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Page 1: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Welcome to the 2016 Annual General Meeting

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Page 2: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Argo Service Company Pty Ltd (ASCO) (ACN 603 367 479) (Australian Financial Services Licence 470477), on behalf of Argo Investments Limited (ACN 007 519 520). ASCO’s Financial Services Guide is available on request or at www.argoinvestments.com.au. This presentation contains unsolicited general information only, which does not take into account the particular objectives, financial situation or needs of any individual investor. It is not intended to be passed on or relied upon as a recommendation by any person. Before making any decision about the information provided, an investor should consult their independent adviser and consider the appropriateness of the information, having regard to their objectives, financial situation and needs. Past performance may not be indicative of future performance and no guarantee of future returns is implied or given. While all reasonable care has been taken when preparing this presentation, no responsibility is accepted for any loss, damage, cost or expense resulting directly or indirectly from any error, omission or misrepresentation in the information presented.

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Page 3: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Welcome to the 2016 Annual General Meeting

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Page 4: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Cash rate v Argo dividend five year history

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source: FactSet

13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0

13.5 13.5

14.5

14.0

15.5

15.0

15.5

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

06-11 12-11 06-12 12-12 06-13 12-13 06-14 12-14 06-15 12-15 06-16

Argo Dividend cps Cash Rate % (LHS)

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Page 5: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Summary of financial results

2015 2016 change

Profit $228.1 million $216.3 million -5.2%

Earnings per share 34.3 cents 32.0 cents -6.7%

Total dividends per share for the full year 29.5 cents 30.5 cents +3.4%

Net tangible asset backing (NTA) per share $7.52 $7.11 -5.5%

Management expense ratio (MER) 0.15% 0.17% +0.02

Number of shareholders 78,008 80,477 +2,469

for the year ended 30 June 2016

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Page 6: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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Page 7: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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Page 8: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

26.0 26.5 28.0 29.5 30.5

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

cen

ts

Argo continues to deliver

Profit Dividends per share NTA per share

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167.3 175.0 195.9

228.1 216.3

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

$ m

illio

ns

5.50

6.52

7.35 7.52 7.11

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

do

llars

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Page 9: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Total Portfolio Return to 30 September 2016: % per annum

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10.7%

5.4%

11.1%

5.1%

8.7%

-0.7%

5.5%

12.7%

4.6%

8.9%

13.2%

6.0%

11.2%

5.1%

8.5%

1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years

NTA Share Price S&P/ASX 200 acc.

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Page 10: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Share price relative to NTA to 30 September 2016

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-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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Page 11: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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Small cap outperformance

S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries

S&P/ASX 200

S&P/ASX 20

Argo share price

source: FactSet

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Page 12: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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www.argoinvestments.com.au

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Page 13: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Outlook

Unconventional monetary policy Interest rates near zero

Growth rates have remained anaemic Continued deflationary worries

Australian economy has performed relatively well

US economy gathering momentum Normalising monetary policy challenges

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Page 14: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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www.argoinvestments.com.au

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Page 15: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

S&P/ASX 200 subsectors 15

total return during the year to 30 September 2016

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

source: FactSet

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Page 16: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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Outperformance of smaller companies

S&P/ASX 20

S&P/ASX Small Industrials

S&P/ASX Small Resources

S&P/ASX 200

source: FactSet

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Page 17: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Major investment purchases during the year to 30 June 2016

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Page 18: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Major investment sales during the year to 30 June 2016

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Page 19: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Investment purchases since year end to 30 September 2016

Total purchases of approximately $53m, with larger purchases including:

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Page 20: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Top 20 equity investments as at 30 September 2016

$M $M

Westpac Banking Corporation 328.1 Australian United Investment Co. 117.1

ANZ Banking Group 269.7 CSL 112.6

Wesfarmers 239.9 Ramsay Health Care 111.4

Commonwealth Bank of Australia 232.0 Sydney Airport 100.8

Telstra Corporation 222.8 Woolworths 96.2

Macquarie Group 201.4 APA Group 87.6

BHP Billiton 188.6 Amcor 74.5

National Australia Bank 168.8 AGL Energy 69.5

Rio Tinto 129.6 Brambles 65.9

Milton Corporation 117.3 Transurban Group 65.8

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Page 21: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

6.0% 2.2%

4.7%

6.8%

4.0%

12.5%

6.3%

7.7% 10.3%

20.2%

3.8%

8.2%

7.3% Listed Investment Companies

Cash

Utilities

Telecommunication Services & I.T.

Property Trusts

Materials

Industrials

Health Care

Financials ex-Property & Banks

Banks

Energy

Consumer Staples

Consumer Discretionary

Portfolio sector allocation as at 30 September 2016

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Page 22: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

S&P/ASX 200 total dividends 22

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 Jun 15 Jun 16 Jun 17e Jun 18e

$b

n

Financials

Industrials

Mining &Energy

e = estimate source: Credit Suisse

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Page 23: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

S&P/ASX 20 dividend growth last three financial years (FY)

23

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

FY14 FY15 FY16

source: FactSet

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Page 24: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Highest dividend growers within Argo’s portfolio

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-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

FY14 FY15 FY16

source: FactSet

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Page 25: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Expected dividend growers based on our forecast

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40%

29%

18% 16%

14% 13% 13% 11% 11% 10%

ISU VOC SYD ALL REH SKI PPC RHC PGH MVF

1 Yr Expected Dividend Growth

source: FactSet

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Page 26: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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Page 27: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Demographic trends in Australia number of people aged 100+

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source: Commonwealth of Australia - 2015 Intergenerational Report

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Page 28: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Healthcare spending per person in today’s dollars

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source: Commonwealth of Australia - 2015 Intergenerational Report

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Page 29: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Aged care key service providers

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source: Regis Healthcare presentation (Oct 2016)

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Page 30: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Aged care projected growth in places

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source: Estia Prospectus

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Page 31: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Outlook

US interest rates

Brexit

Geopolitics

Technology change

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Page 32: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

Executive team

Jason Beddow Managing Director

Brydie Lloyd-Roberts

Investment Analyst

Colin Whitehead

Investment Analyst

Daniel Cuthbertson

Investment Analyst

Paul Frost

Investment Analyst

Stephen Mortimer

Operations Officer

Jo Chipperfield

Legal Officer

Andy Forster

Senior Investment Officer

Tim Binks

Chief Operating Officer

Andrew Hill

Chief Financial Officer

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Page 33: For personal use only Welcome to the 2016 Annual General ... › asxpdf › 20161026 › pdf › 43c9jr1y4wsq1h.pdf · Summary of financial results 2015 2016 change Profit $228.1

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