al. 2007. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 43(1):5-14. • Pringle 2001. Ecological Applications 11(4): 981-998. • Ward 1989. Journal of the North American Benthological Society 8: 2–8.

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Olifants

Doring

Longitudinal connectivity

• Large rivers free of artificial barriers

• “High” protection level

• Habitat requirements explicitly mapped

• “High” & “Moderate” protection level

• Upstream management zones

• “Moderate” protection level

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Lateral connectivity

• Modelled sub-catchments

• Allocated a “Very high” protection level if needed for pattern targets

• Riparian zones

• 50 m: mountain & upper foothill streams

• 100 m: lower foothills & lowland rivers

• Allocated a “High” protection level

• Wetland functioning zones

• Functional types were afforded different protections levels based on their functional importance & sensitivity

Landform (shape and/or setting) Functional importance

Sensitivity Protection level

Valley bottom Very high High High

Floodplain High Moderate Moderate

Seep linked to channel High Very High High

Seep not linked to a channel Moderate Very High Moderate

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Wetland functioning zones

Need to investigate linking different buffer widthsto functional importance and sensitivity …………

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Vertical connectivity

• Groundwater sustains river flow and refuge pools in the summer low flow periods

• Significant areas of groundwater-surface water discharge

• Areas where there is a medium to high prediction of groundwater to surface water interaction

• Modelled using 6 GIS surrogates: geological permeability, groundwater depth, springs, faults, presence of groundwater dependent vegetation, national estimates of baseflow contribution

• Significant areas of groundwater recharge

• Use 1 x 1 km national recharge data, based on the Chloride Mass Balance

• Areas with > 30 mm/yr recharge considered significant

• These were allocated a “Moderate” protection level

Relevant literature:• Baker et al. 2003. Environmental Management. 32(6): 706-719.• Brown et al. 2007. CSIR Report No. CSIR/NEW/WR/ER/2006/0187B/C, CSIR, Pretoria.

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Vertical connectivityGroundwater-surface water discharge Groundwater recharge

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Olifan

ts

Doring

Relevant literature:• Brown et al. 2007. CSIR Report No. CSIR/NEW/WR/ER/2006/0187B/C, CSIR, Pretoria.

Temporal connectivity

• Spatial dimensions are strongly dependent on temporal dynamics of the natural flow regime

• Rivers cannot be “locked-away”

• Environmental Flow Assessments try to balance human & ecological requirements

• Recommendations for Olifants, Doring and 2 major tributaries:

• Compromise middle reaches of Olifants for no further development of the Doring; & for some rehabilitation

• Tributaries of the Doring responsible for majority of Mean Annual Runoff included as upstream management zones & afforded “Moderate” protection levels

intactnot intact

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Step 3: Incorporate any additional spatial processes• Steps 1 and 2 cater for generic processes of most freshwater systems

• There may be other specific processes that can be mapped, also termed:

• “Fixed spatial components" (Rouget et al. 2006) / “Spatial catalysts" (Pressey et al. in press)

• Commonly defined using environmental surrogates such as climate, topography, geology, soils and vegetation

• Freshwater-specific examples:

• Areas of significant water yield (Driver et al. 2005)

• Areas of high erosion potential (Adinarayana et al. 1999)

• Evolutionary barriers, e.g. waterfalls & gorges (Roux et al. 2002)

• Generally can be allocated a “Moderate” level of protection.

Relevant literature:• Adinarayana et al. 1999. Catena 37:309–318• Driver et al. 2005. Strelitzia 17: 1-45.• Pressey et al. in press. Trends in Ecology and Evolution.• Rouget et al. 2006. Conservation Biology 20(2): 549–561. • Roux et al. 2002. Conservation Ecology 6(2): 6. [online] URL: http://www.consecol.org/vol6/iss2/art6

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Step 4: Select persistent populations

• Accommodated by Steps 1 and 2, but serves as a further safe-guard where data exist

• Considers requirements specific to the persistence of each focal species, for example:

• Identifying and establishing linkages between all critical habitat

• Identification of spatial refugia and relevant linkages

• Replication within the planning region in areas that are unlikely to be influenced by the same natural or human disturbances

• Incorporating populations or metapopulations that are large enough to prevent extinction from random demographic and genetic events

Relevant literature:• Moyle & Yoshiyama 1994. Fisheries 19:6-18.• Poiani et al. 2000. BioScience 50(2): 133-146.

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Persistent populations• Replication

• Pattern targets can stipulate that each species must be represented at least twice by populations preferably on different major river systems

• Suitable habitat & populations • Core populations• River with the most suitable habitat & containing the largest

populations should be selected from point locality data for achieving pattern target

• Habitat requirements • Many of the larger-sized species require a combination of mainstem

and tributary habitat• For small-sized species, vulnerable to predation by invasive

species in the mainstem, connectivity was excluded

• Fish sanctuaries for pattern targets afforded the highest protection level (“Very high”); linkages between sanctuaries allocated a “Moderate” protection level

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The importance of zones • So much land freaks managers out

• Allocating multiple-use zones can help, e.g. :• Freshwater focal area• Critical management zone• Catchment management zone

From:• Abell et al. 2007. Biological Conservation 134: 48-63.

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How to incorporate all these processes

Sub-catchments as planning units

Ecological integrity

Species habitat suitability & population size

Species replication

[Habitat requirements]

Large, “free-flowing” rivers

Habitat requirements

High water yield areas

Riparian zones

Wetland functioning zones

Groundwater-surface water discharge areas

Groundwater recharge areas

Upstream management zones

ImplementationGuidelines on environmental flows

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Outline

• Framework for freshwater conservation planning

• Planning units for freshwater – sub-catchments….see Hydrosheds

• Mapping biodiversity pattern

• Incorporating biodiversity processes

• Quantitative targets & conservation design

• Scheduling catchments for implementation

• Integration with terrestrial conservation

• Implications of climate change

• Try to cover “high road” (plenty of data, time and funding) and “low road” (no data, or rapid assessment) options

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Conservation targets

• River and wetland types

• Generally use 20%, based on length of river; area of river buffered by 100 m; area of sub-catchment; area of wetland

• Occurrence has also been used – e.g. at least one of river type X

• Combination of 20% and occurrence can also be used – e.g. 20% of each wetland type represented in at least 3 different systems

• Species

• Simplistic – at least once

• Replication – at least twice, preferably on different major systems

• Free-flowing rivers & special features

• 100% but for special features generally do not include the whole planning unit, only the feature itself

• Discount the planning unit cost to favor selection for other conservation targets

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Spatial configuration for pattern targets

• Decision support software for achieving pattern targets, e.g. Marxan or C-Plan:

• C-Plan calculates irreplaceability better

• Marxan does costs and connectivity better

• Generally combine, but similar matrices so not much extra work

• Matrices

Sub-catchment id

River type A

River type A

River type A ………

Wet type A

Wet type B

Wet type B ………

Fish P/A

1

Extent of intact river type within sub-catchment Extent of intact wetland type within sub-catchment P/A

2

3

.

.

.

.

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Spatial configuration for pattern targets• Planning unit cost used to achieve additional spatial efficiency

with:• Spatial catalysts (e.g. apply a discount to planning units containing free-

flowing rivers or water yield areas by)• Terrestrial priority areas• We hardly ever use area as cost; and have not yet integrated soic-economic

costs into our planning

• Boundary penalty• Strong boundary penalty to pass-

through sub-catchments will force connectivity

• Difficult to allocate multiple-use zones are selected planning units for pattern, connectivity or both

• Therefore tend to be conservative with the boundary penalty factor

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Conservation design

• Using costs & boundary penalty, choose areas for pattern targets

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Conservation design

• Using costs & boundary penalty, choose areas for pattern targets

• Add in areas requiring rehabilitation

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Conservation design

• Using costs & boundary penalty, choose areas for pattern targets

• Add in areas requiring rehabilitation

• Add in supporting zones

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Future work

• Testing the performance of surrogates

• Integration with terrestrial

• Wetlands and riparian zones of selected rivers integrate well with terrestrial planning units

• In areas where there are no river choices, select rivers first and then achieve residual terrestrial and wetland targets

• In areas where there are choices, investigate using terrestrial priorities in the sub-catchment planning unit cost

• Terrestrial priority areas may conflict with FW goals

• Scheduling

• Integrating socio-economic costs; particularly with target achievement

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Climate change

• Aaaargh!!! ------Eren help!!!!